Erick Matos

P ACL Athletics

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKOAK	12	5	32	2.84	3.79	13.6%	11.4%	—	K 9.3% · BB 14.2% · FIP 4.79
2026	19	ROKOAK	12	6	30	13.35	4.28	22.4%	16.8%	—	K 15.2% · BB 21.0% · FIP 5.43
2027PROJ	20	MLBOAK	17	0	18	5.77	5.77	18.4%	17.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBOAK	14	0	15	5.43	5.31	19.7%	15.2%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsReynardo Cruz (age 20) · Keegan Zinn (age 19) · Luis Rujano (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 126

ERA5.77

FIP5.77

K%18.4%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%0.6%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	5	34	153	28	28	0	50%	3.4	12.4%	22.9%	-10.4%	0.0%	3.15	4.95	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	5	34	153	28	28	0	50%	3.4	12.4%	22.9%	-10.4%	0.0%	3.15	4.95	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	10	5	34	153	28	28	0	50%	3.4	18.3%	18.3%	0.0%	0.0%	3.15	3.92	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	5	32	132	18	15	1	42%	2.6	9.3%	14.2%	-4.9%	1.2%	2.84	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	5	32	132	18	15	1	42%	2.6	9.3%	14.2%	-4.9%	1.2%	2.84	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	12	5	32	132	18	15	1	42%	2.6	13.6%	11.4%	2.3%	0.8%	2.84	3.79	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	12	6	30	161	36	27	2	50%	2.5	15.2%	21.0%	-5.8%	1.7%	13.35	5.43	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	12	6	30	161	36	27	2	50%	2.5	15.2%	21.0%	-5.8%	1.7%	13.35	5.43	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	12	6	30	161	36	27	2	50%	2.5	22.4%	16.8%	5.6%	1.2%	13.35	4.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	OAK	17	0	18	76	14	14	2	0%	1.1	18.4%	17.8%	0.6%	2.9%	5.77	5.77	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	OAK	28	0	30	126	25	19	4	0%	1.1	19.7%	15.2%	4.5%	2.8%	5.43	5.31	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	OAK	14	0	15	63	12	10	2	0%	1.1	19.7%	15.2%	4.5%	2.8%	5.43	5.31	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	12	9	2	0%	1.0	19.7%	15.2%	4.5%	2.8%	5.43	4.93	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	122	27	0%	1.1	19.7%	15.2%	4.5%	2.8%	5.43	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		34	16	96	446	56	88	4	47%	2.8	12.5%	19.6%	-7.1%	1.0%	6.21	5.07	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	33	200	932	117	183	9	47%	2.8	12.5%	19.6%	-7.1%	1.0%	6.21	5.07	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erick Matos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.77	18.4%	17.8%	2.9%	—	5.31	19.7%	4.5%	30	-0.46	—	—	—
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	87
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	85
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	85
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	85
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	84
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	84
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	84
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	83
Aneuris Rodriguez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	20	SW	5.22	16.0%	18.8%	2.0%	.310	6.65	14.6%	-15.5%	14	+1.43	3.15	118	83
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	82
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	82
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	82
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	81
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	80
Jesús Palacios R 2024 · 5.24 FIP	19	SP-	5.24	19.7%	20.5%	2.2%	.279	4.92	20.4%	-0.6%	36	-0.32	2.43	128	80
Bryan Sanchez R 2023 · 6.58 FIP	20	SP-	6.58	15.7%	19.3%	4.3%	.296	5.63	14.6%	-3.0%	65	-0.95	2.99	142	80
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	80
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	80
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	80