Yunior Marte P Eugene Emeralds
Age 22 RHP 6'6" / 236 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.3 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION75 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.68
FIP4.68
K%17.3%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 144 IP
K: -1.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -1.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -5.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +19.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+20STAMTotal WAR: +1.23 (144 IP)+1.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.60.70.80.80.80.60.4+$27M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF4045
CTRL5040
CMD4545
K†4050
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2032Arb-1$3M+0.6$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-2$5M+0.4$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $10M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202218ROKDSL KC Glass1182092103173%1.87.4%4.1%3.3%2.0%5.494.09
202218ROKDSL KC Glass1182092103173%1.810.9%3.3%7.6%1.1%5.493.20
202319ROKACL Royals126371623911350%3.116.4%8.5%7.9%2.6%4.144.22
202319ROKACL Royals126371623911350%3.124.1%6.8%17.3%1.9%4.142.94
202420MIX2 levels98251212210389%2.712.3%12.0%0.2%5.6%8.766.68
202420MIX2 levels98251212210389%2.718.2%8.3%9.9%2.5%8.764.11
202521ASan Jose Giants24221024039629492%4.217.6%8.5%9.1%0.8%2.913.10
202521ASan Jose Giants24221024039629492%4.223.8%7.2%16.6%1.0%2.912.58
▸ 2026 Season
202622AARichmond Flying Squirrels1614753247729988%4.718.7%10.1%8.6%3.4%4.584.66+0.2
ROS22MLBSF13136929250288100%5.317.3%9.7%7.6%2.6%4.684.68+0.1
ROS22MLBSF017.3%9.7%7.6%2.5%4.624.62
2026 TOT22MLBSF144616127571720.7%9.3%11.4%2.7%4.634.67+1.2
2026 FULL22MLBSF0100017.3%9.7%7.6%2.5%4.624.25+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBSF14147431359298100%5.318.7%9.3%9.4%2.6%4.564.50+0.3
202824MLBSF14147632163298100%5.419.6%9.0%10.6%2.6%4.464.40+0.4
202925MLBSF13137732566298100%5.920.2%8.9%11.2%2.6%4.394.34+0.5
203026MLBSF13137732566299100%5.920.4%8.9%11.5%2.6%4.354.32+0.5
203127MLBSF13137632065299100%5.820.4%9.0%11.5%2.7%4.354.35+0.5
202723MLBSF773715629144100%5.318.7%9.3%9.4%2.5%4.504.44+0.0
202824MLBSF995322444206100%5.919.6%9.0%10.6%2.5%4.404.34+0.1
202925MLBSF11116326654247100%5.720.2%8.9%11.2%2.5%4.334.28+0.2
203026MLBSF11116728358257100%6.120.4%8.9%11.5%2.5%4.294.26+0.3
203127MLBSF11116828759267100%6.220.4%9.0%11.5%2.6%4.294.29+0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career5050288121824411031100%5.820.0%9.0%11.0%2.5%4.353.93+5.0
/ 200 IP34342008441697621100%5.820.0%9.0%11.0%2.5%4.353.93+3.4
Career72582581102180992781%3.616.3%9.0%7.3%2.4%4.334.20+3.6
/ 200 IP5645200854140772181%3.616.3%9.0%7.3%2.4%4.334.20+2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Yunior Marte (OGILVIE) 4.68 17.3%9.7%2.6% 4.41 19.5%10.4%227 -0.27
TJ Nichols R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 22 SP- 3.96 17.0%9.0%2.1%.310 5.17 21.9%14.5%174 +1.21 3.96 245 94
Jeremy Lee R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 22 SP- 4.06 16.8%11.5%1.7%.318 5.28 11.2%-0.5%46 +1.22 4.06 125 89
Nick Dean R 2027 · 4.00 FIP 23 SP- 4.00 17.5%8.1%2.5%.275 3.50 21.7%14.6%111 -0.50 2.73 202 89
Michael Ross R 2027 · 5.05 FIP 23 SP- 5.05 16.3%9.9%3.8%.275 5.83 12.5%3.6%64 +0.78 5.05 146 89
Miguel Almonte R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 22 SP- 3.94 18.0%10.1%2.0%.300 4.40 19.4%7.9%143 +0.46 3.02 247 89
Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 22 SP 4.72 19.0%8.9%3.8%.290 5.32 17.8%8.3%120 +0.60 3.31 191 88
Johnathan Harmon R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 22 SP- 4.22 17.8%10.2%2.4%.293 5.23 15.4%6.7%157 +1.01 3.46 246 88
Drew McDaniel R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 22 SP 5.03 14.1%9.1%3.6%.323 5.65 18.6%8.5%122 +0.62 4.72 200 88
Max Gamboa R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 22 SP- 3.92 17.3%9.5%2.0%.334 4.02 26.5%7.7%61 +0.10 3.92 162 87
Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 22 SP 4.06 19.3%9.9%2.4%.268 5.93 17.4%2.1%47 +1.87 4.06 101 87
Tommy Bergjans R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 22 SP 3.49 17.2%8.1%1.5%.327 4.29 15.7%9.7%268 +0.80 3.49 322 87
Chris McElvain R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 22 SP 4.79 15.8%11.6%2.9%.275 5.18 16.0%4.7%191 +0.39 4.01 287 87
Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 22 SP- 4.56 18.8%11.2%3.0%.295 5.39 10.1%-4.6%72 +0.83 4.56 137 86
Erik Swanson R 2026 · 3.67 FIP 22 SP- 3.67 17.1%8.8%1.6%.316 4.13 20.9%15.2%298 +0.46 1.63 606 86
Bradley Brehmer R 2027 · 4.40 FIP 23 SP 4.40 14.6%9.5%2.4%.349 2.88 21.3%13.7%82 -1.52 2.76 153 85
Tyler Uberstine R 2027 · 4.37 FIP 23 SP- 4.37 19.5%10.5%2.9%.302 4.38 23.2%14.7%121 +0.01 3.42 237 85
Josh Bostick R 2026 · 4.73 FIP 22 SP 4.73 19.3%11.2%3.4%.304 5.46 21.7%12.6%119 +0.73 4.73 226 85
Will Rudy R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 22 SP 4.65 15.2%9.2%3.0%.299 5.34 17.4%8.6%113 +0.69 4.65 194 85
Marcelo Perez R 2027 · 4.02 FIP 23 SP 4.02 18.0%8.6%2.5%.288 4.99 14.1%6.7%217 +0.97 4.02 285 85
Derek True R 2027 · 4.76 FIP 23 SP- 4.76 18.5%10.5%3.5%.333 4.67 17.6%5.9%73 -0.09 4.50 170 85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION67519.5%9.1%1.014.46
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67
Bryan Shaw ('23)86421.4%9.4%1.124.19
Robert Gsellman ('21)56718.4%7.8%0.964.38
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Scott Oberg ('19)55121.5%9.3%0.913.85
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58