Elkyns Villarreal

Elkyns Villarreal P DSL Giants Black

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 13 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA5.99

FIP5.99

K%19.0%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.0%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	10	31	142	24	17	1	83%	2.6	11.5%	15.0%	-3.5%	1.1%	3.45	4.62	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	10	31	142	24	17	1	83%	2.6	11.5%	15.0%	-3.5%	1.1%	3.45	4.62	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	12	10	31	142	24	17	1	83%	2.6	16.9%	12.0%	4.9%	0.7%	3.45	3.61	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	16	9	38	180	39	32	1	56%	2.4	14.7%	22.2%	-7.5%	0.8%	4.97	5.11	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	16	9	38	180	39	32	1	56%	2.4	14.7%	22.2%	-7.5%	0.8%	4.97	5.11	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	16	9	38	180	39	32	1	56%	2.4	21.7%	17.8%	3.9%	0.6%	4.97	3.92	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	10	2	11	67	11	22	0	20%	1.1	11.2%	41.0%	-29.9%	0.0%	16.36	7.36	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	10	2	11	67	11	22	0	20%	1.1	11.2%	41.0%	-29.9%	0.0%	16.36	7.36	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	10	2	11	67	11	22	0	20%	1.1	16.4%	32.8%	-16.4%	0.0%	16.36	7.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	SF	12	0	13	55	10	11	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	20.0%	-1.0%	2.9%	5.99	5.99	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SF	34	0	36	152	31	26	4	0%	1.1	20.1%	16.8%	3.3%	2.8%	5.61	5.47	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	SF	17	0	18	76	15	13	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	16.8%	3.3%	2.8%	5.61	5.47	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	75	15	13	2	0%	1.0	20.1%	16.8%	3.3%	2.8%	5.61	5.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	147	23	0%	1.1	20.1%	16.8%	3.3%	2.8%	5.61	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		38	21	80	389	50	89	3	55%	2.1	12.9%	22.8%	-9.9%	0.8%	5.94	5.32	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	52	200	968	125	221	7	55%	2.1	12.9%	22.8%	-9.9%	0.8%	5.94	5.32	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elkyns Villarreal (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.99	19.0%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.47	20.1%	3.3%	36	-0.52	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	87
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	83
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	83
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	82
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	81
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	81
Cesar Espinal R 2024 · 5.75 FIP	18	SW	5.75	16.8%	25.5%	1.5%	.300	6.38	15.7%	-1.8%	36	+0.63	4.28	109	80
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	80
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	80
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	80
Jesus Tillero R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	18	SP-	5.94	13.3%	18.0%	3.1%	.274	5.23	14.8%	3.8%	129	-0.71	2.26	180	79
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	79
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	79
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	78
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	78
Wellington Aracena R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	19	SP-	5.43	18.9%	24.7%	1.5%	.343	3.94	20.0%	4.8%	196	-1.49	3.20	304	77
Aneuris Rodriguez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	20	SW	5.22	16.0%	18.8%	2.0%	.310	6.65	14.6%	-15.5%	14	+1.43	3.15	118	77
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	77
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	77