John Taylor

3B Round Rock Express

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1288ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	A+TEX	223	.256/.336/.352	2	7	46	—	.202/.256/.269
2026	25	AAA/AATEX	563	.272/.407/.429	14	21	103	—	.247/.350/.372
2027PROJ10% MLB	26	MLBTEX	16	.228/.324/.348	0	0	92	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	27	MLBTEX	131	.228/.323/.349	3	3	92	0.2
2029PROJ42% MLB	28	MLBTEX	195	.227/.320/.347	4	4	90	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV88

BB%86

Speed83

Chase%80

Whiff%69

Z-Con%61

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 1.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsJosh Smith (age 26) · Terrin Vavra (age 26) · Hoy Park (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .324 / .348

PA16

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP295

ISO71

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	24	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	223	199	51	11	1	2	20	46	4	7	3	256	336	352	688	95	325	21	9	315	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	380	309	77	13	3	8	58	80	8	18	6	249	381	388	770	139	308	21	15	349	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	183	143	46	8	1	6	32	41	5	3	1	322	461	517	979	196	404	22	17	429	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	223	208	42	9	1	1	11	59	4	7	3	202	256	269	525	67	275	26	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	380	326	74	12	3	6	41	96	8	18	6	227	328	337	665	110	291	25	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	183	153	44	7	1	5	22	50	5	3	1	288	394	444	839	157	379	27	12	371	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	223	208	42	9	1	1	11	59	4	7	3	202	256	269	525	67	277	26	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	223	199	51	11	1	2	20	46	4	7	3	256	336	352	688	95	325	21	9	315	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	563	479	118	19	4	11	63	146	13	21	7	246	350	372	721	125	326	26	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	563	452	123	21	4	14	90	121	13	21	7	272	407	429	836	157	337	21	16	375	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	223	206	42	9	1	1	11	59	4	7	3	204	256	272	527	68	275	26	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	563	482	118	19	4	11	63	146	13	21	7	245	350	369	719	124	320	26	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	223	206	42	9	1	1	11	59	4	7	3	204	256	272	527	68	275	26	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	563	482	118	19	4	11	63	146	13	21	7	245	350	369	719	124	320	26	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	10%	380	331	75	13	2	7	39	96	7	10	3	227	323	344	667	117	296	25	10	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	10%	16	14	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	228	324	348	672	120	295	25	12	306	92	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	30%	444	387	87	15	3	8	46	113	8	10	3	227	322	344	666	118	295	25	10	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	42%	468	408	92	16	3	9	48	119	9	9	3	226	320	343	662	117	293	25	10	302	90	-5	+1	-1	+2	+10	0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	TEX	47%	263	229	51	9	1	5	27	67	5	4	2	224	317	339	656	115	292	25	10	299	89	-4	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	269	235	52	9	1	5	27	69	5	4	2	222	313	334	648	113	289	26	10	295	86	-4	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	30%	131	114	26	4	1	3	14	33	2	3	1	228	323	349	671	121	294	25	11	305	92	-1	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	42%	195	169	38	6	1	4	20	50	4	4	1	227	320	347	667	120	293	26	10	304	90	-2	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	TEX	47%	124	108	24	4	1	2	13	32	2	2	1	225	317	343	661	119	291	26	10	301	89	-2	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	136	119	27	4	1	3	14	35	2	2	1	223	314	338	652	116	289	26	10	297	86	-2	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	586	510	115	18	4	12	61	150	10	11	4	225	320	347	667	122	293	26	10	302	89	-7	+1	-2	+2	+13	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	127	20	4	13	68	166	11	12	4	224	319	343	662	118	292	26	10	302	89	-8	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2385	2081	472	82	14	42	238	612	47	59	21	227	320	340	660	113	299	26	10	300	89	-19	+2	-4	+6	+35	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	128	22	4	11	65	167	13	16	6	226	320	337	657	111	298	26	10	300	89	-8	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAARound Rock Express · 380 PAwOBA .342 → .297 (−45)K% 21.1% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	25.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.00%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	10.69%
HBP% /PA	2.11%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	2.04%
Singles /BIP	23.14%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.012	×1.033	22.50%
Doubles /BIP	5.68%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.012	×1.033	4.92%
Triples /BIP	1.31%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.012	×1.033	1.33%
Home runs /BIP	3.49%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.033	2.53%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .342 → .297; ISO .139 → .116; BABIP .308 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 183 PAwOBA .425 → .371 (−55)K% 22.4% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.40%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	27.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.49%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.998	12.22%
HBP% /PA	2.73%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	2.37%
Singles /BIP	30.39%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×0.998	29.30%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.050	×0.998	6.90%
Triples /BIP	0.98%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×0.998	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	4.70%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .425 → .371; ISO .196 → .170; BABIP .404 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 223 PAwOBA .307 → .236 (−71)K% 20.6% → 26.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.63%	÷1.026	×1.310	—	—	26.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.97%	÷1.041	×0.600	—	×0.988	5.11%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.770	—	×0.988	1.36%
Singles /BIP	24.18%	÷1.020	×0.870	×1.012	×0.988	20.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.19%	÷0.909	×0.780	×1.012	×0.988	6.16%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷1.150	×0.850	×1.012	×0.988	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	1.31%	÷1.215	×0.880	—	×0.988	0.94%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .307 → .236; ISO .095 → .075; BABIP .325 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cavan Biggiolast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,937 PA	2.9	1,937	52	33	223	339	373	+5	-8	6.8	6.8
/162	664	18	11	+1.8	-2.8	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Ed Spiezio'64-'72 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,716 PA	2.6	1,716	39	16	238*	304*	389*	+5	+8	4.7	4.9
/162	664	15	6	+1.9	+3.3	1.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Rene Gonzales'84-'97 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	19	23	236*	311*	337*	+4	+11	1.9	2.8
/162	664	7	9	+1.6	+4.2	0.7	pk7: 4
#6Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
/162	664	11	6	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	602	11	11	226	316	342	+2	+0	1.2	1.2
/162	664	12	12	+2.4	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Taylor (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	225/320/341	116	296	3	4	25%	10%	92	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Smith 2024 · MLB	26	45→53	45	50	52	222/320/350	128	276	12	12	23%	10%	94	+0.9	238/320/361	123	288	12	12	20%	9%	95	+1.0	235/317/352	117	283	11	13	20%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Terrin Vavra 2023 · MLB	26	55→48	42→45	49→50	52	259/342/371	112	333	7	11	23%	10%	105	+1.7	242/310/338	96	321	7	10	25%	8%	86	+0.3	232/295/310	78	314	5	9	26%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Hoy Park 2022 · MLB	26	49→52	45	50→55	53	238/325/366	128	303	12	15	24%	11%	98	+1.2	219/301/331	112	297	11	17	28%	10%	82	-0.0	212/296/310	98	291	10	19	28%	10%	72	-0.5
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2020 · MLB	26	49→51	42→45	46→50	44	236/287/345	108	309	8	10	26%	7%	78	-0.3	210/266/307	97	294	9	14	29%	7%	62	-1.4	135/215/214	79	194	9	18	34%	9%	21	-1.0
✕Jason Donald 2011 · MLB	26	50→57	43→45	55→50	45	240/301/360	120	309	8	14	24%	7%	88	+0.4	242/298/347	105	319	7	13	25%	6%	83	+0.1	237/289/332	95	319	6	11	26%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Ramón Flores 2018 · MLB	26	53→59	42→45	51→50	54	255/328/362	107	304	9	10	19%	10%	98	+1.2	239/306/346	107	295	10	10	21%	9%	86	+0.3	220/285/305	84	275	8	6	22%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Greg Garcia 2016 · MLB	26	52→55	39→40	51→50	48	242/315/330	88	309	5	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	246/333/333	87	311	6	9	21%	10%	94	+0.9	240/347/331	91	307	6	3	21%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Cory Sullivan 2006 · MLB	26	56→60	41→45	53→50	48	270/324/371	101	328	8	15	20%	7%	98	+1.2	253/302/362	109	319	6	13	21%	6%	87	+0.4	249/296/356	107	314	5	13	21%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Andruw Monasterio 2024 · MLB	27	51→54	42→45	51→55	50	244/319/351	107	314	9	16	24%	9%	93	+0.8	235/307/347	112	302	10	19	24%	9%	87	+0.4	225/295/341	116	286	10	18	24%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2022 · AAA	26	54→57	40→45	45→60	46	253/308/351	98	334	6	11	25%	8%	87	+0.4	241/302/346	105	306	8	22	22%	8%	84	+0.2	231/296/329	98	288	8	27	21%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Matt Vierling 2023 · MLB	26	50→55	44→50	52→50	46	244/299/363	120	295	11	16	21%	7%	87	+0.4	253/313/392	139	310	14	9	22%	7%	99	+1.3	254/317/396	142	313	14	7	22%	8%	103	+1.1
✕Jeff Corsaletti 2009 · AAA	26	51→54	44→45	50	53	246/325/370	124	301	10	10	21%	10%	99	+1.2	226/300/325	99	270	8	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	209/288/283	73	245	5	9	15%	10%	63	-0.7
✕Tucker Bradley 2023 · AA	25	50→52	45	53→50	48	243/310/370	127	310	12	15	24%	8%	93	+0.8	241/304/370	129	316	11	15	25%	8%	91	+0.6	244/309/381	138	322	10	16	26%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Drew Millas 2024 · MLB	26	48	42→45	49→50	52	231/309/336	104	293	9	10	23%	10%	85	+0.2	240/296/357	117	287	11	15	19%	7%	84	+0.2	236/288/351	115	277	10	18	18%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jake Alu 2023 · AAA	26	51→54	48→45	51→50	43	253/301/401	149	310	14	13	23%	6%	97	+1.1	235/288/339	104	286	9	17	20%	6%	77	-0.3	228/282/307	79	275	6	21	19%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Cal Stevenson 2023 · MLB	26	48→56	42→45	54→60	52	231/310/338	106	299	10	20	25%	10%	86	+0.3	237/325/353	116	309	10	28	24%	11%	95	+1.0	234/328/348	114	305	10	34	24%	12%	94	+0.5
✕Boog Powell 2019 · MLB	26	53→61	41→40	45→50	51	252/318/345	93	310	8	15	21%	9%	90	+0.6	226/300/336	110	316	10	16	29%	10%	82	-0.0	213/293/321	108	308	10	18	31%	10%	73	-0.4
✕Kevin Melillo 2008 · AAA	26	48→51	46→50	47→50	49	234/301/372	138	293	12	11	24%	8%	90	+0.6	220/282/355	135	270	13	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	218/280/340	122	252	11	9	18%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Anthony Prato 2024 · AAA	26	46→49	43→45	52→55	50	219/312/336	117	302	10	17	28%	10%	87	+0.4	217/318/318	101	289	7	19	25%	10%	86	+0.3	210/320/297	87	281	4	21	23%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Callix Crabbe 2009 · MLB	26	52→55	40	50→55	54	245/320/341	95	292	6	18	18%	10%	90	+0.6	210/280/298	88	251	6	15	18%	8%	65	-1.2	198/267/281	83	231	6	16	17%	8%	54	-1.2

John Taylor

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps