Derek Corro — OGILVIE

Derek Corro P ACL Athletics

Age 21 LHP 5'11" / 145 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128136vR 144

ERA5.86

FIP5.86

K%19.0%

BB%18.9%

K-BB%0.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	7	38	183	29	21	3	70%	3.8	10.8%	14.3%	-3.6%	2.5%	5.63	5.40	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	10	7	38	183	29	21	3	70%	3.8	15.8%	11.5%	4.4%	1.6%	5.63	4.25	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	11	7	23	132	28	28	2	64%	2.1	14.4%	26.5%	-12.1%	2.1%	10.17	6.42	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	11	7	23	132	28	28	2	64%	2.1	14.4%	26.5%	-12.1%	2.1%	10.17	6.42	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	11	7	23	132	28	28	2	64%	2.1	21.2%	21.2%	0.0%	1.5%	10.17	5.45	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	2	62	305	55	45	5	7%	2.2	14.6%	18.3%	-3.8%	2.1%	5.20	5.35	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	2	62	305	55	45	5	7%	2.2	14.6%	18.3%	-3.8%	2.1%	5.20	5.35	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	2	62	305	55	45	5	7%	2.2	18.0%	14.8%	3.3%	1.6%	5.20	4.54	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	9	0	12	53	17	11	0	0%	1.4	21.8%	25.9%	-4.1%	0.0%	4.38	4.54	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	9	0	12	53	17	11	0	0%	1.4	21.8%	25.9%	-4.1%	0.0%	4.38	4.54	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	9	0	12	53	17	11	0	0%	1.4	32.1%	20.8%	11.3%	0.0%	4.38	3.02	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	OAK	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	19.0%	18.9%	0.1%	2.9%	5.86	5.86	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	OAK	56	0	59	249	51	39	7	0%	1.1	20.6%	15.8%	4.8%	2.8%	5.47	5.31	-0.5
2028	23	MLB MLE	OAK	58	0	61	258	56	36	7	0%	1.1	21.6%	13.8%	7.8%	2.8%	5.13	4.95	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	OAK	28	0	29	122	25	19	3	0%	1.0	20.6%	15.8%	4.8%	2.8%	5.47	5.31	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	OAK	43	0	45	190	41	26	5	0%	1.0	21.6%	13.8%	7.8%	2.8%	5.13	4.95	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		70	0	73	310	66	45	9	0%	1.0	21.2%	14.6%	6.6%	2.8%	5.26	4.71	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	122	24	0%	1.0	21.2%	14.6%	6.6%	2.8%	5.26	4.71	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		58	16	136	673	95	131	14	28%	2.3	14.1%	19.4%	-5.4%	2.1%	6.09	5.51	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	24	200	990	139	192	20	28%	2.3	14.1%	19.4%	-5.4%	2.1%	6.09	5.51	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Derek Corro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.86	19.0%	18.9%	2.9%	—	5.13	21.1%	6.3%	120	-0.73	—	—	—
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	79
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	78
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	78
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	77
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	77
Alex Robinson L 2016 · 5.59 FIP	21	SU	5.59	22.4%	26.9%	1.8%	.243	4.03	23.8%	8.8%	90	-1.56	3.69	135	76
Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SW	5.78	11.9%	19.5%	2.2%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	135	75
Luis Silva L 2018 · 5.05 FIP	21	SU	5.05	14.1%	13.4%	2.6%	.311	6.59	8.7%	-7.4%	12	+1.54	4.48	107	74
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	74
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	74
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	74
Felix Polanco L 2021 · 5.49 FIP	21	SU	5.49	16.1%	13.0%	3.8%	.275	4.39	18.8%	6.2%	51	-1.10	3.68	105	73
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	73
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	284	73
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	73
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	73
Blake Townsend L 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	18.3%	17.5%	3.8%	.170	3.73	18.1%	8.4%	167	-2.10	3.34	305	73
Ryan Wilson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	16.2%	13.8%	2.2%	.279	4.35	20.7%	10.3%	113	-0.37	3.43	222	73
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	73
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	20.9%	15.3%	1.10	5.36
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41