Jeury Espinal
P
ACL D-backs
Age 19
RHP
5'11" / 165 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.5%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | 11 | 4 | 40 | 162 | 58 | 8 | 4 | 36% | 3.7 | 24.3% | 6.2% | 18.2% | 2.6% | 3.12 | 3.25 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | 11 | 4 | 40 | 162 | 58 | 8 | 4 | 36% | 3.7 | 35.8% | 4.9% | 30.9% | 2.5% | 3.12 | 2.11 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 15 | 2 | 38 | 161 | 31 | 19 | 4 | 13% | 2.5 | 13.1% | 14.8% | -1.7% | 4.8% | 4.50 | 6.50 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 15 | 2 | 38 | 161 | 31 | 19 | 4 | 13% | 2.5 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 4.50 | 4.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 9 | 7 | 36 | 168 | 29 | 17 | 3 | 78% | 4.0 | 11.7% | 12.6% | -0.9% | 2.5% | 4.50 | 5.08 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 59 | 266 | 51 | 26 | 6 | — | — | 19.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 4.49 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | ARI | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 3.97 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 84 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 13 | 114 | 491 | 80 | 55 | 16 | 37% | 3.3 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 4.94 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 23 | 200 | 859 | 140 | 96 | 28 | 37% | 3.3 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 4.94 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeury Espinal (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.35 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 24 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Jerming Rosario R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.83 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 4.0% | .303 | 4.38 | 20.9% | 5.7% | 281 | -0.45 | 3.05 | 483 | 87 |
| Eccel Correa R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 83 |
| Adolfo Oviedo R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.98 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .272 | 4.74 | 13.4% | 8.0% | 90 | +0.76 | 3.79 | 201 | 81 |
| Alexander Cornielle R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.08 | 24.1% | 14.2% | 2.2% | .329 | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 312 | +0.26 | 3.85 | 502 | 81 |
| Layonel Ovalles R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.63 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.52 | 17.4% | 3.0% | 146 | +0.89 | 2.60 | 227 | 81 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2028 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 80 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 80 |
| Simon Mathews R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 80 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 80 |
| Luis Aguilar R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.54 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .356 | 4.26 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 111 | -0.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 80 |
| Jose Morban R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.42 | 18.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .333 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 61 | -0.44 | 3.98 | 178 | 80 |
| Cristian Javier R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.40 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.4% | .278 | 3.74 | 26.6% | 13.2% | 250 | +0.34 | 2.69 | 914 | 79 |
| Engel Daniel Peralta R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.98 | 25.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .408 | 5.28 | 17.0% | 2.5% | 55 | +1.30 | 3.34 | 111 | 79 |
| Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.12 | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 277 | +0.55 | 4.12 | 386 | 79 |
| Domingo Pena R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.99 | 20.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | .250 | 5.87 | 11.9% | 2.8% | 43 | +0.88 | 3.34 | 165 | 79 |
| Connor Cooke R 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 78 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 78 |
| Alfredo Tavarez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.49 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 4.7% | .257 | 4.55 | 12.0% | -1.4% | 110 | -0.94 | 3.67 | 214 | 78 |
| Luis Victorino R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.27 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .301 | 4.95 | 15.9% | -5.0% | 84 | +0.68 | 4.27 | 148 | 78 |
| Geno Encina R 2028 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 78 |