Eric Prado — OGILVIE

Eric Prado P Wilson Warbirds

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 174 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%20.5%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	7	41	152	37	14	2	64%	3.7	16.6%	11.5%	5.0%	1.8%	1.54	4.15	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	7	41	152	37	14	2	64%	3.7	16.6%	11.5%	5.0%	1.8%	1.54	4.15	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	11	7	41	152	37	14	2	64%	3.7	24.3%	9.2%	15.1%	1.3%	1.54	2.95	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	6	44	199	38	17	10	46%	3.4	13.6%	10.1%	3.5%	6.4%	7.36	6.74	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	6	44	199	38	17	10	46%	3.4	13.6%	10.1%	3.5%	6.4%	7.36	6.74	—
2024	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	6	44	199	38	17	10	46%	3.4	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	5.0%	7.36	5.49	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	25	0	49	234	50	39	10	0%	1.9	15.8%	19.7%	-3.9%	5.6%	7.95	7.31	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	25	0	49	234	50	39	10	0%	1.9	15.8%	19.7%	-3.9%	5.6%	7.95	7.31	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	MIL	25	0	49	234	50	39	10	0%	1.9	21.4%	16.7%	4.7%	4.3%	7.95	5.75	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIL	48	0	50	212	45	20	6	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.5%	11.7%	3.0%	4.60	4.55	0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	50	0	53	222	49	20	7	0%	1.1	22.3%	8.9%	13.4%	2.9%	4.44	4.35	+0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIL	52	0	55	231	53	20	7	0%	1.1	23.1%	8.6%	14.5%	2.9%	4.30	4.21	+0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIL	53	0	56	236	56	20	7	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.3%	15.3%	2.9%	4.20	4.12	+0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIL	54	0	57	239	57	20	7	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.2%	15.8%	2.9%	4.12	4.07	+0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIL	54	0	57	239	58	20	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.2%	16.0%	2.9%	4.07	4.04	+0.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIL	53	0	56	236	57	19	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.2%	15.9%	2.9%	4.08	4.08	+0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIL	24	0	25	106	22	10	3	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.5%	11.7%	3.0%	4.60	4.55	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	36	0	38	160	36	14	5	0%	1.1	22.3%	8.9%	13.4%	2.9%	4.44	4.35	+0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIL	44	0	46	194	45	17	6	0%	1.0	23.1%	8.6%	14.5%	2.9%	4.30	4.21	+0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIL	48	0	50	211	50	18	6	0%	1.0	23.6%	8.3%	15.3%	2.9%	4.20	4.12	+0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIL	50	0	52	220	53	18	6	0%	1.0	24.0%	8.2%	15.8%	2.9%	4.12	4.07	+0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIL	50	0	53	224	54	18	6	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.2%	16.0%	2.9%	4.07	4.04	+0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIL	50	0	53	224	54	18	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.2%	15.9%	2.9%	4.08	4.08	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		302	0	317	1338	313	113	39	0%	1.0	23.4%	8.5%	15.0%	2.9%	4.22	3.79	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	71	25	0%	1.1	23.4%	8.5%	15.0%	2.9%	4.22	3.79	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		49	13	134	585	89	84	28	27%	2.7	15.3%	14.3%	0.9%	4.9%	5.79	6.29	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	19	200	875	134	125	43	27%	2.7	15.3%	14.3%	0.9%	4.9%	5.79	6.29	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eric Prado (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	20.5%	10.1%	3.1%	—	4.37	22.2%	13.2%	157	-0.35	—	—	—
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	89
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	86
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	86
Carlos Campos R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	20	SU	4.82	20.4%	10.7%	3.8%	.304	5.85	15.3%	8.1%	19	+1.03	4.82	134	85
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	84
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	84
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	84
Kai Wynyard R 2022 · 4.27 FIP	20	SU	4.27	21.1%	9.1%	3.3%	.269	4.12	16.5%	3.9%	138	-0.15	3.32	257	83
Jake Elliott R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	21	SU	3.82	19.2%	7.1%	2.6%	.353	3.81	18.1%	10.0%	202	-0.01	2.91	354	83
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	83
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	83
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	82
Reece Karalus R 2016 · 4.80 FIP	22	SU	4.80	18.5%	8.6%	4.0%	.298	4.81	14.8%	4.1%	103	+0.01	4.73	149	82
Osiris German R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.6%	8.7%	3.3%	.346	3.15	26.3%	15.5%	59	-1.11	3.11	187	81
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	81
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	81
Denis Reguillo R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	19	SW	5.27	17.6%	11.6%	4.0%	.358	5.19	10.7%	-8.3%	52	-0.08	3.78	109	81
Yeuris Jimenez R 2021 · 4.42 FIP	20	SU	4.42	16.3%	9.6%	2.7%	.290	4.24	18.1%	4.6%	162	-0.18	3.32	328	81
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	81
Scarlyn Lebron R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SU	3.59	19.1%	9.0%	1.8%	.250	4.95	15.1%	-1.2%	77	+1.36	3.59	136	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	51	23.1%	8.6%	1.13	4.28
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68