Scarlyn Lebron — OGILVIE

Scarlyn Lebron P ACL Cubs

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 178 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.44

FIP5.44

K%20.1%

BB%16.2%

K-BB%3.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	10	1	26	115	16	25	2	10%	2.6	9.5%	27.2%	-17.7%	1.6%	4.21	6.62	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	10	1	26	115	16	25	2	10%	2.6	13.9%	21.7%	-7.8%	1.7%	4.21	5.79	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	17	0	34	139	39	10	2	0%	2.0	19.1%	9.0%	10.1%	1.7%	2.41	3.59	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	17	0	34	139	39	10	2	0%	2.0	28.1%	7.2%	20.9%	1.4%	2.41	2.45	—
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	0	47	213	40	22	4	0%	2.0	13.9%	12.2%	1.7%	2.6%	6.36	4.87	—
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	0	47	213	40	22	4	0%	2.0	13.9%	12.2%	1.7%	2.6%	6.36	4.87	—
2023	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	0	47	213	40	22	4	0%	2.0	18.8%	10.3%	8.5%	1.9%	6.36	3.91	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	30	150	36	28	1	0%	1.4	16.9%	22.5%	-5.6%	1.0%	5.40	5.07	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	30	150	36	28	1	0%	1.4	16.9%	22.5%	-5.6%	1.0%	5.40	5.07	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	30	150	36	28	1	0%	1.4	24.0%	18.7%	5.3%	0.7%	5.40	3.93	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	CHC	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.1%	16.2%	3.9%	2.9%	5.44	5.44	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	26	0	27	115	24	16	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	14.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.19	5.10	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	CHC	11	0	12	51	11	7	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	14.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.19	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	10	7	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	14.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.19	4.72	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	120	17	0%	1.0	20.9%	14.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.19	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		72	1	136	617	92	103	11	1%	1.9	15.0%	16.8%	-1.8%	1.8%	4.76	4.95	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	1	200	907	136	152	16	1%	1.9	15.0%	16.8%	-1.8%	1.8%	4.76	4.95	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Scarlyn Lebron (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.44	20.1%	16.2%	2.9%	—	5.10	20.9%	6.8%	27	-0.34	—	—	—
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	85
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	85
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	85
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	84
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	84
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	84
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	84
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	84
Kasey Ford R 2022 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	21.3%	14.7%	3.6%	.302	3.83	22.2%	5.5%	65	-1.29	2.53	114	83
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	83
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	83
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	83
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	83
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	82
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	82
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	81