Cristian ArguellesOF ACL Rockies
Age 19 L/L 6'0" / 177 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION234 act + 156 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†110
AVG/OBP/SLG.262 / .329 / .411
PA156
HR3
K%20
BB%7
BABIP315
ISO149
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +12.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+12BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -2.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +11.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +2.10+2.1WAR
0.01.53.01.21.62.02.22.42.52.52.5+$107M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED47
scouting grade only
DEFENSE48
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.0$13M+$12M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.2$13M+$12M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.4$13M+$13M
2032Arb-1$5M+2.5$13M+$10M
2033Arb-2$8M+2.5$12M+$8M
2034Arb-3$12M+2.5$11M+$6M
Totals $28M $74M +$61M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Rockies 202181 39500 9176 113 215276243519 28234 84 228 33
202417 ROKDSL Rockies 202172 46600 18126 113 267357302659 35282 69 301 89
202518 ROKDSL Rockies 236200 641066 213411 67 320414520934 200356 149 385 153
202518 ROKDSL Rockies 236187 791665 342511 67 4225346521.187 230463 1114 506 246
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKCOL 234211 64976 17434 73 303366498864 194354 187 368 140 +11 +0 +0 -1 +7 1.6
YTD19 ROKCOL 234200 791298 28304 73 3954786651.143 270433 1312 489 232 +35 +0 +0 -1 +7 4.1
ROS19 ROKCOL 0% 156141 37633 11313 31 262329411740 149314 207 329 110 +2 +0 -0 -1 +4 0.5
ROS19 MLBCOL 0% 01 0000 000 00 337 340 118 -0 -0
FULL19 ROKCOL 234212 64976 17434 73 302366495862 193352 187 368 140 +11 +0 +0 -1 +7 1.6
TOT19 ROKCOL 390352 10115109 28747 104 287351463814 176338 197 352 128 +12 +0 -0 -2 +11 2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBCOL 34% 378342 891558 27756 62 260325404729 143311 207 328 109 +4 +0 -1 -2 +11 1.2
202821 MLBCOL 48% 466421 11119611 35917 83 264330416746 152310 208 332 112 +6 +0 -1 -3 +13 1.6
202922 MLBCOL 54% 525472 12521713 401028 93 265333422754 157310 198 335 115 +9 +1 -2 -3 +15 2.0
203023 MLBCOL 57% 562505 13523715 431099 104 267336430765 162310 198 337 116 +10 +0 -2 -3 +16 2.2
203124 MLBCOL 57% 585526 14124716 451139 104 268336432768 163311 198 339 118 +12 +0 -2 -4 +17 2.4
203225 MLBCOL 57% 598537 14424816 471159 104 268337432769 164311 198 340 119 +13 +0 -2 -4 +17 2.5
203326 MLBCOL 56% 603542 14625816 471169 104 269338434771 164311 198 341 119 +13 +0 -2 -4 +17 2.5
203427 MLBCOL 55% 601539 14424816 481169 104 267337430768 163311 198 341 119 +13 +0 -2 -4 +17 2.5
203528 MLBCOL 55% 595533 14224716 481159 104 266337428765 161311 198 340 118 +12 +0 -3 -4 +17 2.4
203629 MLBCOL 53% 585524 13923716 471149 93 265336427764 162310 198 338 117 +11 +1 -3 -4 +17 2.2
203730 MLBCOL 53% 573513 13623715 461149 93 265336425761 160309 208 335 115 +9 +1 -4 -3 +16 1.9
203831 MLBCOL 52% 559500 13122714 451129 83 262334418752 156307 208 331 111 +7 +0 -4 -3 +16 1.6
203932 MLBCOL 52% 540484 12320613 431118 83 254325401726 147303 218 325 107 +4 +0 -5 -3 +15 1.2
204033 MLBCOL 52% 511458 11518612 411077 72 251322395717 144300 218 318 102 +1 +1 -6 -3 +14 0.7
204134 MLBCOL 47% 464417 10015510 371017 62 240312372684 132294 228 310 95 -3 +0 -6 -3 +13 0.2
202720 MLBCOL 34% 130118 33623 9262 21 280341441782 161334 207 340 119 +3 +0 -0 -1 +4 0.5
202821 MLBCOL 48% 226203 571036 17444 41 281348448796 167334 198 345 122 +6 +0 -1 -1 +6 1.1
202922 MLBCOL 54% 285257 731348 22564 52 284350459809 175334 208 348 124 +8 +0 -1 -2 +8 1.4
203023 MLBCOL 57% 318286 8214410 24625 52 287352469821 182334 198 351 126 +10 +0 -1 -2 +9 1.6
203124 MLBCOL 57% 331297 8615510 26645 62 290357475831 185335 198 353 128 +11 +0 -1 -2 +9 1.8
203225 MLBCOL 57% 338304 8815511 26655 62 289355480835 191335 198 354 129 +11 +0 -1 -2 +10 1.8
203326 MLBCOL 56% 341306 9016511 27655 62 294361487848 193335 198 354 129 +11 +0 -1 -2 +10 1.9
203427 MLBCOL 55% 333299 8615510 26645 62 288355472826 184335 198 354 129 +11 +0 -1 -2 +9 1.8
203528 MLBCOL 55% 327293 8415410 26635 52 287355468823 181334 198 353 128 +10 +0 -1 -2 +9 1.7
203629 MLBCOL 53% 313280 8114410 25615 52 289358475833 186334 198 351 127 +9 +0 -2 -2 +9 1.5
203730 MLBCOL 53% 302270 771349 24605 52 285355463817 178332 208 348 124 +8 +0 -2 -2 +9 1.4
203831 MLBCOL 52% 291261 731348 24594 42 280349452802 172330 208 343 121 +7 +0 -2 -2 +8 1.1
203932 MLBCOL 52% 280251 701248 23574 41 279349454803 175327 208 337 116 +5 +0 -3 -2 +8 0.9
204033 MLBCOL 52% 264237 631037 21564 31 266336422758 156322 218 330 111 +3 +0 -3 -2 +7 0.6
204134 MLBCOL 47% 219197 51835 17473 31 259327406733 147316 218 320 103 +1 +0 -3 -1 +6 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 42983860 109418959126 33784965 6925 283351461812 177333 208 347 123 +114 +4 -23 -26 +122 19.4
/ 162G 650584 16629919 5112810 104 284352462814 178334 208 347 123 +17 +0 -3 -4 +18 2.9
Career 87397835 2061341110216 6801693144 15059 263333417751 154309 198 332 112 +123 +6 -45 -52 +248 28.6
/ 162G 650583 15325816 5112611 114 262334415749 153308 198 332 112 +9 +1 -3 -4 +18 2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Rockies 202172 46600 18126 113 267357302659 35282 69 301 89 -3 +1 +6 0.4
202518 ROKDSL Rockies 236187 791665 342511 67 4225346521.187 230463 1114 506 246 +39 -2 +7 4.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1José Cruz Jr.last yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA
94,17915381247336445-35-717.417.2
/1626642413-5.6-1.12.8pk7: 17
#2Jacque Joneslast yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,646 PA
94,64615679276326448-35-2615.715.9
/1626642211-5.0-3.82.3pk7: 16
#3Cody Rosslast yr '14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,733 PA
93,73313133264324449-13-1215.115.6
/162664236-2.3-2.12.7pk7: 16
#4Eric Byrneslast yr '09
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA
83,440106125260321441-21+314.915.2
/1626642024-4.1+0.62.9pk7: 16
#5Jay Paytonlast yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,422 PA
94,42211945278322425-33-013.213.4
/162664187-5.0-0.02.0pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,57411573263329419-27-716.413.3
/1626641711-4.0-1.02.4pk7: 10
#6Aaron Boonelast yr '08
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,540 PA
83,54011083260326427-12-3011.311.4
/1626642116-2.2-5.62.1pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Cristian Arguelles (OGILVIE) 19 30→55 25→40 50→47 45 287/351/463 176338 910 19% 7% 128 +2.1
Moisés Ballesteros
2023 · A
19 43→53 47→50 45→40 47 217/283/352 135277 155 27% 8% 76 +0.1 243/301/378 135296 164 23% 7% 91 +1.1 266/326/40513931116319%8%106+1.6
Hendry Mendez
2023 · A
19 45→53 37→45 42→45 50 213/288/285 72271 56 22% 9% 61 -1.0 229/295/318 89286 75 21% 8% 72 -0.2 257/332/37011331111720%9%99+1.0
Andrés Giménez
2018 · A
19 51→60 39→50 49→55 48 241/309/334 92287 611 18% 7% 82 +0.5 233/291/345 112300 823 24% 5% 78 +0.2 261/326/416155313172521%5%108+2.0
Alex Kirilloff
2018 · A
20 47→57 43→55 46→45 41 231/269/339 108279 114 22% 4% 66 -0.6 260/298/393 133322 125 22% 5% 93 +1.3 269/335/45018032224323%7%119+1.6
Akil Baddoo
2018 · A
19 46→54 42→55 52→55 49 219/296/333 114288 710 25% 9% 77 +0.1 195/265/303 108302 713 35% 8% 56 -1.3 240/322/392152311152426%11%100+1.2
Jesús Sánchez
2017 · A
19 48→54 44→60 49→50 39 236/267/361 124294 106 24% 4% 70 -0.3 241/274/368 127313 135 26% 4% 76 +0.1 256/323/46821131926427%8%119+2.3
Adael Amador
2022 · A
19 45→54 41→50 45→55 47 217/279/316 98271 811 23% 7% 65 -0.7 239/313/375 136278 1617 19% 9% 95 +1.4 230/306/371141263182320%9%88+0.7
J.P. Crawford
2014 · A
19 50→58 37→45 50 49 234/297/309 75304 313 23% 8% 70 -0.3 246/314/341 95294 813 18% 9% 86 +0.8 264/356/39112630811217%11%114+2.9
José A. Martínez
2007 · A
19 45→55 41→50 45→50 47 220/288/317 96278 97 23% 8% 69 -0.4 227/277/322 95299 910 26% 6% 66 -0.6 296/363/45616034619419%9%133+2.9
Evan Carter
2022 · A
19 45→53 42→50 52→55 54 215/320/330 115290 918 26% 12% 88 +0.9 235/321/384 149306 1320 25% 10% 101 +1.8 236/324/395159305152126%10%102+1.2
Esteury Ruiz
2017 · A
18 46→56 43→50 47→70 43 225/273/343 119277 912 22% 5% 69 -0.4 209/256/323 114313 825 34% 5% 56 -1.3 268/342/410142331147422%7%114+1.8
Randel Alcantara
2016 · A
19 44 41→45 46→45 43 211/283/321 110282 76 26% 6% 69 -0.4 197/255/304 107263 96 27% 5% 53 -1.5 132/175/24210915714327%3%1-1.4
Gabriel Gonzalez
2023 · A
19 46→56 45→50 49→45 43 227/292/347 120278 129 23% 5% 80 +0.4 244/297/370 126294 147 21% 5% 88 +0.9 253/307/38212930314621%5%91+0.9
Ronarsy Ledesma
2012 · A
19 41 42→45 47→50 43 203/277/306 103268 97 27% 6% 63 -0.9 224/283/326 102290 511 24% 5% 69 -0.4 226/280/33711129161123%4%69-0.2
Alex Verdugo
2016 · A
20 52→58 43→50 51→45 42 253/282/365 112286 1010 16% 4% 78 +0.2 259/304/369 110297 107 16% 6% 89 +0.9 285/346/43915432116716%8%120+2.1
Jesus Morelli
2009 · A
19 49 42→45 48→50 49 234/311/346 112300 912 24% 8% 87 +0.8 220/282/289 69304 410 27% 6% 59 -1.1 219/279/2604128701422%6%47-0.5
Jackson Chourio
2022 · A
18 44→54 42→60 48→55 45 217/278/318 101276 1010 25% 7% 66 -0.6 233/279/390 157315 1819 31% 6% 85 +0.7 273/321/471198320232122%6%120+2.5
Andy Pages
2021 · A
20 43→53 46→60 46→50 46 214/297/344 130275 149 26% 8% 82 +0.5 219/304/418 199291 256 32% 9% 104 +2.0 270/324/464194313251022%6%121+2.8
Jason Heyward
2009 · A
19 53→60 44→55 52→50 45 259/305/382 123313 109 21% 6% 92 +1.2 265/342/432 167311 1710 20% 10% 121 +3.2 259/351/444185308201422%12%125+3.3
Josh Thole
2006 · A
19 46→56 37→40 47→45 53 218/297/291 73256 55 16% 8% 66 -0.6 227/292/293 66286 34 20% 7% 64 -0.8 281/343/378973165412%8%106+1.6