Osbriel Mogollon

Osbriel Mogollon P ACL Brewers

Age 22 LHP 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136144vR 152

ERA6.27

FIP6.27

K%18.8%

BB%21.9%

K-BB%-3.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	12	10	46	182	57	24	1	83%	3.8	21.3%	16.5%	4.8%	0.7%	2.74	3.77	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	12	10	46	182	57	24	1	83%	3.8	31.3%	13.2%	18.1%	0.5%	2.74	2.47	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	11	5	39	177	43	24	1	45%	3.5	16.5%	16.9%	-0.4%	0.9%	3.72	4.34	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	11	5	39	177	43	24	1	45%	3.5	16.5%	16.9%	-0.4%	0.9%	3.72	4.34	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	11	5	39	177	43	24	1	45%	3.5	24.3%	13.6%	10.7%	0.6%	3.72	3.07	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	33	177	25	44	1	0%	1.7	9.9%	30.5%	-20.5%	0.8%	7.99	6.58	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	33	177	25	44	1	0%	1.7	9.9%	30.5%	-20.5%	0.8%	7.99	6.58	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	33	177	25	44	1	0%	1.7	14.1%	24.9%	-10.7%	0.6%	7.99	6.01	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	MIL	2	0	2	8	2	2	0	0%	1.0	18.8%	21.9%	-3.2%	2.9%	6.27	6.27	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIL	29	0	30	129	26	23	4	0%	1.1	20.3%	18.2%	2.1%	2.9%	5.82	5.64	-0.4
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIL	14	0	15	63	13	12	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	18.2%	2.1%	2.9%	5.82	5.64	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	13	12	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	18.2%	2.1%	2.9%	5.82	5.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	160	27	0%	1.1	20.3%	18.2%	2.1%	2.9%	5.82	5.26	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		42	15	117	536	86	114	4	36%	2.8	16.0%	21.3%	-5.3%	0.8%	4.53	4.88	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	26	200	914	146	194	7	36%	2.8	16.0%	21.3%	-5.3%	0.8%	4.53	4.88	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Osbriel Mogollon (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.27	18.8%	21.9%	2.9%	—	5.64	20.3%	2.1%	30	-0.63	—	—	—
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	86
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	76
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	76
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	75
Bryan Warzek L 2019 · 5.92 FIP	22	SW	5.92	17.7%	24.4%	2.2%	.328	6.74	20.2%	1.9%	73	+0.82	1.91	138	73
Tyler Matzek L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SW	5.49	17.7%	23.2%	1.7%	.256	4.73	22.2%	0.9%	21	-0.76	1.60	190	72
Develson Aria L 2023 · 6.47 FIP	22	SW	6.47	16.7%	28.6%	2.1%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	137	72
Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SW	5.78	11.9%	19.5%	2.2%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	135	72
Salvador Montano L 2016 · 5.26 FIP	22	SW	5.26	20.3%	22.7%	1.8%	.179	4.44	21.6%	0.8%	53	-0.82	4.44	116	72
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	71
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	71
Victor Payano L 2015 · 6.06 FIP	22	SP-	6.06	14.8%	16.5%	3.9%	.287	4.82	20.5%	7.0%	225	-1.24	3.78	341	70
Javier Atencio L 2023 · 5.66 FIP	21	SP-	5.66	12.9%	18.4%	2.4%	.387	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	164	69
Scott Squier L 2015 · 5.28 FIP	22	SW	5.28	12.2%	11.2%	3.3%	.362	4.06	13.9%	7.9%	234	-1.22	3.29	276	69
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	67
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	67
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	67
Matt Imhof L 2016 · 5.68 FIP	22	SP-	5.68	15.9%	21.3%	2.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	131	67
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	66
Parker Rigler L 2017 · 6.33 FIP	22	SP-	6.33	13.8%	13.3%	5.0%	.318	4.59	14.5%	4.0%	140	-1.74	4.59	192	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	19.7%	19.7%	1.11	6.00
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99