Gabriel Guanchez

Gabriel GuanchezC DSL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 196 lbs ROK HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.4 · 2033

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .270 / .334

PA144

HR4

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

55→55

SPD

35→35

EYE

42↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.4peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.4	$33M	+$32M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.4	$34M	+$33M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+3.3	$34M	+$28M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+3.1	$33M	+$23M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.9	$32M	+$18M
Totals		$33M		$199M	+$166M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	145	134	20	5	0	1	7	73	3	0	0	.149	.208	.209	.417	.060	.311	50	5	.180	-4	-17	+0	+0	+3	+4	-1.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	172	157	24	7	0	6	11	66	3	0	0	.153	.222	.312	.534	.159	.209	38	6	.239	41	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	SEA	144	131	28	5	1	4	10	45	2	2	0	.214	.280	.359	.638	.145	.282	31	7	.274	68	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	SEA	228	204	45	8	1	7	19	67	3	3	1	.221	.296	.373	.669	.152	.292	29	8	.301	88	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2028	21	MLB 28%	SEA	354	316	73	13	2	12	31	101	4	5	1	.231	.308	.399	.706	.168	.293	29	9	.311	96	-1	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.6
2029	22	MLB 48%	SEA	445	396	92	16	2	16	40	124	6	6	1	.232	.312	.404	.716	.172	.294	28	9	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.3
2030	23	MLB 65%	SEA	505	447	106	18	3	19	47	138	6	6	1	.237	.318	.418	.736	.181	.295	27	9	.325	107	+4	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.9
2031	24	MLB 82%	SEA	520	458	110	19	3	20	50	140	7	6	1	.240	.324	.426	.750	.186	.295	27	10	.329	110	+6	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2032	25	MLB	SEA	520	457	110	19	3	20	51	139	7	6	1	.241	.326	.427	.753	.186	.296	27	10	.333	113	+7	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2033	26	MLB	SEA	520	456	110	19	3	20	52	139	7	6	1	.241	.328	.428	.756	.186	.296	27	10	.334	114	+8	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.4
2034	27	MLB	SEA	520	456	109	19	3	20	52	140	7	5	1	.239	.326	.425	.752	.186	.296	27	10	.334	114	+8	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.4
2035	28	MLB	SEA	520	455	109	19	3	20	53	141	7	5	0	.240	.328	.426	.755	.187	.296	27	10	.333	113	+8	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2036	29	MLB	SEA	520	455	109	19	3	20	53	142	7	5	0	.240	.328	.426	.755	.187	.295	27	10	.331	112	+7	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.1
2037	30	MLB	SEA	520	455	107	18	3	20	53	144	7	4	0	.235	.324	.420	.744	.185	.294	28	10	.328	109	+5	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.9
2038	31	MLB	SEA	504	442	102	17	2	19	51	142	6	3	0	.231	.319	.407	.726	.176	.292	28	10	.324	106	+4	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.5
2039	32	MLB	SEA	489	430	98	17	2	18	50	140	6	3	0	.228	.317	.402	.719	.174	.290	29	10	.319	103	+1	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.2
2040	33	MLB	SEA	455	401	89	15	2	16	46	133	5	3	0	.222	.310	.389	.699	.167	.289	29	10	.314	98	-1	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.7
2041	34	MLB	SEA	399	351	77	13	2	13	40	120	5	2	0	.219	.308	.379	.687	.160	.287	30	10	.307	93	-3	+0	-5	+7	+11	1.1
2042	35	MLB	SEA	338	297	64	10	2	11	34	105	4	2	0	.215	.304	.374	.678	.158	.284	31	10	.299	87	-5	+0	-6	+6	+10	0.6
2043	36	MLB	SEA	277	245	50	8	1	8	27	89	3	2	0	.204	.291	.343	.634	.139	.281	32	10	.290	80	-6	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.1
2044	37	MLB	SEA	216	191	38	6	1	6	21	72	2	2	0	.199	.285	.335	.620	.136	.277	33	10	.279	72	-7	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.4
2045	38	MLB	SEA	156	138	27	4	1	4	15	53	2	1	0	.196	.284	.326	.610	.130	.272	34	10	.268	64	-6	+0	-8	+3	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8467	7472	1697	294	43	300	813	2453	109	77	8	.227	.312	.398	.710	.171	.293	29	10	.315	99	-7	+12	-46	+151	+240	35.7
/ 162G	—			650	574	130	23	3	23	62	188	8	6	1	.226	.311	.397	.708	.171	.292	29	10	.315	99	-1	+1	-4	+12	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	145	131	28	7	0	1	10	51	3	0	0	.214	.285	.290	.575	.076	.338	35	7	.264	61	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	172	150	34	11	0	8	18	46	3	0	0	.227	.322	.460	.782	.233	.268	27	10	.344	121	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Guanchez (OGILVIE)	19	30	55	35	40	.205/.270/.334	.130	.282	4	2	31%	7%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Max Stassi 2011 · A	20	39→43	45→55	43→40	38	.194/.254/.315	.121	.302	13	5	39%	7%	55	-1.4	.211/.269/.347	.136	.289	16	4	31%	6%	69	-0.4	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	42	45→55	45→40	43	.206/.283/.328	.122	.292	13	5	32%	8%	71	-0.3	.197/.275/.334	.137	.303	16	4	38%	8%	69	-0.4	.194/.284/.363	.169	.278	23	2	37%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→45	43→55	44→50	39	.188/.245/.301	.113	.275	11	4	34%	6%	47	-1.9	.223/.286/.366	.143	.284	16	11	26%	8%	82	+0.5	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Gary Sánchez 2012 · A	19	43→51	51→65	45	38	.220/.269/.377	.157	.304	20	4	34%	6%	78	+0.2	.225/.273/.367	.142	.295	17	6	29%	5%	76	+0.1	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	39→45	41	.223/.285/.396	.173	.318	23	4	36%	8%	89	+1.0	.205/.259/.351	.146	.301	17	4	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.225/.289/.424	.199	.290	29	6	33%	8%	95	+1.2
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	40	.230/.273/.349	.119	.292	11	4	25%	4%	71	-0.3	.214/.267/.303	.089	.290	7	4	27%	6%	56	-1.3	.176/.240/.214	.038	.249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→37	44→50	44→45	43	.199/.265/.312	.113	.271	12	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.198/.260/.317	.119	.255	13	9	27%	7%	58	-1.2	.195/.258/.323	.128	.235	16	9	24%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Sherten Apostel 2018 · A	19	38→32	43→50	43→40	47	.188/.271/.301	.112	.276	10	5	33%	10%	59	-1.1	.194/.271/.320	.126	.279	14	4	33%	9%	64	-0.8	.183/.255/.313	.130	.265	17	2	36%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	38→20	45	46→45	47	.187/.304/.312	.125	.282	13	11	35%	10%	78	+0.2	.156/.295/.274	.118	.251	13	7	39%	13%	66	-0.6	.123/.282/.246	.123	.185	16	4	39%	15%	54	-0.8
●Raudy Read 2013 · A	19	37→46	45→60	43→45	41	.188/.233/.307	.119	.213	13	4	20%	4%	44	-2.1	.198/.239/.295	.097	.233	9	5	19%	4%	43	-2.2	.238/.292/.448	.210	.278	28	1	25%	6%	104	+0.9
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→49	48→60	46→30	40	.226/.269/.368	.142	.281	16	5	26%	5%	75	-0.0	.206/.240/.352	.146	.247	19	3	25%	4%	58	-1.2	.243/.288/.435	.192	.292	26	1	26%	4%	98	+1.2
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	42→30	44	.214/.269/.309	.096	.275	10	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.248/.300/.359	.111	.296	11	2	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.327/.424	.162	.295	21	1	19%	8%	110	+1.4
●Renato Núñez 2014 · A	20	41→51	45→60	44→30	36	.208/.246/.327	.119	.281	13	3	31%	4%	54	-1.4	.213/.254/.366	.153	.264	20	3	28%	4%	69	-0.4	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	43→40	40	.206/.271/.302	.096	.267	9	6	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.258/.280	.075	.279	6	5	28%	5%	47	-1.9	.180/.221/.220	.041	.250	4	2	29%	3%	13	-0.9
●Miguel Sanó 2012 · A	19	40→50	52→70	45	36	.209/.255/.376	.167	.298	20	5	36%	6%	71	-0.3	.215/.290/.419	.204	.296	26	6	35%	9%	98	+1.6	.243/.334/.470	.227	.340	31	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
●Wilin Rosario 2009 · A	20	42→52	43→60	44→45	37	.209/.253/.314	.105	.295	11	5	32%	5%	53	-1.5	.225/.261/.370	.145	.298	17	4	30%	4%	72	-0.2	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)