Javier Sanchez — OGILVIE

Javier SanchezC ACL Rangers

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP294

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$86M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$5M	+$2M
2037	Arb-3	$11M	+1.3	$5M	+$1M
Totals		$27M		$39M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	124	36	9	1	1	29	19	9	3	1	290	457	403	860	113	333	12	18	397	155	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2025	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	135	114	27	3	0	2	15	22	6	0	0	237	356	316	671	79	278	16	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	135	30	7	1	1	18	28	9	3	1	222	352	311	663	89	262	17	11	294	85	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	135	121	22	2	0	1	8	32	6	0	0	182	267	223	490	41	235	24	6	227	40	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	135	30	7	1	1	18	28	9	3	1	222	352	311	663	89	271	17	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	124	36	9	1	1	29	19	9	3	1	290	457	403	860	113	333	12	18	397	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	135	121	22	2	0	1	8	32	6	0	0	182	267	223	490	41	239	24	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	135	114	27	3	0	2	15	22	6	0	0	237	356	316	671	79	278	16	11	317	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	135	30	7	1	1	18	28	9	3	1	222	352	311	663	89	262	17	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	135	120	22	2	0	1	8	32	6	0	0	183	267	225	492	42	235	24	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	135	30	7	1	1	18	28	9	3	1	222	352	311	663	89	262	17	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	135	120	22	2	0	1	8	32	6	0	0	183	267	225	492	42	235	24	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	TEX	—	74	54	11	0	0	1	11	22	7	1	0	204	403	259	662	56	303	30	15	299	88	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	TEX	—	74	48	12	0	0	1	17	15	7	1	0	250	500	312	812	62	324	20	23	392	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	TEX	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		292	20	10	292	84	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	TEX	—	84	63	12	0	0	1	12	24	7	1	0	190	378	238	616	48	275	29	14	298	88	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	43%	203	177	40	6	1	3	19	49	5	3	1	226	318	322	640	96	294	24	9	299	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.6
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	61%	339	295	69	11	2	6	32	80	9	6	2	234	327	346	673	112	295	24	9	305	93	-3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	443	387	91	15	2	9	41	103	12	8	2	235	327	354	681	119	296	23	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	516	449	107	17	3	11	48	119	14	9	3	238	331	363	694	125	297	23	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	520	452	108	17	3	11	49	119	14	9	3	239	332	363	695	124	297	23	9	315	99	-1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	520	452	109	18	3	11	49	119	14	9	3	241	334	367	701	126	298	23	9	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	520	452	109	18	3	11	49	118	14	10	3	241	334	367	701	126	298	23	9	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	520	452	108	17	3	11	49	118	14	10	3	239	332	363	695	124	298	23	9	317	101	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	TEX	70%	520	451	108	17	3	11	50	119	14	10	3	239	334	364	698	124	298	23	10	317	101	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	TEX	69%	520	450	108	17	3	11	51	120	14	9	3	240	336	364	700	124	297	23	10	316	100	+0	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	TEX	67%	520	450	107	17	2	11	51	121	14	9	3	238	334	358	692	120	297	23	10	314	99	-1	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	TEX	66%	520	450	106	17	2	11	51	122	14	9	3	236	332	356	688	120	295	23	10	312	97	-2	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	504	437	101	16	2	10	49	120	13	8	2	231	327	346	672	114	293	24	10	308	94	-3	+1	-3	+9	+11	1.5
2040	32	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	489	425	97	15	2	9	48	118	13	8	2	228	325	336	662	108	290	24	10	302	91	-5	+1	-4	+9	+11	1.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	TEX	70%	473	412	91	13	2	8	46	117	12	7	2	221	317	320	637	100	286	25	10	296	86	-8	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.7
2042	34	MLB MLE	TEX	66%	435	379	81	11	2	7	42	110	11	6	2	214	310	309	619	95	281	25	10	287	81	-10	+0	-5	+8	+9	0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	TEX	43%	88	78	18	3	0	2	8	21	2	1	0	231	318	346	664	115	296	24	9	283	89	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	61%	206	179	42	7	1	4	19	49	6	3	1	235	328	352	680	117	297	24	9	289	93	-2	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.7
2029	21	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	302	263	63	10	2	6	28	70	8	5	2	240	331	361	692	122	298	23	9	294	96	-2	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	367	320	76	12	2	8	34	85	10	7	2	237	330	362	692	125	299	23	9	297	98	-1	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	376	328	79	13	2	8	35	86	10	7	2	241	332	366	698	125	300	23	9	299	99	-0	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	372	324	80	13	2	9	35	85	10	7	2	247	339	383	721	136	300	23	9	301	100	+0	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	370	322	79	13	2	9	35	84	10	7	2	245	338	382	720	137	300	23	9	302	101	+0	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	369	321	79	13	2	9	35	84	10	7	2	246	339	383	722	137	300	23	9	302	101	+0	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	TEX	70%	362	314	76	12	2	8	35	83	10	7	2	242	337	369	706	127	300	23	10	302	101	+0	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	TEX	69%	358	310	75	12	2	8	35	82	10	6	2	242	338	371	709	129	300	23	10	301	100	+0	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	TEX	67%	348	302	72	11	2	8	34	81	9	6	2	238	333	368	701	129	299	23	10	299	99	-0	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	TEX	66%	342	297	71	11	2	8	33	80	9	6	2	239	333	370	704	131	298	23	10	296	97	-1	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	329	285	66	10	1	7	32	78	9	5	2	232	328	347	676	116	295	24	10	292	94	-2	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.9
2040	32	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	317	275	63	10	1	6	31	77	8	5	1	229	325	338	663	109	292	24	10	287	91	-4	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.7
2041	33	MLB CTX	TEX	70%	332	288	65	10	1	6	32	82	9	5	1	226	322	330	652	104	288	25	10	280	86	-5	+1	-3	+6	+7	0.5
2042	34	MLB CTX	TEX	66%	286	249	54	8	1	5	28	72	7	4	1	217	313	317	631	100	283	25	10	272	81	-7	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5124	4455	1058	168	25	111	489	1199	137	88	26	237	331	361	693	124	298	23	10	295	95	-24	+7	-13	+92	+111	17.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	134	21	3	14	62	152	17	11	3	237	331	359	690	122	298	23	10	295	95	-3	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7870	6835	1593	251	39	153	751	1834	216	133	41	233	328	348	676	115	294	23	10	308	95	-37	+10	-20	+135	+164	25.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	132	21	3	13	62	151	18	11	3	234	329	350	679	117	295	23	10	308	95	-3	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	5.5	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#2Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	7.9	5,236	105	89	235	326	353	+93	+48	21.9	17.2
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+6.1	2.8	pk7: 13
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Sanchez (OGILVIE)	18	51→56	33→38	44→49	61	220/317/309	89	292	1	2	25%	9%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	74	-0.5	234/279/310	76	290	3	12	19%	5%	66	-1.1	270/316/373	102	329	4	17	18%	5%	92	+0.5
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	82	-0.0	227/281/295	68	274	3	9	17%	6%	65	-1.2	245/328/327	82	296	5	2	17%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	77	-0.3	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	59	-1.7	214/269/283	68	275	5	4	23%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Juan Fernandez 2017 · A	18	51→57	38→40	45→50	49	236/314/317	81	309	5	5	24%	8%	83	+0.1	211/270/298	87	269	6	4	22%	6%	62	-1.4	237/297/317	80	293	7	9	21%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	74	-0.6	226/277/349	123	297	11	12	27%	6%	76	-0.4	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Orlando Arcia 2013 · A	18	46→56	43→50	49→55	50	222/282/333	110	247	10	11	15%	7%	74	-0.5	240/282/329	89	279	5	16	15%	5%	72	-0.7	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	86	+0.3	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	76	-0.4	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→49	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	209/280/296	87	296	5	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	50→52	39→55	52→50	45	238/294/331	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	78	-0.3	246/298/362	116	303	10	8	21%	6%	86	+0.3	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	74	-0.5	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	55	-2.0	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	26	-1.1
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	47→57	39→50	47→60	46	226/288/308	82	287	6	9	23%	7%	70	-0.8	233/282/307	74	310	4	22	25%	6%	68	-1.0	277/330/414	137	310	11	19	14%	7%	105	+1.6
✕Edmundo Sosa 2014 · A	18	48→49	40→55	47→50	50	227/285/322	95	254	7	9	14%	7%	72	-0.7	218/265/304	86	270	6	8	21%	5%	60	-1.6	252/297/419	167	305	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.6
●Iván Herrera 2018 · A	18	50→57	37→50	44→50	42	233/299/311	78	320	3	5	27%	6%	76	-0.4	231/294/320	89	310	7	4	26%	6%	76	-0.4	268/364/419	151	313	19	10	19%	10%	122	+2.5
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	303	3	13	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/310/336	93	291	7	13	18%	9%	85	+0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps