Gabriel Guanchez

Gabriel GuanchezC DSL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 196 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION121 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.091 / .167 / .091

PA12

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$43M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$13M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	145	131	28	7	0	1	10	51	3	0	0	214	285	290	575	76	338	35	7	264	65	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	172	150	34	11	0	8	18	46	3	0	0	227	322	460	782	233	268	27	10	344	119	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	145	134	19	4	0	1	7	73	3	0	0	142	201	194	395	52	289	50	5	174	4	-17	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	172	157	24	7	0	6	11	66	3	0	0	153	222	312	534	159	213	38	6	236	46	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	145	134	19	4	0	1	7	73	3	0	0	142	201	194	395	52	295	50	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	145	131	28	7	0	1	10	51	3	0	0	214	285	290	575	76	338	35	7	264	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	172	157	24	7	0	6	11	66	3	0	0	153	222	312	534	159	209	38	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	172	150	34	11	0	8	18	46	3	0	0	227	322	460	782	233	268	27	10	344	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	145	134	19	4	0	1	7	73	3	0	0	142	201	194	395	52	289	50	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	172	156	24	7	0	6	11	66	3	0	0	154	222	314	536	160	213	38	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	145	134	19	4	0	1	7	73	3	0	0	142	201	194	395	52	289	50	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	172	156	24	7	0	6	11	66	3	0	0	154	222	314	536	160	213	38	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	SEA	—	121	104	22	5	0	2	11	40	2	0	0	212	299	317	616	106	303	33	9	276	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	SEA	—	121	97	29	7	0	3	18	28	2	0	0	299	419	464	883	165	371	23	15	384	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	SEA	0%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		275	33	8	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	SEA	—	133	115	23	5	0	2	12	44	2	0	0	200	287	296	582	96	288	33	9	275	72	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	228	206	44	9	1	5	17	66	3	2	1	214	283	340	623	126	278	29	7	278	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	354	320	69	13	1	10	26	100	5	3	1	216	285	356	641	141	280	28	7	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	445	402	89	17	2	13	34	123	6	4	1	221	292	371	663	149	282	28	8	295	86	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	505	454	101	19	2	15	39	139	7	5	2	222	294	372	666	150	283	28	8	299	89	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	520	468	106	20	2	17	40	142	7	5	2	226	297	387	684	160	284	27	8	303	91	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	520	468	106	20	2	17	40	142	7	5	2	226	297	387	684	160	284	27	8	305	92	-5	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	520	468	106	20	2	17	40	142	7	5	2	226	297	387	684	160	284	27	8	306	93	-4	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	520	467	106	20	2	17	41	142	7	5	2	227	299	388	687	161	284	27	8	306	93	-4	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	520	467	105	20	2	17	41	143	7	5	2	225	297	385	683	161	283	28	8	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	520	466	105	20	2	17	42	144	7	5	2	225	299	386	685	161	282	28	8	303	91	-6	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	520	466	104	19	2	17	42	145	7	5	2	223	297	382	679	159	281	28	8	300	89	-7	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	SEA	60%	504	453	99	18	2	16	40	142	6	5	2	219	291	373	664	155	279	28	8	296	86	-8	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.9
2039	32	MLB MLE	SEA	61%	489	441	95	17	2	15	39	140	6	4	1	215	288	365	653	150	275	29	8	290	83	-10	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.6
2040	33	MLB MLE	SEA	62%	455	410	85	15	1	13	36	133	6	4	1	207	281	344	625	137	271	29	8	283	78	-12	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2041	34	MLB MLE	SEA	58%	399	360	72	12	1	11	31	119	5	3	1	200	273	331	603	131	265	30	8	275	72	-13	+0	-5	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	78	71	15	3	0	2	6	23	1	1	0	211	282	338	620	127	275	29	8	266	74	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	172	155	34	6	1	5	13	49	2	2	1	219	288	368	656	148	278	28	8	275	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	241	218	48	9	1	7	18	67	3	2	1	220	289	367	656	147	279	28	7	282	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	23	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	286	258	58	11	1	9	22	79	4	3	1	225	296	380	676	155	280	28	8	287	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2031	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	294	265	59	11	1	9	23	80	4	3	1	223	295	374	668	151	281	27	8	290	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	294	265	59	11	1	9	23	80	4	3	1	223	295	374	668	151	282	27	8	292	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2033	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	294	265	60	11	1	10	23	80	4	3	1	226	298	389	687	162	281	27	8	293	93	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2034	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	288	259	58	11	1	9	23	79	4	3	1	224	297	378	676	154	281	27	8	293	93	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	285	256	57	11	1	9	23	78	4	3	1	223	297	379	676	156	281	27	8	292	92	-3	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.9
2036	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	278	250	55	10	1	9	22	77	4	3	1	220	293	376	669	156	280	28	8	290	91	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2037	30	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	297	267	58	11	1	9	24	83	4	3	1	217	292	367	659	150	278	28	8	287	89	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	SEA	60%	300	269	58	11	1	9	24	85	4	3	1	216	290	364	654	149	276	28	8	283	86	-5	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.6
2039	32	MLB CTX	SEA	61%	300	269	57	10	1	9	24	86	4	3	1	212	286	357	643	145	272	29	8	278	83	-6	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	SEA	62%	284	256	53	9	1	8	23	83	3	2	1	207	280	344	624	137	268	29	8	271	78	-7	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.1
2041	34	MLB CTX	SEA	58%	231	208	42	7	1	6	18	69	3	2	1	202	275	332	607	130	262	30	8	263	72	-8	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3922	3531	771	142	14	119	309	1098	52	39	14	218	291	368	658	149	280	28	8	284	84	-60	+2	-12	+70	+85	8.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	128	24	2	20	51	182	9	6	2	219	291	369	661	150	280	28	8	284	84	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7348	6618	1436	270	26	224	567	2105	99	65	24	217	289	367	656	150	280	29	8	293	84	-109	+3	-20	+126	+152	15.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	127	24	2	20	50	186	9	6	2	217	289	368	656	150	279	29	8	293	84	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,067	124	39	221	289	372	+73	+36	11.9	9.7
/162	664	20	6	+11.9	+5.9	1.9	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Guanchez (OGILVIE)	19	30	55	35	40	200/266/311	111	275	3	1	30%	7%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	44→55	44→30	42	200/278/315	116	290	12	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	197/274/331	134	305	16	4	38%	8%	72	-0.7	202/297/392	190	283	25	2	36%	10%	92	+0.6
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	65	-1.2	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	53	-2.1	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	23	-0.9
✕Raudy Read 2013 · A	19	37→46	45→55	42→45	41	188/233/309	121	213	13	4	20%	4%	51	-2.2	200/242/295	95	238	9	5	20%	4%	51	-2.3	236/290/431	195	276	25	1	25%	6%	99	+0.6
✕Sherten Apostel 2018 · A	19	38→34	44→50	43→40	47	188/273/305	117	271	11	5	33%	10%	65	-1.2	195/272/321	126	282	14	4	34%	9%	69	-0.9	188/260/315	127	273	16	2	36%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→46	44→55	43→55	39	188/247/305	117	285	11	4	36%	7%	55	-1.9	223/287/364	141	282	15	12	25%	8%	84	+0.1	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→38	41→50	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	62	-1.4	186/267/286	100	300	9	2	38%	8%	59	-1.6	193/274/341	148	264	18	1	32%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	46	-2.6	199/274/309	110	312	10	5	36%	8%	67	-1.1	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	85	+0.1
✕Dérmis Garcia 2017 · A	19	33→38	47→55	39→45	36	167/239/291	125	297	16	3	47%	8%	50	-2.3	184/245/348	164	301	22	5	44%	7%	65	-1.2	183/253/363	180	277	26	8	42%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	38→41	42→60	43→40	37	192/238/289	98	275	10	5	33%	5%	48	-2.5	222/287/352	130	280	13	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	226/301/383	157	271	18	2	23%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	40	43→45	41→45	42	200/268/307	107	273	11	4	30%	7%	63	-1.3	200/265/309	109	265	8	6	26%	6%	63	-1.4	186/252/305	119	241	8	6	25%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Manuel Sequera 2023 · A	20	34→31	47→50	40	33	184/229/319	136	254	16	4	34%	4%	52	-2.2	195/248/316	121	284	13	6	35%	5%	58	-1.7	168/230/278	110	250	14	4	37%	5%	40	-1.3
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	39	43→50	45→40	39	193/258/301	108	287	10	4	35%	7%	59	-1.7	193/250/310	117	295	12	5	37%	6%	57	-1.8	199/268/348	150	286	16	5	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Gabriel Quintana 2012 · A	19	38→43	40→55	41→45	37	187/245/280	93	270	8	5	33%	5%	49	-2.4	216/254/330	114	311	12	5	33%	3%	63	-1.4	223/253/349	127	319	15	4	34%	2%	64	-0.8
✕Julian Leon 2016 · A	20	38	43→45	41→30	36	192/248/297	105	289	11	2	36%	6%	54	-2.0	190/254/305	115	306	13	2	40%	6%	58	-1.7	177/257/304	127	278	16	0	40%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Christopher Tamarez 2013 · A	19	43	39→45	35→40	43	208/255/293	84	258	7	3	22%	5%	55	-2.0	200/242/261	61	277	4	4	28%	5%	42	-2.9	177/211/197	21	255	0	2	29%	3%	12	-1.3
✕Nestor Aguasvivas 2007 · A	19	38	46→50	42→45	41	199/255/324	125	241	14	6	24%	5%	63	-1.4	201/257/294	93	273	9	6	28%	6%	56	-1.9	186/245/262	76	256	8	5	29%	6%	42	-1.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Robert Perez Jr. 2019 · A	19	37→47	41→55	42→45	37	183/244/280	97	279	9	6	36%	6%	49	-2.4	210/270/330	120	326	13	4	37%	6%	70	-0.9	218/288/378	160	310	20	2	35%	6%	86	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps