Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 1.5 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.69 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 1.5 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.77 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 10 | 10 | 38 | 153 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 3.8 | 15.1% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 2.11 | 2.44 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 10 | 10 | 38 | 153 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 3.8 | 22.2% | 3.9% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 2.11 | 1.80 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | — | 5 | 5 | 27 | 113 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | — | 5 | 5 | 28 | 119 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.05 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 72 | 29 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 12 | 11 | 41 | 165 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 92% | 3.4 | 15.2% | 4.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 1.96 | 2.39 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 53 | 200 | 798 | 122 | 36 | 0 | 92% | 3.4 | 15.2% | 4.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 1.96 | 2.39 | +7.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alberto Laroche (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.43 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 28 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Logan Gragg R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 87 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 87 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 86 |
| Chris Clark R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.41 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .362 | 4.78 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 303 | +1.37 | 3.41 | 322 | 84 |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 82 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2028 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 82 |
| Tommy Bergjans R 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.49 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 1.5% | .327 | 4.29 | 15.7% | 9.7% | 268 | +0.80 | 3.49 | 322 | 81 |
| Mitchell Jordan R 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.67 | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% | .316 | 4.81 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 342 | +1.14 | 3.67 | 380 | 81 |
| Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.60 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.16 | 12.0% | 1.0% | 65 | +0.56 | 4.13 | 153 | 81 |
| Cooper Bradford R 2027 · 4.99 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.99 | 18.0% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .393 | 5.08 | 17.6% | 4.8% | 106 | +0.09 | 4.99 | 136 | 81 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.83 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .238 | 4.84 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.83 | 358 | 81 |
| Chad Patrick R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 81 |
| Jared Karros R 2028 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 81 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 81 |
| Xiomer Guacache R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.58 | 14.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | .347 | 5.18 | 11.7% | -4.7% | 64 | +0.60 | 4.41 | 169 | 81 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 80 |
| Dylan Wilson R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.60 | 20.6% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 139 | 80 |
| Brandon White R 2029 · 5.11 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.11 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .264 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 245 | -1.01 | 3.90 | 264 | 80 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 80 |
| Anderson Bido R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.52 | 15.4% | 6.5% | 1.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 292 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 19.3% | 8.6% | 1.10 | 4.51 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |