Juan Martinez

SS Fresno Grizzlies
Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP40OGV rank#204ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Brewers 1195.256/.352/.35101526—.155/.238/.207
202518ROKDSL Brewers G…191.321/.445/.53222467—.194/.304/.309
202619A/ROK2 orgs347.300/.412/.47982996—.249/.333/.396
2027PROJMLE20MLBCOL457.243/.324/.374813980.8
2028PROJ35% MLB21MLBCOL104.261/.341/.420231020.4
2029PROJ54% MLB22MLBCOL212.263/.344/.428551050.9
Next 3 projected WAR 2.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%88
Z-Con%87
Whiff%74
ISO71
wOBA63
wRC+61
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 32, comp-based) · star 11% · didn't stick 66%
CompsAdael Amador (age 20) · J.P. Crawford (age 20) · Juan Brito (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†98
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .322 / .370
PA210
HR4
SB6
K%18
BB%10
ISO131
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.01.12.10.40.91.21.41.51.61.51.41.20.927282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$72M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$7M
2035Arb-1$5M+1.4$6M+$4M
2036Arb-2$7M+1.2$5M+$2M
2037Arb-3$9M+0.9$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $15M $36M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 1 — 195168 43650 20235 151 256352351704 95293 1210 320 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Brewers Gold — 191156 501372 30225 241 321445532977 212364 1216 430 67 — — — — — —
202619 AFresno Grizzlies — 183158 40642 23271 84 253352380731 127292 1513 330 75 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Brewers — 164132 471216 28193 213 3564795981.077 242380 1217 467 120 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 195174 27330 14285 151 155238207445 52182 147 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Gold — 191165 32841 21285 241 194304309613 115222 1511 267 67 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 183164 37542 17371 84 226302341644 116275 209 279 75 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 164142 39915 18273 213 275368458826 183294 1611 346 120 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 195174 27330 14285 151 155238207445 52182 147 206 26 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 1 — 195168 43650 20235 151 256352351704 95293 1210 320 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Gold — 191165 32841 21285 241 194304309613 115228 1511 267 67 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Brewers Gold — 191156 501372 30225 241 321445532977 212364 1216 430 67 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 347307 751447 34644 297 244328384712 140286 1810 311 96 — — — — — —
202619 A RAW2 teams — 347290 871858 51464 297 300412479891 179332 1315 395 96 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 195174 27330 14285 151 155238207445 52182 147 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Gold — 191163 32841 21285 241 196304313617 117222 1511 267 67 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 347306 751447 34644 297 245328386713 141284 1810 311 96 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 195174 27330 14285 151 155238207445 52182 147 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Gold — 191163 32841 21285 241 196304313617 117222 1511 267 67 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 347306 751447 34644 297 245328386713 141284 1810 311 96 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECOL 0% 457406 981958 44824 133 243324374698 131284 1810 313 98 -1 +1 -0 +5 +10 0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECOL 35% 300265 651336 29543 82 246328385713 139285 1810 319 102 +1 +1 -0 +3 +6 1.1
202922 MLB MLECOL 54% 396350 871749 39714 102 248330392722 144286 1810 323 105 +2 +1 -0 +4 +9 1.6
203023 MLB MLECOL 64% 455403 10019510 44825 102 250331397728 147287 1810 325 106 +3 +1 -0 +5 +10 1.9
203124 MLB MLECOL 67% 493437 11021512 48895 102 251332400733 150288 1810 327 107 +4 +1 -0 +5 +11 2.2
203225 MLB MLECOL 69% 516456 11422512 50945 102 251332402734 151288 1810 327 108 +5 +1 -0 +6 +11 2.3
203326 MLB MLECOL 71% 527466 11823513 51965 102 251332401733 151288 1810 327 107 +5 +1 -0 +6 +11 2.3
203427 MLB MLECOL 70% 527466 11522512 51975 102 250331399730 149288 1810 326 107 +4 +1 -0 +6 +11 2.2
203528 MLB MLECOL 69% 522461 11522512 51975 82 248329394724 147287 1910 323 105 +3 +1 -1 +6 +11 2.0
203629 MLB MLECOL 67% 511451 11121511 50965 72 245326388715 143286 1910 320 103 +2 +1 -2 +5 +11 1.7
203730 MLB MLECOL 66% 498442 10821411 48965 62 243323381704 138284 1910 315 100 -0 +0 -2 +5 +11 1.4
203831 MLB MLECOL 65% 481428 10320410 46944 53 239318371690 133282 2010 310 96 -2 -0 -3 +5 +10 1.0
203932 MLB MLECOL 65% 460410 961849 43924 36 233312359671 126278 209 302 91 -5 -2 -4 +5 +10 0.4
204033 MLB MLECOL 71% 425380 851637 39883 328 227305344649 117274 219 293 85 -8 -11 -5 +5 +9 -0.9
202821 MLB CTXCOL 35% 10492 25522 10191 31 261341420762 159302 1810 338 102 +0 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.4
202922 MLB CTXCOL 54% 212187 49935 21382 51 263344428772 165303 1810 342 105 +1 +1 -0 +2 +5 0.9
203023 MLB CTXCOL 64% 289256 671347 28523 72 265345433778 169304 1810 344 106 +2 +1 -0 +3 +6 1.2
203124 MLB CTXCOL 67% 331293 791559 32603 72 266346437783 171305 1810 346 107 +3 +1 -0 +4 +7 1.4
203225 MLB CTXCOL 69% 358316 8516510 35654 72 266346438784 172305 1810 346 108 +3 +1 -0 +4 +8 1.5
203326 MLB CTXCOL 71% 372329 8716510 36684 72 266345438783 172304 1810 346 107 +3 +1 -0 +4 +8 1.6
203427 MLB CTXCOL 70% 368325 8616510 36684 72 265344435779 170304 1810 345 107 +3 +1 -0 +4 +8 1.5
203528 MLB CTXCOL 69% 362320 841659 35674 62 263342430772 167303 1910 342 105 +2 +0 -1 +4 +8 1.4
203629 MLB CTXCOL 67% 345306 791549 33653 51 260339423763 163302 1910 338 103 +1 +1 -1 +4 +7 1.2
203730 MLB CTXCOL 66% 330292 751448 32633 41 257336415751 158300 1910 333 100 -0 +0 -2 +4 +7 0.9
203831 MLB CTXCOL 65% 315279 701347 30623 32 252331404735 151297 2010 327 96 -2 -0 -2 +3 +7 0.6
203932 MLB CTXCOL 65% 299267 661246 28602 24 247324390715 143294 209 319 91 -3 -1 -2 +3 +6 0.3
204033 MLB CTXCOL 71% 302269 661246 28622 220 240317374690 134289 219 309 85 -6 -8 -3 +3 +7 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 39873531 9181725498 38474938 6542 260339423762 163303 1910 337 98 +8 -4 -13 +43 +86 12.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 15028916 631226 117 260340424764 163303 1910 337 98 +1 -1 -2 +7 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 70546247 150628970146 678130474 17467 241323380702 139281 1810 314 98 +13 -2 -19 +68 +137 20.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 13827613 621207 166 240321375696 135280 1810 314 98 +1 -0 -2 +7 +14 2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 183 PAwOBA .324 → .279 (−45)K% 14.8% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.75%÷1.000×1.360——20.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.57%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0459.06%
HBP% /PA0.55%—×0.780—×1.0450.45%
Singles /BIP21.37%÷1.000×0.920×0.997×1.04520.49%
Doubles /BIP4.58%÷1.000×0.830×0.997×1.0453.96%
Triples /BIP3.05%÷1.000×0.910×0.997×1.0452.90%
Home runs /BIP1.53%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0451.28%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .324 → .279; ISO .127 → .111; BABIP .292 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Brewers · 164 PAwOBA .458 → .346 (−112)K% 11.6% → 16.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.59%÷1.000×1.440——16.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.07%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00810.66%
HBP% /PA1.83%—×0.720—×1.0081.33%
Singles /BIP24.78%÷1.000×0.820×0.987×1.00820.21%
Doubles /BIP10.62%÷1.000×0.720×0.987×1.0087.60%
Triples /BIP0.88%÷1.000×0.720×0.987×1.0080.63%
Home runs /BIP5.31%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0084.17%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .458 → .346; ISO .242 → .190; BABIP .380 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Brewers Gold · 191 PAwOBA .420 → .267 (−152)K% 11.5% → 14.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.52%÷0.947×1.220——14.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.71%÷1.021×0.700—×1.00810.85%
HBP% /PA2.62%—×0.700—×1.0081.85%
Singles /BIP20.90%÷1.006×0.680×0.950×1.00813.51%
Doubles /BIP9.70%÷0.958×0.600×0.950×1.0085.81%
Triples /BIP5.22%÷1.121×0.600×0.950×1.0082.68%
Home runs /BIP1.49%÷1.040×0.470—×1.0080.68%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 124, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .420 → .267; ISO .212 → .117; BABIP .364 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 195 PAwOBA .315 → .206 (−110)K% 11.8% → 14.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.79%÷0.984×1.220——14.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.26%÷0.994×0.700—×1.0227.38%
HBP% /PA2.56%—×0.700—×1.0221.84%
Singles /BIP22.07%÷1.021×0.680×0.950×1.02214.28%
Doubles /BIP4.14%÷1.057×0.600×0.950×1.0222.28%
Triples /BIP3.45%÷1.088×0.600×0.950×1.0221.85%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.098×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 118, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .315 → .206; ISO .095 → .053; BABIP .293 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).