Juan Martinez — OGILVIE

Juan MartinezSS Fresno Grizzlies

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION347 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP304

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$121M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$13M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.4	$11M	+$11M
2034	Arb-1	$7M	+2.4	$10M	+$7M
2035	Arb-2	$11M	+2.2	$9M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$15M	+2.0	$7M	+$2M
Totals		$36M		$63M	+$49M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	168	43	6	5	0	20	23	5	15	1	256	352	351	704	95	293	12	10	320	103	+1	+3	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	156	50	13	7	2	30	22	5	24	1	321	445	532	977	212	364	12	16	430	177	+18	+4	—	—	+4	2.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	176	31	4	3	0	12	34	5	15	1	176	249	233	482	57	214	17	6	220	35	-15	+3	—	—	+4	-0.8
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	168	37	9	4	2	18	33	5	24	1	220	314	357	671	137	266	17	9	293	84	-4	+4	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	176	31	4	3	0	12	34	5	15	1	176	249	233	482	57	215	17	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	168	43	6	5	0	20	23	5	15	1	256	352	351	704	95	293	12	10	320	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	168	37	9	4	2	18	33	5	24	1	220	314	357	671	137	263	17	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	156	50	13	7	2	30	22	5	24	1	321	445	532	977	212	364	12	16	430	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	176	31	4	3	0	12	34	5	15	1	176	249	233	482	57	214	17	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	166	37	9	4	2	18	33	5	24	1	223	314	361	676	139	266	17	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	195	176	31	4	3	0	12	34	5	15	1	176	249	233	482	57	214	17	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	191	166	37	9	4	2	18	33	5	24	1	223	314	361	676	139	266	17	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	COL	—	347	307	74	14	4	7	34	64	4	29	7	241	325	381	706	140	282	18	10	303	91	-4	+3	+0	+4	+8	1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	COL	—	164	132	47	12	1	6	28	19	3	21	3	356	479	598	1.077	242	380	12	17	467	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	COL	—	183	158	40	6	4	2	23	27	1	8	4	253	352	380	731	127	292	15	13	330	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	COL	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		286	20	10	311	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	COL	—	357	316	75	14	4	7	35	66	4	30	7	237	321	373	695	136	278	18	10	303	91	-4	+3	+0	+4	+8	1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	COL	48%	363	322	80	16	5	6	33	63	5	12	2	248	328	385	713	137	286	17	9	316	100	-0	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.4
2028	21	MLB MLE	COL	68%	456	405	101	20	5	9	42	79	6	14	3	249	329	390	719	141	287	17	9	322	104	+2	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.9
2029	22	MLB MLE	COL	76%	517	457	115	22	6	11	48	89	7	15	3	252	332	398	730	147	288	17	9	326	107	+4	+2	+0	+6	+11	2.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	COL	80%	555	490	123	24	6	12	52	95	8	15	3	251	333	398	731	147	289	17	9	329	109	+6	+2	+0	+6	+12	2.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	COL	79%	579	511	130	25	7	13	55	99	8	15	3	254	336	407	743	153	290	17	9	332	111	+7	+2	+0	+6	+13	2.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	COL	79%	591	522	134	26	7	14	56	100	8	15	3	257	338	414	752	157	290	17	9	333	111	+8	+2	+0	+6	+13	3.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	COL	79%	596	526	135	26	7	14	57	101	8	15	3	257	338	413	751	156	290	17	10	333	112	+8	+2	+0	+6	+13	3.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	COL	78%	594	524	134	26	7	14	57	101	8	15	3	256	338	412	750	156	290	17	10	334	112	+8	+2	+0	+6	+13	3.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	COL	77%	588	518	133	26	7	14	57	101	8	14	3	257	340	415	755	158	290	17	10	333	111	+8	+2	-1	+6	+13	2.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	COL	75%	578	508	129	25	7	13	57	100	8	13	3	254	339	407	746	154	289	17	10	331	110	+7	+1	-1	+6	+13	2.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	COL	74%	566	498	125	24	6	13	55	100	8	13	2	251	335	402	737	151	288	18	10	329	108	+6	+2	-2	+6	+12	2.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	COL	73%	552	486	121	23	6	12	54	99	7	12	2	249	333	395	728	146	287	18	10	325	106	+4	+2	-3	+6	+12	2.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	COL	72%	533	469	115	22	6	11	52	98	7	11	2	245	330	388	718	143	284	18	10	319	102	+1	+1	-4	+6	+12	1.7
2040	33	MLB MLE	COL	79%	504	443	106	20	5	10	49	95	7	9	2	239	325	375	699	135	280	19	10	312	98	-1	+1	-4	+5	+11	1.2
2041	34	MLB MLE	COL	74%	457	404	94	17	5	8	44	89	6	8	1	233	317	359	676	126	275	19	10	304	92	-4	+1	-5	+5	+10	0.7
2042	35	MLB MLE	COL	70%	401	355	79	13	4	7	38	81	5	6	1	223	307	341	647	118	269	20	9	294	85	-7	+1	-6	+4	+9	0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	COL	48%	175	155	40	8	3	3	16	31	2	6	1	258	335	406	742	148	304	18	9	325	100	-0	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.7
2028	21	MLB CTX	COL	68%	311	275	74	15	5	7	29	54	4	9	2	269	347	436	784	167	305	17	9	331	104	+2	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	COL	76%	394	349	94	19	6	9	37	68	5	11	2	269	348	436	783	166	306	17	9	336	107	+3	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.8
2030	23	MLB CTX	COL	80%	442	392	105	21	6	11	41	76	6	12	2	268	346	436	782	168	307	17	9	339	109	+5	+2	+0	+5	+10	2.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	COL	79%	460	408	111	22	7	12	43	78	6	12	2	272	350	449	799	176	308	17	9	342	111	+6	+2	+0	+5	+10	2.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	COL	79%	469	416	112	22	7	12	44	80	6	12	2	269	348	442	790	173	308	17	9	343	111	+6	+2	+0	+5	+10	2.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	COL	79%	473	418	115	23	7	13	45	80	7	12	2	275	355	457	812	182	308	17	10	344	112	+7	+2	+0	+5	+10	2.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	COL	78%	462	408	111	22	7	12	45	79	6	12	2	272	353	449	801	176	308	17	10	344	112	+7	+2	+0	+5	+10	2.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	COL	77%	452	399	107	21	6	12	44	78	6	11	2	268	350	441	791	173	308	17	10	343	111	+6	+1	-1	+5	+10	2.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	COL	75%	432	381	102	20	6	11	42	75	6	10	2	268	350	438	788	171	307	17	10	341	110	+5	+1	-1	+5	+9	2.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	COL	74%	416	366	97	19	6	10	41	73	6	9	2	265	349	432	780	167	306	18	10	338	108	+4	+1	-2	+4	+9	1.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	COL	73%	402	355	93	18	5	10	39	72	5	8	2	262	343	425	769	163	304	18	10	334	106	+3	+1	-2	+4	+9	1.5
2039	32	MLB CTX	COL	72%	386	340	88	17	5	9	38	71	5	8	1	259	342	418	760	159	301	18	10	328	102	+1	+1	-3	+4	+8	1.2
2040	33	MLB CTX	COL	79%	396	350	89	17	5	9	38	75	5	7	1	254	336	409	744	154	297	19	10	321	98	-1	+1	-3	+4	+9	1.0
2041	34	MLB CTX	COL	74%	339	299	73	13	4	7	33	66	4	6	1	244	327	385	712	140	291	19	10	312	92	-3	+1	-4	+4	+7	0.5
2042	35	MLB CTX	COL	70%	279	247	59	10	4	5	27	56	3	4	1	239	321	372	694	134	285	20	10	301	85	-5	+0	-4	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6288	5558	1470	287	89	152	602	1112	82	149	27	264	345	430	775	166	305	18	10	334	104	+45	+19	-19	+67	+136	25.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	152	30	9	16	62	115	8	15	3	264	344	431	775	167	304	18	10	334	104	+5	+2	-2	+7	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	8826	7791	1923	368	103	183	837	1559	124	242	41	247	330	391	720	144	285	18	9	321	104	+57	+25	-25	+90	+183	33.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	141	27	8	13	62	115	9	18	3	246	329	389	717	143	285	18	10	321	104	+4	+2	-2	+7	+14	2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Jean Seguralast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,937 PA	8.9	5,937	110	211	281	327	401	+48	+53	31.6	30.4
/162	664	12	24	+5.4	+5.9	3.5	pk7: 29
#3Aaron Hilllast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	162	74	266	323	417	+22	+25	27.7	26.1
/162	664	17	8	+2.4	+2.6	3.0	pk7: 25
#4Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	9.8	6,530	137	158	250	329	396	+66	+39	31.0	24.4
/162	664	14	16	+6.7	+4.0	3.2	pk7: 18
#5Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#6Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	60	40	60	60	241/321/365	124	286	3	14	17%	9%	97	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	53	41→45	61→65	55	249/330/357	107	284	6	32	14%	9%	97	+1.1	229/316/326	97	293	6	23	22%	9%	86	+0.3	222/315/324	102	289	6	23	23%	9%	81	-0.0
●Ozzie Albies 2016 · A	19	57→59	36→60	57→55	46	266/310/343	77	323	2	20	18%	6%	85	+0.2	257/303/378	121	310	8	19	19%	6%	91	+0.7	275/329/488	213	303	24	15	18%	7%	124	+2.6
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Vidal Bruján 2019 · A	21	55→59	42→45	57→65	50	261/321/373	112	305	8	27	17%	8%	97	+1.1	237/293/341	104	286	8	37	19%	7%	80	-0.2	224/301/331	107	277	8	25	21%	8%	77	-0.2
●Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	48→56	38→45	50→55	51	226/307/307	80	281	4	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	206/295/294	88	268	6	12	23%	10%	71	-0.8	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Miguel Mendez 2012 · A	19	53	39→45	50→60	47	247/303/347	100	268	5	11	10%	4%	85	+0.2	241/305/320	79	274	3	16	12%	7%	80	-0.2	250/320/322	72	283	1	23	11%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Keiner Delgado 2023 · A	19	47→46	40	58→60	62	221/342/329	108	273	6	26	19%	13%	97	+1.1	207/293/309	102	271	9	25	25%	9%	74	-0.5	195/279/294	99	262	11	24	28%	8%	62	-0.9
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Alexi Amarista 2009 · A	20	53→60	39→45	51→55	50	251/303/341	90	282	6	17	14%	7%	83	+0.1	259/302/359	100	302	4	18	15%	5%	86	+0.3	261/301/362	102	303	4	19	15%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Ronald Torreyes 2012 · A	19	60→57	40→45	51→50	46	286/325/389	103	307	5	14	9%	4%	102	+1.5	250/294/337	87	270	4	10	9%	4%	79	-0.2	265/296/343	78	301	3	3	13%	4%	79	-0.1
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	51→60	39→50	48→55	48	240/307/330	90	287	6	11	18%	6%	83	+0.1	233/289/339	106	300	7	23	24%	5%	78	-0.3	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2016 · A	21	58	36→40	61→60	54	261/352/335	74	357	2	25	25%	11%	101	+1.4	227/287/304	77	339	4	19	31%	7%	69	-0.9	220/260/294	73	312	6	25	30%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	52	40→45	50	57	243/333/344	100	295	6	10	18%	11%	96	+1.0	217/286/295	78	282	3	7	22%	8%	67	-1.1	202/252/280	79	255	0	6	20%	6%	47	-0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	49→55	45→60	53→50	50	236/304/384	148	275	10	14	18%	8%	94	+0.9	237/300/364	127	280	11	11	19%	8%	88	+0.4	259/355/422	163	286	18	7	16%	11%	120	+2.5
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	51	44→50	53→45	52	244/312/377	133	284	9	14	17%	8%	95	+1.0	235/278/323	88	288	5	8	19%	5%	70	-0.9	225/285/349	124	255	14	6	18%	7%	78	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps