Gabriel Guanchez

Gabriel GuanchezC DSL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 196 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION82 act + 62 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .242 / .263

PA62

HR1

K%31

BB%6

BABIP243

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$8M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.8	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$45M	+$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	145	134	20	5	0	1	7	73	3	0	0	149	208	209	417	60	311	50	5	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	145	131	28	7	0	1	10	51	3	0	0	214	285	290	575	76	338	35	7	264	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	172	157	25	7	0	6	11	66	3	0	0	159	228	318	547	159	221	38	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	172	150	34	11	0	8	18	46	3	0	0	227	322	460	782	233	268	27	10	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	SEA	—	82	69	15	4	0	2	7	30	2	0	0	217	308	362	670	145	317	37	9	282	74	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
YTD	19	ROK	SEA	—	82	65	19	6	0	2	11	21	2	0	0	292	410	477	887	185	370	26	13	378	147	+4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.8
ROS	19	ROK	SEA	0%	62	57	10	2	0	1	4	19	1	1	0	175	242	263	505	88	275	31	6	264	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	251	50	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	SEA	—	82	70	15	4	0	2	7	30	2	0	0	214	308	357	665	143	310	37	9	282	74	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	19	ROK	SEA	—	144	126	25	6	0	3	11	49	3	1	0	198	279	317	596	119	282	34	8	274	68	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SEA	34%	228	207	43	9	1	5	16	68	3	2	1	208	274	333	608	126	278	30	7	275	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2028	21	MLB	SEA	48%	354	321	69	14	2	9	25	103	5	4	1	215	282	355	637	140	281	29	7	285	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2029	22	MLB	SEA	54%	445	404	89	18	2	13	32	127	6	5	2	220	287	371	659	151	282	29	7	292	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2030	23	MLB	SEA	57%	505	456	101	20	2	15	37	142	7	5	2	221	290	373	663	151	284	28	7	297	85	-8	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.5
2031	24	MLB	SEA	57%	520	470	105	21	2	16	38	146	7	5	2	223	291	379	670	155	284	28	7	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2032	25	MLB	SEA	57%	520	469	106	21	2	17	39	146	7	5	2	226	295	388	683	162	285	28	8	302	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	26	MLB	SEA	56%	520	469	106	21	2	17	39	146	7	5	2	226	295	388	683	162	284	28	8	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2034	27	MLB	SEA	55%	520	469	105	21	2	17	39	146	7	5	2	224	293	386	679	162	284	28	8	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2035	28	MLB	SEA	55%	520	468	105	21	2	17	40	147	7	5	2	224	295	387	682	162	284	28	8	302	89	-6	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2036	29	MLB	SEA	53%	520	468	104	20	2	17	40	148	7	5	2	222	293	382	676	160	283	28	8	300	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2037	30	MLB	SEA	57%	520	468	102	20	2	16	40	149	7	5	2	218	289	372	661	154	281	29	8	297	86	-8	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.4
2038	31	MLB	SEA	60%	504	453	98	19	2	15	39	146	7	5	2	216	289	366	655	150	279	29	8	293	82	-10	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.1
2039	32	MLB	SEA	61%	489	442	93	18	2	14	37	144	7	4	1	210	282	355	637	145	275	29	8	287	78	-12	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.8
2027	20	MLB	SEA	34%	78	72	15	3	0	2	5	23	1	1	0	208	269	333	603	125	275	29	6	263	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB	SEA	48%	172	156	33	7	1	4	12	50	2	2	1	212	276	346	623	135	278	29	7	272	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	22	MLB	SEA	54%	241	218	47	9	1	7	18	69	3	2	1	216	285	362	647	147	280	29	7	279	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2030	23	MLB	SEA	57%	286	259	56	11	1	8	21	80	4	3	1	216	285	359	644	143	281	28	7	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	24	MLB	SEA	57%	294	266	59	12	1	9	22	82	4	3	1	222	291	376	667	154	282	28	7	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	25	MLB	SEA	57%	294	266	58	11	1	9	22	82	4	3	1	218	288	368	656	150	282	28	7	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	26	MLB	SEA	56%	294	266	58	11	1	9	22	82	4	3	1	218	288	368	656	150	282	28	7	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	27	MLB	SEA	55%	288	260	57	11	1	9	22	81	4	3	1	219	290	373	663	154	281	28	8	289	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	28	MLB	SEA	55%	285	257	56	11	1	9	22	80	4	3	1	218	290	374	663	156	281	28	8	288	79	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2036	29	MLB	SEA	53%	278	251	55	11	1	9	21	79	4	3	1	219	290	378	668	159	280	28	8	287	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2037	30	MLB	SEA	57%	297	268	58	11	1	9	23	85	4	3	1	216	288	366	654	149	279	29	8	284	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2038	31	MLB	SEA	60%	300	270	58	11	1	9	23	87	4	3	1	215	286	363	649	148	276	29	8	280	72	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.3
2039	32	MLB	SEA	61%	300	270	57	11	1	9	23	88	4	3	1	211	283	359	642	148	273	29	8	275	68	-11	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3407	3080	667	130	12	102	256	968	46	35	12	217	287	366	653	149	279	28	8	283	75	-96	+2	-6	+61	+97	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	127	25	2	19	49	185	9	7	2	216	287	362	649	146	279	28	8	283	75	-18	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	6544	5912	1281	257	25	196	483	1916	91	61	23	217	286	368	654	151	283	29	7	292	82	-135	+3	-10	+117	+185	16.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	127	26	2	19	48	190	9	6	2	216	286	365	650	148	283	29	7	292	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	145	131	28	7	0	1	10	51	3	0	0	214	285	290	575	76	338	35	7	264	61	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	172	150	34	11	0	8	18	46	3	0	0	227	322	460	782	233	268	27	10	344	121	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,551	108	35	220	287	375	+63	+32	10.1	8.5
	/162	664	20	7	220	287	375	+11.9	+6.0	1.9	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Guanchez (OGILVIE)	19	30	55	35	40	198/279/317	119	282	3	1	34%	8%	68	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→37	41→55	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	57	-1.2	186/266/288	102	300	9	2	38%	8%	54	-1.4	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	61	-1.0	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	13	-0.9
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→45	44→55	43→55	39	188/247/306	118	283	11	4	36%	7%	50	-1.8	225/286/368	143	285	16	12	26%	7%	82	+0.5	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	45→55	44→40	43	204/283/326	122	290	12	5	32%	8%	71	-0.3	195/273/328	133	307	15	4	39%	8%	67	-0.5	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Sherten Apostel 2018 · A	19	38→32	44→45	43→40	47	188/273/305	117	271	11	5	33%	10%	61	-1.0	192/270/313	121	279	13	4	34%	9%	62	-0.9	185/258/310	124	270	15	2	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	39	-2.5	197/273/307	110	309	10	5	36%	8%	61	-1.0	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Dérmis Garcia 2017 · A	19	33→38	47→60	39→45	36	167/239/291	125	297	16	3	47%	8%	43	-2.2	186/246/363	177	302	24	5	44%	7%	65	-0.7	184/252/367	184	279	27	8	43%	7%	66	-0.3
●Raudy Read 2013 · A	19	37→47	45→55	42→45	41	188/233/309	121	213	13	4	20%	4%	45	-2.1	199/241/294	95	237	9	5	20%	4%	43	-2.2	239/293/443	205	283	27	1	26%	6%	104	+0.9
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	40	43→45	41→45	42	200/268/307	107	273	11	4	30%	7%	59	-1.1	200/265/309	109	265	8	6	26%	6%	58	-1.2	186/252/305	119	241	8	6	25%	5%	48	-0.6
✕Julian Leon 2016 · A	20	38	43→45	41→30	36	194/249/302	108	285	12	2	35%	6%	50	-1.8	190/255/305	115	305	13	2	40%	7%	53	-1.5	177/259/302	125	278	16	0	40%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	39	43→50	45→40	39	193/258/301	108	287	10	4	35%	7%	53	-1.5	194/251/315	121	295	13	5	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/360	160	283	18	5	35%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Robert Perez Jr. 2019 · A	19	37→47	41→55	42→45	37	183/244/280	97	279	9	6	36%	6%	42	-2.3	211/270/336	125	325	13	4	37%	6%	67	-0.5	221/290/405	184	307	25	2	35%	6%	92	+1.0
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	37	-2.7	221/272/301	80	287	7	19	24%	6%	58	-1.2	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Gabriel Quintana 2012 · A	19	38→45	40→55	41→45	37	187/245/280	93	270	8	5	33%	5%	42	-2.3	216/255/334	118	310	13	5	33%	3%	59	-1.1	225/257/362	137	319	17	4	34%	2%	65	-0.4
✕Deivy Grullón 2017 · A	21	43→42	43→55	38→30	37	213/254/323	110	294	11	2	31%	5%	56	-1.3	228/266/371	143	305	18	2	30%	5%	74	-0.1	228/269/391	163	297	23	0	31%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Nestor Aguasvivas 2007 · A	19	38	46→50	42→45	41	199/255/324	125	241	14	6	24%	5%	58	-1.2	201/257/294	93	273	9	6	28%	6%	50	-1.7	186/245/262	76	256	8	5	29%	6%	34	-1.3
✕Christopher Tamarez 2013 · A	19	43	39→45	35→40	43	208/255/293	84	258	7	3	22%	5%	49	-1.8	200/242/261	61	277	4	4	28%	5%	34	-2.8	177/211/197	21	255	0	2	29%	3%	0	-1.3