Alexandel Pio

SS DSL Pirates Gold

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Pirates G…	180	.184/.322/.313	4	19	6	—	.103/.209/.167
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	290	.185/.258/.264	3	8	49	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	81	.191/.265/.279	1	2	55	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	177	.196/.271/.292	3	5	61	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed59

ISO57

BB%47

Chase%29

wRC+18

wOBA15

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsPablo Aliendo (age 18) · Keiberg Camacaro (age 17) · Cristian Hernández (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 151 proj PA

wRC+49

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .256 / .261

PA151

HR1

K%35

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	180	147	27	7	0	4	27	73	3	19	0	184	322	313	635	129	315	41	15	294	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	180	156	16	4	0	2	18	89	3	19	0	103	209	167	376	64	190	49	10	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	180	156	16	4	0	2	18	89	3	19	0	103	209	167	376	64	206	49	10	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	180	147	27	7	0	4	27	73	3	19	0	184	322	313	635	129	315	41	15	294	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	180	157	16	4	0	2	18	89	3	19	0	102	209	166	375	64	190	49	10	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	180	157	16	4	0	2	18	89	3	19	0	102	209	166	375	64	190	49	10	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	290	262	49	9	2	3	23	103	3	8	1	185	258	264	521	79	288	36	8	240	49	-18	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	237	213	41	8	1	3	19	82	3	6	1	191	265	279	544	88	290	35	8	250	55	-13	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	366	329	64	12	2	5	29	124	5	10	2	196	271	292	564	96	292	34	8	258	61	-17	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	463	417	84	15	3	8	37	154	6	12	3	200	276	304	581	104	293	33	8	265	65	-19	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	531	476	98	18	3	10	43	173	7	14	3	204	280	315	595	110	294	33	8	270	69	-19	+2	+0	+6	+12	-0.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	578	518	107	20	3	11	47	185	8	15	4	208	284	324	607	116	295	32	8	275	73	-19	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	608	545	113	21	3	12	50	194	8	16	4	209	285	327	612	118	296	32	8	277	74	-19	+2	+0	+7	+13	0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	625	561	117	21	3	13	51	199	8	17	4	209	285	330	615	120	296	32	8	278	75	-19	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	633	568	120	22	3	14	52	202	8	17	4	210	286	331	617	122	295	32	8	279	75	-19	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	633	568	117	21	3	13	52	203	8	17	4	209	285	329	613	120	295	32	8	278	74	-20	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	62%	629	564	117	21	3	13	52	203	8	16	4	207	283	324	607	117	294	32	8	275	72	-21	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	63%	619	555	114	21	3	12	51	202	8	15	4	205	280	318	598	114	293	33	8	272	70	-22	+1	-1	+7	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	81	74	14	3	0	1	6	28	1	2	0	191	265	279	544	88	290	35	7	250	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	177	159	32	6	1	3	14	60	2	5	1	196	271	292	564	96	292	34	8	258	61	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	251	226	44	8	1	4	20	83	3	7	2	200	276	304	581	104	293	33	8	265	65	-10	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	301	269	55	10	2	5	25	98	4	8	2	204	280	315	595	110	294	33	8	270	69	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	333	299	62	11	2	7	27	106	4	9	2	208	284	324	607	116	295	32	8	275	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	347	311	65	12	2	7	28	111	5	9	2	209	285	327	612	118	296	32	8	277	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	354	317	66	12	2	7	29	113	5	9	2	209	285	330	615	120	296	32	8	278	75	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	358	321	68	12	2	8	29	114	5	9	2	210	286	331	617	122	295	32	8	279	75	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	379	340	71	13	2	8	31	121	5	10	2	209	285	329	613	120	295	32	8	278	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	62%	389	349	72	13	2	8	32	126	5	10	2	207	283	324	607	117	294	32	8	275	72	-13	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	63%	389	349	72	13	2	8	32	127	5	10	3	205	280	318	598	114	293	33	8	272	70	-14	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3359	3014	621	113	18	66	273	1087	44	88	20	206	282	321	603	115	295	32	8	273	68	-115	+10	-1	+36	+73	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	120	22	3	13	53	210	9	17	4	206	282	321	603	115	295	32	8	273	68	-22	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6253	5606	1133	209	31	117	513	2064	82	178	38	202	279	313	592	111	294	33	8	269	68	-216	+17	-2	+65	+132	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	118	22	3	12	53	215	9	19	4	202	279	312	591	110	295	33	8	269	68	-23	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.3	3,509	67	92	206	279	319	+38	+21	2.1	2.2
/162	664	13	17	+7.1	+4.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexandel Pio (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	183/256/261	78	288	1	4	35%	8%	49	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pablo Aliendo 2019 · A	18	41	36→50	54→45	38	190/251/263	73	299	3	12	35%	6%	47	-2.6	179/260/245	66	274	4	11	33%	8%	47	-2.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Cristian Hernández 2023 · A	19	40→48	38→45	51→60	39	192/252/263	71	298	6	14	36%	7%	47	-2.6	201/266/279	78	305	5	23	33%	8%	55	-1.9	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	35	35→45	50	45	168/242/229	61	241	3	16	30%	8%	36	-3.4	205/255/285	80	282	4	12	27%	5%	53	-2.1	205/252/286	81	285	3	12	28%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Javier Osorio 2023 · A	18	36	35→45	52→60	33	163/234/218	55	310	3	16	45%	6%	31	-3.7	185/260/278	93	293	7	20	37%	7%	54	-2.0	180/263/293	113	263	10	29	33%	8%	57	-0.5
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	35	36→55	47→40	42	171/238/236	65	267	3	6	35%	8%	36	-3.4	187/255/285	98	291	9	5	36%	8%	53	-2.1	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Freili Encarnacion 2023 · A	18	39→33	37→50	52→50	37	183/247/256	72	292	5	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	193/247/276	83	300	7	11	36%	4%	48	-2.5	184/237/297	113	271	13	10	36%	4%	47	-1.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Jhonny Severino 2023 · A	18	39→31	37→55	52→50	37	186/240/258	72	286	4	11	35%	6%	41	-3.0	195/244/329	134	266	15	12	32%	5%	59	-1.6	186/231/352	166	232	22	11	31%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Marcus Wilson 2015 · A	18	39→49	36→50	48→50	38	184/244/251	67	300	4	8	38%	7%	41	-3.0	204/270/284	80	317	5	10	34%	8%	59	-1.7	217/286/315	97	318	7	11	31%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Andres Regnault 2017 · A	18	35	35→45	50→45	42	164/241/219	54	269	2	6	37%	8%	34	-3.5	194/261/280	86	254	7	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	190/260/287	96	229	10	6	21%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Hans Montero 2022 · A	18	36→37	34→45	50→55	43	164/258/215	50	281	2	13	38%	9%	40	-3.1	166/262/235	69	267	5	16	36%	10%	47	-2.6	167/249/265	98	276	10	18	40%	9%	45	-1.4
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2024 · A	19	37→47	40→45	52→50	35	179/233/265	87	300	7	12	41%	6%	40	-3.0	190/239/290	100	317	10	14	41%	5%	48	-2.5	204/248/323	118	308	13	17	37%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6

Alexandel Pio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps