Derek Corro
P
ACL Athletics
Age 21
LHP
5'11" / 145 lbs
ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132141vR 150
ERA5.85
FIP5.85
K%19.0%
BB%18.9%
K-BB%0.1%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 10 | 7 | 38 | 183 | 29 | 21 | 3 | 70% | 3.8 | 10.8% | 14.3% | -3.6% | 2.9% | 5.63 | 5.57 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 10 | 7 | 38 | 183 | 29 | 21 | 3 | 70% | 3.8 | 15.8% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 5.63 | 4.25 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 11 | 7 | 23 | 132 | 28 | 28 | 2 | 64% | 2.1 | 14.4% | 26.5% | -12.1% | 2.2% | 10.17 | 6.43 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 11 | 7 | 23 | 132 | 28 | 28 | 2 | 64% | 2.1 | 21.2% | 21.2% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 10.17 | 5.45 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 2 | 62 | 305 | 55 | 45 | 5 | 7% | 2.2 | 14.6% | 18.3% | -3.8% | 1.9% | 5.20 | 5.21 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 2 | 62 | 305 | 55 | 45 | 5 | 7% | 2.2 | 18.0% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 5.20 | 4.54 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 9 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.8% | 25.9% | -4.1% | 0.0% | 4.38 | 4.54 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 9 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 32.1% | 20.8% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 4.38 | 3.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 0 | 16 | 65 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 18.9% | 0.1% | 2.9% | 5.85 | 5.85 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 51 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 15.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 56 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 15.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 41 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 0 | 73 | 310 | 66 | 45 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 5.25 | 4.70 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 122 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 5.25 | 4.70 | -0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 58 | 16 | 136 | 673 | 95 | 131 | 14 | 28% | 2.3 | 14.1% | 19.4% | -5.4% | 2.0% | 6.09 | 5.49 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 24 | 200 | 990 | 139 | 192 | 20 | 28% | 2.3 | 14.1% | 19.4% | -5.4% | 2.0% | 6.09 | 5.49 | -1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Derek Corro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.85 | 19.0% | 18.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.12 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 120 | -0.73 | — | — | — |
| Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.55 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.55 | 17.4% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .312 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 151 | -0.81 | 3.66 | 239 | 79 |
| Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.00 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .272 | 4.44 | 20.9% | 6.1% | 59 | -1.56 | 3.57 | 243 | 78 |
| Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 78 |
| Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.82 | 17.0% | 26.0% | 1.6% | .303 | 5.06 | 17.3% | 3.2% | 136 | -0.76 | 4.73 | 182 | 77 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 77 |
| Alex Robinson L 2016 · 5.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.59 | 22.4% | 26.9% | 1.8% | .243 | 4.03 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 90 | -1.56 | 3.72 | 135 | 76 |
| Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.70 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.70 | 11.9% | 19.5% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 135 | 75 |
| Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.40 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.40 | 17.3% | 20.4% | 4.0% | .241 | 4.37 | 20.2% | 3.1% | 98 | -2.03 | 3.58 | 136 | 75 |
| Luis Silva L 2018 · 5.05 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.05 | 14.1% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .311 | 6.59 | 8.7% | -7.4% | 12 | +1.54 | 4.48 | 107 | 74 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 74 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 17.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .329 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 109 | -0.74 | 4.06 | 135 | 74 |
| Felix Polanco L 2021 · 5.46 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.46 | 16.1% | 13.0% | 3.8% | .275 | 4.30 | 18.8% | 6.2% | 51 | -1.16 | 3.64 | 105 | 73 |
| CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.77 | 18.8% | 18.7% | 1.6% | .286 | 3.97 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 109 | -0.80 | 3.35 | 268 | 73 |
| Ryan Wilson L 2018 · 4.93 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.93 | 16.2% | 13.8% | 2.6% | .279 | 4.41 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 113 | -0.52 | 3.43 | 222 | 73 |
| Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.67 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.67 | 20.8% | 16.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 4.35 | 19.1% | 7.7% | 394 | -1.32 | 3.48 | 440 | 73 |
| Max Green L 2018 · 4.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.97 | 15.7% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .352 | 4.40 | 13.9% | 6.6% | 86 | -0.57 | 4.23 | 169 | 73 |
| Bryan King L 2021 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.31 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 2.6% | .317 | 2.89 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 77 | -2.42 | 2.49 | 229 | 73 |
| Triston Polley L 2021 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 20.0% | 2.4% | .361 | 4.78 | 18.5% | 5.2% | 136 | -0.27 | 4.19 | 151 | 73 |
| Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.50 | 23.4% | 21.7% | 4.8% | .330 | 4.26 | 24.3% | 4.8% | 99 | -2.24 | 3.91 | 148 | 72 |
| Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.65 | 18.6% | 15.3% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.97 | 18.4% | -4.1% | 119 | -0.68 | 4.24 | 188 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 136 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | 162s | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 0.7 | 45 | 20.9% | 15.3% | 1.09 | 5.35 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 1.5 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 1.4 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 1.0 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 2.1 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 1.7 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 1.3 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |