Cole Reynolds
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 24
LHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131140vR 150
ERA5.83
FIP5.83
K%15.6%
BB%16.6%
K-BB%-0.9%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 116 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 2 | 60 | 281 | 63 | 39 | 4 | 7% | 2.1 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 4.83 | 4.81 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 2 | 60 | 281 | 63 | 39 | 4 | 7% | 2.1 | 22.4% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 4.83 | 3.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 15 | 11 | 52 | 232 | 52 | 34 | 5 | 73% | 3.4 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 0.4% | 2.7% | 7.32 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 43 | 45 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.6% | 16.6% | -0.9% | 2.9% | 5.83 | 5.83 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.6% | 16.6% | -0.9% | 2.9% | 5.83 | 5.83 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 116 | 506 | 95 | 79 | 13 | — | — | 18.7% | 15.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 6.49 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.6% | 16.6% | -0.9% | 2.9% | 5.83 | 5.45 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 49 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 14.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.56 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 14.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.56 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 34 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 75 | 316 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.03 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 147 | 123 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 43 | 13 | 111 | 513 | 86 | 85 | 12 | 30% | 2.6 | 16.8% | 16.5% | 0.3% | 2.3% | 5.98 | 5.01 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 23 | 200 | 922 | 155 | 152 | 21 | 30% | 2.6 | 16.8% | 16.5% | 0.3% | 2.3% | 5.98 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Reynolds (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.83 | 15.6% | 16.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.42 | 17.5% | 2.9% | 136 | -0.41 | — | — | — |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 90 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.03 | 16.4% | 18.6% | 3.6% | .303 | 5.89 | 16.3% | -3.3% | 78 | -0.14 | 4.80 | 223 | 82 |
| Hayden Frank L 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.29 | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.29 | 109 | 81 |
| Larson Kindreich L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.39 | 21.5% | 18.8% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.71 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 79 | -0.68 | 4.15 | 214 | 81 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 78 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 78 |
| Seth Lonsway L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.11 | 13.8% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .317 | 3.99 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 272 | -1.12 | 3.33 | 457 | 77 |
| Graham Osman L 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.68 | 15.1% | 17.4% | 3.0% | .303 | 6.97 | 14.1% | -1.9% | 29 | +1.29 | 4.29 | 151 | 77 |
| Mason Green L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.22 | 17.9% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .278 | 4.28 | 19.1% | 6.4% | 225 | -0.94 | 3.56 | 410 | 77 |
| Nathan Kirby L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.11 | 17.7% | 16.2% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.89 | 25.3% | 8.7% | 38 | -1.22 | 3.89 | 145 | 74 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 74 |
| Drake Britton L 2028 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 72 |
| Max Roberts L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.07 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .330 | 4.59 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 115 | -0.48 | 4.03 | 173 | 72 |
| Mason Miller L 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.05 | 12.8% | 18.6% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 150 | 71 |
| Connor Oliver L 2026 · 6.39 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.39 | 18.6% | 18.5% | 4.6% | .248 | 4.91 | 19.6% | 5.7% | 71 | -1.48 | 4.29 | 200 | 71 |
| Tyler Matzek L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.38 | 17.7% | 23.2% | 1.5% | .256 | 4.87 | 22.2% | 0.9% | 21 | -0.51 | 1.60 | 190 | 71 |
| Brooks Gosswein L 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.58 | 15.2% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 165 | 70 |
| Luis Moncada L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.94 | 13.2% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 296 | 70 |
| Erik Rivera L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 19.2% | 2.3% | .313 | 4.69 | 25.3% | 9.9% | 40 | -0.32 | 4.69 | 122 | 70 |
| Matt Minnick L 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 16.9% | 15.2% | 1.11 | 5.60 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |