Luis De Leon

2B ACL Padres
Age 21 S/R 5'8" / 155 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2360ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKSD53.071/.235/.07102-45—.044/.157/.044
202519ROKSD243.293/.419/.35921965—.217/.311/.250
202620ROKSD210.268/.400/.33911452—.199/.293/.249
2027PROJMLE21MLBSD320.201/.280/.2702759-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBSD53.204/.283/.2851165-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBSD116.208/.287/.3002370-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Speed69
Z-Con%56
Whiff%49
wRC+46
BB%45
Chase%45
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsNoah Miller (age 21) · Candido Pimentel (age 21) · Nasim Nuñez (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .278 / .268
PA111
HR1
K%28
BB%9
ISO69
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Arb-1$0.2M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 191140 41420 46235 194 293482350832 57350 1224 397 84 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Padres — 5342 3000 8251 21 7123571307 176 4715 170 -45 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Padres — 243198 58322 38565 193 293419359778 66400 2316 360 65 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Padres — 210168 45331 31516 145 268400339739 71367 2415 339 52 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 191152 31310 34285 194 204366237603 33251 1518 292 84 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5345 2000 5361 21 4415744201 146 689 102 -45 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Padres — 243212 46211 24795 193 217311250561 33338 3310 264 65 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 210181 36221 18746 145 199293249541 50298 359 245 52 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 191152 31310 34285 194 204366237603 33250 1518 292 84 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 191140 41420 46235 194 293482350832 57350 1224 397 84 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5345 2000 5361 21 4415744201 222 689 102 -45 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Padres — 5342 3000 8251 21 7123571307 176 4715 170 -45 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Padres — 243212 46211 24795 193 217311250561 33341 3310 264 65 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Padres — 243198 58322 38565 193 293419359778 66400 2316 360 65 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 210181 36221 18746 145 199293249541 50318 359 245 52 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWACL Padres — 210168 45331 31516 145 268400339739 71367 2415 339 52 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 191150 31310 34285 194 207366240606 33251 1518 292 84 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5347 2000 5361 21 4315743199 146 689 102 -45 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Padres — 243212 46211 24795 193 217311250561 33338 3310 264 65 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 210184 36221 18746 145 196293245537 49298 359 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5347 2000 5361 21 4315743199 146 689 102 -45 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Padres — 243212 46211 24795 193 217311250561 33338 3310 264 65 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 210184 36221 18746 145 196293245537 49298 359 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLESD 0% 320286 57922 27904 72 201280270550 69281 288 255 59 -16 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLESD 34% 154138 29512 13422 41 207286290575 83283 278 265 65 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202923 MLB MLESD 48% 239213 45723 21653 61 212290305595 93285 279 272 70 -8 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.2
203024 MLB MLESD 53% 323288 621025 28864 82 215293316610 101286 279 278 74 -10 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
203125 MLB MLESD 55% 372332 721226 32995 92 218296324620 106286 279 282 77 -10 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.0
203226 MLB MLESD 56% 401358 781327 351055 102 219297329626 110286 269 284 79 -10 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.1
203327 MLB MLESD 55% 412368 791327 361095 103 218296327623 109286 269 283 78 -11 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.0
203428 MLB MLESD 55% 414370 791327 361105 93 216294322616 106285 279 280 76 -12 +1 -1 +1 +9 -0.2
203529 MLB MLESD 58% 407364 781327 351105 82 214291315606 102283 279 276 73 -13 +1 -1 +1 +9 -0.3
203630 MLB MLESD 60% 397356 751226 341084 72 210287307595 97281 279 272 70 -14 +1 -2 +1 +9 -0.6
202822 MLB CTXSD 34% 5347 9101 5151 10 204283285568 81278 289 262 65 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXSD 48% 116104 22312 10311 31 208287300587 92280 279 269 70 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXSD 53% 170151 33513 15452 41 212291312602 100281 269 275 74 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXSD 55% 204182 39614 18542 51 214293320613 105281 269 279 77 -6 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.0
203226 MLB CTXSD 56% 223199 43714 19593 51 216294325619 109281 269 281 79 -6 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.1
203327 MLB CTXSD 55% 227202 43714 20603 51 215293322615 108281 269 280 78 -6 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.0
203428 MLB CTXSD 55% 226201 43714 20603 51 213291318609 105280 279 277 76 -7 +1 -0 +1 +5 -0.1
203529 MLB CTXSD 58% 236211 44714 20643 51 211288311599 101278 278 273 73 -8 +1 -1 +1 +5 -0.2
203630 MLB CTXSD 60% 239214 45714 20653 41 207285303588 96276 278 269 70 -9 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16941511 32150830 14745321 378 212291316607 103281 279 275 71 -52 +4 -2 +6 +37 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 12319312 561748 143 212290317608 105280 279 275 71 -20 +2 -1 +2 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 39273477 7321082253 360108256 12732 211295300595 89287 289 273 71 -101 +7 -4 +12 +70 -1.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 1221849 601799 215 212296304600 92289 289 273 71 -20 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Padres · 210 PAwOBA .336 → .245 (−91)K% 24.3% → 35.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.29%÷1.000×1.440——34.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9958.81%
HBP% /PA2.86%—×0.720—×0.9952.05%
Singles /BIP32.48%÷1.000×0.820×1.016×0.99526.92%
Doubles /BIP2.56%÷1.000×0.720×1.016×0.9951.87%
Triples /BIP2.56%÷1.000×0.720×1.016×0.9951.87%
Home runs /BIP0.85%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.66%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .336 → .245; ISO .071 → .051; BABIP .367 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Padres · 243 PAwOBA .352 → .264 (−89)K% 23.0% → 32.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.05%÷1.023×1.440——32.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.64%÷0.990×0.620—×1.0089.87%
HBP% /PA2.06%—×0.720—×1.0081.49%
Singles /BIP35.92%÷1.010×0.820×1.050×1.00830.84%
Doubles /BIP2.11%÷1.045×0.720×1.050×1.0081.54%
Triples /BIP1.41%÷1.018×0.720×1.050×1.0081.05%
Home runs /BIP1.41%÷1.018×0.780—×1.0081.09%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 104, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .352 → .264; ISO .066 → .048; BABIP .400 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Padres · 53 PAwOBA .168 → .102 (−65)K% 47.2% → 68.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA47.17%÷0.990×1.440——68.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.09%÷1.002×0.620—×1.0229.55%
HBP% /PA1.89%—×0.720—×1.0221.39%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.014×0.820—×1.02214.60%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.042×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.970×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.892×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 94, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .168 → .102; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .176 → .146. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 191 PAwOBA .389 → .292 (−97)K% 12.0% → 14.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.04%÷1.015×1.220——14.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.08%÷0.968×0.700—×1.02217.81%
HBP% /PA2.62%—×0.700—×1.0221.87%
Singles /BIP29.91%÷0.971×0.680×1.013×1.02221.72%
Doubles /BIP3.42%÷0.926×0.600×1.013×1.0222.29%
Triples /BIP1.71%÷0.999×0.600×1.013×1.0221.06%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.083×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 94, 2B 85, 3B 100, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .389 → .292; ISO .057 → .040; BABIP .350 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).