Stiven Cruz
P
Biloxi Shuckers
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143133vR 124
ERA5.50
FIP5.50
K%14.9%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%0.9%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 210 | 73 | 23 | 0 | 92% | 4.4 | 23.6% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 1.37 | 2.84 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 210 | 73 | 23 | 0 | 92% | 4.4 | 34.8% | 11.0% | 23.8% | 0.0% | 1.37 | 1.64 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 91 | 377 | 109 | 24 | 14 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 4.0% | 3.74 | 4.40 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 91 | 377 | 109 | 24 | 14 | 100% | 4.8 | 28.9% | 6.4% | 22.5% | 3.7% | 3.74 | 3.49 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 24 | 19 | 90 | 420 | 74 | 54 | 16 | 79% | 3.8 | 13.6% | 14.8% | -1.2% | 4.5% | 6.90 | 6.28 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 24 | 19 | 90 | 420 | 74 | 54 | 16 | 79% | 3.8 | 17.6% | 12.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.90 | 5.57 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 33 | 6 | 63 | 266 | 49 | 30 | 6 | 18% | 1.9 | 14.2% | 13.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.43 | 5.16 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 33 | 6 | 63 | 266 | 49 | 30 | 6 | 18% | 1.9 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 3.43 | 4.21 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 66 | 294 | 63 | 31 | 5 | 3% | 1.9 | 16.8% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 4.39 | 4.00 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 66 | 294 | 63 | 31 | 5 | 3% | 1.9 | 21.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 1.7% | 4.39 | 3.59 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 22 | 0 | 39 | 156 | 43 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.3% | 6.3% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 3.96 | 4.13 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 42 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.50 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.50 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 106 | 440 | 85 | 49 | 13 | — | — | 19.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.94 | 5.00 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 14.9% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 47 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.29 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 50 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.16 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 50 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.29 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.16 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 129 | 543 | 94 | 69 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 4.77 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 107 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 145 | 56 | 401 | 1723 | 310 | 199 | 52 | 39% | 2.8 | 18.0% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.69 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 28 | 200 | 859 | 154 | 99 | 26 | 39% | 2.8 | 18.0% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Stiven Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.50 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 2.7% | — | 5.15 | 17.2% | 4.5% | 203 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 87 |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 85 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 84 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 84 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 83 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 82 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 82 |
| Tyler Barnette R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.53 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .333 | 3.99 | 10.7% | -3.5% | 13 | -0.54 | 3.53 | 173 | 82 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2028 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 80 |
| Engert Garcia R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.35 | 15.9% | 16.8% | 0.9% | .311 | 5.88 | 12.9% | -14.3% | 26 | +1.53 | 3.06 | 125 | 80 |
| Kender Villegas R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 131 | 80 |
| James Pugliese R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 218 | 80 |
| Kyle Miller R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 12.1% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 164 | 80 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2029 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.95 | 14.5% | -0.5% | 70 | +0.55 | 4.40 | 213 | 79 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .300 | 4.85 | 13.9% | 3.6% | 164 | -0.60 | 3.93 | 419 | 79 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.55 | 14.3% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.02 | 23.6% | 13.6% | 126 | -0.53 | 3.16 | 377 | 79 |
| Kevin Johnson R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.59 | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.48 | 9.9% | -2.0% | 26 | +0.89 | 4.59 | 106 | 79 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 16.6% | 13.0% | 1.07 | 5.27 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |