Juan Ortuno — OGILVIE

Juan Ortuno2B Wilson Warbirds

Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION508 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$72M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$7M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+1.3	$5M	+$2M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+1.3	$5M	+$1M
Totals		$27M		$40M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	154	53	6	3	3	29	27	7	22	7	344	468	481	949	136	397	14	15	423	173	+17	+2	—	—	+4	2.3
2025	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	92	64	16	2	0	3	21	15	6	3	3	250	473	422	894	172	277	16	23	411	164	+7	-1	—	—	+2	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	165	40	4	2	2	18	40	7	22	7	242	342	327	669	85	292	21	9	297	87	-3	+2	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	92	72	14	1	0	3	13	22	6	3	3	194	363	333	696	139	222	24	14	304	92	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	165	40	4	2	2	18	40	7	22	7	242	342	327	669	85	304	21	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	154	53	6	3	3	29	27	7	22	7	344	468	481	949	136	397	14	15	423	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	92	72	14	1	0	3	13	22	6	3	3	194	363	333	696	139	229	24	14	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	—	92	64	16	2	0	3	21	15	6	3	3	250	473	422	894	172	277	16	23	411	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	165	40	4	2	2	18	40	7	22	7	242	342	327	669	85	292	21	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	92	73	14	1	0	3	13	22	6	3	3	192	363	329	691	137	222	24	14	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	192	165	40	4	2	2	18	40	7	22	7	242	342	327	669	85	292	21	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	92	73	14	1	0	3	13	22	6	3	3	192	363	329	691	137	222	24	14	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	MIL	—	508	432	87	21	1	5	53	116	18	41	13	201	314	289	603	88	259	23	10	273	71	-18	+3	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	MIL	—	480	378	91	24	1	4	82	77	15	37	13	241	395	341	736	101	289	16	17	344	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ RAW	MIL	—	28	22	4	1	0	1	2	5	3	4	0	182	333	364	697	182	176	18	7	313	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	MIL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		273	22	11	295	86	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	MIL	—	517	440	88	21	1	5	54	118	18	42	13	200	312	286	599	86	258	23	10	273	71	-18	+3	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIL	43%	549	469	104	22	2	7	59	116	16	20	7	222	329	322	651	100	276	21	11	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.8
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIL	61%	593	508	116	24	2	10	63	123	17	20	7	228	333	343	676	114	278	21	11	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIL	68%	627	538	125	26	2	12	67	128	17	20	6	232	336	355	691	123	280	20	11	316	100	+0	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	629	540	126	26	2	13	67	127	17	19	6	233	337	361	698	128	281	20	11	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	624	535	127	26	2	14	67	124	17	18	6	237	341	372	713	135	281	20	11	323	105	+4	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	616	527	126	26	2	14	67	122	17	18	6	239	344	376	719	137	281	20	11	325	106	+4	+1	+0	+2	+13	2.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	607	519	123	25	2	14	66	120	17	17	6	237	342	374	716	137	281	20	11	325	106	+5	+1	+0	+2	+13	2.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIL	69%	597	510	122	25	2	14	66	119	16	17	5	239	345	378	723	139	281	20	11	326	106	+5	+1	+0	+2	+13	2.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIL	69%	586	500	118	24	2	13	65	117	16	16	5	236	343	370	713	134	281	20	11	325	106	+4	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIL	73%	575	490	116	24	2	13	64	116	16	15	5	237	344	373	717	137	280	20	11	323	105	+3	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIL	76%	564	481	113	23	2	12	63	115	15	14	4	235	342	366	708	131	280	20	11	320	103	+2	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIL	78%	553	471	108	22	1	11	62	115	15	13	4	229	338	350	688	121	278	21	11	317	100	+0	+1	-3	+2	+12	1.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	542	463	105	21	1	11	60	115	14	12	4	227	333	348	681	121	275	21	11	311	97	-2	+1	-4	+2	+12	0.9
2040	33	MLB MLE	MIL	80%	492	421	92	18	1	9	55	107	13	10	3	219	327	330	657	112	271	22	11	305	92	-4	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.5
2041	34	MLB MLE	MIL	76%	445	381	81	15	1	8	49	99	12	8	3	213	321	320	641	108	265	22	11	296	87	-7	+0	-5	+2	+10	-0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIL	43%	237	203	44	9	1	3	25	50	7	9	3	217	323	315	639	99	274	21	11	279	89	-3	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIL	61%	361	309	71	15	1	7	39	75	10	12	4	230	335	353	688	123	276	21	11	290	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIL	68%	427	366	84	17	1	9	46	87	12	13	4	230	335	355	690	126	278	20	11	297	100	+0	+1	+0	+2	+9	1.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	447	384	89	18	1	10	48	90	12	13	4	232	336	362	698	130	279	20	11	301	103	+2	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	443	380	89	18	1	10	48	88	12	13	4	234	339	366	704	132	280	20	11	304	105	+3	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	437	375	88	18	1	10	47	87	12	12	4	235	339	368	707	133	280	20	11	305	106	+3	+1	+0	+2	+9	1.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	430	368	87	18	1	10	47	85	12	12	4	236	342	372	714	136	280	20	11	306	106	+3	+1	+0	+2	+9	1.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIL	69%	415	355	84	17	1	10	46	82	11	11	4	237	342	375	717	138	280	20	11	306	106	+3	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIL	69%	403	344	81	16	1	10	45	81	11	11	4	235	343	375	718	140	279	20	11	305	106	+3	+1	-0	+1	+9	1.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIL	73%	419	358	84	17	1	10	47	85	11	11	4	235	341	372	713	137	279	20	11	304	105	+2	+1	-1	+1	+9	1.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIL	76%	427	364	85	17	1	10	48	87	12	10	3	234	342	368	710	135	278	20	11	301	103	+2	+1	-2	+2	+9	1.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIL	78%	430	367	84	17	1	9	48	89	12	10	3	229	337	354	691	125	276	21	11	298	100	+0	+1	-2	+2	+9	1.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	429	367	82	16	1	9	48	91	11	9	3	223	331	346	677	123	273	21	11	292	97	-2	+1	-3	+2	+9	0.7
2040	33	MLB CTX	MIL	80%	394	337	74	14	1	8	44	85	10	8	3	220	327	338	666	119	269	22	11	286	92	-4	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.3
2041	34	MLB CTX	MIL	76%	336	287	61	11	1	6	37	75	9	6	2	213	321	321	642	108	264	22	11	278	87	-5	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6035	5164	1187	238	15	131	663	1237	164	160	53	230	336	358	694	128	276	20	11	298	100	+5	+11	-15	+22	+131	15.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	556	128	26	2	14	71	133	18	17	6	230	336	360	696	129	277	20	11	298	100	+1	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8892	7598	1757	352	28	180	972	1827	248	263	87	231	338	356	694	125	280	21	11	316	100	+5	+17	-20	+31	+187	22.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	555	129	26	2	13	71	134	18	19	6	232	338	357	695	124	282	21	11	316	100	+0	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#3Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	5.5	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#4Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	9.4	6,213	126	166	233	335	359	+63	+36	25.4	19.9
/162	664	13	18	+6.7	+3.8	2.7	pk7: 14
#5Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Ortuno (OGILVIE)	19	50→55	35→40	59→64	64	215/323/306	92	273	2	11	21%	11%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	53	41→45	61→65	55	249/330/357	107	284	6	32	14%	9%	97	+1.1	229/316/326	97	293	6	23	22%	9%	86	+0.3	222/315/324	102	289	6	23	23%	9%	81	-0.0
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Keiner Delgado 2023 · A	19	47→46	40	58→60	62	221/342/329	108	273	6	26	19%	13%	97	+1.1	207/293/309	102	271	9	25	25%	9%	74	-0.5	195/279/294	99	262	11	24	28%	8%	62	-0.9
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→36	41→50	55	45	231/306/331	100	330	7	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	193/323/316	123	270	12	20	30%	11%	89	+0.5	189/341/340	151	235	17	19	25%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→53	46→55	59→50	43	258/312/400	142	345	12	16	28%	7%	100	+1.3	237/300/393	156	312	16	12	28%	7%	95	+0.9	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	51→52	36→45	60→55	49	237/300/311	74	283	2	24	16%	7%	75	-0.5	226/271/305	79	286	4	22	21%	5%	63	-1.4	241/281/343	102	297	8	19	21%	5%	72	-0.5
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	53→62	42→45	54→55	49	253/325/364	110	312	9	12	21%	8%	97	+1.1	271/334/394	123	324	11	17	19%	7%	107	+1.9	270/336/389	118	323	11	18	19%	7%	104	+1.3
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	53→50	57	230/320/300	70	279	2	19	17%	11%	82	-0.0	219/297/293	74	273	5	14	20%	9%	71	-0.8	230/298/322	93	274	8	10	18%	8%	75	-0.4
●Desmond Jennings 2008 · A	21	52→59	42→50	57→60	47	250/310/361	111	295	9	29	18%	6%	91	+0.7	255/317/373	118	302	8	32	17%	7%	96	+1.0	243/323/397	154	290	15	28	21%	9%	102	+1.5
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
✕Ronald Torreyes 2012 · A	19	60→57	40→45	51→50	46	286/325/389	103	307	5	14	9%	4%	102	+1.5	250/294/337	87	270	4	10	9%	4%	79	-0.2	265/296/343	78	301	3	3	13%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	52	40→45	50	57	243/333/344	100	295	6	10	18%	11%	96	+1.0	217/286/295	78	282	3	7	22%	8%	67	-1.1	202/252/280	79	255	0	6	20%	6%	47	-0.6
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	50	40→45	51→50	44	234/303/337	103	302	5	13	23%	6%	83	+0.1	213/264/311	98	288	6	9	27%	5%	62	-1.4	195/238/286	91	273	8	8	31%	4%	44	-0.9
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	56→61	38→40	55→50	47	259/330/350	91	335	4	16	22%	7%	96	+1.0	252/313/336	84	323	5	14	22%	6%	86	+0.3	263/327/347	84	320	7	11	19%	6%	92	+0.4
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Jay Allen II 2022 · A	19	48→46	45→40	58→55	44	236/308/360	124	307	12	21	26%	7%	91	+0.7	189/288/275	86	288	6	30	33%	9%	65	-1.2	197/281/296	99	271	10	24	29%	7%	64	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps