Donny Troconis
P
Stockton Ports
Age 20
RHP
6'4" / 180 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.8 · 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.30
FIP5.30
K%14.2%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%2.3%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 12 | 8 | 44 | 187 | 44 | 14 | 6 | 67% | 3.7 | 16.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.09 | 5.22 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 12 | 8 | 44 | 187 | 44 | 14 | 6 | 67% | 3.7 | 23.5% | 7.5% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 4.09 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 12 | 8 | 42 | 212 | 45 | 19 | 5 | 67% | 3.5 | 14.4% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.80 | 5.88 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 12 | 8 | 42 | 212 | 45 | 19 | 5 | 67% | 3.5 | 21.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 6.80 | 3.86 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Stockton Ports | 11 | 9 | 51 | 196 | 39 | 17 | 0 | 82% | 4.6 | 14.7% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 1.24 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Stockton Ports | 11 | 9 | 51 | 196 | 39 | 17 | 0 | 82% | 4.6 | 19.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 1.24 | 2.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Stockton Ports | 15 | 10 | 55 | 264 | 52 | 34 | 11 | 67% | 3.6 | 14.6% | 15.2% | -0.6% | 5.4% | 7.24 | 6.77 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 33 | 140 | 20 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 14.2% | 11.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.2% | 11.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.27 | 5.27 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 88 | 404 | 72 | 51 | 15 | — | — | 17.8% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.51 | 6.21 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 35 | 147 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 37 | 155 | 27 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 4.90 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 38 | 160 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 39 | 164 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 39 | 166 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 39 | 166 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.51 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 39 | 164 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 20.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 38 | 159 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.08 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 27 | 114 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 4.87 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 32 | 135 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 4.71 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 4.60 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.53 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 44 | 44 | 256 | 1081 | 208 | 109 | 28 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 4.62 | 4.19 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 85 | 22 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 4.62 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 35 | 192 | 859 | 128 | 101 | 32 | 70% | 3.8 | 14.9% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 37 | 200 | 896 | 133 | 106 | 33 | 70% | 3.8 | 14.9% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Donny Troconis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 14.2% | 11.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.83 | 17.5% | 6.9% | 110 | -0.47 | — | — | — |
| Abel Duarte R 2027 · 4.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.84 | 12.5% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .306 | 3.93 | 13.9% | 6.7% | 79 | -0.91 | 3.19 | 127 | 89 |
| Jairo Garcia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.47 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .298 | 5.25 | 10.1% | -1.9% | 96 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 148 | 89 |
| Nolberto Henriquez R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.75 | 16.0% | 13.4% | 2.4% | .305 | 5.43 | 11.3% | -3.1% | 52 | +0.68 | 4.75 | 108 | 86 |
| Jeury Espinal R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.08 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 2.5% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 114 | 86 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.86 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 6.15 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +1.29 | 4.16 | 109 | 86 |
| Luis Cohen R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.14 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .263 | 4.99 | 13.7% | 3.4% | 225 | +0.85 | 3.00 | 310 | 85 |
| Osman Gutierrez R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.23 | 13.6% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .322 | 5.29 | 14.6% | 1.7% | 143 | +1.06 | 4.23 | 189 | 85 |
| Sal Biasi R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.68 | 16.0% | 12.6% | 2.5% | .230 | 5.55 | 18.5% | 5.0% | 109 | +0.87 | 4.68 | 188 | 85 |
| Christian Fernandez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 324 | 85 |
| Yondrei Rojas R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.36 | 14.0% | 11.2% | 1.9% | .312 | 4.32 | 20.8% | 9.4% | 106 | -0.04 | 2.72 | 223 | 84 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.94 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 5.61 | 14.5% | 1.7% | 63 | +0.67 | 4.38 | 190 | 84 |
| Henry Valencio R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.15 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .293 | 5.11 | 11.9% | -11.9% | 14 | +0.96 | 3.48 | 136 | 84 |
| Bryan Polanco R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.33 | 18.2% | 14.3% | 3.5% | .248 | 5.50 | 13.0% | 1.2% | 243 | +0.17 | 5.24 | 347 | 84 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2025 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 84 |
| Jeremiah Burke R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.88 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 2.9% | .330 | 3.83 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 34 | -1.05 | 3.83 | 137 | 84 |
| Yovanny Cabrera R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | .238 | 5.31 | 18.5% | 1.6% | 149 | +0.15 | 4.39 | 243 | 83 |
| Miguel Vinicio R 2025 · 5.69 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.69 | 13.8% | 14.2% | 3.5% | .327 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 1.4% | 47 | -1.71 | 3.63 | 164 | 83 |
| Erik Manoah Jr. R 2025 · 5.67 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.67 | 12.9% | 13.1% | 3.7% | .269 | 5.62 | 14.5% | -0.3% | 220 | -0.05 | 3.44 | 322 | 83 |
| Juan Gomez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.39 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .345 | 3.58 | 11.2% | -0.1% | 61 | -1.81 | 3.58 | 113 | 83 |
| Will Childers R 2028 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.30 | 11.8% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.22 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 143 | -1.08 | 3.50 | 202 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 37 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 1.04 | 4.74 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |