Javier Sanchez — OGILVIE

Javier SanchezC ACL Rangers

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 49 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .324 / .307

PA49

HR1

K%24

BB%10

BABIP273

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$13M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.6	$12M	+$12M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.6	$11M	+$11M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$11M	+$9M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+2.4	$9M	+$6M
2037	Arb-3	$11M	+2.3	$8M	+$5M
Totals		$27M		$64M	+$54M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	16	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	134	30	7	1	1	19	28	9	3	1	224	358	313	671	90	274	17	12	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	124	36	9	1	1	29	19	9	3	1	290	457	403	860	113	333	12	18	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	135	121	22	2	0	1	8	33	6	0	0	182	267	223	490	41	241	24	6	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	135	114	27	3	0	2	15	22	6	0	0	237	356	316	671	79	278	16	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TEX	—	74	54	11	0	0	1	11	22	7	1	0	204	403	259	662	56	303	30	15	299	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
YTD	18	ROK	TEX	—	74	48	12	0	0	1	17	15	7	1	0	250	500	312	812	62	324	20	23	392	158	+5	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.9
ROS	18	ROK	TEX	0%	49	42	9	1	0	1	5	12	2	1	0	213	324	307	631	94	291	24	10	291	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		293	—	—	269	64	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TEX	—	74	55	11	0	0	1	11	22	7	1	0	200	403	255	657	55	294	30	15	299	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
TOT	18	ROK	TEX	—	123	96	20	1	0	2	16	34	9	2	0	208	371	280	651	73	289	28	13	296	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TEX	34%	203	177	40	6	1	3	19	49	5	3	1	226	318	322	640	96	293	24	9	298	86	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2028	20	MLB	TEX	48%	339	295	69	11	2	6	32	80	9	6	2	234	327	346	673	112	295	24	9	305	92	-3	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.3
2029	21	MLB	TEX	54%	443	386	91	15	2	9	42	104	12	8	2	236	330	355	684	119	296	23	9	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.9
2030	22	MLB	TEX	57%	516	448	107	17	3	11	49	120	14	9	3	239	333	364	697	125	296	23	9	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2031	23	MLB	TEX	58%	520	452	108	17	3	11	49	120	14	9	3	239	332	363	695	124	297	23	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2032	24	MLB	TEX	57%	520	452	108	17	3	11	49	119	14	9	3	239	332	363	695	124	298	23	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2033	25	MLB	TEX	57%	520	451	108	17	3	11	50	119	14	10	3	239	334	364	698	124	298	23	10	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2034	26	MLB	TEX	57%	520	451	108	17	3	11	50	119	14	10	3	239	334	364	698	124	298	23	10	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2035	27	MLB	TEX	55%	520	451	108	17	3	11	50	119	14	10	3	239	334	364	698	124	298	23	10	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2036	28	MLB	TEX	55%	520	450	107	17	3	11	51	120	14	9	3	238	334	362	696	124	297	23	10	316	100	-0	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2037	29	MLB	TEX	53%	520	450	106	17	2	11	51	121	14	9	3	236	332	356	688	120	296	23	10	314	99	-1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2038	30	MLB	TEX	53%	520	450	106	17	2	11	51	123	14	9	3	236	332	356	688	120	295	24	10	311	96	-2	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.1
2039	31	MLB	TEX	57%	504	436	101	16	2	10	50	120	13	8	2	232	329	346	675	115	293	24	10	307	93	-4	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.8
2040	32	MLB	TEX	54%	489	425	96	15	2	9	48	119	13	8	2	226	323	334	657	108	290	24	10	302	89	-6	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.4
2041	33	MLB	TEX	58%	473	412	90	13	2	8	46	117	12	7	2	218	315	318	633	100	286	25	10	295	84	-8	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.0
2042	34	MLB	TEX	53%	435	379	81	11	2	7	42	111	11	6	2	214	310	309	619	95	280	26	10	287	78	-11	+0	-5	+8	+12	0.5
2027	19	MLB	TEX	34%	70	61	13	2	0	1	7	17	2	1	0	213	314	295	609	82	295	24	10	280	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	TEX	48%	164	144	33	5	1	3	15	39	4	3	1	229	319	340	659	111	296	24	9	286	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2029	21	MLB	TEX	54%	240	209	49	8	1	5	23	56	6	4	1	234	328	354	682	120	297	23	10	291	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2030	22	MLB	TEX	57%	292	254	61	10	2	6	28	68	8	5	2	240	334	366	701	126	298	23	10	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2031	23	MLB	TEX	58%	299	261	62	10	2	6	28	69	8	5	2	238	330	360	690	123	299	23	9	296	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2032	24	MLB	TEX	57%	296	258	62	10	2	6	28	68	8	5	2	240	333	364	698	124	300	23	9	298	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2033	25	MLB	TEX	57%	295	257	62	10	2	6	28	68	8	5	2	241	334	366	700	125	300	23	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2034	26	MLB	TEX	57%	294	256	62	10	2	6	28	67	8	5	2	242	336	367	703	125	299	23	10	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2035	27	MLB	TEX	55%	289	251	60	10	1	6	28	66	8	5	2	239	334	359	693	120	299	23	10	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2036	28	MLB	TEX	55%	286	248	59	10	1	6	28	66	8	5	2	238	335	359	693	121	299	23	10	298	86	-5	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.9
2037	29	MLB	TEX	53%	278	242	57	9	1	6	27	65	7	5	1	236	330	355	685	120	298	23	10	296	85	-5	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.8
2038	30	MLB	TEX	53%	274	238	56	9	1	6	27	65	7	5	1	235	331	357	688	122	297	24	10	293	83	-5	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.7
2039	31	MLB	TEX	57%	285	247	58	9	1	6	28	68	8	5	1	235	332	352	684	117	294	24	10	289	79	-7	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.6
2040	32	MLB	TEX	54%	266	231	52	8	1	5	26	65	7	4	1	225	322	333	655	108	291	24	10	284	75	-7	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.3
2041	33	MLB	TEX	58%	273	237	53	8	1	5	27	68	7	4	1	224	321	329	650	105	287	25	10	278	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2042	34	MLB	TEX	53%	232	202	44	6	1	4	22	59	6	3	1	218	313	317	630	99	282	25	9	270	65	-9	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4133	3597	843	134	20	83	398	974	110	69	22	234	329	352	681	118	297	24	10	292	81	-87	+5	-11	+74	+117	10.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	132	21	3	13	63	153	17	11	3	233	328	350	678	117	296	24	10	292	81	-14	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	7909	6862	1595	250	39	154	761	1853	218	134	41	232	328	348	676	115	294	23	10	308	94	-57	+10	-20	+141	+224	30.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	132	21	3	13	63	152	18	11	3	234	330	351	681	117	296	23	10	308	94	-5	+1	-2	+12	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	16	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	124	36	9	1	1	29	19	9	3	1	290	457	403	860	113	333	12	18	397	162	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2025	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	135	114	27	3	0	2	15	22	6	0	0	237	356	316	671	79	278	16	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Brian Schneiderlast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,522 PA	12	3,522	66	4	246	319	367	+54	+84	21.4	20.8
	/162	664	12	1	246	319	367	+10.3	+15.8	4.0	pk7: 20
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,246	84	72	235	325	352	+76	+40	17.2	13.6
	/162	664	13	11	235	325	352	+11.9	+6.3	2.7	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Sanchez (OGILVIE)	18	50→55	33→38	44→49	61	208/371/280	73	289	2	2	28%	13%	85	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Juan Fernandez 2017 · A	18	51→57	38→40	45→50	49	236/314/317	81	309	5	5	24%	8%	81	+0.4	209/269/295	86	267	6	4	23%	6%	56	-1.3	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→50	46	231/297/312	81	291	3	9	21%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/287	70	281	2	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Edmundo Sosa 2014 · A	18	48→49	40→55	47→50	50	227/285/322	95	254	7	9	14%	7%	69	-0.4	218/265/304	86	270	6	8	21%	5%	56	-1.3	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
●Orlando Arcia 2013 · A	18	46→56	43→55	49→55	50	222/282/333	110	247	10	11	15%	7%	71	-0.3	239/280/330	91	280	5	16	16%	5%	68	-0.5	245/305/406	162	273	21	3	19%	8%	97	+1.0
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	47→57	39→50	47→60	46	226/288/308	82	287	6	9	23%	7%	66	-0.6	232/281/307	75	309	4	22	25%	6%	63	-0.9	277/330/410	133	307	11	23	13%	7%	107	+2.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
✕Ivan Ramirez 2010 · A	18	50	38→40	50→40	43	235/293/316	81	288	5	5	20%	5%	71	-0.3	244/294/308	64	287	3	3	15%	6%	69	-0.4	263/310/310	48	297	2	1	12%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Francisco Herrera 2012 · A	18	46	40→45	47→30	49	220/280/315	95	261	7	8	19%	7%	66	-0.6	225/284/324	99	267	9	5	19%	6%	69	-0.4	225/284/320	95	260	10	3	17%	6%	67	-0.2