Marco Eluscat
P
ACL Padres
Age 20
LHP
6'1" / 145 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119129vR 138
ERA5.28
FIP5.28
K%19.1%
BB%13.9%
K-BB%5.1%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 8 | 0 | 11 | 54 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 11.3% | 16.2% | -4.9% | 3.2% | 7.94 | 5.94 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 8 | 0 | 11 | 54 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.7% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 7.94 | 4.51 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 12 | 11 | 47 | 208 | 58 | 24 | 4 | 92% | 3.9 | 19.0% | 14.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.55 | 4.95 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 12 | 11 | 47 | 208 | 58 | 24 | 4 | 92% | 3.9 | 27.9% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 1.9% | 5.55 | 3.27 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 11 | 3 | 27 | 132 | 26 | 28 | 0 | 27% | 2.4 | 13.4% | 26.5% | -13.1% | 0.0% | 5.06 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | SD | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.1% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.28 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | SD | — | — | 53 | 245 | 48 | 44 | 3 | — | — | 19.4% | 17.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 5.17 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | SD | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | SD | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 4.63 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 101 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 31 | 14 | 85 | 394 | 63 | 74 | 8 | 45% | 2.7 | 16.1% | 18.7% | -2.7% | 2.0% | 5.72 | 5.21 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 33 | 200 | 927 | 149 | 174 | 18 | 45% | 2.7 | 16.1% | 18.7% | -2.7% | 2.0% | 5.72 | 5.21 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marco Eluscat (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% | — | 5.01 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 28 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 83 |
| Brayan Restituyo L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.89 | 17.6% | 14.6% | 2.6% | .397 | 4.44 | 18.4% | 6.3% | 144 | -0.45 | 3.66 | 236 | 82 |
| Raúl Alcantara L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.6% | 12.8% | 2.5% | .295 | 4.64 | 19.0% | 4.2% | 229 | +0.18 | 3.82 | 396 | 81 |
| Steven Pérez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.56 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .305 | 5.01 | 20.2% | 5.6% | 116 | +0.45 | 3.80 | 329 | 81 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 80 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 79 |
| Zuher Yousuf L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.24 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 137 | 78 |
| Spencer Giesting L 2027 · 5.67 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.67 | 20.8% | 16.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 4.35 | 19.1% | 7.7% | 394 | -1.32 | 3.48 | 433 | 78 |
| Carlos Meza L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.06 | 15.5% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .325 | 4.67 | 20.6% | 4.4% | 138 | -0.39 | 3.72 | 229 | 78 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 77 |
| Colby Langford L 2028 · 5.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.24 | 21.6% | 22.5% | 2.0% | .273 | 6.09 | 22.9% | -1.5% | 95 | +0.85 | 4.82 | 153 | 76 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2029 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 76 |
| Bailey Horn L 2029 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 76 |
| Jack Patterson L 2028 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 76 |
| Andrew Faulkner L 2028 · 4.84 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.84 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.18 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 142 | -0.66 | 3.78 | 252 | 75 |
| Brayan De Paula L 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.00 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .272 | 4.44 | 20.9% | 6.1% | 59 | -1.56 | 3.57 | 243 | 75 |
| Connor Oliver L 2029 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.29 | 17.3% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .314 | 5.52 | 19.2% | 3.4% | 121 | +1.23 | 4.29 | 200 | 75 |
| Michael Kennedy L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.23 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 2.3% | .311 | 5.21 | 17.0% | 6.1% | 60 | +0.98 | 3.54 | 237 | 75 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.69 | 14.1% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .322 | 4.80 | 14.7% | 0.1% | 130 | +0.11 | 4.62 | 195 | 75 |
| Joe Adametz L 2029 · 6.11 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.11 | 19.0% | 15.0% | 5.0% | .158 | 4.40 | 15.5% | 5.8% | 211 | -1.71 | 3.68 | 236 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 1.15 | 5.18 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |