Javier Sanchez

C ACL Rangers

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKTEX	135	.237/.356/.316	2	0	43	—	.182/.267/.223
2026	18	ROKTEX	74	.250/.500/.312	1	1	90	—	.204/.403/.259
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBTEX	184	.217/.300/.306	2	3	74	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTEX	55	.222/.306/.322	1	1	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTEX	146	.226/.310/.334	3	3	84	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%90

wRC+80

wOBA76

K%56

Whiff%49

Z-Con%48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsJesus Rodriguez (age 19) · Michael Arroyo (age 19) · Jeferson Quero (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .298 / .303

PA70

HR1

K%24

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$39M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	124	36	9	1	1	29	19	9	3	1	290	457	403	860	113	333	12	18	397	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	135	114	27	3	0	2	15	22	6	0	0	237	356	316	671	79	278	16	11	317	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	74	48	12	0	0	1	17	15	7	1	0	250	500	312	812	62	324	20	23	392	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	132	25	6	1	0	21	23	9	3	1	189	340	250	590	61	222	14	13	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	135	121	22	2	0	1	8	32	6	0	0	182	267	223	490	41	240	24	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	74	54	11	0	0	1	11	22	7	1	0	204	403	259	662	56	267	30	15	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	132	25	6	1	0	21	23	9	3	1	189	340	250	590	61	227	14	13	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	124	36	9	1	1	29	19	9	3	1	290	457	403	860	113	333	12	18	397	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	135	121	22	2	0	1	8	32	6	0	0	182	267	223	490	41	239	24	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	135	114	27	3	0	2	15	22	6	0	0	237	356	316	671	79	278	16	11	317	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	74	54	11	0	0	1	11	22	7	1	0	204	403	259	662	56	303	30	15	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	74	48	12	0	0	1	17	15	7	1	0	250	500	312	812	62	324	20	23	392	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	132	25	6	1	0	21	23	9	3	1	189	340	250	590	61	222	14	13	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	135	120	22	2	0	1	8	32	6	0	0	183	267	225	492	42	240	24	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	74	56	11	0	0	1	11	22	7	1	0	196	403	250	653	54	267	30	15	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	132	25	6	1	0	21	23	9	3	1	189	340	250	590	61	222	14	13	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	135	120	22	2	0	1	8	32	6	0	0	183	267	225	492	42	240	24	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	74	56	11	0	0	1	11	22	7	1	0	196	403	250	653	54	267	30	15	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	184	162	35	6	1	2	16	45	4	3	1	217	300	306	606	88	283	24	9	278	74	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	161	143	31	5	1	2	14	39	3	3	1	222	305	320	625	98	285	24	9	286	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	302	267	61	10	2	5	26	72	6	5	2	225	309	331	640	106	286	24	9	292	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	406	360	82	14	2	7	35	95	8	7	3	228	311	340	651	112	287	23	9	296	87	-7	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	476	422	97	16	3	9	41	111	10	9	3	230	313	347	660	116	288	23	9	299	89	-6	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	520	460	107	18	3	10	45	121	10	9	4	232	315	352	667	120	289	23	9	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	520	460	107	18	3	10	45	121	10	9	4	232	315	353	667	120	289	23	9	302	91	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	520	460	106	18	3	10	45	121	10	9	4	232	315	352	667	120	289	23	9	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	520	460	106	18	3	10	45	121	10	9	4	231	314	349	663	118	289	23	9	300	89	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	520	460	106	18	3	10	45	122	10	8	4	229	312	344	656	115	287	23	9	298	88	-8	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	520	460	105	17	3	10	45	124	10	7	4	227	309	338	647	111	286	24	9	294	85	-9	-0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	520	460	103	17	3	9	45	126	10	7	5	223	305	330	635	107	284	24	9	289	82	-11	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	TEX	62%	504	447	98	16	2	8	43	124	9	5	6	219	300	320	620	101	281	25	9	283	78	-13	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	488	436	93	15	2	7	41	122	8	5	13	214	294	307	601	94	277	25	8	275	73	-16	-4	-4	+9	+11	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	55	49	11	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	222	306	322	628	100	285	24	9	287	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	146	129	30	5	1	3	13	35	3	3	1	226	310	334	644	108	286	24	9	293	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	220	194	44	7	1	4	19	52	5	4	2	229	312	344	656	115	287	24	9	298	87	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	269	239	56	9	2	6	23	63	5	5	2	231	314	351	665	120	288	23	9	301	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	294	260	61	10	2	6	26	68	6	5	2	233	315	356	672	123	289	23	9	304	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	294	260	61	10	2	6	26	68	6	5	2	233	316	357	673	124	289	23	9	304	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	294	260	61	10	2	6	26	68	6	5	2	233	315	357	672	124	289	23	9	304	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	288	255	60	10	2	6	25	67	6	5	2	232	314	354	668	122	288	23	9	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	285	253	58	9	2	6	25	67	5	4	2	230	312	349	661	119	287	24	9	300	88	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	302	267	62	10	2	6	26	72	6	4	2	227	309	342	651	115	286	24	9	296	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	313	277	63	10	2	6	27	76	6	4	3	224	306	334	639	110	284	24	9	291	82	-7	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	TEX	62%	311	276	60	10	1	5	26	76	6	3	4	220	301	323	624	103	281	24	8	285	78	-8	-1	-2	+6	+7	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	306	272	58	9	1	5	26	76	5	3	8	214	294	310	605	96	277	25	8	277	73	-10	-3	-2	+5	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3377	2991	685	111	20	66	293	801	66	51	32	229	312	346	657	117	289	24	9	296	84	-60	-3	-6	+60	+73	6.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	132	21	4	13	56	154	13	10	6	229	312	347	659	118	289	24	9	296	84	-11	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6419	5665	1273	210	34	110	561	1513	137	97	58	225	310	332	642	107	285	24	9	292	84	-107	-4	-10	+108	+131	12.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	128	21	3	11	57	153	14	10	6	223	309	328	637	105	283	24	9	292	84	-11	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,449	62	53	228	306	339	+62	+32	9.2	8.0
/162	664	12	10	+11.9	+6.2	1.8	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Sanchez (OGILVIE)	19	43→48	35→40	43→48	58	215/298/303	88	283	1	1	24%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	47→57	41→40	48→50	48	226/294/329	103	270	7	6	19%	7%	78	-0.3	206/264/285	79	270	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Jancel Villarroel 2024 · A	19	46	40→45	44→50	53	218/308/313	95	272	6	8	21%	10%	80	-0.1	214/289/309	95	287	8	11	26%	7%	72	-0.7	215/287/315	100	285	9	11	26%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Christian Arroyo 2014 · A	19	49→58	40→50	49→45	44	233/282/342	109	300	5	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	240/274/341	101	305	7	4	23%	4%	72	-0.7	254/305/408	153	304	17	7	22%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Alexander Albertus 2024 · A	19	49	41→45	47→45	61	232/339/328	96	275	9	11	18%	13%	95	+1.0	228/315/321	93	292	7	9	22%	10%	84	+0.2	225/311/319	93	294	7	6	24%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕George Lombard Jr. 2024 · A	19	51→48	39→45	48→55	49	232/311/316	85	335	6	12	30%	10%	81	-0.1	208/291/311	103	304	8	22	31%	9%	74	-0.6	208/297/325	117	296	10	23	30%	10%	77	-0.3
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	212/278/299	87	312	7	9	32%	8%	65	-1.2	240/287/333	93	302	8	17	22%	5%	76	-0.4	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7

Javier Sanchez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps