Juan Ortuno

2B Wilson Warbirds

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKMIL	92	.250/.473/.422	3	3	96	—	.194/.363/.333
2026	19	A+MIL	28	.182/.333/.364	1	4	73	—	.174/.296/.348
2026	19	AMIL	480	.241/.395/.341	4	37	80	—	.209/.332/.289
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBMIL	559	.229/.344/.327	6	19	96	1.2
2028PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIL	265	.231/.346/.343	4	9	103	0.8
2029PROJ68% MLB	22	MLBMIL	397	.236/.348/.358	7	13	107	1.4

Next 3 projected WAR 3.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%94

K%86

BB%86

Whiff%85

Z-Con%80

wOBA62

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 22, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 76%

CompsNacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20) · Adrian Pinto (age 20) · Ricky Cabrera (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .341 / .324

PA320

HR4

SB11

K%20

BB%12

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$104M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$11M	+$10M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.7	$7M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$6M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$10M	+1.2	$4M	+$1M
Totals		$26M		$48M	+$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	154	53	6	3	3	29	27	7	22	7	344	468	481	949	136	397	14	15	423	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	92	64	16	2	0	3	21	15	6	3	3	250	473	422	894	172	277	16	23	411	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	28	22	4	1	0	1	2	5	3	4	0	182	333	364	697	182	176	18	7	313	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Wilson Warbirds	—	480	378	91	24	1	4	82	77	15	37	13	241	395	341	736	101	289	16	17	344	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	162	34	3	2	1	21	33	7	22	7	210	326	272	598	62	246	17	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	92	72	14	1	0	3	13	22	6	3	3	194	363	333	696	139	227	24	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	28	23	4	1	0	1	1	6	3	4	0	174	296	348	644	174	163	21	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	—	480	402	84	21	1	3	59	105	15	37	13	209	332	289	620	80	266	22	12	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	162	34	3	2	1	21	33	7	22	7	210	326	272	598	62	254	17	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	154	53	6	3	3	29	27	7	22	7	344	468	481	949	136	397	14	15	423	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	92	72	14	1	0	3	13	22	6	3	3	194	363	333	696	139	229	24	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	—	92	64	16	2	0	3	21	15	6	3	3	250	473	422	894	172	277	16	23	411	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	508	424	88	22	1	4	61	111	18	41	13	208	332	292	624	85	268	22	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	508	400	95	25	1	5	84	82	18	41	13	237	392	343	734	105	283	16	17	342	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	162	34	3	2	1	21	33	7	22	7	210	326	272	598	62	246	17	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	92	73	14	1	0	3	13	22	6	3	3	192	363	329	691	137	227	24	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	508	424	88	22	1	4	61	111	18	41	13	208	332	292	624	85	260	22	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	162	34	3	2	1	21	33	7	22	7	210	326	272	598	62	246	17	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	92	73	14	1	0	3	13	22	6	3	3	192	363	329	691	137	227	24	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	508	424	88	22	1	4	61	111	18	41	13	208	332	292	624	85	260	22	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	559	471	108	24	2	6	67	110	16	19	6	229	344	327	671	98	283	20	12	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	549	463	109	24	2	8	66	106	15	18	6	235	349	347	696	113	284	19	12	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.7
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIL	68%	583	493	117	25	2	10	69	111	16	18	6	239	351	362	713	123	285	19	12	326	107	+5	+1	+0	+2	+13	2.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIL	76%	615	522	126	27	2	12	72	117	16	19	6	242	352	371	723	129	286	19	12	329	109	+7	+1	+0	+2	+13	2.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIL	78%	627	533	130	28	2	13	73	119	16	18	6	243	352	377	729	133	287	19	12	331	110	+8	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	634	540	132	28	2	14	73	121	16	18	6	244	351	380	731	136	288	19	12	332	111	+8	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	639	544	133	28	2	14	74	122	16	17	6	244	351	379	731	136	287	19	12	331	110	+8	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIL	78%	637	542	132	28	2	14	74	123	16	17	6	243	350	377	727	134	287	19	12	330	110	+7	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	631	538	129	27	2	13	73	123	15	15	5	241	348	372	720	131	286	19	12	328	108	+6	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIL	75%	621	529	126	27	2	12	72	123	15	13	5	239	346	366	712	127	285	20	12	324	105	+4	+1	-1	+2	+13	1.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIL	74%	609	520	123	26	2	12	70	122	14	12	5	236	342	358	701	123	284	20	11	320	103	+2	+0	-2	+2	+13	1.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIL	73%	595	508	118	25	1	11	68	122	14	10	6	232	338	348	686	117	281	21	11	314	99	-1	-0	-3	+2	+13	1.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	576	493	111	23	1	9	65	120	13	8	7	226	332	336	667	109	278	21	11	307	94	-4	-1	-4	+2	+12	0.6
2040	33	MLB MLE	MIL	83%	547	469	103	21	1	8	61	118	12	6	12	220	324	320	645	101	273	22	11	298	88	-8	-4	-4	+2	+12	-0.2
2041	34	MLB MLE	MIL	78%	499	431	91	18	1	6	54	111	11	5	21	211	315	302	617	91	267	22	11	287	80	-12	-7	-5	+2	+11	-1.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	265	224	52	11	1	4	32	51	7	9	3	231	346	343	689	112	279	19	12	317	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.8
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIL	68%	397	336	78	16	1	7	47	76	11	13	4	236	348	358	707	123	280	19	12	323	107	+3	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIL	76%	469	399	95	19	2	10	55	89	12	14	4	239	349	368	717	129	281	19	12	327	109	+5	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.8
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIL	78%	488	415	100	20	2	11	57	93	13	14	4	240	350	374	723	133	282	19	12	329	110	+6	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	499	426	102	20	2	11	58	95	12	14	4	241	349	377	726	136	283	19	12	329	111	+6	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.0
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	505	428	104	21	2	11	59	96	13	14	4	241	349	377	725	136	282	19	12	329	110	+6	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIL	78%	494	422	101	20	2	11	57	95	12	13	4	240	348	374	722	134	282	19	12	328	110	+6	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.9
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	485	414	99	20	1	11	56	94	12	12	4	238	346	369	715	131	281	19	12	325	108	+5	+1	-1	+2	+11	1.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIL	75%	464	396	93	19	1	10	54	92	11	10	4	236	343	363	706	128	280	20	12	322	105	+3	+0	-1	+2	+10	1.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIL	74%	448	383	89	18	1	9	51	90	11	9	4	233	340	355	695	123	279	20	11	318	103	+1	+0	-2	+2	+10	1.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIL	73%	433	371	85	17	1	8	49	89	10	7	4	229	335	345	680	117	276	21	11	312	99	-1	-0	-2	+2	+9	0.8
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	454	390	87	17	1	8	51	95	10	6	6	223	329	332	662	109	273	21	11	304	94	-3	-1	-3	+2	+10	0.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	MIL	83%	454	391	84	16	1	7	50	98	10	5	10	217	322	317	639	100	268	22	11	295	88	-7	-3	-3	+2	+10	-0.2
2041	34	MLB CTX	MIL	78%	392	338	70	13	1	5	43	87	8	4	17	209	313	299	612	90	262	22	11	284	80	-9	-6	-4	+1	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6247	5333	1239	247	19	123	719	1240	152	144	76	232	340	355	695	123	279	20	12	318	101	+22	-2	-15	+22	+135	16.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	555	129	26	2	13	75	129	16	15	8	232	341	357	698	124	279	20	12	318	101	+2	-0	-2	+2	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	9474	8053	1878	395	28	168	1097	1887	245	271	130	233	343	352	695	119	283	20	12	317	101	+29	-2	-20	+31	+188	23.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	553	129	27	2	12	75	129	17	19	9	233	343	354	697	121	282	20	12	317	101	+2	-0	-1	+2	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Donie Bush'08-'23 * career totals — 15 seasons, 8,734 PA	13.2	8,734	9	404	243*	348*	358*	+91	+96	47.2	42.2
/162	664	1	31	+6.9	+7.3	3.6	pk7: 37
#2Eddie Joost'36-'55 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,783 PA	10.2	6,783	134	61	232*	343*	399*	+64	+30	34.4	32.7
/162	664	13	6	+6.3	+3.0	3.4	pk7: 31
#3Chase Headleylast yr '18 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,740 PA	8.6	5,740	130	93	263	343	400	+6	+26	27.7	26.7
/162	664	15	11	+0.8	+3.1	3.2	pk7: 26
#4Willie Kamm'23-'35 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,935 PA	10.4	6,935	29	126	250*	339*	390*	+25	+43	27.9	24.4
/162	664	3	12	+2.4	+4.1	2.7	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	9.9	6,568	121	154	236	341	358	+65	+33	26.9	22.4
/162	664	12	16	+6.6	+3.3	2.7	pk7: 18
#5Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#6David Ecksteinlast yr '10 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,705 PA	8.6	5,705	35	123	280	345	355	+31	+19	21.9	20.3
/162	664	4	14	+3.6	+2.2	2.5	pk7: 19

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Ortuno (OGILVIE)	20	50→55	35→40	58→63	70	227/341/324	97	283	4	11	20%	12%	96	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	47	40→45	60→65	53	222/313/322	100	267	5	29	18%	9%	84	+0.1	234/309/354	120	293	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jett Williams 2024 · AA	20	44→48	45→50	60→55	54	209/324/338	129	296	11	25	30%	12%	93	+0.8	216/310/345	129	299	10	23	28%	11%	88	+0.4	214/300/348	134	288	11	26	27%	10%	82	+0.0
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	51→58	39→45	58→60	51	240/305/333	93	302	5	22	21%	9%	82	-0.0	250/306/350	100	317	7	27	22%	8%	86	+0.3	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
●Luke Keaschall 2024 · A	21	49→58	44→45	56→55	46	237/309/366	129	311	10	16	26%	8%	92	+0.7	257/344/386	129	308	12	23	20%	9%	110	+2.1	267/360/392	125	312	12	25	17%	9%	117	+2.0
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2016 · A	21	52	35→30	60	58	235/338/301	66	307	2	25	21%	12%	88	+0.5	219/281/293	74	322	4	19	30%	7%	64	-1.3	223/263/298	74	316	6	25	30%	5%	55	-0.6
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→55	46→50	55	52	233/315/374	141	290	12	21	23%	10%	96	+1.0	239/326/389	150	309	14	21	25%	10%	103	+1.6	237/330/391	154	306	15	24	25%	10%	104	+0.9
●Desmond Jennings 2008 · A	21	52→61	43→50	57→60	47	252/313/364	112	298	9	29	18%	6%	93	+0.8	260/323/383	123	308	9	32	17%	8%	101	+1.4	264/336/406	142	313	11	37	18%	8%	108	+1.9
✕Cal Stevenson 2019 · A	22	56	39→45	59→60	63	261/353/361	100	302	4	16	14%	13%	107	+1.8	233/306/323	90	291	7	13	21%	10%	81	-0.1	243/336/358	114	313	9	30	23%	12%	99	+0.7
✕Victor Robles 2017 · A	20	52→54	42→50	57→60	43	248/321/362	113	307	8	24	21%	5%	96	+1.0	250/317/385	135	312	10	24	22%	5%	99	+1.3	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2
✕Luke Adams 2024 · A	20	42→39	44→50	53→55	51	201/318/323	122	288	11	21	31%	11%	88	+0.4	207/347/351	144	268	15	19	27%	12%	106	+1.8	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	48→53	44→50	61→55	46	231/292/359	128	308	9	28	27%	8%	84	+0.1	243/298/376	133	291	13	16	20%	7%	90	+0.6	248/309/365	117	296	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Drew Cumberland 2010 · A	21	54	38→45	56→55	51	252/313/337	85	294	4	17	15%	7%	86	+0.3	269/314/393	124	321	11	18	19%	5%	99	+1.3	315/346/461	146	370	14	25	18%	4%	124	+1.7
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	54→64	42→50	54→55	49	259/332/371	113	319	9	12	21%	8%	101	+1.4	276/340/405	129	329	12	17	19%	7%	112	+2.2	277/343/400	124	329	12	18	19%	7%	109	+1.7
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	58→63	39→40	55→50	47	267/340/359	92	346	4	16	22%	7%	101	+1.4	261/325/348	87	335	5	14	22%	6%	93	+0.8	273/339/361	88	334	7	11	19%	6%	99	+0.7
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	52→62	38→45	56→50	45	246/290/332	86	302	5	15	20%	6%	76	-0.4	264/309/368	104	320	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.7	268/314/373	105	323	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2011 · AA	21	49→59	39→45	58→60	49	233/290/320	87	278	6	29	18%	7%	74	-0.6	262/305/359	97	304	7	19	16%	6%	88	+0.4	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Orlando Arcia 2015 · A	20	53→59	38→50	52→55	46	251/295/341	89	294	5	18	16%	6%	80	-0.2	254/292/370	116	306	8	18	19%	5%	85	+0.2	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	7%	98	+0.8

Juan Ortuno

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Career Path Comps