Gabriel Porras

SS DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 18 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	201	.296/.455/.382	2	14	70	—	.200/.333/.248
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	311	.230/.314/.307	3	7	79	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLB—	109	.233/.319/.319	1	3	84	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLB—	231	.236/.322/.329	3	6	88	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%85

BB%82

K%81

Chase%81

wOBA79

wRC+74

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJaison Chourio (age 18) · Xavier Edwards (age 19) · Angel Genao (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+79

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .312 / .304

PA170

HR1

K%23

BB%10

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$65M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT63

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE75

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$29M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	152	45	5	1	2	41	30	4	14	3	296	455	382	836	86	350	15	20	384	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	165	33	3	1	1	29	37	4	14	3	200	333	248	582	48	238	18	14	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	165	33	3	1	1	29	37	4	14	3	200	333	248	582	48	246	18	14	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	152	45	5	1	2	41	30	4	14	3	296	455	382	836	86	350	15	20	384	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	166	33	3	1	1	29	37	4	14	3	199	333	247	580	48	238	18	14	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	166	33	3	1	1	29	37	4	14	3	199	333	247	580	48	238	18	14	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	311	275	63	9	2	3	30	73	3	7	1	230	314	307	621	77	300	23	10	286	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	43%	253	223	52	7	2	3	25	58	3	6	1	233	319	319	637	85	301	23	10	292	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	61%	379	334	79	11	3	5	37	87	5	9	3	236	322	329	651	93	302	23	10	298	88	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	68%	473	417	100	15	3	7	46	108	7	12	3	239	324	338	662	99	303	23	10	302	90	-5	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	71%	540	474	115	17	4	9	53	122	8	13	4	240	326	345	671	105	303	23	10	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	72%	585	515	125	19	4	10	57	132	8	15	4	242	327	351	678	110	303	23	10	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.7
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	72%	614	541	132	20	4	11	60	138	8	15	4	243	327	354	681	111	304	22	10	309	95	-4	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	71%	626	551	134	20	4	11	61	141	9	15	4	243	328	355	683	112	304	23	10	309	96	-3	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	71%	634	558	135	20	4	11	62	142	9	15	5	243	328	355	683	112	304	22	10	309	96	-3	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.9
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	70%	634	558	135	20	4	11	62	143	9	15	5	242	327	352	679	110	303	23	10	308	95	-4	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	69%	629	555	134	20	4	11	61	144	8	14	5	240	325	348	673	108	303	23	10	306	93	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.6
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	67%	619	546	130	19	4	10	60	143	8	13	5	238	322	342	664	104	302	23	10	302	91	-7	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.3
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	66%	609	538	127	19	4	9	58	143	8	12	5	235	319	335	654	99	301	23	10	298	88	-9	+0	-2	+7	+13	0.9
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	71%	594	526	121	18	3	8	56	141	7	11	6	232	315	325	640	94	298	24	9	292	84	-11	-0	-3	+6	+13	0.5
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	68%	576	510	115	16	3	7	54	140	7	9	8	227	309	313	622	87	295	24	9	285	79	-14	-1	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	43%	109	96	22	3	1	1	11	25	1	3	1	233	319	319	637	85	301	23	10	292	84	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	61%	231	203	49	7	2	3	23	53	3	6	2	236	322	329	651	93	302	23	10	298	88	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.5
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	68%	322	283	68	10	2	5	31	73	5	8	2	239	324	338	662	99	303	23	10	302	90	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	71%	384	339	82	12	3	6	37	87	5	10	3	240	326	345	671	105	303	23	10	305	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	72%	423	373	91	14	3	7	41	95	6	11	3	242	327	351	678	110	303	22	10	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.2
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	72%	439	387	94	14	3	8	43	99	6	11	3	243	327	354	681	111	304	23	10	309	95	-3	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	71%	446	394	95	14	3	8	43	100	6	11	3	243	328	355	683	112	304	22	10	309	96	-2	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	71%	450	397	96	14	3	8	44	101	6	11	3	243	328	355	683	112	304	22	10	309	96	-2	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	70%	441	389	94	14	3	8	43	100	6	11	3	242	327	352	679	110	303	23	10	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	69%	433	382	92	14	3	7	42	99	6	10	3	240	325	348	673	108	303	23	10	306	93	-4	+1	-0	+5	+9	1.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	67%	414	366	88	13	3	7	40	96	5	9	3	238	322	342	664	104	302	23	10	302	91	-5	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	66%	401	354	83	12	2	6	39	94	5	8	3	235	319	335	654	99	301	23	10	298	88	-6	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	71%	421	373	86	13	2	6	40	100	5	7	4	232	315	325	640	94	298	24	10	292	84	-8	-0	-2	+5	+9	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	68%	393	348	79	11	2	5	37	95	5	6	5	227	309	313	622	87	295	24	9	285	79	-10	-1	-2	+4	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5307	4684	1119	165	35	85	514	1217	70	122	41	239	323	344	667	105	303	23	10	303	90	-57	+8	-7	+57	+115	11.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	136	20	4	10	63	149	9	15	5	237	322	338	660	101	301	23	10	303	90	-7	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	8136	7160	1701	249	52	125	798	1859	110	192	66	238	323	339	663	102	302	23	10	301	90	-90	+10	-10	+85	+172	17.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	136	20	4	10	64	149	9	15	5	238	324	339	663	101	303	23	10	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Lyn Lary'29-'40 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,424 PA	8.2	5,424	38	162	241*	335*	368*	+54	-2	19.2	20.4
/162	664	5	20	+6.6	-0.2	2.4	pk7: 22
#3Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#4Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.2	5,476	85	124	239	320	343	+59	+30	15.6	13.1
/162	664	10	15	+7.1	+3.6	1.9	pk7: 11
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Porras (OGILVIE)	18	58→63	31→36	55→60	75	228/312/304	76	300	1	4	23%	10%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	45→55	37→40	53→55	62	208/315/286	78	255	3	15	18%	13%	77	-0.3	227/325/310	83	318	4	21	26%	12%	85	+0.2	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	47→55	35→40	53→50	61	215/316/281	66	255	2	19	15%	12%	76	-0.4	225/306/299	74	281	5	14	20%	10%	76	-0.4	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Luis De Leon 2024 · A	18	48	35→30	54→55	65	217/341/276	59	267	2	18	17%	14%	85	+0.2	201/296/256	55	316	3	16	33%	11%	63	-1.4	206/294/250	45	325	3	20	34%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→45	53→55	57	205/300/267	62	260	3	17	20%	11%	67	-1.1	222/307/301	79	287	4	15	22%	9%	77	-0.3	258/359/382	124	284	11	19	13%	13%	115	+2.4
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
●Vidal Bruján 2016 · A	18	46→56	36→45	50→65	58	210/291/278	68	229	3	17	10%	9%	65	-1.2	233/293/323	90	265	4	17	13%	7%	76	-0.4	252/312/364	113	300	8	43	18%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	47→52	41→50	52→45	54	220/296/329	109	252	6	14	15%	9%	78	-0.3	234/279/319	85	286	5	8	19%	5%	69	-0.9	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1

Gabriel Porras

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps