Blaine Wynk P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 207 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.6 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.0%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
K: -2.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: +2.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+3CONTACTSTAM: +7.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+7STAMTotal WAR: +0.87 (81 IP)+0.9WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.20.20.2+$7M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5560
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
202622AKannapolis Cannon Ballers1710482063717259%2.813.3%9.7%3.6%1.3%3.213.90+0.4
ROS22MLBCWS773314132134100%4.823.0%9.2%13.7%3.0%4.344.34+0.1
ROS22MLBCWS023.0%9.2%13.7%3.0%4.374.37
2026 TOT22MLBCWS813476930620.0%8.6%11.3%1.8%3.684.08+0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBCWS663514735134100%5.823.7%8.8%14.9%2.9%4.254.19+0.1
202824MLBCWS663615036134100%5.924.3%8.5%15.7%2.9%4.174.11+0.2
202925MLBCWS663615237134100%6.024.6%8.4%16.2%2.9%4.114.06+0.2
203026MLBCWS663615238134100%6.024.8%8.4%16.3%2.9%4.074.04+0.2
203127MLBCWS663615037134100%5.924.8%8.5%16.3%2.9%4.084.08+0.2
203228MLBCWS663414536134100%5.724.6%8.6%16.0%3.0%4.134.16+0.2
202723MLBCWS3317721762100%5.723.7%8.8%14.9%3.0%4.284.22+0.1
202824MLBCWS44251062693100%6.224.3%8.5%15.7%3.0%4.204.14+0.1
202925MLBCWS552912230104100%5.824.6%8.4%16.2%2.9%4.144.09+0.2
203026MLBCWS553113132114100%6.224.8%8.4%16.3%2.9%4.104.07+0.2
203127MLBCWS553213533114100%6.424.8%8.5%16.3%3.0%4.114.11+0.2
203228MLBCWS553213533124100%6.424.6%8.6%16.0%3.1%4.164.19+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career28281667021726021100%5.924.5%8.5%16.0%3.0%4.153.75+3.2
/ 200 IP34342008442077225100%5.824.5%8.5%16.0%3.0%4.153.75+3.9
Career1710482062720359%2.813.3%9.7%3.6%1.3%3.213.90+0.4
/ 200 IP7142200864115841159%2.813.3%9.7%3.6%1.3%3.213.90+3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Blaine Wynk (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.0%9.2%3.0% 4.12 24.2%15.6%106 -0.22
Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 22 SP- 3.47 23.7%8.4%2.4%.350 4.29 24.6%10.4%56 +0.82 2.92 103 87
Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP 24 SP- 4.28 23.3%9.3%3.6%.260 4.34 20.5%11.0%189 +0.06 3.68 323 87
Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP 23 SP- 3.98 21.2%8.7%2.9%.374 4.64 20.5%7.6%188 +0.66 3.18 234 85
Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 22 SP- 3.43 25.4%10.6%2.1%.351 5.24 21.6%5.6%193 +1.81 3.43 242 85
Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP 23 SP- 3.48 20.5%10.3%1.5%.246 4.20 21.6%12.8%184 +0.72 3.07 229 82
Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP 22 SP- 3.50 23.5%10.9%1.8%.306 3.50 128 80
Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP 23 SP- 4.03 23.6%11.1%2.8%.312 5.16 22.3%9.9%93 +1.13 4.03 152 79
Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP 24 SP- 4.91 21.9%13.2%3.6%.314 4.49 18.6%4.7%123 -0.42 4.16 164 79
Chris Campos R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 22 SP- 4.86 21.0%11.8%3.7%.364 4.57 18.7%11.7%237 -0.29 4.43 306 79
Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 22 SP- 3.85 20.9%11.4%2.0%.333 3.99 21.4%12.6%184 +0.14 2.91 439 78
Rico Garcia R 2027 · 3.21 FIP 23 SP- 3.21 18.8%7.0%1.5%.316 3.82 19.8%11.5%296 +0.61 3.21 566 78
Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 22 SP- 4.56 18.8%11.2%3.0%.295 5.39 10.1%-4.6%72 +0.83 4.56 137 78
Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 22 SW 3.83 19.2%6.0%2.9%.266 3.29 18.1%13.2%220 -0.54 3.28 255 77
Caleb Sampen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 22 SP 3.46 21.7%8.3%2.1%.358 3.46 15.2%6.8%139 +0.00 3.03 213 77
Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP 23 SP- 4.34 18.4%11.5%2.4%.306 4.68 16.2%5.7%316 +0.34 3.90 371 77
Evan McKendry R 2027 · 4.24 FIP 23 SW 4.24 18.4%5.5%3.6%.256 5.40 18.7%11.6%324 +1.16 4.14 474 77
J.C. Flowers R 2027 · 3.39 FIP 23 SP- 3.39 21.3%8.7%1.8%.330 4.95 16.5%1.9%184 +1.56 3.39 281 77
Clay Chandler R 2027 · 4.97 FIP 23 SP- 4.97 18.3%6.0%4.8%.319 5.05 14.8%8.8%293 +0.08 4.82 328 77
John Matthews R 2027 · 4.88 FIP 23 SW 4.88 18.6%10.4%3.7%.351 4.67 15.5%1.6%145 -0.21 4.40 213 77
Clarke Schmidt R 2026 · 3.53 FIP 22 SP 3.53 23.1%8.5%2.4%.324 3.23 21.3%13.1%108 -0.30 2.76 537 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION73524.3%8.6%1.144.16
Ryan Tepera ('22)74824.7%8.8%1.123.53
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Daniel Hudson ('24)95225.5%8.9%1.133.75
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67