Player 822518 — OGILVIE

Player 8225181B Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age — —/— A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION124 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .278 / .250

PA18

HR0

K%28

BB%11

BABIP292

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	MIN	—	124	100	22	3	2	3	20	34	3	13	2	220	366	380	746	160	297	27	16	318	101	+0	+2	+0	-2	+3	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	MIN	—	72	54	11	2	2	1	14	16	3	5	1	204	394	370	765	167	263	22	19	351	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	—	A+ RAW	MIN	—	52	38	12	1	0	2	14	8	0	8	1	316	500	500	1.000	184	357	15	27	449	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	MIN	0%	18	16	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	188	278	250	528	62	292	28	11	298	88	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	MIN	—	142	116	25	4	2	3	22	39	3	14	2	216	355	362	717	147	293	27	15	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-3	+3	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	302	261	56	9	3	6	33	84	5	12	2	215	314	341	655	126	288	28	11	299	88	-4	+2	+0	-5	+7	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	399	347	76	13	3	9	43	110	6	15	2	219	316	352	667	133	289	28	11	301	90	-5	+2	+0	-7	+9	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	465	405	89	15	4	10	50	126	7	18	3	220	316	351	667	131	288	27	11	303	91	-5	+2	+0	-8	+10	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	509	442	97	16	4	12	55	138	7	19	3	219	315	355	671	136	288	27	11	304	92	-5	+3	+0	-9	+11	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	540	469	103	17	4	13	58	146	8	21	3	220	316	356	672	136	288	27	11	305	92	-5	+3	+0	-10	+12	0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	563	489	107	18	4	13	61	152	8	21	3	219	315	352	667	133	288	27	11	305	93	-5	+3	+0	-10	+12	0.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	579	502	112	19	5	14	63	157	9	22	3	223	321	365	685	141	287	27	11	306	93	-5	+3	+0	-10	+13	0.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	591	513	113	19	5	14	64	160	9	23	3	220	317	359	676	138	287	27	11	306	93	-5	+3	+0	-11	+13	0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	289	—	—	288	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	289	—	—	291	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	289	—	—	293	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	288	—	—	294	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	288	—	—	294	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	288	—	—	295	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	288	—	—	295	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	287	—	—	296	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3966	3444	756	127	32	91	429	1078	59	152	22	220	316	354	671	135	290	27	11	304	92	-38	+22	+0	-71	+86	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	124	21	5	15	70	177	10	25	4	220	316	355	671	135	291	27	11	304	92	-6	+4	+0	-12	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,247	97	160	220	313	355	-48	+0	5.4	5.3
/162	664	15	25	-7.4	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822518 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	212/313/336	124	292	6	14	29%	11%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	46→45	55	45	207/293/340	133	287	12	21	30%	8%	81	-0.1	221/300/334	113	289	9	19	25%	8%	82	-0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	40→42	47→50	54→55	46	201/285/337	136	272	14	18	30%	9%	78	-0.3	212/290/348	136	290	16	23	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/285/337	134	276	17	26	31%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→48	44→50	54→65	47	216/295/339	123	274	11	23	24%	8%	81	-0.1	209/275/329	120	265	11	18	25%	7%	71	-0.8	207/330/379	172	285	16	41	30%	12%	101	+0.7
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	45→55	45	53→55	45	223/287/353	130	295	13	20	28%	8%	81	-0.1	247/317/352	105	324	8	18	24%	9%	91	+0.7	251/326/344	93	326	6	18	23%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→50	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	76	-0.4	206/252/317	111	266	11	17	26%	5%	59	-1.6	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2017 · A	25	39→38	43→55	54→50	49	193/279/308	115	268	10	14	30%	10%	68	-1.0	200/271/341	141	275	15	14	31%	8%	72	-0.7	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A	25	43→40	47→45	51→50	44	216/284/353	137	278	15	14	27%	7%	80	-0.1	204/259/329	125	276	13	9	30%	6%	65	-1.2	161/210/268	107	215	12	5	31%	5%	29	-1.6
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	48→55	45	51→50	43	234/300/367	133	315	12	17	28%	7%	89	+0.5	244/302/363	119	329	11	14	27%	6%	88	+0.5	250/311/378	128	324	14	16	26%	6%	92	+0.4
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	44→46	45→55	50	47	216/293/342	126	269	11	11	23%	8%	81	-0.1	211/268/374	163	269	17	10	27%	6%	79	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	45→50	42→50	53→50	39	221/265/325	104	304	10	11	30%	5%	65	-1.2	233/292/345	112	331	11	9	31%	7%	80	-0.1	238/302/353	114	340	11	8	31%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Anthony Seratelli 2008 · A	25	46→48	46→45	56→55	46	229/291/363	134	291	12	19	25%	8%	84	+0.2	206/263/302	96	297	8	17	31%	7%	59	-1.6	230/302/348	119	296	13	20	25%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	90	+0.6	211/279/321	110	284	8	11	27%	7%	70	-0.8	206/275/315	109	281	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→45	43→45	50	44	212/278/331	119	279	10	12	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/289/332	101	313	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	234/293/322	88	321	6	7	27%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A	24	43→52	44→45	51→50	43	213/277/330	117	286	12	14	29%	7%	72	-0.7	227/293/347	120	297	10	12	26%	7%	82	-0.0	229/296/349	120	303	9	12	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	42→45	58→65	44	222/293/331	108	316	8	23	30%	8%	78	-0.3	203/281/302	99	319	8	27	36%	8%	68	-1.0	212/292/295	83	324	7	47	34%	9%	67	-0.7
✕Keon Broxton 2015 · AA	25	45→50	47→55	54→60	39	221/274/361	141	315	15	16	34%	6%	78	-0.3	228/296/382	154	343	15	32	35%	8%	91	+0.6	224/300/388	164	339	17	38	36%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→51	44→50	55	48	207/286/327	120	254	12	25	23%	8%	76	-0.4	228/295/356	128	288	12	22	24%	7%	84	+0.2	235/299/371	136	298	13	21	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	42→40	54→55	44	216/292/329	113	304	9	20	30%	8%	78	-0.3	207/305/315	108	284	10	20	28%	10%	80	-0.2	194/303/291	97	263	9	24	27%	11%	73	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps