Marlon Quintana — OGILVIE

Marlon Quintana P DSL Pirates Black

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 192 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.56

FIP4.56

K%18.4%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	9	4	28	120	22	6	1	44%	3.1	12.5%	6.2%	6.2%	1.4%	5.46	3.60	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	9	4	28	120	22	6	1	44%	3.1	12.5%	6.2%	6.2%	1.4%	5.46	3.60	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	9	4	28	120	22	6	1	44%	3.1	18.3%	5.0%	13.3%	0.8%	5.46	2.64	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	9	8	25	111	17	8	0	89%	2.8	10.4%	9.0%	1.4%	0.0%	4.32	3.36	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	9	8	25	111	17	8	0	89%	2.8	10.4%	9.0%	1.4%	0.0%	4.32	3.36	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	9	8	25	111	17	8	0	89%	2.8	15.3%	7.2%	8.1%	0.0%	4.32	2.70	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	14	5	34	141	37	19	1	36%	2.4	17.8%	16.8%	1.0%	1.0%	3.18	4.27	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	14	5	34	141	37	19	1	36%	2.4	17.8%	16.8%	1.0%	1.0%	3.18	4.27	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	PIT	14	5	34	141	37	19	1	36%	2.4	26.2%	13.5%	12.8%	0.7%	3.18	2.98	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	35	148	29	12	4	100%	5.0	19.7%	8.2%	11.5%	2.8%	4.46	4.41	+0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	3	3	17	72	14	6	2	100%	5.7	19.7%	8.2%	11.5%	2.8%	4.46	4.41	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	17	73	14	6	2	100%	5.7	19.7%	8.2%	11.5%	2.8%	4.46	4.03	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	163	70	23	100%	5.1	19.7%	8.2%	11.5%	2.8%	4.46	4.03	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		32	17	87	372	52	41	3	53%	2.7	13.9%	11.1%	2.8%	0.8%	4.24	3.78	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	39	200	855	119	95	7	53%	2.7	13.9%	11.1%	2.8%	0.8%	4.24	3.78	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marlon Quintana (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	18.4%	8.3%	2.9%	—	4.41	19.7%	11.5%	35	-0.15	—	—	—
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	88
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	84
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	84
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	84
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	84
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	83
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	81
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	81
Lisandro Almonte R 2022 · 4.73 FIP	20	SP-	4.73	17.9%	10.3%	3.3%	.310	5.04	20.5%	3.3%	50	+0.31	3.81	128	80
Yunior Marte R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	19	SP-	4.22	16.4%	8.5%	2.6%	.321	4.05	18.1%	8.5%	241	-0.17	3.21	297	80
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	80
Miguel Díaz R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	20	SP-	3.40	19.3%	7.7%	1.7%	.365	4.40	19.4%	8.2%	233	+1.00	2.18	573	80
Williander Moreno R 2018 · 4.21 FIP	19	SW	4.21	13.7%	7.5%	2.4%	.302	5.16	20.2%	10.1%	57	+0.95	3.20	246	79
Geno Encina R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	21	SW	4.22	16.5%	6.8%	3.0%	.325	7.09	12.0%	2.3%	76	+2.87	4.22	200	79
Nick Gallagher R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	17.2%	7.1%	3.1%	.310	4.55	22.4%	7.1%	90	+0.29	4.10	196	79
Jose Gutierrez R 2023 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	16.3%	5.3%	2.2%	.360	4.36	15.1%	4.8%	181	+0.77	3.34	214	79
Joelvis Del Rosario R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	20	SP-	3.76	22.5%	8.0%	2.8%	.315	4.97	14.6%	6.0%	197	+1.21	3.13	286	79
Adrián Martinez R 2017 · 4.30 FIP	20	SW	4.30	18.8%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	4.25	17.3%	7.6%	92	-0.05	2.02	526	79
Conor Harber R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	21	SW	3.93	14.3%	10.0%	1.4%	.257	4.33	16.3%	2.8%	262	+0.40	3.05	333	79
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	19.3%	8.2%	1.10	4.49
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43