Yanfri Serrano

OF DSL Cubs Red

Age 18 L/L ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	189	.223/.375/.277	0	18	30	—	.146/.266/.184
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	299	.214/.291/.286	2	8	66	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	84	.218/.297/.301	1	2	72	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	180	.223/.302/.315	2	5	77	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%71

Chase%69

K%67

Speed58

Z-Con%57

Whiff%52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAngel Guzman (age 18) · Juan Villavicencio (age 18) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 159 proj PA

wRC+66

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .288 / .283

PA159

HR1

K%25

BB%9

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	189	148	33	6	1	0	35	34	1	18	5	223	375	277	652	54	277	18	19	307	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	189	158	23	4	1	0	25	41	1	18	5	146	266	184	450	38	178	22	13	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	189	158	23	4	1	0	25	41	1	18	5	146	266	184	450	38	189	22	13	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	189	148	33	6	1	0	35	34	1	18	5	223	375	277	652	54	277	18	19	307	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	189	161	23	4	1	0	25	41	1	18	5	143	266	180	446	37	178	22	13	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	189	161	23	4	1	0	25	41	1	18	5	143	266	180	446	37	178	22	13	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	299	268	57	9	2	2	27	75	2	8	1	214	291	286	577	72	286	25	9	265	66	-12	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	244	218	48	8	2	2	22	60	2	6	1	218	297	301	598	83	288	25	9	274	72	-8	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	372	331	74	12	3	4	34	91	4	10	2	223	302	315	617	92	290	24	9	282	77	-10	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	468	418	95	16	3	7	42	113	5	12	3	226	305	327	632	101	291	24	9	288	81	-11	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	535	475	110	18	4	9	49	128	6	14	4	229	308	337	645	108	292	24	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	581	517	119	20	4	10	53	138	6	15	4	231	310	346	656	114	293	24	9	297	87	-9	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	611	543	126	21	4	11	56	145	7	16	4	233	312	350	662	117	294	24	9	299	88	-8	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	625	556	130	22	4	12	57	149	7	16	4	234	312	353	665	119	294	24	9	300	89	-8	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.4
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	633	563	132	22	4	13	58	151	7	17	4	234	313	355	667	121	294	24	9	301	90	-8	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	633	563	131	22	4	12	58	151	7	16	4	233	312	352	664	119	294	24	9	300	89	-8	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	629	561	129	21	4	12	57	152	6	16	4	231	309	347	657	116	292	24	9	297	87	-10	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	619	552	126	21	4	11	56	151	6	15	4	228	307	341	647	113	291	24	9	293	85	-11	+1	-1	-4	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	84	75	17	3	1	1	8	21	1	2	0	218	297	301	598	83	288	25	10	274	72	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	180	160	35	6	1	2	16	44	2	5	1	223	302	315	617	92	290	24	9	282	77	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	254	226	51	8	2	4	23	61	3	7	2	226	305	327	632	101	291	24	9	288	81	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	303	269	62	10	2	5	28	73	3	8	2	229	308	337	645	108	292	24	9	293	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	335	298	69	12	2	6	30	80	4	9	2	231	310	346	656	114	293	24	9	297	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	348	309	71	12	2	6	32	83	4	9	2	233	312	350	662	117	294	24	9	299	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	354	315	73	12	2	7	32	84	4	9	2	234	312	353	665	119	294	24	9	300	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	358	318	74	12	2	7	33	85	4	9	2	234	313	355	667	121	294	24	9	301	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	351	312	72	12	2	7	32	84	4	9	2	233	312	352	664	119	294	24	9	300	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	307	71	12	2	7	31	83	4	9	2	231	309	347	657	116	292	24	9	297	87	-5	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	331	295	67	11	2	6	30	81	3	8	2	228	307	341	647	113	291	24	9	293	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3243	2884	662	110	20	58	295	779	36	84	19	230	309	342	651	112	292	24	9	295	83	-54	+9	-1	-19	+70	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	133	22	4	12	59	156	7	17	4	230	309	344	653	114	292	24	9	295	83	-11	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6298	5598	1273	212	42	104	581	1510	65	175	44	227	307	336	643	109	291	24	9	292	83	-108	+16	-2	-37	+132	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	131	22	4	11	60	156	7	18	5	227	307	336	643	109	289	24	9	292	83	-11	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Jack Rothrock'25-'37 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,719 PA	5.6	3,719	28	75	248*	313*	376*	-15	-14	2.5	4.0
/162	664	5	13	-2.7	-2.5	0.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,403	58	88	231	306	342	-20	+0	2.4	2.5
/162	664	11	17	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 3
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yanfri Serrano (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	212/288/283	71	286	1	4	25%	9%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Franchy Cordero 2013 · A	18	41→51	35→55	53→50	45	191/263/257	66	293	2	12	33%	9%	50	-2.3	201/249/273	72	312	4	13	35%	5%	47	-2.5	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	36→46	36→45	46→55	50	172/250/236	63	219	4	11	22%	8%	40	-3.0	203/255/297	94	259	5	11	22%	6%	55	-1.9	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	41→51	36→50	51→45	46	194/262/269	75	267	2	10	27%	8%	52	-2.2	233/298/320	87	326	5	6	27%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/323	89	323	6	4	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	39→49	35→45	51→50	49	181/267/242	60	233	1	15	21%	8%	49	-2.4	230/301/328	98	278	6	10	19%	7%	80	-0.1	252/334/373	121	281	11	9	14%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	38→48	36→45	52→50	52	175/254/238	63	212	3	16	18%	9%	42	-2.9	209/290/287	78	270	5	12	23%	9%	67	-1.1	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	44→52	36→40	52→50	49	201/280/270	69	241	3	17	17%	7%	60	-1.6	235/288/308	73	291	3	12	19%	5%	70	-0.8	236/286/309	73	301	3	13	21%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Alexander Ovalles 2019 · A	18	46→41	36→50	47→50	51	216/289/281	65	279	3	13	22%	9%	65	-1.2	229/289/333	104	297	6	8	23%	7%	76	-0.4	220/284/353	133	282	13	7	26%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Jean Ramirez 2019 · A	18	44→49	36→40	51→65	47	208/275/276	67	273	3	15	24%	8%	59	-1.7	204/271/266	62	260	4	22	21%	8%	55	-2.0	200/270/265	65	257	6	39	23%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	39	41→45	47→30	46	193/268/298	105	252	7	6	26%	8%	61	-1.5	208/273/298	90	262	5	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	229/293/323	94	294	8	2	24%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Wilder Dalis 2024 · A	18	42→51	35→45	51→55	44	199/258/257	57	266	2	15	25%	6%	47	-2.5	225/298/325	100	294	8	17	24%	9%	78	-0.3	235/311/365	130	312	13	19	27%	9%	91	+0.4

Yanfri Serrano

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps