Maick Collado
SS Lake County Captains| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+CLE | 388 | .218/.346/.318 | 7 | 2 | 58 | — | .193/.292/.267 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+CLE | 320 | .249/.313/.332 | 3 | 2 | 43 | — | .205/.253/.263 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA/AA/A+CLE | 294 | .274/.338/.409 | 6 | 3 | 76 | — | .244/.289/.352 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBCLE | 1 | .223/.276/.318 | 0 | 0 | 67 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBCLE | 71 | .226/.280/.329 | 1 | 1 | 71 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBCLE | 126 | .227/.283/.335 | 2 | 1 | 74 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians Blue | — | 144 | 110 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 397 | 318 | 715 | 91 | 270 | 16 | 19 | 335 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 153 | 126 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 310 | 428 | 429 | 856 | 119 | 366 | 16 | 16 | 387 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 297 | 244 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 43 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 279 | 382 | 348 | 731 | 70 | 316 | 14 | 14 | 325 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 388 | 321 | 70 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 56 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 346 | 318 | 664 | 100 | 245 | 16 | 14 | 309 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 320 | 289 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 313 | 332 | 645 | 83 | 285 | 15 | 8 | 291 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 47 | 43 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 326 | 356 | 558 | 914 | 233 | 342 | 11 | 4 | 381 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 111 | 95 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 368 | 702 | 105 | 277 | 14 | 8 | 302 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 136 | 121 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 336 | 388 | 724 | 124 | 312 | 20 | 9 | 323 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians Blue | — | 144 | 119 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 151 | 284 | 218 | 502 | 67 | 167 | 19 | 12 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 153 | 135 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 309 | 311 | 620 | 89 | 275 | 22 | 10 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 297 | 257 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 60 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 257 | 330 | 319 | 649 | 62 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 388 | 337 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 76 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 193 | 292 | 267 | 559 | 74 | 225 | 20 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 320 | 297 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 253 | 263 | 516 | 57 | 241 | 18 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 47 | 44 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 311 | 500 | 811 | 205 | 312 | 13 | 2 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 111 | 98 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 314 | 367 | 682 | 102 | 266 | 16 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 136 | 125 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 261 | 288 | 549 | 80 | 261 | 25 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians Blue | — | 144 | 119 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 151 | 284 | 218 | 502 | 67 | 181 | 19 | 12 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians Blue | — | 144 | 110 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 397 | 318 | 715 | 91 | 270 | 16 | 19 | 335 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 153 | 135 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 309 | 311 | 620 | 89 | 280 | 22 | 10 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Guardians | — | 153 | 126 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 310 | 428 | 429 | 856 | 119 | 366 | 16 | 16 | 387 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 297 | 257 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 60 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 257 | 330 | 319 | 649 | 62 | 312 | 20 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 297 | 244 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 43 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 279 | 382 | 348 | 731 | 70 | 316 | 14 | 14 | 325 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 388 | 337 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 76 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 193 | 292 | 267 | 559 | 74 | 231 | 20 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 388 | 321 | 70 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 56 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 346 | 318 | 664 | 100 | 245 | 16 | 14 | 309 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 320 | 297 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 253 | 263 | 516 | 57 | 247 | 18 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 320 | 289 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 313 | 332 | 645 | 83 | 285 | 15 | 8 | 291 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 294 | 266 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 59 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 248 | 296 | 361 | 657 | 113 | 290 | 20 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 294 | 259 | 71 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 274 | 338 | 409 | 747 | 135 | 304 | 16 | 8 | 324 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians Blue | — | 144 | 121 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 284 | 215 | 499 | 66 | 167 | 19 | 12 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 153 | 135 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 309 | 311 | 620 | 89 | 275 | 22 | 10 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 297 | 267 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 60 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 247 | 330 | 307 | 637 | 60 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 388 | 338 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 76 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 192 | 292 | 266 | 558 | 74 | 225 | 20 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 320 | 298 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 253 | 262 | 515 | 57 | 241 | 18 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 294 | 274 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 59 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 296 | 350 | 646 | 109 | 271 | 20 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 388 | 338 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 76 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 192 | 292 | 266 | 558 | 74 | 225 | 20 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 320 | 298 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 253 | 262 | 515 | 57 | 241 | 18 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 294 | 274 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 59 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 296 | 350 | 646 | 109 | 271 | 20 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | CLE | 0% | 344 | 318 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 67 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 275 | 317 | 593 | 95 | 265 | 19 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | CLE | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 276 | 318 | 594 | 95 | 266 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 67 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 30% | 235 | 216 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 280 | 328 | 608 | 103 | 266 | 20 | 6 | 273 | 71 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 44% | 285 | 263 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 282 | 334 | 616 | 108 | 267 | 20 | 6 | 277 | 74 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 49% | 303 | 278 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 60 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 283 | 335 | 618 | 109 | 268 | 20 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 52% | 315 | 289 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 283 | 335 | 618 | 109 | 269 | 20 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 51% | 310 | 284 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 282 | 332 | 615 | 108 | 269 | 21 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -10 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 51% | 305 | 280 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 64 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 279 | 325 | 604 | 103 | 267 | 21 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 30% | 71 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 280 | 329 | 609 | 103 | 267 | 20 | 6 | 274 | 71 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 44% | 126 | 116 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 283 | 335 | 617 | 107 | 268 | 20 | 6 | 277 | 74 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 49% | 149 | 137 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 284 | 336 | 620 | 109 | 269 | 20 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 52% | 162 | 149 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 284 | 335 | 619 | 109 | 269 | 20 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 51% | 160 | 147 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 283 | 333 | 616 | 108 | 270 | 21 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 51% | 157 | 145 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 103 | 268 | 21 | 6 | 273 | 70 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 825 | 761 | 171 | 35 | 0 | 15 | 54 | 168 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 225 | 280 | 330 | 610 | 105 | 268 | 20 | 7 | 276 | 68 | -27 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +18 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 135 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 132 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 282 | 332 | 613 | 107 | 267 | 20 | 7 | 276 | 68 | -21 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3539 | 3196 | 710 | 135 | 9 | 49 | 262 | 706 | 29 | 35 | 10 | 222 | 287 | 316 | 603 | 94 | 266 | 20 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -64 | +0 | -4 | +21 | +42 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 131 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 48 | 130 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 223 | 287 | 319 | 606 | 95 | 268 | 20 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -21 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Lake County Captains · 136 PAwOBA .319 → .253 (−66)K% 19.9% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.52% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .319 → .253; ISO .124 → .095; BABIP .312 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAkron RubberDucks · 111 PAwOBA .308 → .288 (−20)K% 13.5% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 23.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .308 → .288; ISO .105 → .092; BABIP .277 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 47 PAwOBA .378 → .343 (−35)K% 10.6% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 15.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 16.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.93% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .378 → .343; ISO .233 → .201; BABIP .342 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lake County Captains · 320 PAwOBA .285 → .232 (−54)K% 14.7% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.69% | ÷1.020 | ×1.270 | — | — | 18.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 20.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.37% | ÷1.138 | ×0.810 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 3.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.952 | ×0.850 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.011 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.98% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .285 → .232; ISO .083 → .062; BABIP .285 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lake County Captains · 388 PAwOBA .304 → .254 (−50)K% 15.7% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.72% | ÷1.023 | ×1.270 | — | — | 19.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.18% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 10.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 18.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.23% | ÷0.978 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.850 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.69% | ÷1.190 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.83% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .304 → .254; ISO .100 → .075; BABIP .245 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALynchburg Hillcats · 297 PAwOBA .331 → .292 (−39)K% 14.5% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.48% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.80% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.87% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 25.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.017 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 96, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .331 → .292; ISO .070 → .064; BABIP .316 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Guardians · 153 PAwOBA .381 → .272 (−108)K% 15.7% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.69% | ÷1.019 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.69% | ÷1.013 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.45% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 21.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.076 | ×0.720 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.915 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.66% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 100, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .381 → .272; ISO .119 → .087; BABIP .366 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Indians Blue · 144 PAwOBA .332 → .226 (−106)K% 16.0% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.97% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.06% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 12.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.010 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 13.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.75% | ÷0.967 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 3.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.943 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.57% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 109, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .332 → .226; ISO .091 → .054; BABIP .270 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).