Manuel Davila

P DSL Brewers Blue

Age 19 RHP 6'0" / 140 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKSD	13	20	9.61	6.10	13.1%	11.1%	—	K 8.9% · BB 13.9% · FIP 7.16
2026	18	ROKDSL Brewers B…	9	9	6.75	3.31	20.8%	6.2%	—	K 20.8% · BB 6.2% · FIP 3.28
2027PROJ	19	MLBMIL	16	17	4.67	4.67	20.6%	10.1%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBMIL	10	10	4.56	4.51	21.3%	9.6%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsSaul Teran (age 20) · Leury Tejada (age 18) · Ricardo Brizuela (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%20.6%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%10.5%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	52	209	52	10	0	91%	4.8	16.9%	6.0%	10.9%	0.0%	2.41	2.43	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	52	209	52	10	0	91%	4.8	16.9%	6.0%	10.9%	0.0%	2.41	2.43	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	52	209	52	10	0	91%	4.8	24.9%	4.8%	20.1%	0.0%	2.41	1.69	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	13	0	20	99	13	11	4	0%	1.5	8.9%	13.9%	-5.0%	5.6%	9.61	7.16	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	13	0	20	99	13	11	4	0%	1.5	8.9%	13.9%	-5.0%	5.6%	9.61	7.16	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	13	0	20	99	13	11	4	0%	1.5	13.1%	11.1%	2.0%	4.0%	9.61	6.10	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	9	0	9	48	10	3	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	6.2%	14.6%	2.1%	6.75	3.28	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	9	0	9	48	10	3	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	6.2%	14.6%	2.1%	6.75	3.28	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	9	0	9	48	10	3	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	6.2%	14.6%	2.1%	6.75	3.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	MIL	16	0	17	72	15	7	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	3.0%	4.67	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	19	0	20	84	18	8	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.6%	11.7%	2.9%	4.56	4.51	+0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.6%	11.7%	2.9%	4.56	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.6%	11.7%	2.9%	4.56	4.13	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	81	20	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.6%	11.7%	2.9%	4.56	4.13	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		33	10	81	356	54	29	7	30%	2.5	15.2%	8.2%	7.0%	1.8%	4.65	3.86	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	25	200	875	133	72	16	30%	2.5	15.2%	8.2%	7.0%	1.8%	4.65	3.86	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel Davila (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	20.6%	10.1%	3.0%	—	4.51	21.3%	11.7%	20	-0.16	—	—	—
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	87
Leury Tejada R 2018 · 4.03 FIP	18	SW	4.03	16.5%	10.1%	1.9%	.286	5.06	17.4%	6.2%	39	+1.03	4.03	183	85
Ricardo Brizuela R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SW	4.03	20.1%	11.6%	2.1%	.375	4.39	16.0%	7.1%	208	+0.36	3.20	246	84
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	84
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	83
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	82
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	82
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	82
Osiris German R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.6%	8.7%	3.3%	.346	3.15	26.3%	15.5%	59	-1.11	3.11	187	82
Denis Reguillo R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	19	SW	5.27	17.6%	11.6%	4.0%	.358	5.19	10.7%	-8.3%	52	-0.08	3.78	109	82
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	81
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	81
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	80
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.30	277	80
Layonel Ovalles R 2022 · 3.57 FIP	19	SW	3.57	23.1%	10.2%	2.1%	.333	4.62	17.4%	3.0%	146	+1.05	2.60	227	80
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	80
Jake Elliott R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	21	SU	3.82	19.2%	7.1%	2.6%	.353	3.81	18.1%	10.0%	202	-0.01	2.91	354	79
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	79
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	79
Michael Dominguez R 2019 · 3.82 FIP	18	SW	3.82	20.8%	13.2%	1.5%	.218	4.69	21.1%	10.6%	110	+0.87	3.82	383	79