Tanner Gresham

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	24	MIX2 levels	24	23	99	4.09	4.12	24.0%	11.8%	—	K 18.1% · BB 13.7% · FIP 5.23
2027PROJ	25	MLBPHI	12	12	69	5.30	5.30	18.7%	13.2%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBPHI	6	6	38	5.17	5.15	19.6%	12.6%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBPHI	9	9	55	5.11	5.12	19.8%	12.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJoel Hanrahan (age 25) · David Griffin (age 25) · Dylan Burns (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%18.7%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%5.5%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	99	434	104	51	12	96%	4.1	18.1%	13.7%	4.4%	3.5%	4.09	5.23	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	99	434	104	51	12	96%	4.1	18.1%	13.7%	4.4%	3.5%	4.09	5.23	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	99	434	104	51	12	96%	4.1	24.0%	11.8%	12.2%	2.8%	4.09	4.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PHI	12	12	69	291	54	39	9	100%	5.8	18.7%	13.2%	5.5%	3.1%	5.30	5.30	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	15	15	89	376	74	48	12	100%	5.9	19.6%	12.6%	6.9%	3.1%	5.17	5.15	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	15	15	88	371	73	46	12	100%	5.9	19.8%	12.3%	7.4%	3.2%	5.11	5.12	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	85	360	71	44	12	100%	6.1	19.7%	12.3%	7.5%	3.3%	5.12	5.16	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	81	344	67	43	12	100%	5.8	19.6%	12.4%	7.2%	3.4%	5.20	5.26	-0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	76	323	69	38	12	100%	5.9	21.2%	11.9%	9.3%	3.6%	5.18	5.17	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	38	160	31	20	5	100%	6.3	19.6%	12.6%	6.9%	3.1%	5.17	5.15	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	9	9	55	232	46	29	7	100%	6.1	19.8%	12.3%	7.4%	3.2%	5.11	5.12	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	PHI	11	11	64	270	53	33	9	100%	5.8	19.7%	12.3%	7.5%	3.3%	5.12	5.16	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	PHI	11	11	66	279	55	34	9	100%	6.0	19.6%	12.4%	7.2%	3.4%	5.20	5.26	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	PHI	11	11	66	279	59	33	10	100%	6.0	21.2%	11.9%	9.3%	3.6%	5.18	5.17	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	48	289	1222	245	150	41	100%	6.0	20.0%	12.3%	7.8%	3.3%	5.16	4.80	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	169	104	28	100%	6.0	20.0%	12.3%	7.8%	3.3%	5.16	4.80	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		24	23	99	434	79	59	15	96%	4.1	18.1%	13.7%	4.4%	3.5%	4.09	5.23	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	46	200	877	159	120	31	96%	4.1	18.1%	13.7%	4.4%	3.5%	4.09	5.23	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tanner Gresham (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	18.7%	13.2%	3.1%	—	5.14	19.7%	7.3%	262	-0.16	—	—	—
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	86
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.25	15.4%	5.9%	168	+0.82	4.43	239	85
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	84
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	84
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	84
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	83
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	83
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	83
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	83
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	83
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	82
Ike Buxton R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	24	SP	4.45	15.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.341	4.97	13.8%	-5.5%	46	+0.52	4.45	196	82
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	82
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	81
Jake Peppers R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	22	SP	5.02	15.3%	12.2%	3.0%	.293	5.15	14.8%	-1.3%	89	+0.13	4.83	186	81
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.59	25.5%	10.9%	108	-0.58	4.20	203	81
Johendí Jiminian R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	25	SP	5.25	14.0%	11.4%	3.5%	.282	4.41	13.9%	4.4%	94	-0.84	4.01	419	80
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	80
Elijah Dale R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP	4.55	16.7%	13.6%	2.1%	.239	6.48	18.4%	-1.6%	31	+1.93	4.55	140	80
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	82	19.8%	12.4%	1.27	5.18
Britt Reames ('06)	1.1	73	20.7%	12.0%	1.32	5.28
Frank Kreutzer ('62-'69, -1 WAR*)	1.1	70	20.0%*	11.6%*	1.21*	5.31*
Lou Sleater ('50-'58, -2 WAR*)	1.5	60	19.6%*	11.2%*	1.30*	5.08*
Steve Baker ('78-'83, -1 WAR*)	1.2	59	19.6%*	11.7%*	1.22*	5.39*
Dustin Nippert ('10)	1.3	67	17.6%	11.2%	1.18	5.31
Seth McClung ('09)	2.2	86	16.2%	13.1%	1.28	5.46