Javier Salomon prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Javier Salomon P DSL Padres Brown

Age 19 LHP 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123132vR 140

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%21.1%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%3.4%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	11	8	23	117	19	23	4	73%	2.1	11.0%	24.6%	-13.5%	5.3%	9.13	8.17	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	11	8	23	117	19	23	4	73%	2.1	11.0%	24.6%	-13.5%	5.3%	9.13	8.17	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	11	8	23	117	19	23	4	73%	2.1	16.2%	19.7%	-3.4%	3.4%	9.13	6.76	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	19	MLB	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.1%	17.7%	3.4%	3.0%	5.61	5.61	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SD	4	4	21	90	20	14	3	100%	5.3	21.7%	15.1%	6.6%	3.0%	5.31	5.20	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	SD	2	2	11	46	10	7	1	100%	5.5	21.7%	15.1%	6.6%	3.0%	5.31	5.20	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	11	44	10	7	1	100%	5.3	21.7%	15.1%	6.6%	3.0%	5.31	4.82	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	190	133	19	100%	4.6	21.7%	15.1%	6.6%	3.0%	5.31	4.82	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		11	8	23	117	13	29	6	73%	2.1	11.0%	24.6%	-13.5%	5.3%	9.13	8.17	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	71	200	1032	114	254	54	73%	2.1	11.0%	24.6%	-13.5%	5.3%	9.13	8.17	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Javier Salomon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	21.1%	17.7%	3.0%	—	5.20	21.7%	6.6%	21	-0.41	—	—	—
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	82
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	81
Sandro Bargallo L 2021 · 6.70 FIP	19	SP-	6.70	15.8%	26.5%	2.9%	.308	4.91	19.2%	-3.1%	82	-1.79	4.16	129	77
Gabe Morales L 2018 · 5.12 FIP	19	SP-	5.12	19.3%	21.0%	1.8%	.313	4.23	22.9%	8.7%	124	-0.89	2.92	268	76
Dylan MacLean L 2021 · 6.38 FIP	19	SP	6.38	13.6%	27.9%	1.6%	.271	4.11	15.7%	5.3%	101	-2.27	3.45	282	72
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	71
Jeremy Peguero L 2021 · 4.63 FIP	19	SW	4.63	17.3%	17.2%	1.5%	.345	4.08	20.1%	0.6%	87	-0.55	3.52	126	71
Mavis Graves L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	19	SP	6.17	18.8%	22.2%	3.3%	.365	4.16	23.9%	10.0%	243	-2.01	3.10	277	71
Manuel Osorio L 2023 · 4.83 FIP	17	SP-	4.83	15.5%	17.7%	1.4%	.276	4.91	16.8%	-0.2%	130	+0.08	3.90	168	71
Liam Norris L 2021 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP	6.27	17.4%	30.7%	1.4%	.396	5.46	24.2%	4.1%	119	-0.81	3.98	184	71
Derek Corro L 2023 · 6.42 FIP	18	SP-	6.42	14.4%	26.5%	2.1%	.432	5.20	15.9%	-3.8%	67	-1.22	4.54	128	70
Roberto Medina L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	18	SP	4.85	21.6%	21.7%	1.5%	.313	5.67	16.4%	-2.1%	73	+0.82	3.87	109	70
Alexuan Vega L 2018 · 6.80 FIP	19	SP	6.80	11.5%	21.1%	3.6%	.306	5.64	13.6%	-7.7%	43	-1.16	5.05	111	70
Noel Vela L 2018 · 5.10 FIP	19	SP-	5.10	17.0%	16.0%	2.6%	.404	4.61	20.2%	5.2%	98	-0.49	4.48	255	69
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	69
Maddux Bruns L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP	4.54	23.0%	24.6%	0.5%	.340	4.43	20.8%	2.9%	175	-0.11	3.50	235	68
Joe Miller L 2022 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	17.4%	13.9%	2.0%	.375	4.22	16.0%	7.7%	273	-0.26	3.76	355	68
Hector Yan L 2018 · 5.96 FIP	19	SP	5.96	14.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.321	4.90	21.8%	6.6%	191	-1.06	3.48	268	68
Marino Santy L 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SP	4.90	17.4%	25.8%	0.0%	.277	4.73	19.0%	-1.7%	164	-0.17	3.91	270	68
Adam Shoemaker L 2022 · 4.46 FIP	19	SP-	4.46	13.9%	16.2%	0.9%	.320	5.32	17.9%	-2.3%	169	+0.86	4.41	246	67