Marco Eluscat — OGILVIE

Marco Eluscat P ACL Padres

Age 20 LHP 6'1" / 145 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 138

ERA5.51

FIP5.51

K%19.1%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%3.3%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	8	0	11	54	9	7	1	0%	1.4	11.3%	16.2%	-4.9%	2.9%	7.94	5.76	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	8	0	11	54	9	7	1	0%	1.4	11.3%	16.2%	-4.9%	2.9%	7.94	5.76	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	8	0	11	54	9	7	1	0%	1.4	16.7%	13.0%	3.7%	1.9%	7.94	4.51	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	12	11	47	208	58	24	4	92%	3.9	19.0%	14.4%	4.5%	2.8%	5.55	4.87	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	12	11	47	208	58	24	4	92%	3.9	19.0%	14.4%	4.5%	2.8%	5.55	4.87	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	12	11	47	208	58	24	4	92%	3.9	27.9%	11.5%	16.3%	1.9%	5.55	3.27	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	8	3	18	88	18	16	0	38%	2.2	13.9%	22.7%	-8.8%	0.0%	7.64	4.80	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	8	3	18	88	18	16	0	38%	2.2	13.9%	22.7%	-8.8%	0.0%	7.64	4.80	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	SD	8	3	18	88	18	16	0	38%	2.2	20.5%	18.2%	2.3%	0.0%	7.64	3.68	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	9	9	44	187	37	26	5	100%	4.9	19.9%	14.0%	5.9%	2.9%	5.26	5.18	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	SD	4	4	22	93	18	13	3	100%	5.5	19.9%	14.0%	5.9%	2.9%	5.26	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	22	92	18	13	3	100%	5.5	19.9%	14.0%	5.9%	2.9%	5.26	4.80	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	165	119	27	100%	5.1	19.9%	14.0%	5.9%	2.9%	5.26	4.80	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		28	14	76	350	58	59	7	50%	2.7	16.5%	16.8%	-0.3%	2.1%	6.39	4.99	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	37	200	921	152	155	19	50%	2.7	16.5%	16.8%	-0.3%	2.1%	6.39	4.99	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marco Eluscat (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.51	19.1%	15.8%	3.0%	—	5.18	19.9%	5.9%	44	-0.33	—	—	—
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.31	18.9%	7.9%	394	-1.49	3.58	457	80
Brayan Restituyo L 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.6%	14.6%	2.5%	.397	4.46	18.4%	6.3%	144	-0.35	3.66	239	80
Juan Rojas L 2023 · 5.60 FIP	19	SP-	5.60	13.5%	14.4%	3.3%	.286	4.28	16.9%	2.0%	178	-1.32	2.74	282	79
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	78
Carlos Meza L 2021 · 5.03 FIP	20	SP-	5.03	15.5%	12.2%	3.1%	.325	4.67	20.6%	4.4%	138	-0.36	3.72	229	78
Gabriel Noguera L 2017 · 4.41 FIP	21	SP-	4.41	15.6%	15.0%	1.3%	.231	5.01	14.2%	2.1%	95	+0.60	4.41	174	77
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.64	21.9%	9.9%	152	-0.35	3.96	265	76
Steven Pérez L 2021 · 5.07 FIP	20	SW	5.07	18.3%	11.4%	3.8%	.305	4.81	20.2%	5.6%	116	-0.26	3.71	354	76
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	75
Osbriel Mogollon L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	19	SW	4.34	16.5%	16.9%	0.9%	.312	6.58	9.9%	-20.6%	33	+2.24	3.77	117	75
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	75
Luis Gutierrez L 2023 · 4.75 FIP	20	SW	4.75	14.7%	15.8%	1.6%	.374	4.08	16.2%	7.4%	210	-0.67	3.26	296	74
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	74
Parker Rigler L 2017 · 6.33 FIP	22	SP-	6.33	13.8%	13.3%	5.0%	.318	4.59	14.5%	4.0%	140	-1.74	4.59	192	74
Andrew Faulkner L 2015 · 4.74 FIP	22	SP-	4.74	18.0%	12.8%	2.8%	.290	4.06	17.7%	6.6%	142	-0.68	3.70	252	74
Gregory Reinoso L 2016 · 5.11 FIP	20	SP-	5.11	12.3%	15.6%	1.9%	.299	6.70	11.3%	-7.8%	29	+1.59	4.18	105	74
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	74
Jhon Medina L 2023 · 4.79 FIP	17	SW	4.79	12.7%	13.7%	1.9%	.271	5.04	14.7%	-1.5%	132	+0.25	3.31	168	74
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	73
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	19.6%	14.6%	1.14	5.35
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78