Juan Martinez — OGILVIE

Juan MartinezSS ACL Brewers

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION190 act + 126 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .326 / .373

PA126

HR2

SB7

K%20

BB%9

BABIP300

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.2	$16M	+$16M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+3.2	$15M	+$15M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+3.2	$14M	+$14M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+3.1	$13M	+$10M
2036	Arb-2	$10M	+2.9	$11M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$13M	+2.6	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$32M		$78M	+$66M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	176	31	4	3	0	12	34	5	15	1	176	249	233	482	57	215	17	6	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	168	43	6	5	0	20	23	5	15	1	256	352	351	704	95	293	12	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	168	37	10	4	1	18	35	5	24	1	220	314	345	659	125	273	18	9	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	156	50	13	7	2	30	22	5	24	1	321	445	532	977	212	364	12	16	430	187	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	MIL	—	190	166	43	9	1	6	20	32	3	22	4	259	349	434	783	175	287	17	11	333	113	+3	+3	+0	+2	+5	1.3
YTD	19	ROK	MIL	—	190	154	52	12	1	7	32	22	3	22	4	338	460	565	1.025	227	357	12	17	448	201	+22	+3	+0	+2	+5	3.3
ROS	19	ROK	MIL	0%	126	112	28	6	1	2	11	25	2	7	1	249	326	373	699	124	290	20	9	314	98	-0	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.6
ROS	19	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	301	89	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	MIL	—	190	167	43	9	1	6	20	32	3	22	4	257	349	431	780	174	285	17	11	333	113	+3	+3	+0	+2	+5	1.3
TOT	19	ROK	MIL	—	316	278	71	15	2	8	31	57	5	29	5	255	340	409	749	154	292	18	10	325	107	+3	+4	+0	+3	+9	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIL	43%	332	295	72	14	2	7	30	65	4	10	2	244	322	376	698	132	290	20	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.4
2028	21	MLB	MIL	61%	433	385	96	19	3	10	39	84	6	12	2	249	328	392	720	143	291	19	9	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+5	+12	2.0
2029	22	MLB	MIL	68%	501	443	111	22	3	12	46	97	7	14	3	251	331	395	726	144	292	19	9	324	106	+3	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.5
2030	23	MLB	MIL	71%	544	482	122	24	4	13	50	104	7	14	3	253	332	400	733	147	293	19	9	326	108	+5	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.8
2031	24	MLB	MIL	71%	571	506	128	25	4	14	52	109	8	15	3	253	332	401	733	148	294	19	9	328	109	+6	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.1
2032	25	MLB	MIL	71%	586	519	132	26	4	15	54	111	8	15	3	254	334	407	740	152	294	19	9	329	110	+7	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.2
2033	26	MLB	MIL	71%	593	525	133	26	4	15	55	113	8	15	3	253	333	404	737	150	294	19	9	329	110	+7	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.2
2034	27	MLB	MIL	69%	592	524	133	26	4	15	55	113	8	15	3	254	334	405	738	151	294	19	9	329	110	+7	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.2
2035	28	MLB	MIL	69%	587	519	132	26	4	15	55	113	8	14	3	254	335	407	742	152	293	19	9	329	110	+6	+2	-1	+6	+17	3.1
2036	29	MLB	MIL	67%	577	509	128	25	4	14	55	112	8	13	3	251	334	399	733	147	293	19	10	327	108	+5	+1	-1	+6	+16	2.9
2037	30	MLB	MIL	66%	566	499	125	24	4	14	54	111	8	13	2	251	333	399	732	148	292	20	10	324	106	+4	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.6
2038	31	MLB	MIL	65%	552	488	119	23	3	13	52	110	7	12	2	244	325	383	709	139	290	20	9	321	103	+2	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.3
2039	32	MLB	MIL	65%	533	471	114	22	3	12	50	108	7	11	2	242	324	378	702	136	287	20	9	315	99	-0	+1	-4	+6	+15	1.9
2040	33	MLB	MIL	65%	504	444	106	20	3	11	48	105	7	10	2	239	323	372	694	133	284	21	10	308	94	-3	+1	-4	+5	+14	1.4
2041	34	MLB	MIL	60%	457	405	93	17	3	9	43	98	6	8	2	230	313	353	666	123	278	21	9	300	88	-6	+1	-5	+5	+13	0.7
2027	20	MLB	MIL	43%	143	127	31	6	1	3	13	28	2	4	1	244	324	378	702	134	288	20	9	304	90	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.5
2028	21	MLB	MIL	61%	264	234	58	11	2	6	24	51	4	7	1	248	328	389	717	141	289	19	9	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2029	22	MLB	MIL	68%	341	302	75	15	2	8	31	66	5	9	2	248	328	391	719	142	290	19	9	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.3
2030	23	MLB	MIL	71%	387	344	86	17	3	9	35	74	5	10	2	250	328	395	723	145	290	19	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.6
2031	24	MLB	MIL	71%	405	359	91	18	3	10	37	77	6	10	2	253	333	404	737	150	291	19	9	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.7
2032	25	MLB	MIL	71%	415	368	92	18	3	10	38	79	6	11	2	250	330	397	727	147	291	19	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.8
2033	26	MLB	MIL	71%	420	372	93	18	3	10	39	80	6	11	2	250	331	395	726	145	291	19	9	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.8
2034	27	MLB	MIL	69%	411	364	92	18	3	10	38	78	6	10	2	253	333	401	734	148	291	19	9	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.8
2035	28	MLB	MIL	69%	404	357	89	17	3	10	38	78	6	10	2	249	332	398	729	148	291	19	9	316	100	-0	+1	-0	+4	+11	1.7
2036	29	MLB	MIL	67%	386	341	84	16	2	9	37	75	5	9	2	246	329	384	713	138	290	19	10	314	99	-1	+1	-1	+4	+11	1.5
2037	30	MLB	MIL	66%	372	329	81	16	2	9	35	73	5	8	2	246	328	389	717	143	290	20	9	312	97	-1	+1	-1	+4	+11	1.3
2038	31	MLB	MIL	65%	360	318	77	15	2	8	34	72	5	8	1	242	325	377	702	135	288	20	9	308	94	-2	+1	-2	+4	+10	1.1
2039	32	MLB	MIL	65%	345	304	74	14	2	8	33	70	5	7	1	243	327	382	709	138	285	20	10	303	90	-4	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.8
2040	33	MLB	MIL	65%	326	288	68	13	2	7	31	68	4	6	1	236	319	368	687	132	281	21	10	297	85	-5	+1	-3	+3	+9	0.5
2041	34	MLB	MIL	60%	275	244	56	10	2	5	26	59	3	5	1	230	311	348	660	119	276	21	9	288	79	-7	+1	-3	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5254	4652	1147	222	35	122	489	1028	73	125	24	247	328	388	716	141	290	20	9	310	96	-27	+15	-13	+56	+149	18.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	141	27	4	15	60	127	9	15	3	245	326	384	709	139	288	20	9	310	96	-3	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.3
Career	—			—	8440	7470	1840	359	60	192	779	1647	119	237	41	246	327	388	715	141	290	20	9	319	102	+22	+31	-20	+90	+239	37.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	143	28	5	15	60	127	9	18	3	249	329	393	722	144	294	20	9	319	102	+2	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	168	43	6	5	0	20	23	5	15	1	256	352	351	704	95	293	12	10	320	103	+1	+3	—	—	+6	0.9
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	156	50	13	7	2	30	22	5	24	1	321	445	532	977	212	364	12	16	430	187	+19	+4	—	—	+5	2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#3Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#4Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#5Julio Lugolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,290 PA	11	5,290	80	198	270	334	386	+31	+25	23.8	23.1
	/162	664	10	25	270	334	386	+3.9	+3.1	3.0	pk7: 22
#6Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,475	128	131	249	326	392	+57	+33	25.3	20.2
	/162	664	16	16	249	326	392	+6.9	+4.0	3.1	pk7: 15

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	60	40	60	60	255/340/409	154	292	8	29	18%	10%	107	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→57	42→55	55	47	231/289/340	110	295	8	12	24%	8%	76	+0.0	218/293/325	107	304	7	12	28%	10%	73	-0.1	242/354/440	197	274	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→50	54→55	48	225/281/312	87	270	4	14	18%	7%	64	-0.8	221/272/284	63	278	3	16	20%	6%	53	-1.5	273/363/380	108	337	9	16	20%	12%	112	+2.8
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	51→60	39→50	49→55	48	241/309/334	92	287	6	11	18%	7%	82	+0.5	233/291/345	112	300	8	23	24%	5%	78	+0.2	261/326/416	155	313	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.0
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	51→50	44→50	53→45	52	244/312/377	133	284	9	14	17%	8%	95	+1.4	231/274/320	89	284	6	8	20%	5%	63	-0.8	230/290/372	142	257	18	6	18%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Alexi Amarista 2008 · A	19	51→60	41→45	51→55	47	246/294/352	105	276	8	13	14%	6%	80	+0.4	260/308/359	99	300	5	18	14%	6%	87	+0.8	271/315/373	103	310	5	21	14%	5%	91	+0.8
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	53→58	40→50	56→45	48	252/304/355	103	287	6	11	15%	6%	85	+0.7	254/292/365	111	290	10	7	16%	5%	82	+0.5	285/346/439	154	321	16	7	16%	8%	120	+2.1
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Miguel Mendez 2012 · A	19	53	39→45	50→60	47	247/303/347	100	268	5	11	10%	4%	83	+0.6	241/305/320	79	274	3	16	12%	7%	77	+0.1	250/320/322	72	283	1	23	11%	7%	78	+0.1
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	304	3	13	23%	8%	70	-0.3	246/314/341	95	294	8	13	18%	9%	86	+0.8	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	223/295/301	78	305	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.4	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7