Cristian Arguelles

OF ACL Rockies
Age 20 L/L 6'0" / 177 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP40OGV rank#191ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKCOL202.267/.357/.30201128—.185/.260/.208
202518ROKCOL236.422/.534/.65256113—.264/.375/.396
202619A/ROKCOL417.341/.424/.5511115114—.282/.346/.444
2027PROJMLE20MLBCOL527.259/.324/.4021091040.5
2028PROJ43% MLB21MLBCOL157.278/.342/.450431070.3
2029PROJ61% MLB22MLBCOL248.279/.345/.456651090.6
Next 3 projected WAR 1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$4M2033Arb-2$7M2034Arb-3$10M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Whiff%98
K%97
Z-Con%96
Speed47
ISO44
Chase%35
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 25, comp-based) · star 9% · didn't stick 61%
CompsJ.P. Crawford (age 20) · Cole Young (age 20) · Moisés Ballesteros (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†104
AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .321 / .398
PA210
HR4
K%15
BB%7
ISO143
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +1.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.91.80.30.60.91.01.21.31.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$27M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$6M+$5M
2032Arb-1$4M+1.2$7M+$4M
2033Arb-2$7M+1.3$7M+$3M
2034Arb-3$10M+1.2$6M+$0.7M
Totals $25M $30M +$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Rockies — 202172 46600 18126 113 267357302659 35282 69 301 28 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Rockies — 236187 791665 342511 67 4225346521.187 230463 1114 506 113 — — — — — —
202619 AFresno Grizzlies — 162142 35912 16192 52 246331366697 120268 1210 313 74 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Rockies — 255219 881499 30314 103 4024826711.153 269436 1212 493 139 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 202178 33400 12156 113 185260208468 22190 76 210 28 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 236197 52943 243011 67 264375396771 132285 1310 335 113 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 162146 34812 12262 52 233300342642 110259 167 277 74 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 255230 721077 19454 103 313375509884 196353 187 374 139 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 202178 33400 12156 113 185260208468 22199 76 210 28 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 202172 46600 18126 113 267357302659 35282 69 301 28 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 236197 52943 243011 67 264375396771 132293 1310 335 113 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 236187 791665 342511 67 4225346521.187 230463 1114 506 113 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 417377 1071989 30716 155 284346448795 164326 177 336 114 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 417361 123231011 46506 155 341424551975 211368 1211 423 114 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 202182 33400 12156 113 181260203464 22190 76 210 28 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 236199 52943 243011 67 261375392767 131285 1310 335 113 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 417378 1071989 30716 155 283346447793 164316 177 336 114 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 202182 33400 12156 113 181260203464 22190 76 210 28 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 236199 52943 243011 67 261375392767 131285 1310 335 113 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 417378 1071989 30716 155 283346447793 164316 177 336 114 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECOL 0% 527476 12423710 39797 93 259324402726 143289 157 322 104 +3 +1 -2 -3 +11 0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECOL 43% 364329 871658 27545 72 261327410737 148290 157 327 107 +3 +1 -1 -2 +8 0.8
202922 MLB MLECOL 61% 408369 971859 31615 83 263329415745 152290 158 330 109 +5 +0 -1 -2 +9 1.0
203023 MLB MLECOL 68% 455411 10920611 35696 83 264331419750 155291 158 332 111 +6 +0 -1 -3 +10 1.2
203124 MLB MLECOL 70% 505454 12022612 40786 93 264332421753 157292 158 333 112 +7 +1 -1 -3 +11 1.5
203225 MLB MLECOL 70% 562506 13324714 44897 103 263331422753 158292 168 334 112 +8 +1 -0 -3 +12 1.7
203326 MLB MLECOL 71% 590531 14026715 47937 104 263331421753 158292 168 333 112 +8 +0 -0 -4 +13 1.8
203427 MLB MLECOL 69% 589530 13925715 47947 104 262330419749 157291 168 332 111 +8 +0 -0 -4 +13 1.7
203528 MLB MLECOL 69% 580522 13625714 46947 83 260328414742 154290 168 329 109 +6 +0 -1 -3 +13 1.5
203629 MLB MLECOL 67% 564508 13124613 44937 73 258325408733 150289 168 325 106 +4 +0 -2 -3 +12 1.2
203730 MLB MLECOL 66% 550496 12623612 43926 64 255322400722 145288 178 321 103 +2 -0 -2 -3 +12 0.8
203831 MLB MLECOL 65% 532480 12122611 41916 45 250317390707 139285 178 315 99 -1 -1 -3 -3 +12 0.3
203932 MLB MLECOL 65% 509460 11220510 39905 318 245310377687 132281 188 307 94 -4 -7 -4 -3 +11 -0.6
202821 MLB CTXCOL 43% 157142 40734 12232 31 278342450792 172307 158 348 107 +1 +0 -1 -1 +3 0.3
202922 MLB CTXCOL 61% 248224 621156 19373 52 279345456800 176308 158 352 109 +3 +0 -1 -1 +5 0.6
203023 MLB CTXCOL 68% 310279 781458 24474 62 280346460805 179309 158 354 111 +4 +0 -1 -2 +7 0.9
203124 MLB CTXCOL 70% 351316 8916610 28544 62 281347462809 181310 158 355 112 +5 +0 -1 -2 +8 1.0
203225 MLB CTXCOL 70% 395356 10018711 31625 72 280347462809 182310 168 355 112 +6 +1 -0 -2 +9 1.2
203326 MLB CTXCOL 71% 416375 10519712 33665 72 280346462808 182309 168 355 112 +6 +1 -0 -2 +9 1.3
203427 MLB CTXCOL 69% 408368 10218711 32655 72 278345459804 180309 168 353 111 +5 +1 -0 -2 +9 1.2
203528 MLB CTXCOL 69% 398358 9918611 32645 62 276343453796 177308 168 350 109 +4 +0 -1 -2 +9 1.0
203629 MLB CTXCOL 67% 377340 9317610 30624 52 274340446786 172306 168 346 106 +3 +0 -1 -2 +8 0.8
203730 MLB CTXCOL 66% 362327 891669 28614 42 270336437773 167304 178 341 103 +1 +0 -2 -2 +8 0.6
203831 MLB CTXCOL 65% 347313 831558 27594 33 265331426756 160301 178 334 99 -0 -1 -2 -2 +8 0.2
203932 MLB CTXCOL 65% 330299 771357 25583 211 260324412736 152297 188 326 94 -2 -4 -3 -2 +7 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 40993697 101718268107 32165848 6133 275341448789 173308 168 348 105 +35 -1 -12 -25 +89 8.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 162291117 511048 105 276343451793 174310 168 348 105 +6 -0 -2 -4 +14 1.4
Career— MLE — 72736538 169230688160 5651145100 12671 259327406733 147290 168 324 105 +54 -4 -19 -39 +139 13.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 15127814 501029 116 259326404730 146290 168 324 105 +5 -0 -2 -4 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Rockies · 255 PAwOBA .484 → .374 (−110)K% 12.2% → 17.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.16%÷1.000×1.440——17.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0087.35%
HBP% /PA1.57%—×0.720—×1.0081.14%
Singles /BIP29.79%÷1.000×0.820×1.025×1.00825.22%
Doubles /BIP7.45%÷1.000×0.720×1.025×1.0085.54%
Triples /BIP4.79%÷1.000×0.720×1.025×1.0083.56%
Home runs /BIP4.79%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0083.76%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .484 → .374; ISO .269 → .206; BABIP .436 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 162 PAwOBA .309 → .277 (−33)K% 11.7% → 16.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.73%÷1.000×1.360——15.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.88%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0457.12%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.780—×1.0451.01%
Singles /BIP18.70%÷1.000×0.920×1.037×1.04518.63%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷1.000×0.830×1.037×1.0456.58%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷1.000×0.910×1.037×1.0450.80%
Home runs /BIP1.63%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0451.36%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .309 → .277; ISO .120 → .106; BABIP .268 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rockies · 236 PAwOBA .500 → .335 (−165)K% 10.6% → 12.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.59%÷1.026×1.220——12.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.41%÷1.007×0.700—×1.00810.09%
HBP% /PA4.66%—×0.700—×1.0083.29%
Singles /BIP32.10%÷1.026×0.680×0.973×1.00820.85%
Doubles /BIP9.88%÷1.107×0.600×0.973×1.0085.25%
Triples /BIP3.70%÷0.900×0.600×0.973×1.0082.42%
Home runs /BIP3.09%÷0.864×0.470—×1.0081.69%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 105, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .500 → .335; ISO .230 → .142; BABIP .463 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rockies · 202 PAwOBA .299 → .210 (−89)K% 5.9% → 7.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.94%÷1.001×1.220——7.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.91%÷1.099×0.700—×1.0225.80%
HBP% /PA2.97%—×0.700—×1.0222.13%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.006×0.680×0.983×1.02216.99%
Doubles /BIP3.75%÷0.977×0.600×0.983×1.0222.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.983×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.188×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .299 → .210; ISO .035 → .023; BABIP .282 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).