Juan Ortuno — OGILVIE

Juan OrtunoSS Wilson Warbirds

Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION319 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .328 / .338

PA212

HR3

SB9

K%22

BB%10

BABIP290

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.9	$16M	+$15M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.9	$15M	+$14M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.9	$14M	+$13M
2034	Arb-1	$6M	+2.9	$13M	+$10M
2035	Arb-2	$10M	+2.8	$11M	+$8M
2036	Arb-3	$13M	+2.6	$10M	+$5M
Totals		$31M		$78M	+$66M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	165	39	4	2	2	18	40	7	22	7	236	337	321	658	85	296	21	9	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	154	53	6	3	3	29	27	7	22	7	344	468	481	949	136	397	14	15	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	92	72	13	1	0	3	13	23	6	3	3	181	352	319	671	139	213	25	14	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	92	64	16	2	0	3	21	15	6	3	3	250	473	422	894	172	277	16	23	411	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	MIL	—	319	274	59	14	1	3	33	77	10	22	11	215	322	307	628	91	286	24	10	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.3
YTD	19	A	MIL	—	319	255	65	17	1	3	52	54	10	22	11	255	401	365	765	110	310	17	16	355	130	+11	+0	+0	+3	+9	2.4
ROS	19	A	MIL	0%	212	183	42	9	1	3	22	47	5	9	4	229	328	338	665	109	289	22	10	304	91	-2	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.6
ROS	19	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	284	75	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	MIL	—	319	275	59	14	1	3	33	77	10	22	11	215	322	305	627	91	284	24	10	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.3
TOT	19	A	MIL	—	531	457	101	23	2	6	55	124	15	31	15	221	324	319	643	98	287	23	10	291	81	-12	+0	+0	+6	+15	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIL	43%	581	504	117	25	2	9	59	128	13	17	7	232	328	343	671	111	291	22	10	307	93	-5	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.9
2028	21	MLB	MIL	61%	603	523	124	26	3	11	62	130	13	17	7	237	333	361	694	124	292	22	10	315	99	-1	+1	+0	+6	+17	2.4
2029	22	MLB	MIL	68%	608	528	126	26	3	12	62	130	13	17	7	239	333	367	701	129	293	21	10	319	103	+2	+1	+0	+7	+17	2.7
2030	23	MLB	MIL	71%	607	527	128	26	3	13	62	128	13	16	7	243	337	378	715	135	293	21	10	323	105	+3	+0	+0	+7	+17	2.8
2031	24	MLB	MIL	71%	602	522	127	26	3	13	62	126	13	16	7	243	338	379	718	136	294	21	10	325	107	+5	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.9
2032	25	MLB	MIL	71%	594	514	126	26	3	13	62	124	13	16	7	245	341	383	725	138	294	21	10	326	108	+5	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.9
2033	26	MLB	MIL	71%	588	509	124	25	3	13	61	123	13	16	7	244	340	381	721	138	294	21	10	327	108	+5	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.9
2034	27	MLB	MIL	69%	585	505	123	25	3	13	62	122	13	16	7	244	341	382	724	139	294	21	11	327	108	+5	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.9
2035	28	MLB	MIL	69%	578	499	121	25	2	13	61	122	13	15	6	242	340	379	719	136	294	21	11	326	108	+5	+1	-1	+6	+16	2.8
2036	29	MLB	MIL	67%	567	489	117	24	2	12	61	120	12	14	6	239	338	370	708	131	293	21	11	324	106	+4	+0	-1	+6	+16	2.6
2037	30	MLB	MIL	66%	555	479	114	23	2	12	59	119	12	13	6	238	336	370	706	132	292	21	11	322	104	+3	+0	-2	+6	+16	2.3
2038	31	MLB	MIL	71%	540	465	111	23	2	11	58	118	12	12	5	239	338	368	706	129	290	22	11	318	101	+1	+0	-3	+6	+15	2.0
2039	32	MLB	MIL	74%	523	451	105	21	2	10	56	116	11	11	5	233	332	355	687	122	287	22	11	312	97	-2	+0	-4	+6	+15	1.6
2040	33	MLB	MIL	77%	492	427	97	19	2	9	52	112	10	10	4	227	325	344	669	117	283	23	11	306	92	-4	+0	-4	+5	+14	1.1
2041	34	MLB	MIL	72%	445	386	85	16	2	8	47	104	9	8	4	220	319	334	653	114	278	23	11	297	86	-7	+0	-5	+5	+13	0.5
2042	35	MLB	MIL	68%	390	338	71	13	1	6	41	94	8	7	3	210	310	308	618	98	271	24	11	288	78	-10	+0	-6	+4	+11	0.0
2043	36	MLB	MIL	59%	330	286	59	10	1	5	34	82	7	5	2	206	306	301	607	94	265	25	10	277	70	-11	+0	-6	+4	+9	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	MIL	43%	251	217	51	11	1	4	26	55	6	7	3	235	333	350	684	115	288	22	10	288	79	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2028	21	MLB	MIL	61%	367	319	75	15	2	7	37	79	8	10	4	235	330	361	690	125	289	22	10	296	85	-6	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2029	22	MLB	MIL	68%	414	360	86	18	2	8	42	88	9	11	5	239	333	367	700	128	290	21	10	301	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+12	1.1
2030	23	MLB	MIL	71%	432	376	90	18	2	9	44	91	9	12	5	239	333	370	703	130	291	21	10	304	91	-4	+0	+0	+5	+12	1.3
2031	24	MLB	MIL	71%	427	371	89	18	2	9	44	89	9	11	5	240	335	372	707	132	292	21	10	306	93	-4	+0	+0	+5	+12	1.4
2032	25	MLB	MIL	71%	421	365	88	18	2	9	44	88	9	11	5	241	337	375	713	134	292	21	10	308	94	-3	+0	+0	+5	+12	1.4
2033	26	MLB	MIL	71%	417	362	88	18	2	9	43	87	9	11	5	243	338	378	717	135	292	21	10	308	94	-3	+0	+0	+4	+12	1.4
2034	27	MLB	MIL	69%	407	352	85	17	2	9	43	85	9	11	5	241	339	378	717	136	291	21	11	308	94	-3	+0	+0	+4	+12	1.4
2035	28	MLB	MIL	69%	397	343	84	17	2	9	42	84	9	10	4	245	343	385	727	140	291	21	11	307	93	-3	+0	-0	+4	+11	1.3
2036	29	MLB	MIL	67%	379	328	79	16	2	8	40	81	8	9	4	241	338	375	713	134	291	21	11	306	92	-3	+0	-1	+4	+11	1.1
2037	30	MLB	MIL	66%	365	315	75	15	1	8	39	78	8	9	4	238	337	368	705	130	290	21	11	303	90	-4	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.9
2038	31	MLB	MIL	71%	383	331	78	16	1	8	41	84	8	9	4	236	334	363	697	127	288	22	11	300	87	-5	+0	-2	+4	+11	0.8
2039	32	MLB	MIL	74%	389	337	76	15	1	7	41	86	8	8	4	226	324	338	662	113	285	22	11	295	84	-7	+0	-3	+4	+11	0.5
2040	33	MLB	MIL	77%	378	327	73	14	1	7	40	86	8	8	3	223	323	336	659	113	281	23	11	288	79	-9	+0	-3	+4	+11	0.3
2041	34	MLB	MIL	72%	322	278	60	11	1	5	34	75	7	6	3	216	317	317	633	101	275	23	11	280	72	-10	+0	-4	+3	+9	-0.1
2042	35	MLB	MIL	68%	264	229	48	9	1	4	28	64	5	5	2	210	309	310	619	100	269	24	11	271	65	-10	+0	-4	+3	+7	-0.4
2043	36	MLB	MIL	59%	194	168	35	6	1	3	20	48	4	3	1	208	307	310	617	101	263	25	10	261	58	-9	+0	-4	+2	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6207	5379	1260	252	26	123	648	1348	133	151	66	234	331	359	691	125	289	22	10	298	86	-96	+4	-22	+67	+176	13.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	132	26	3	13	68	141	14	16	7	234	332	361	692	126	289	22	10	298	86	-10	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	9684	8372	1969	393	42	191	1014	2108	216	260	111	235	333	361	694	125	290	22	10	315	99	-9	+8	-31	+104	+274	35.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	132	26	3	13	68	141	14	17	7	235	332	361	693	126	290	22	10	315	99	-1	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	154	53	6	3	3	29	27	7	22	7	344	468	481	949	136	397	14	15	423	182	+18	+2	—	—	+5	2.5
2025	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	92	64	16	2	0	3	21	15	6	3	3	250	473	422	894	172	277	16	23	411	173	+8	-1	—	—	+3	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Julio Lugolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,290 PA	11	5,290	80	198	270	334	386	+31	+25	23.8	23.1
	/162	664	10	25	270	334	386	+3.9	+3.1	3.0	pk7: 22
#3Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	6,385	129	156	237	331	365	+63	+36	24.6	19.3
	/162	664	13	16	237	331	365	+6.5	+3.7	2.6	pk7: 14
#4Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#5Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Ortuno (OGILVIE)	19	48→53	36→41	58→63	63	221/324/319	98	287	6	31	23%	10%	81	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	60→65	51	234/321/343	109	284	7	29	19%	8%	91	+1.1	235/310/360	125	296	12	18	23%	8%	91	+1.1	230/307/354	124	286	8	13	21%	9%	82	+0.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→52	46→55	59→50	43	256/311/399	142	346	12	16	28%	7%	99	+1.7	237/300/392	155	311	16	12	27%	7%	94	+1.3	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
●Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	50→54	42→50	55→60	45	240/311/353	113	291	8	21	20%	6%	89	+0.9	241/308/357	116	304	7	23	22%	5%	89	+0.9	241/311/384	143	300	12	27	22%	6%	93	+1.0
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
●Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	50→56	43→50	53→50	45	244/303/364	121	284	10	14	18%	5%	88	+0.9	233/275/353	120	270	12	13	18%	4%	73	-0.1	241/293/396	155	250	19	13	13%	6%	90	+0.8
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	53→63	42→50	54→55	49	251/323/361	110	311	9	12	21%	8%	95	+1.4	276/339/408	132	330	13	17	19%	7%	114	+2.7	278/342/406	128	330	12	18	19%	7%	111	+2.1
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	52	40→45	50	57	243/333/344	100	295	6	10	18%	11%	95	+1.4	217/286/295	78	282	3	7	22%	8%	63	-0.9	202/252/280	79	255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	50	40→45	51→50	44	234/303/337	103	302	5	13	23%	6%	81	+0.4	213/264/311	98	289	7	9	27%	5%	57	-1.2	192/236/285	92	270	8	8	31%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→35	40→45	55	45	230/305/328	98	330	7	18	30%	8%	80	+0.4	188/317/307	119	267	12	20	31%	11%	83	+0.6	183/337/342	159	234	19	21	28%	12%	99	+0.8
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→57	42→55	55	47	231/289/340	110	295	8	12	24%	8%	76	+0.0	218/293/325	107	304	7	12	28%	10%	73	-0.1	242/354/440	197	274	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4