Fernando Pena

C DSL Giants Orange

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Giants Or…	93	.276/.409/.368	1	1	55	—	.190/.312/.228
2026	19	ROKDSL Giants Or…	114	.325/.514/.500	3	1	99	—	.221/.396/.326
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSF	224	.219/.307/.302	2	3	76	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSF	63	.219/.307/.307	1	1	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSF	152	.222/.309/.316	2	3	83	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA96

wRC+95

K%82

Chase%77

ISO76

BB%71

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsNacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20) · Luis Caicuto (age 20) · Jacob Reimer (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .304 / .299

PA97

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	43	10	1	0	0	9	16	5	0	0	233	421	256	677	23	370	28	16	340	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	76	21	4	0	1	11	16	6	1	0	276	409	368	777	92	339	17	12	363	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	114	80	26	5	0	3	21	17	10	1	1	325	514	500	1.014	175	371	15	18	447	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	45	8	1	0	0	7	19	5	0	0	178	351	200	551	22	261	33	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	79	15	3	0	0	8	20	6	1	0	190	312	228	540	38	238	22	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	114	86	19	3	0	2	15	21	10	1	1	221	396	326	722	105	245	18	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	45	8	1	0	0	7	19	5	0	0	178	351	200	551	22	308	33	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	43	10	1	0	0	9	16	5	0	0	233	421	256	677	23	370	28	16	340	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	79	15	3	0	0	8	20	6	1	0	190	312	228	540	38	254	22	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	76	21	4	0	1	11	16	6	1	0	276	409	368	777	92	339	17	12	363	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	114	86	19	3	0	2	15	21	10	1	1	221	396	326	722	105	262	18	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	114	80	26	5	0	3	21	17	10	1	1	325	514	500	1.014	175	371	15	18	447	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	45	8	1	0	0	7	19	5	0	0	178	351	200	551	22	261	33	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	79	15	3	0	0	8	20	6	1	0	190	312	228	540	38	238	22	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	114	88	19	3	0	2	15	21	10	1	1	216	396	318	715	102	245	18	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	45	8	1	0	0	7	19	5	0	0	178	351	200	551	22	261	33	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	79	15	3	0	0	8	20	6	1	0	190	312	228	540	38	238	22	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	114	88	19	3	0	2	15	21	10	1	1	216	396	318	715	102	245	18	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SF	0%	224	197	43	7	1	2	19	59	6	3	1	219	307	302	609	83	297	26	8	281	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SF	34%	183	160	36	6	1	2	16	47	5	3	1	223	310	314	624	91	297	26	9	287	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	SF	48%	313	275	62	10	2	4	27	80	8	5	2	226	312	324	636	98	298	26	9	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	SF	54%	402	354	81	14	2	6	35	102	10	7	3	228	314	332	646	104	299	25	9	295	86	-7	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	SF	55%	462	408	94	16	2	8	40	116	11	8	3	230	315	338	654	108	299	25	9	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	SF	56%	496	439	101	17	3	9	43	124	11	9	4	231	316	343	659	112	299	25	9	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	SF	56%	516	454	105	18	3	9	45	129	12	9	4	231	316	343	659	112	298	25	9	300	89	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	SF	55%	520	458	106	18	3	9	45	130	12	9	4	230	315	341	656	111	298	25	9	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	SF	55%	520	458	106	18	3	9	45	132	12	8	4	228	313	336	649	108	297	25	9	296	86	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	SF	58%	517	457	102	17	2	8	44	132	11	8	4	226	310	329	640	104	296	26	9	292	84	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	SF	60%	509	450	101	17	2	8	43	132	11	7	5	223	307	321	628	99	294	26	8	287	81	-12	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	SF	62%	481	427	93	15	2	7	41	127	10	6	7	218	302	311	613	93	291	26	9	281	77	-13	-2	-3	+9	+10	0.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	SF	63%	450	401	86	14	2	6	37	120	9	5	12	213	296	299	595	86	287	27	8	274	72	-15	-4	-4	+8	+10	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	SF	34%	63	56	12	2	0	1	5	16	2	1	0	219	307	307	614	88	294	25	8	283	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	SF	48%	152	134	30	5	1	2	13	39	4	3	1	222	309	316	625	94	294	26	9	287	83	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	SF	54%	218	192	42	7	1	3	19	55	5	4	2	224	311	324	635	100	295	25	9	291	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	SF	55%	256	226	51	9	1	4	22	64	6	5	2	226	312	330	642	104	295	25	9	293	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	SF	56%	278	246	56	10	1	5	24	69	6	5	2	227	313	335	647	107	295	25	9	295	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	SF	56%	290	256	59	10	2	5	25	72	7	5	2	227	312	335	647	108	294	25	9	295	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	SF	55%	288	254	57	10	1	5	25	72	7	5	2	226	312	332	644	106	294	25	9	294	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	SF	55%	285	252	56	10	1	4	25	72	6	5	2	224	310	328	637	103	293	25	9	291	86	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	SF	58%	300	264	59	10	1	5	26	77	7	5	3	222	307	322	628	100	292	26	9	288	84	-6	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	SF	60%	307	271	59	10	1	4	26	80	7	4	3	219	303	314	617	95	290	26	8	283	81	-7	-0	-1	+5	+7	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	SF	62%	297	264	57	10	1	4	25	78	6	4	4	215	299	304	603	89	287	26	8	277	77	-8	-1	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	SF	63%	282	251	53	9	1	3	23	75	6	3	7	210	293	293	585	83	283	27	8	270	72	-10	-2	-2	+5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3016	2666	591	102	12	45	258	769	69	49	30	222	307	320	626	98	293	25	9	287	83	-59	-2	-6	+54	+65	5.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	128	22	3	10	56	166	15	11	6	223	309	323	632	101	294	26	9	287	83	-13	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5730	5037	1134	190	28	88	499	1456	146	87	55	225	313	326	639	101	297	25	9	291	83	-106	-5	-10	+98	+118	9.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	129	22	3	10	57	165	17	10	6	226	315	327	642	102	298	25	9	291	83	-13	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Bill Rariden'09-'20 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,305 PA	5.0	3,305	7	47	232*	319*	351*	+59	+0	11.8	12.1
/162	664	1	9	+11.8	+0.1	2.4	pk7: 12
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Al Evans'39-'51 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,322 PA	3.5	2,322	13	14	241*	311*	352*	+42	+0	7.0	7.0
/162	664	4	4	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.7	3,112	49	49	226	308	329	+56	+32	7.6	6.8
/162	664	10	10	+11.9	+6.8	1.6	pk7: 6
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fernando Pena (OGILVIE)	20	55→60	35→40	44→49	64	217/304/299	82	297	1	1	26%	9%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	52	39→45	50	52	244/318/335	91	274	6	10	13%	7%	88	+0.5	225/293/315	90	280	7	8	21%	7%	74	-0.5	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Josh Morgan 2016 · A	20	54→57	36→45	46→40	49	253/324/318	65	307	4	7	18%	7%	86	+0.3	245/297/325	80	293	6	4	18%	6%	77	-0.3	240/288/318	78	285	6	2	17%	5%	70	-0.6
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Yeiner Fernandez 2023 · A	20	52→53	41→40	43→45	46	251/312/352	101	307	9	4	21%	6%	90	+0.6	237/302/319	82	282	6	5	17%	7%	78	-0.3	233/299/299	66	274	4	5	16%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	226/291/320	94	287	8	6	23%	8%	74	-0.5	244/314/326	82	314	5	4	22%	8%	84	+0.2	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Euribiel Angeles 2022 · A	20	56→62	39→40	51→50	44	263/313/353	91	333	5	13	22%	6%	90	+0.6	245/277/329	84	298	6	13	19%	4%	70	-0.8	243/278/327	84	280	6	17	15%	4%	67	-0.9
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	48	41→30	47→45	49	228/316/330	102	281	8	6	21%	8%	88	+0.4	213/315/286	73	292	4	7	26%	10%	78	-0.3	207/330/269	62	273	4	7	22%	12%	77	-0.2
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Rubén Tejada 2010 · AA	20	53→62	37→40	51→50	47	248/300/324	76	291	4	12	16%	6%	78	-0.3	257/311/327	70	304	3	8	15%	6%	83	+0.1	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3

Fernando Pena

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps