Yunior Marte P Eugene Emeralds
+1.0 WAR
Age 22 RHP 6'6" / 236 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.5 · 2030
ERA4.28
FIP4.28
xFIP
SIERA
K%21.2%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%12.2%
IP102
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.5peak
2030
K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202218ROKDSL KC Glass118209210317.4%4.1%1.8%5.493.97+0.2
202319ROKACL Royals126371623911316.4%8.5%2.6%4.144.22+0.3
202420AColumbia Fireflies98251212210312.3%12.0%5.6%8.766.66-0.5
202521ASan Jose Giants24221024039629417.6%8.5%0.9%2.913.19+2.4
▸ 2026 Season
202622A+Eugene Emeralds219348501.04
ROS22MLBSF191910243191391121.2%9.0%2.6%4.284.28+1.2
2026 Total22MLBSF11146599441121.3%9.4%2.4%4.033.94+1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202723MLBSF2323126531117451422.0%8.5%2.6%4.204.14+1.7
202824MLBSF2626145612138501622.5%8.2%2.6%4.124.06+2.0
202925MLBSF2929159670153541822.9%8.1%2.6%4.064.01+2.3
203026MLBSF3030166700161561823.1%8.0%2.6%4.024.00+2.4
203127MLBSF3131168711164571923.1%8.0%2.7%4.014.00+2.5
203228MLBSF3131168709163571923.0%8.1%2.7%4.024.03+2.4
203329MLBSF3030164693159571922.9%8.2%2.7%4.054.08+2.3
203430MLBSF2929159673153551922.7%8.2%2.8%4.104.14+2.1
203531MLBSF2828154649146541922.5%8.4%2.9%4.174.21+1.9
203632MLBSF2727148623138531822.2%8.5%2.9%4.254.30+1.7
203733MLBSF2626141595130521821.9%8.7%3.0%4.344.40+1.4
203834MLBSF2424134565122501821.5%8.9%3.1%4.444.51+1.2
203935MLBSF2323126533113491721.1%9.1%3.2%4.554.63+1.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career5845192812127711615.7%8.8%2.0%4.083.99+2.9
/ 200 IP6047200846132741715.7%8.8%2.0%4.083.99+3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Yunior Marte (OGILVIE) 4.28 21.2%9.0%2.6% 4.06 22.5%14.3%429 -0.22
Trevor Martin R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 22 SP- 4.24 21.3%10.6%2.9%.297 4.28 20.2%11.6%172 +0.04 4.19 282 95
Austin Cates R 2026 · 3.95 FIP 22 SP- 3.95 19.7%9.0%2.5%.266 3.95 110 94
David Perez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 22 SP- 3.99 21.1%9.3%2.7%.292 5.20 15.6%1.9%67 +1.21 3.99 151 94
Jack Wenninger R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 22 SP- 4.25 20.9%9.3%3.2%.309 3.90 21.4%13.1%136 -0.35 3.90 251 94
Griffin Canning R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 22 SP- 3.70 21.8%10.0%2.1%.312 4.13 23.9%15.3%225 +0.43 3.65 705 93
Ian Bedell R 2027 · 3.72 FIP 23 SP- 3.72 21.0%10.1%2.0%.285 5.74 19.4%9.6%160 +2.02 3.72 256 93
Tyler Uberstine R 2027 · 4.15 FIP 23 SP- 4.15 19.5%10.5%2.5%.302 4.38 23.2%14.7%121 +0.23 4.15 212 93
David Festa R 2026 · 3.66 FIP 22 SP- 3.66 19.9%9.5%1.9%.275 3.74 26.6%17.0%302 +0.08 3.66 405 93
Kenten Egbert R 2027 · 4.23 FIP 23 SP- 4.23 19.6%9.6%2.9%.257 4.02 10.6%4.0%101 -0.21 4.02 199 92
Nick Sinacola R 2026 · 4.43 FIP 22 SP- 4.43 19.3%10.4%3.0%.335 4.06 18.2%10.0%254 -0.37 3.55 357 92
Shelby Lackey R 2026 · 4.45 FIP 22 SP- 4.45 18.2%10.0%2.9%.323 3.96 20.6%5.7%65 -0.49 2.91 175 92
Nick Davila R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 22 SP- 3.89 18.0%9.3%2.1%.297 4.07 17.3%11.0%196 +0.18 3.46 341 92
Mason Hickman R 2026 · 4.73 FIP 22 SP- 4.73 20.2%10.2%3.7%.288 5.45 24.0%10.8%181 +0.72 4.73 300 92
Ty Cummings R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 22 SP- 4.30 19.0%10.5%2.7%.329 5.00 14.2%5.9%116 +0.70 4.30 233 91
Cory Lewis R 2026 · 3.42 FIP 22 SP- 3.42 21.7%9.3%1.8%.267 5.08 22.0%5.4%139 +1.66 3.42 240 91
Josh Bostick R 2026 · 4.71 FIP 22 SP- 4.71 19.3%11.2%3.3%.304 5.41 21.7%12.6%119 +0.70 4.71 226 91
Jackson Nezuh R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 22 SP- 3.90 22.5%11.2%2.3%.290 4.40 18.6%9.7%72 +0.50 3.90 193 91
Rorik Maltrud R 2028 · 3.89 FIP 24 SP- 3.89 20.4%9.6%2.4%.300 4.44 18.2%7.0%78 +0.55 3.89 183 91
Johnathan Harmon R 2026 · 4.29 FIP 22 SP- 4.29 17.8%10.2%2.5%.293 3.81 16.1%8.1%69 -0.48 3.51 157 91
Blake Wehunt R 2027 · 3.65 FIP 23 SP- 3.65 21.8%10.4%1.9%.261 4.41 21.9%10.5%63 +0.76 3.65 156 91

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Arb-2$0.9M+2.5$23M+$22M
2031Arb-3$0.9M+2.5$23M+$22M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+2.4$23M+$22M
2033Ext / FA-deal$4M+2.3$23M+$19M
2034Ext / FA-deal$6M+2.1$21M+$15M
2035Ext / FA-deal$8M+1.9$20M+$11M
Totals $22M $132M +$111M