Javier Sanchez

C ACL Rangers
Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#617ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202416ROKDSL Rangers B…163.290/.457/.4031374—.189/.340/.250
202517ROKTEX135.237/.356/.3162043—.182/.267/.223
202618ROKTEX74.250/.500/.3121190—.204/.403/.259
2027PROJMLE19MLBTEX184.217/.300/.30623740.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBTEX34.222/.306/.32211800.1
2029PROJ48% MLB21MLBTEX94.226/.310/.33422840.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%90
wRC+80
wOBA76
K%56
Whiff%49
Z-Con%48
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%
CompsJesus Rodriguez (age 19) · Michael Arroyo (age 19) · Jeferson Quero (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .298 / .303
PA43
HR1
K%24
BB%8
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.60.70.70.80.80.70.50.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT48
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE58
scouting grade only
SPEED48
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2036Arb-1$3M+0.7$1M+$0.4M
2037Arb-2$4M+0.5$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$4M+0.3$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $5M $8M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202416 ROKDSL Rangers Blue — 163124 36911 29199 31 290457403860 113333 1218 397 74 — — — — — —
202517 ROKACL Rangers — 135114 27302 15226 00 237356316671 79278 1611 317 43 — — — — — —
202618 ROKACL Rangers — 7448 12001 17157 10 250500312812 62324 2023 392 90 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 163132 25610 21239 31 189340250590 61222 1413 278 74 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 135121 22201 8326 00 182267223490 41240 246 232 43 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 7454 11001 11227 10 204403259662 56267 3015 301 90 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 163132 25610 21239 31 189340250590 61227 1413 278 74 — — — — — —
202416 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Blue — 163124 36911 29199 31 290457403860 113333 1218 397 74 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 135121 22201 8326 00 182267223490 41239 246 232 43 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 135114 27302 15226 00 237356316671 79278 1611 317 43 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 7454 11001 11227 10 204403259662 56303 3015 301 90 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 7448 12001 17157 10 250500312812 62324 2023 392 90 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 163132 25610 21239 31 189340250590 61222 1413 278 74 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 135120 22201 8326 00 183267225492 42240 246 232 43 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 7456 11001 11227 10 196403250653 54267 3015 301 90 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 163132 25610 21239 31 189340250590 61222 1413 278 74 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 135120 22201 8326 00 183267225492 42240 246 232 43 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 7456 11001 11227 10 196403250653 54267 3015 301 90 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLETEX 0% 184162 35612 16454 31 217300306606 88283 249 278 74 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLETEX 34% 10089 19311 9242 21 222305320625 98285 249 286 80 -2 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.2
202921 MLB MLETEX 48% 193170 38613 17464 31 225309331640 106286 249 292 84 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.4
203022 MLB MLETEX 54% 303268 611025 26716 52 228311340651 112287 239 296 87 -5 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.7
203123 MLB MLETEX 57% 391346 791327 34918 73 230313347660 116288 239 299 89 -5 +0 +0 +7 +8 1.1
203224 MLB MLETEX 57% 445394 921539 391039 83 232315352667 120289 239 302 90 -5 +0 +0 +8 +10 1.3
203325 MLB MLETEX 57% 445394 921539 391039 83 232315353667 120289 239 302 91 -5 +0 +0 +8 +10 1.3
203426 MLB MLETEX 60% 445394 921539 391039 83 232315352667 120289 239 302 90 -5 +0 +0 +8 +10 1.3
203527 MLB MLETEX 62% 445394 901529 391049 83 231314349663 118289 239 300 89 -6 +0 +0 +8 +10 1.3
203628 MLB MLETEX 63% 445395 901529 391058 73 229312344656 115287 249 298 88 -7 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.1
203729 MLB MLETEX 64% 445395 891528 391068 63 227309338647 111286 249 294 85 -8 +0 -1 +8 +10 0.8
203830 MLB MLETEX 65% 445396 891528 381078 64 223305330635 107284 249 289 82 -10 -0 -2 +8 +10 0.6
203931 MLB MLETEX 65% 426379 831427 361058 55 219300320620 101281 258 283 78 -11 -1 -3 +8 +9 0.2
204032 MLB MLETEX 65% 406362 771226 341017 411 214294307601 94277 258 275 73 -13 -4 -4 +7 +9 -0.4
202820 MLB CTXTEX 34% 3430 7101 381 10 222306322628 100285 249 287 80 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
202921 MLB CTXTEX 48% 9484 20312 8222 21 226310334644 108286 239 293 84 -2 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.2
203022 MLB CTXTEX 54% 164146 33513 14383 31 229312344656 115287 239 298 87 -3 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.4
203123 MLB CTXTEX 57% 221196 45715 19524 42 231314351665 120288 249 301 89 -3 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.6
203224 MLB CTXTEX 57% 252223 51815 22585 42 233315356672 123289 239 304 90 -3 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.7
203325 MLB CTXTEX 57% 251222 51815 22585 42 233316357673 124289 239 304 91 -3 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.7
203426 MLB CTXTEX 60% 268238 56926 23625 52 233315357672 124289 239 304 90 -3 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.8
203527 MLB CTXTEX 62% 276245 57926 24645 52 232314354668 122288 239 302 89 -3 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.8
203628 MLB CTXTEX 63% 281250 58926 24665 42 230312349661 119287 239 300 88 -4 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.7
203729 MLB CTXTEX 64% 284252 57916 25685 42 227309342651 115286 249 296 85 -5 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.5
203830 MLB CTXTEX 65% 289257 57915 25705 43 224306334639 110284 249 291 82 -6 -0 -1 +5 +6 0.3
203931 MLB CTXTEX 65% 277246 55915 24685 34 220301323624 103281 259 285 78 -7 -1 -2 +5 +6 0.1
204032 MLB CTXTEX 65% 264235 50814 22665 37 214294310605 96277 258 277 73 -9 -2 -2 +5 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 29552624 597941559 25570055 4630 228309342651 115287 249 296 84 -52 -3 -7 +53 +64 5.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 13121313 5615412 107 227308341649 114286 249 296 84 -11 -1 -1 +12 +14 1.2
Career— MLE — 53494721 10571722893 4721256118 8246 224310331641 107284 239 292 84 -87 -2 -10 +89 +108 9.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650574 12821311 5715314 106 223308328636 105283 249 292 84 -11 -0 -1 +12 +14 1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Rangers · 74 PAwOBA .395 → .301 (−95)K% 20.3% → 29.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.27%÷1.000×1.440——29.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.97%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00814.35%
HBP% /PA9.46%—×0.720—×1.0086.86%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.820—×1.00827.54%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0082.38%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .395 → .301; ISO .062 → .055; BABIP .324 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Rangers · 135 PAwOBA .304 → .232 (−72)K% 16.3% → 23.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.30%÷0.981×1.440——23.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.63%÷1.016×0.620—×1.0226.01%
HBP% /PA4.44%—×0.720—×1.0223.27%
Singles /BIP23.91%÷0.991×0.820×1.050×1.02221.24%
Doubles /BIP3.26%÷1.017×0.720×1.050×1.0222.48%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.138×0.720×1.050×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷1.302×0.780—×1.0221.33%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .304 → .232; ISO .079 → .051; BABIP .278 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 163 PAwOBA .389 → .278 (−111)K% 11.7% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.66%÷0.988×1.220——14.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.18%÷0.955×0.700—×1.02212.87%
HBP% /PA5.52%—×0.700—×1.0223.95%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷1.017×0.680×1.009×1.02216.42%
Doubles /BIP8.57%÷0.986×0.600×1.009×1.0225.38%
Triples /BIP0.95%÷1.150×0.600×1.009×1.0220.51%
Home runs /BIP0.95%÷1.059×0.470—×1.0220.43%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .389 → .278; ISO .113 → .070; BABIP .333 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).