Jake Bennett

C Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 22 R/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1366ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	ATOR	85	.278/.388/.639	7	1	95	—	.203/.306/.459
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBTOR	195	.209/.280/.367	6	3	81	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBTOR	39	.212/.283/.372	1	1	83	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBTOR	86	.215/.286/.376	3	1	85	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV98

Speed46

Chase%42

BB%31

K%23

Z-Con%12

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsTucker Mitchell (age 23) · Eddys Leonard (age 22) · Yu Chang (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .277 / .363

PA58

HR2

K%34

BB%7

ISO158

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	85	72	20	3	1	7	8	28	5	1	0	278	388	639	1.027	361	351	33	9	440	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	85	74	15	2	1	5	6	38	5	1	0	203	306	459	765	257	304	45	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	85	74	15	2	1	5	6	38	5	1	0	203	306	459	765	257	323	45	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	85	72	20	3	1	7	8	28	5	1	0	278	388	639	1.027	361	351	33	9	440	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	85	74	15	2	1	5	6	38	5	1	0	203	306	459	765	257	304	45	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	85	74	15	2	1	5	6	38	5	1	0	203	306	459	765	257	304	45	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	195	176	37	6	2	6	13	66	4	3	1	209	280	367	646	158	291	34	7	288	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	113	102	23	4	1	4	8	38	2	2	0	211	283	371	654	159	291	34	7	291	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	TOR	46%	186	167	35	6	1	6	13	61	4	3	1	214	285	374	660	160	292	33	7	294	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	251	226	49	8	2	8	18	81	5	4	1	216	287	377	664	161	292	32	7	296	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	303	272	59	10	2	10	22	96	6	5	1	217	289	378	667	161	292	32	7	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	330	297	65	11	2	11	24	104	6	5	2	217	289	377	666	159	291	32	7	297	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	344	310	66	11	2	11	25	109	6	5	2	216	287	372	659	156	290	32	7	294	85	-6	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	341	308	65	11	2	10	24	109	6	5	2	213	284	366	650	153	288	32	7	290	83	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	336	303	64	11	2	10	24	108	6	4	2	210	281	358	638	148	286	32	7	286	79	-8	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	305	276	57	9	2	9	21	99	5	4	3	206	276	348	624	142	283	32	7	280	75	-9	-0	-3	+5	+7	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	39	35	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	212	283	372	656	160	293	33	8	292	83	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TOR	46%	86	78	17	3	1	3	6	28	2	1	0	215	286	376	662	161	294	33	7	295	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	130	117	25	4	1	4	9	42	3	2	1	217	288	378	666	161	294	32	7	297	86	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	164	148	31	5	1	5	12	52	3	2	1	218	290	379	669	161	293	32	7	298	87	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	179	161	35	6	1	6	13	56	3	3	1	218	290	378	668	160	293	31	7	298	87	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	187	168	36	6	1	6	14	59	3	3	1	216	288	373	661	157	291	32	7	295	85	-3	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	181	163	35	6	1	6	13	58	3	2	1	214	285	367	652	153	290	32	7	291	83	-4	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	176	158	34	6	1	5	13	57	3	2	1	211	281	359	640	148	287	32	7	286	79	-4	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	159	144	30	5	1	5	11	52	3	2	2	207	276	349	626	143	284	33	7	280	75	-5	-0	-1	+3	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1301	1172	250	42	8	41	94	417	24	18	8	213	285	368	653	154	290	32	7	292	84	-26	+0	-4	+23	+28	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	124	21	4	20	47	208	12	9	4	212	284	363	647	152	288	32	7	292	84	-13	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2652	2388	509	85	17	86	189	863	52	39	14	213	285	371	656	158	291	33	7	292	84	-51	+2	-7	+46	+56	4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	125	21	4	21	46	212	13	10	3	214	286	371	657	157	292	33	7	292	84	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADunedin Blue Jays · 85 PAwOBA .428 → .309 (−119)K% 32.9% → 44.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.94%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	44.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.41%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	—	6.49%
HBP% /PA	5.88%	—	×0.780	—	—	4.59%
Singles /BIP	20.45%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	—	18.82%
Doubles /BIP	6.82%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	—	5.66%
Triples /BIP	2.27%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	—	2.07%
Home runs /BIP	15.91%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	—	12.73%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .428 → .309; ISO .361 → .250; BABIP .351 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ron Karkovice'86-'97 * career totals — 12 seasons, 2,948 PA	4.4	2,948	96	24	215*	282*	390*	+52	+0	7.6	8.1
/162	664	22	5	+11.7	+0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Chris Widger'95-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,998 PA	3.0	1,998	55	10	227*	283*	381*	+33	-0	3.6	4.1
/162	664	18	3	+11.1	-0.2	1.2	pk7: 5
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.0	1,358	42	19	214	282	370	+24	+24	3.5	3.3
/162	664	21	9	+11.9	+11.7	1.7	pk7: 3
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Bennett (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	207/277/363	157	291	2	1	34%	7%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→47	48→50	45→50	42	226/295/372	146	296	15	5	28%	6%	89	+0.5	222/280/363	141	284	16	8	27%	6%	81	-0.1	215/271/359	144	269	17	9	26%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	38→47	50	49→45	40	199/259/356	156	271	17	9	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/277/354	137	301	14	7	31%	7%	78	-0.3	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Connor Wong 2018 · A	22	47→55	49→55	46→50	38	233/283/379	145	326	17	7	33%	5%	85	+0.2	210/263/373	163	337	21	8	42%	6%	77	-0.3	242/296/383	141	316	16	10	28%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	22	43→44	50	47→45	38	214/279/373	159	324	18	4	38%	7%	83	+0.1	203/269/339	136	314	17	6	38%	8%	72	-0.7	194/263/327	133	302	17	7	39%	8%	64	-1.0
✕Ryan Casteel 2014 · A	23	43→49	53→55	48→40	41	225/278/401	176	294	21	4	31%	6%	88	+0.5	232/275/368	136	310	15	5	29%	5%	80	-0.2	230/268/344	114	311	12	4	29%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Freuddy Batista 2022 · A	22	38	50	46→40	41	202/264/358	156	275	19	7	33%	7%	74	-0.5	203/263/329	126	302	12	6	35%	6%	67	-1.1	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	41→51	51→55	50	37	208/267/368	160	305	19	14	37%	6%	78	-0.3	244/288/399	155	319	17	13	28%	5%	92	+0.7	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Kendall Simmons 2022 · A	22	41	48→50	49→50	39	208/274/357	149	292	15	9	33%	6%	78	-0.3	200/263/343	143	284	16	9	34%	6%	70	-0.8	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	44→45	50	53→55	46	221/292/385	164	297	17	9	31%	9%	90	+0.6	211/284/353	142	277	15	19	28%	8%	80	-0.1	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	43→51	47→50	51→60	39	215/265/348	133	294	15	16	31%	6%	72	-0.7	215/279/342	127	288	12	32	28%	7%	76	-0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	43→45	48→55	44→40	40	219/279/357	139	300	16	5	32%	6%	79	-0.2	222/269/363	141	295	16	3	30%	5%	76	-0.4	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→52	46→45	50→40	42	231/293/362	131	322	13	8	31%	7%	85	+0.2	230/295/359	129	310	12	3	28%	8%	85	+0.2	226/292/357	131	305	12	1	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Rylan Bannon 2018 · A	22	45→47	50	51→50	44	233/296/384	151	285	19	8	25%	7%	92	+0.7	222/293/367	145	291	16	5	28%	8%	86	+0.3	194/292/330	136	256	16	12	29%	11%	76	-0.3
✕Michael Chavis 2018 · AA	22	41→46	53→60	47→45	36	216/264/387	171	283	21	4	32%	5%	81	-0.1	237/292/419	182	316	24	6	32%	6%	99	+1.2	237/296/422	185	318	26	5	33%	7%	100	+0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	38→42	48→55	46→50	35	200/242/343	143	282	16	6	35%	5%	61	-1.5	216/272/376	160	285	20	8	31%	6%	81	-0.1	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Tyler Ogle 2013 · A	22	46→43	49→50	45→30	44	233/294/379	146	292	17	5	26%	7%	90	+0.6	219/305/352	133	265	15	3	22%	10%	88	+0.4	209/298/348	138	250	17	2	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→36	49→50	53→50	39	208/269/355	147	289	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.5	208/272/340	132	295	14	10	33%	6%	73	-0.6	202/272/344	143	283	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Charles McAdoo 2024 · A	22	49→47	49→50	50→55	48	243/314/390	147	311	17	12	27%	9%	99	+1.3	223/285/364	141	308	16	19	31%	7%	82	+0.0	218/283/359	140	297	16	21	31%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Chris Wallace 2011 · A	23	46→41	47→55	47→45	37	228/280/359	131	318	15	6	32%	5%	80	-0.2	225/277/362	137	309	15	4	31%	5%	80	-0.2	222/274/358	136	307	15	2	31%	5%	75	-0.2

Jake Bennett

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps