Daniel Gómez — OGILVIE

Daniel Gómez P DSL Cardinals

Age 18 RHP 6'1" / 184 lbs ROK peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%15.7%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	6	44	195	43	13	4	50%	3.7	15.0%	8.3%	6.7%	2.7%	5.11	4.40	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	6	44	195	43	13	4	50%	3.7	15.0%	8.3%	6.7%	2.7%	5.11	4.40	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	12	6	44	195	43	13	4	50%	3.7	22.1%	6.7%	15.4%	2.1%	5.11	3.21	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	10	37	160	37	12	4	91%	3.4	15.7%	9.4%	6.4%	3.5%	4.10	4.88	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	10	37	160	37	12	4	91%	3.4	15.7%	9.4%	6.4%	3.5%	4.10	4.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	STL	11	10	37	160	37	12	4	91%	3.4	23.1%	7.5%	15.6%	2.5%	4.10	3.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	9	9	42	176	30	16	5	100%	4.6	17.1%	9.2%	7.9%	2.9%	4.85	4.81	+0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	STL	4	4	20	84	14	8	2	100%	5.0	17.1%	9.2%	7.9%	2.9%	4.85	4.81	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	20	86	15	8	3	100%	5.1	17.1%	9.2%	7.9%	2.9%	4.85	4.43	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		42	42	200	844	147	78	29	100%	4.8	17.1%	9.2%	7.9%	2.9%	4.85	4.43	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		23	16	81	355	54	31	11	70%	3.5	15.3%	8.8%	6.5%	3.1%	4.65	4.61	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	39	200	873	134	77	27	70%	3.5	15.3%	8.8%	6.5%	3.1%	4.65	4.61	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Gómez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	15.7%	9.4%	3.0%	—	4.81	17.1%	7.9%	42	-0.18	—	—	—
Jose Cedeno R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	17	SP-	4.66	15.3%	9.7%	3.0%	.271	3.39	21.5%	12.9%	88	-1.27	2.80	123	90
Donny Troconis R 2023 · 5.31 FIP	17	SP-	5.31	16.0%	9.4%	4.3%	.293	5.06	14.9%	2.2%	180	-0.25	3.15	224	88
Jose Espada R 2015 · 4.42 FIP	18	SP-	4.42	15.5%	7.4%	3.1%	.234	5.09	9.6%	3.5%	53	+0.67	4.09	355	87
Tyler Driver R 2019 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP-	5.31	14.3%	8.3%	4.3%	.281	5.21	15.0%	2.0%	100	-0.10	5.17	180	87
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	87
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	86
Yohanse Morel R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	18	SP-	4.77	17.0%	10.0%	3.4%	.350	5.18	16.2%	2.7%	96	+0.41	3.33	263	86
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	85
Keiverson Ramírez R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	17	SP-	4.77	12.0%	5.9%	3.5%	.320	3.68	15.0%	6.1%	80	-1.09	2.96	120	84
Cesar Espinal R 2023 · 4.28 FIP	17	SP	4.28	17.0%	10.1%	2.4%	.303	6.16	16.1%	-4.2%	56	+1.88	4.28	109	84
Pedro González R 2018 · 4.40 FIP	18	SP-	4.40	17.0%	7.5%	3.2%	.292	5.01	13.0%	-2.7%	71	+0.61	4.06	285	83
Yeison Santana R 2015 · 4.65 FIP	18	SP-	4.65	14.3%	9.0%	2.9%	.352	2.50	19.8%	14.5%	78	-2.15	1.61	129	83
Regi Grace R 2019 · 3.92 FIP	19	SP	3.92	16.3%	11.2%	1.4%	.333	4.23	20.5%	8.8%	86	+0.31	3.44	224	83
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	83
Gary Gill Hill R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	18	SP	4.91	14.1%	12.2%	2.6%	.356	4.59	16.1%	9.8%	380	-0.32	4.32	417	83
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	82
Eric Prado R 2023 · 4.15 FIP	17	SP-	4.15	16.6%	11.5%	1.8%	.222	7.05	14.8%	-0.5%	90	+2.90	4.15	131	82
Joel Díaz R 2022 · 5.45 FIP	18	SP-	5.45	15.3%	11.9%	3.9%	.335	4.86	16.2%	8.2%	174	-0.59	1.98	328	82
Weskendry Espinosa R 2021 · 4.10 FIP	19	SP	4.10	11.4%	8.2%	1.7%	.310	3.93	14.9%	3.2%	91	-0.17	2.98	147	82
Anthony Escobar R 2019 · 4.44 FIP	18	SP-	4.44	15.1%	9.7%	2.5%	.263	5.33	14.2%	-3.5%	23	+0.89	3.07	122	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	16.6%	9.3%	1.14	4.90
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41