Luis De Leon2B ACL Padres
Age 20 S/R 5'8" / 155 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION191 act + 127 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .293 / .282
PA127
HR1
SB5
K%27
BB%9
BABIP294
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -18.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
0.00.81.60.30.60.91.01.11.10.9+$44M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $13M +$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Padres Gold 191155 39420 31325 194 252393303696 52317 1716 312 97
202317 ROKDSL Padres Gold 191140 41420 46235 194 293482350832 57350 1224 397 162
202418 ROKACL Padres 5345 1000 5371 21 2213722159 125 709 99 -66
202418 ROKACL Padres 5342 3000 8251 21 7123571307 176 4715 170 -11
202519 ROKACL Padres 243212 46211 24775 193 217311250561 33336 3210 262 59
202519 ROKACL Padres 243198 58322 38565 193 293419359778 66400 2316 360 134
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKSD 191166 33220 14656 125 199285235520 36314 347 240 42 -13 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.6
YTD20 ROKSD 191156 42330 24456 125 269387327714 58365 2413 327 108 +2 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.8
ROS20 ROKSD 0% 127113 24311 11352 52 212293282575 71291 279 261 58 -6 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.2
ROS20 MLBSD 0% 01 0000 000 00 288 245 46 +0 +0
FULL20 ROKSD 191167 33220 14656 125 198285234518 36311 347 240 42 -13 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.6
TOT20 ROKSD 318279 57531 251008 177 204288254542 50305 318 248 48 -19 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBSD 34% 330293 631023 29875 83 215297294590 78294 269 276 70 -11 +0 +0 +1 +9 -0.0
202822 MLBSD 48% 423375 841336 381097 103 224307323630 99295 269 286 77 -11 +1 +0 +2 +12 0.3
202923 MLBSD 54% 482428 961538 431238 124 224307329636 105296 269 292 82 -10 +1 +0 +2 +14 0.6
203024 MLBSD 55% 520460 1051649 471318 134 228311339650 111297 259 296 85 -9 +1 +0 +2 +15 0.9
203125 MLBSD 56% 541478 11017410 491369 134 230313345659 115297 259 298 86 -9 +1 +0 +2 +15 1.0
203226 MLBSD 56% 551487 11317411 501399 144 232315351666 119297 259 299 87 -8 +1 +0 +2 +16 1.1
203327 MLBSD 55% 553488 11317411 511409 144 232316350666 119296 259 299 87 -8 +1 +0 +2 +16 1.1
203428 MLBSD 55% 550485 11117410 511409 134 229314342656 113296 259 298 86 -9 +1 -1 +2 +16 0.9
202721 MLBSD 34% 113100 21311 10302 31 210295290585 80291 279 262 59 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
202822 MLBSD 48% 205182 40613 18533 52 220300313614 93292 269 271 66 -8 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.1
202923 MLBSD 54% 261232 52824 23664 62 224305328633 103292 259 277 71 -9 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.0
203024 MLBSD 55% 288255 58925 26735 72 227311337648 110293 259 281 73 -9 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.1
203125 MLBSD 56% 303268 60925 27765 72 224307328635 104293 259 283 75 -9 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.2
203226 MLBSD 56% 310274 631026 28785 82 230313347659 117293 259 283 75 -9 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.2
203327 MLBSD 55% 306270 61926 28775 82 226310341651 115293 259 284 75 -9 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.2
203428 MLBSD 55% 302266 60925 28775 72 226311331642 105292 259 283 74 -9 +1 -0 +1 +9 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 20881848 415631435 18853034 5115 225308331639 106293 259 280 72 -65 +4 -0 +7 +59 0.5
/ 162G 650575 12920411 5916511 165 224309330639 106293 259 280 72 -20 +1 -0 +2 +18 0.2
Career 45644019 9051313270 429118677 14240 225312326638 101300 269 290 80 -103 +12 -1 +16 +129 5.6
/ 162G 650572 13019510 6116911 206 227313330644 103303 269 290 80 -15 +2 -0 +2 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Padres Gold 191140 41420 46235 194 293482350832 57350 1224 397 162 +13 +2 +5 2.1
202418 ROKACL Padres 5342 3000 8251 21 7123571307 176 4715 170 -11 -7 +0 +2 -0.5
202519 ROKACL Padres 243198 58322 38565 193 293419359778 66400 2316 360 134 +9 +3 +7 1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#3Desi Relafordlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA
62,4433464246329356-1-75.15.1
/162664917-0.3-1.81.4pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,3373857227307334+8+53.13.2
/1626641116+2.4+1.40.9pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis De Leon (OGILVIE) 20 45 20 60 60 204/288/254 50305 117 31% 8% 48 -0.8
Candido Pimentel
2010 · A
20 48 36→30 54→55 51 223/302/295 72308 317 26% 10% 69 -0.4 217/280/273 56305 215 27% 8% 53 -1.5 241/290/2824133911727%6%55-0.5
Yonny Hernández
2018 · A
20 46→56 34→30 54→60 54 211/290/266 56248 120 15% 9% 57 -1.2 233/312/289 56299 125 20% 9% 72 -0.2 268/330/3265831931716%7%84+0.3
Leo Rivas
2018 · A
20 47→54 37→40 56→65 55 219/317/294 75290 319 23% 11% 77 +0.1 188/270/271 83290 610 34% 10% 50 -1.7 239/352/3359531894424%14%101+1.2
Junior Valera
2014 · A
21 47 36→40 58→60 48 218/284/296 79282 119 22% 8% 62 -0.9 228/289/317 89300 416 23% 8% 69 -0.4 245/306/3399431462322%8%78+0.1
Emmanuel Morel
2016 · A
19 45 35→30 53→55 49 207/286/270 62293 217 28% 9% 56 -1.3 187/257/246 59306 215 36% 8% 38 -2.6 139/207/1733425101741%7%-4-1.2
Roberto Caro
2014 · A
20 46→38 35→40 56→60 48 210/285/283 73287 116 25% 8% 59 -1.1 206/280/293 87292 318 28% 8% 59 -1.1 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
Francisco Aponte
2011 · A
20 51 34→30 52→60 53 234/311/288 54289 220 18% 9% 72 -0.2 217/282/279 62272 215 19% 8% 56 -1.3 200/241/2565624601018%5%30-1.1
Jorge Minyety
2010 · A
19 46 35→30 50 55 208/299/269 61275 114 22% 11% 63 -0.9 216/285/281 65304 29 27% 9% 59 -1.1 227/294/263363220427%9%53-0.3
Juan Mosquera
2008 · A
20 46 34→30 48→55 53 209/308/256 46299 117 27% 11% 63 -0.8 197/274/246 49265 211 24% 9% 45 -2.1 183/242/211282220916%7%19-1.0
Melvin Jimenez
2016 · A
20 50 35→30 53→45 51 230/296/292 63272 18 15% 8% 66 -0.6 220/280/270 50264 28 16% 7% 53 -1.5 215/274/233182530814%7%39-0.6
Kevin Encarnacion
2012 · A
20 45 36→40 56→55 51 210/281/283 74266 220 21% 8% 57 -1.2 217/294/314 97274 713 22% 9% 72 -0.2 222/296/3098827881122%8%66-0.2
Cole Miles
2007 · A
20 49→51 37→30 57→55 51 228/306/304 77292 419 22% 9% 74 -0.1 235/283/294 59292 315 19% 6% 59 -1.1 236/280/2895329331519%5%53-1.1
Jilbert Rosario
2015 · A
20 47 34→30 56→55 50 218/296/267 49280 222 21% 8% 60 -1.0 221/284/281 60293 216 23% 7% 58 -1.2 229/287/2744530202022%6%52-0.6
Jose Astudillo
2023 · A
19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
Carlos Willoughby
2008 · A
19 48→42 36→40 53→60 49 225/302/290 65279 317 19% 7% 69 -0.4 231/314/298 67298 228 21% 9% 76 +0.0 235/320/3077230313520%9%78+0.1
Luis Mendez
2013 · A
20 45 37→30 55→50 50 212/294/286 74264 415 20% 8% 65 -0.7 208/269/269 61278 213 24% 6% 49 -1.8 203/263/2555227221324%6%39-1.3
Pedro Toribio
2010 · A
20 42 36→40 55→60 47 199/265/272 73259 317 23% 8% 47 -1.9 229/276/321 92283 423 20% 6% 64 -0.8 258/292/37011230943117%4%81+0.1
Nasim Nuñez
2021 · A
20 41→49 35→30 57→65 47 191/265/249 58276 220 30% 9% 42 -2.3 209/294/259 50308 238 29% 10% 57 -1.2 210/286/2685827855625%9%54-1.0
Jeremy Arocho
2018 · A
19 43→46 38→30 53→60 41 203/260/286 83285 412 29% 6% 49 -1.8 223/283/291 68291 211 22% 7% 59 -1.1 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2
Jorky Infante
2011 · A
20 45 36→30 53→50 49 211/273/271 60263 513 21% 8% 50 -1.7 204/262/257 53254 211 19% 7% 42 -2.3 192/250/2273523601317%6%29-1.0