Osbriel Mogollon
P
ACL Brewers
Age 22
LHP
5'10" / 160 lbs
ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104114vR 123
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%22.3%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%11.3%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 182 | 57 | 24 | 1 | 83% | 3.8 | 21.3% | 16.5% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 2.74 | 3.73 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 182 | 57 | 24 | 1 | 83% | 3.8 | 31.3% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 0.5% | 2.74 | 2.47 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 11 | 5 | 39 | 177 | 43 | 24 | 1 | 45% | 3.5 | 16.5% | 16.9% | -0.4% | 1.0% | 3.72 | 4.40 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 11 | 5 | 39 | 177 | 43 | 24 | 1 | 45% | 3.5 | 24.3% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 0.6% | 3.72 | 3.07 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 33 | 177 | 25 | 44 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 9.9% | 30.5% | -20.5% | 0.9% | 7.99 | 6.61 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 33 | 177 | 25 | 44 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.1% | 24.9% | -10.7% | 0.6% | 7.99 | 6.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 3.99 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 77 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 15 | 117 | 536 | 86 | 114 | 4 | 36% | 2.8 | 16.0% | 21.3% | -5.3% | 0.8% | 4.53 | 4.90 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 26 | 200 | 914 | 146 | 194 | 8 | 36% | 2.8 | 16.0% | 21.3% | -5.3% | 0.8% | 4.53 | 4.90 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Osbriel Mogollon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 22.3% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.37 | 23.1% | 13.1% | 21 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Matt Osterberg L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 85 |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 81 |
| Josh Simpson L 2027 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 79 |
| Dante Biasi L 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 79 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 77 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 77 |
| Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 76 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 76 |
| Tucker Novotny L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .272 | 4.65 | 17.9% | 0.5% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.81 | 112 | 76 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 76 |
| Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.53 | 13.8% | -0.3% | 43 | +0.49 | 4.04 | 197 | 75 |
| Jack Patterson L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 75 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 75 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 74 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 74 |
| James Reeves L 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 73 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 73 |
| Chase Watkins L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 73 |
| Connor Oliver L 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.29 | 17.3% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .314 | 5.52 | 19.2% | 3.4% | 121 | +1.23 | 4.29 | 200 | 73 |
| Jeffrey Springs L 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.13 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .265 | 3.59 | 25.7% | 16.0% | 233 | -0.54 | 1.39 | 861 | 72 |