Williander Moreno P West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%22.1%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP48
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +2.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.05 (48 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.0-0.12628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201819ROKDSL Tigers 1199572344714447%3.013.7%7.5%6.2%2.4%3.614.21
201819ROKDSL Tigers 1199572344714447%3.020.1%6.0%14.1%1.7%3.613.10
201920ROKFCL Tigers East708415720%1.212.2%17.1%-4.9%4.9%5.406.91
201920ROKFCL Tigers East708415720%1.212.2%17.1%-4.9%4.9%5.407.54
202122ALakeland Flying Tigers25257245672188%2.320.2%10.1%10.1%4.9%3.165.34
202122ALakeland Flying Tigers25257245672188%2.327.3%8.6%18.8%3.3%3.163.68
202223MIX2 levels306713087016620%2.417.6%6.0%11.5%1.2%3.183.05
202223MIX2 levels306713087016620%2.422.7%5.2%17.5%1.9%3.182.90
202324MIX2 levels31147133643241145%2.39.6%7.7%1.9%5.7%6.186.42
202324MIX2 levels31147133643241145%2.312.8%7.1%5.7%3.3%6.184.91
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBDET46048203451860%1.022.1%9.0%13.0%3.1%4.474.47+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBDET44047197441860%1.122.1%9.2%12.9%3.2%4.514.54+0.0
202829MLBDET42045188411860%1.122.0%9.4%12.5%3.3%4.594.65-0.1
202728MLBDET160177216720%1.122.1%9.2%12.9%3.2%4.514.54+0.0
202829MLBDET24025106231040%1.022.0%9.4%12.5%3.3%4.594.65-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career40042176391660%1.022.0%9.3%12.7%3.3%4.564.23+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084418777290%1.022.0%9.3%12.7%3.3%4.564.23+2.7
Career112312651164173944328%2.414.8%8.0%6.8%3.7%4.154.87+1.6
/ 200 IP8523200880131713228%2.414.8%8.0%6.8%3.7%4.154.87+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Williander Moreno (OGILVIE) 4.47 22.1%9.0%3.1% 4.59 22.0%12.7%91 +0.12
Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 84
Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 80
Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 80
Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 80
Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 80
Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 79
Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 78
Wil Jensen R 2025 · 3.41 FIP 26 SW 3.41 22.7%8.4%2.1%.314 3.41 368 77
Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SW 5.25 15.9%8.5%4.4%.307 3.44 14.2%6.2%129 -1.81 3.32 227 77
DJ Baxendale R 2026 · 3.68 FIP 27 SW 3.68 18.1%6.0%2.4%.355 5.84 20.0%8.3%49 +2.16 2.81 426 77
Jordan Lyles R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 27 SW 3.89 22.6%6.7%3.4%.284 4.94 20.2%12.1%379 +1.05 3.38 1,080 76
Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 27 SU 3.86 22.9%8.0%3.1%.295 3.60 12.4%5.2%127 -0.26 3.19 269 76
Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 76
Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 27 SW 4.07 21.1%12.2%2.2%.301 2.88 356 75
Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 75
Nick Morreale R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 27 SW 3.92 19.0%8.5%2.5%.271 3.72 11.7%-1.1%14 -0.20 2.97 280 75
Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 74
Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP 27 SU 3.88 21.5%9.5%2.5%.284 3.26 386 74
Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.15 FIP 27 SW 4.15 16.4%9.4%2.3%.297 4.10 22.9%12.0%293 -0.05 3.33 556 74
Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.01 FIP 27 SU 4.01 18.3%9.0%2.4%.255 4.31 15.9%2.3%20 +0.30 4.01 254 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION34622.1%9.2%1.254.52
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07