Gabriel Guanchez
C DSL Mariners| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKSEA | 145 | .214/.285/.290 | 1 | 0 | 5 | — | .135/.201/.165 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKSEA | 172 | .227/.322/.460 | 8 | 0 | 28 | — | .135/.216/.258 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKSEA | 121 | .299/.419/.464 | 3 | 0 | 56 | — | .176/.282/.245 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBSEA | 231 | .192/.256/.284 | 3 | 2 | 53 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBSEA | 40 | .197/.262/.302 | 1 | 0 | 61 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBSEA | 100 | .203/.269/.319 | 2 | 1 | 67 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 145 | 131 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 285 | 290 | 575 | 76 | 338 | 35 | 7 | 264 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 172 | 150 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 322 | 460 | 782 | 233 | 268 | 27 | 10 | 344 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 121 | 97 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 299 | 419 | 464 | 883 | 165 | 371 | 23 | 15 | 384 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 145 | 133 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 201 | 165 | 367 | 30 | 245 | 43 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 172 | 155 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 216 | 258 | 474 | 123 | 174 | 33 | 8 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 121 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 282 | 245 | 527 | 69 | 229 | 28 | 11 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 145 | 133 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 201 | 165 | 367 | 30 | 250 | 43 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 145 | 131 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 285 | 290 | 575 | 76 | 338 | 35 | 7 | 264 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 172 | 155 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 216 | 258 | 474 | 123 | 177 | 33 | 8 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 172 | 150 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 322 | 460 | 782 | 233 | 268 | 27 | 10 | 344 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 121 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 282 | 245 | 527 | 69 | 239 | 28 | 11 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 121 | 97 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 299 | 419 | 464 | 883 | 165 | 371 | 23 | 15 | 384 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 145 | 133 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 201 | 165 | 367 | 30 | 245 | 43 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 172 | 154 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 216 | 260 | 476 | 123 | 174 | 33 | 8 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 121 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 282 | 238 | 520 | 67 | 229 | 28 | 11 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 145 | 133 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 201 | 165 | 367 | 30 | 245 | 43 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 172 | 154 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 216 | 260 | 476 | 123 | 174 | 33 | 8 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 121 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 282 | 238 | 520 | 67 | 229 | 28 | 11 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | SEA | 0% | 231 | 211 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 256 | 284 | 540 | 92 | 266 | 30 | 7 | 246 | 53 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | SEA | 34% | 117 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 199 | 264 | 306 | 570 | 107 | 268 | 29 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -5 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | SEA | 48% | 207 | 188 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 60 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 271 | 324 | 594 | 119 | 271 | 29 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | SEA | 54% | 302 | 274 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 86 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 276 | 338 | 614 | 129 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | SEA | 55% | 376 | 342 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 105 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 280 | 350 | 630 | 137 | 275 | 28 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | SEA | 56% | 418 | 379 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 116 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 217 | 284 | 359 | 643 | 143 | 277 | 28 | 7 | 287 | 81 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | SEA | 56% | 441 | 400 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 122 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 217 | 284 | 364 | 648 | 146 | 276 | 28 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | SEA | 55% | 445 | 404 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 124 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 216 | 283 | 361 | 644 | 145 | 276 | 28 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | SEA | 55% | 445 | 404 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 125 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 214 | 281 | 356 | 637 | 142 | 275 | 28 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -11 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 53% | 444 | 403 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 126 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 212 | 278 | 350 | 628 | 138 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -12 | -1 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 53% | 434 | 395 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 124 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 209 | 275 | 342 | 617 | 133 | 271 | 29 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -14 | -1 | -2 | +8 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | SEA | 34% | 40 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 262 | 302 | 564 | 105 | 266 | 30 | 8 | 256 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | SEA | 48% | 100 | 92 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 269 | 319 | 588 | 117 | 269 | 29 | 7 | 265 | 67 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | SEA | 54% | 164 | 149 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 207 | 274 | 333 | 607 | 126 | 271 | 28 | 7 | 273 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | SEA | 55% | 208 | 189 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 58 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 278 | 345 | 623 | 134 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 279 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | SEA | 56% | 234 | 212 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 281 | 354 | 635 | 139 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 284 | 81 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | SEA | 56% | 248 | 225 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 69 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 282 | 358 | 640 | 143 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 286 | 82 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | SEA | 55% | 246 | 223 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 68 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 281 | 355 | 636 | 141 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 285 | 81 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | SEA | 55% | 244 | 221 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 68 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 279 | 351 | 630 | 139 | 272 | 28 | 7 | 282 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 53% | 237 | 216 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 67 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 210 | 276 | 345 | 621 | 135 | 271 | 28 | 7 | 278 | 76 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 53% | 228 | 207 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 207 | 273 | 337 | 610 | 130 | 269 | 29 | 7 | 274 | 73 | -7 | -1 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1949 | 1771 | 372 | 68 | 8 | 51 | 142 | 547 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 210 | 277 | 344 | 621 | 134 | 272 | 28 | 7 | 279 | 71 | -53 | -1 | -2 | +35 | +42 | 2.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 125 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 47 | 182 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 212 | 278 | 347 | 624 | 135 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 279 | 71 | -18 | -0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4130 | 3744 | 769 | 147 | 18 | 102 | 305 | 1193 | 48 | 33 | 21 | 205 | 274 | 336 | 610 | 131 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 274 | 71 | -104 | -2 | -4 | +66 | +80 | 3.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 121 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 188 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 205 | 274 | 336 | 611 | 131 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 274 | 71 | -18 | -0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 DSLDSL Mariners · 121 PAwOBA .387 → .251 (−136)K% 23.1% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 10.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.960 | ×0.995 | 17.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.960 | ×0.995 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.960 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 2.03% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .387 → .251; ISO .165 → .090; BABIP .371 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Mariners · 172 PAwOBA .336 → .209 (−128)K% 26.7% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.74% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.47% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.42% | ÷0.986 | ×0.680 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 10.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.58% | ÷0.989 | ×0.600 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.936 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 3.89% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .336 → .209; ISO .233 → .123; BABIP .268 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Mariners · 145 PAwOBA .260 → .175 (−85)K% 35.2% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.17% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.938 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 18.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.75% | ÷0.940 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.012 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.59% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 88, 3B 87, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .260 → .175; ISO .076 → .043; BABIP .338 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).