Keiverson Ramírez

Keiverson Ramírez P Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.9 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%18.5%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%9.4%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	8	40	170	30	8	4	73%	3.6	12.0%	5.9%	6.1%	3.5%	4.31	4.77	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	8	40	170	30	8	4	73%	3.6	12.0%	5.9%	6.1%	3.5%	4.31	4.77	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	11	8	40	170	30	8	4	73%	3.6	17.6%	4.7%	12.9%	2.4%	4.31	3.50	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	11	50	195	48	12	1	100%	4.5	16.7%	7.7%	9.0%	0.5%	1.62	2.96	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	11	50	195	48	12	1	100%	4.5	16.7%	7.7%	9.0%	0.5%	1.62	2.96	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	11	11	50	195	48	12	1	100%	4.5	24.6%	6.2%	18.5%	0.5%	1.62	2.16	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	6	41	187	29	18	3	46%	3.2	12.2%	10.8%	1.4%	2.6%	3.48	4.88	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	6	41	187	29	18	3	46%	3.2	12.2%	10.8%	1.4%	2.6%	3.48	4.88	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	6	41	187	29	18	3	46%	3.2	15.5%	9.6%	5.9%	1.6%	3.48	3.95	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	8	5	18	85	8	11	2	62%	2.3	—	—	—	—	8.35	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	8	5	18	85	8	11	2	62%	2.3	—	—	—	—	8.35	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	STL	5	3	8	40	5	6	1	60%	1.7	12.5%	15.0%	-2.5%	2.5%	9.72	5.32	—
2026	20	A RAW	STL	3	2	10	45	3	5	1	67%	3.3	6.7%	11.1%	-4.4%	2.2%	7.20	5.16	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	STL	10	10	47	199	39	18	6	100%	4.7	19.8%	8.8%	10.9%	2.9%	4.56	4.51	+0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	STL	10	10	50	209	44	18	6	100%	5.0	21.1%	8.4%	12.7%	2.8%	4.40	4.31	+0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	STL	10	10	52	217	48	18	6	100%	5.2	21.9%	8.1%	13.8%	2.8%	4.27	4.19	+0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	STL	9	9	53	223	50	18	6	100%	5.9	22.5%	7.9%	14.6%	2.8%	4.17	4.10	+0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	STL	9	9	54	226	52	18	6	100%	5.9	22.9%	7.8%	15.1%	2.7%	4.09	4.04	+0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	STL	9	9	54	226	52	18	6	100%	5.9	23.1%	7.8%	15.3%	2.7%	4.05	4.02	+0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	STL	9	9	53	223	51	17	6	100%	5.9	23.1%	7.8%	15.3%	2.8%	4.05	4.06	+0.5
2027	21	MLB CTX	STL	5	5	23	97	19	9	3	100%	4.6	19.8%	8.8%	10.9%	2.7%	4.45	4.40	+0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	STL	7	7	36	152	32	13	4	100%	5.1	21.1%	8.4%	12.7%	2.6%	4.29	4.20	+0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	STL	8	8	43	182	40	15	5	100%	5.4	21.9%	8.1%	13.8%	2.6%	4.16	4.08	+0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	STL	8	8	47	198	45	16	5	100%	5.9	22.5%	7.9%	14.6%	2.6%	4.06	3.99	+0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	STL	8	8	49	207	47	16	5	100%	6.1	22.9%	7.8%	15.1%	2.6%	3.98	3.93	+0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	STL	8	8	50	211	49	16	5	100%	6.2	23.1%	7.8%	15.3%	2.6%	3.94	3.91	+0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	STL	8	8	50	211	49	17	5	100%	6.2	23.1%	7.8%	15.3%	2.6%	3.94	3.95	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	53	299	1262	282	101	33	100%	5.6	22.3%	8.0%	14.3%	2.6%	4.08	3.65	+4.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	189	68	22	100%	5.6	22.3%	8.0%	14.3%	2.6%	4.08	3.65	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		43	30	149	637	84	56	14	70%	3.5	13.2%	8.8%	4.4%	2.2%	3.68	4.31	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	40	200	853	112	75	19	70%	3.5	13.2%	8.8%	4.4%	2.2%	3.68	4.31	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keiverson Ramírez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	18.5%	9.1%	2.9%	—	4.33	21.0%	12.5%	148	-0.35	—	—	—
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	85
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	84
Roger Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	20	SP-	5.15	16.4%	9.6%	4.0%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	128	83
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	83
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	83
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	83
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	82
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	82
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	82
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	82
Donny Troconis R 2023 · 5.31 FIP	17	SP-	5.31	16.0%	9.4%	4.3%	.293	5.06	14.9%	2.2%	180	-0.25	3.15	224	82
Adriel Gonzalez R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	20	SP-	4.21	14.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	117	82
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	82
Luis Cohen R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	20	SP-	4.11	17.2%	11.4%	1.9%	.263	4.98	14.1%	3.9%	247	+0.87	3.00	333	82
Donal Montas R 2022 · 5.29 FIP	20	SP-	5.29	17.3%	9.1%	4.5%	.217	5.03	10.2%	-3.8%	91	-0.26	4.10	156	81
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	81
Xiomer Guacache R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	16.3%	10.5%	2.5%	.255	5.09	13.0%	0.3%	120	+0.67	4.42	186	81
Ulices Campos R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	20	SP-	4.58	17.9%	11.5%	2.8%	.253	5.32	12.0%	1.0%	65	+0.74	4.11	153	81
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	80
Damian Mendoza R 2021 · 4.69 FIP	20	SP-	4.69	15.0%	10.3%	2.8%	.371	4.53	17.9%	7.7%	178	-0.16	2.73	314	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	48	21.9%	8.1%	1.08	4.25
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
JT Chargois ('24)	1.2	33	23.3%	9.3%	0.97	3.35
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59