Elkyns Villarreal
P
DSL Giants Black
Age 19
RHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%22.0%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 12 | 10 | 31 | 142 | 24 | 17 | 1 | 83% | 2.6 | 11.5% | 15.0% | -3.5% | 1.2% | 3.45 | 4.68 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 12 | 10 | 31 | 142 | 24 | 17 | 1 | 83% | 2.6 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 3.45 | 3.61 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 16 | 9 | 38 | 180 | 39 | 32 | 1 | 56% | 2.4 | 14.7% | 22.2% | -7.5% | 0.8% | 4.97 | 5.13 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 16 | 9 | 38 | 180 | 39 | 32 | 1 | 56% | 2.4 | 21.7% | 17.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 4.97 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 9 | 2 | 10 | 63 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 22% | 1.1 | 10.8% | 43.7% | -32.9% | 0.0% | 18.62 | 7.72 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | SF | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.57 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | SF | — | — | 31 | 153 | 30 | 32 | 3 | — | — | 19.5% | 20.8% | -1.3% | 1.7% | 8.96 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SF | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SF | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.02 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 91 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 37 | 21 | 79 | 385 | 50 | 89 | 3 | 57% | 2.1 | 12.9% | 23.1% | -10.2% | 0.8% | 6.04 | 5.39 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 53 | 200 | 975 | 126 | 225 | 8 | 57% | 2.1 | 12.9% | 23.1% | -10.2% | 0.8% | 6.04 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Elkyns Villarreal (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.40 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 22 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Luis Victorino R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.27 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .301 | 4.95 | 15.9% | -5.0% | 84 | +0.68 | 4.27 | 148 | 82 |
| Alimber Santa R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.85 | 17.0% | 11.4% | 3.2% | .304 | 5.11 | 20.9% | 1.8% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.22 | 255 | 82 |
| Luis Aguilar R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.54 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .356 | 4.26 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 111 | -0.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 80 |
| Deretd Parra R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 80 |
| Carson Rudd R 2029 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 79 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 79 |
| Juan Mendez R 2029 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 79 |
| Jose Morban R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.42 | 18.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .333 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 61 | -0.44 | 3.98 | 178 | 79 |
| Jerming Rosario R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.83 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 4.0% | .303 | 4.38 | 20.9% | 5.7% | 281 | -0.45 | 3.05 | 483 | 78 |
| Eccel Correa R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 78 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2028 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 77 |
| Ricardo Brizuela R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.86 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .375 | 4.52 | 16.0% | 7.1% | 208 | +0.66 | 3.35 | 246 | 77 |
| Michael Dominguez R 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.82 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .218 | 4.83 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 110 | +1.01 | 3.82 | 383 | 77 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2028 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 76 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.69 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .260 | 4.57 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 177 | +0.88 | 3.69 | 247 | 76 |
| Saul Teran R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 76 |
| Jose Vasquez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.20 | 21.9% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .359 | 6.76 | 14.4% | -12.1% | 45 | +2.56 | 4.20 | 102 | 76 |
| Accimias Morales R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.31 | 18.5% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .362 | 4.99 | 16.8% | -4.2% | 55 | +0.68 | 2.52 | 109 | 76 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 75 |
| Leury Tejada R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.03 | 16.5% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .286 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 6.2% | 39 | +1.03 | 4.03 | 183 | 75 |