Juan Ortuno — OGILVIE

Juan OrtunoSS Wilson Warbirds

Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs A BB +10%HR +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.8 · 2033

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .302 / .344

PA97

HR2

K%26

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

44↗49

PWR

37↗42

SPD

57↗62

EYE

58↗63

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.8peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.3	$31M	+$30M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.6	$34M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.8	$37M	+$36M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+3.8	$39M	+$31M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.6	$38M	+$25M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.4	$37M	+$20M
Totals		$40M		$215M	+$175M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	192	165	39	4	2	2	18	40	7	22	7	.236	.337	.321	.658	.085	.296	21	9	.292	82	-4	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.5
2025	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	92	72	14	1	0	3	13	23	6	3	3	.194	.363	.333	.696	.139	.234	25	14	.302	89	-1	-1	+0	+1	+3	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Wilson Warbirds	68	60	10	1	0	0	6	26	2	3	2	.167	.265	.183	.448	.017	.294	38	9	.206	16	-6	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	19	MLB	MIL	29	26	6	1	0	1	3	8	0	1	0	.231	.310	.385	.695	.154	.292	28	10	.286	77	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
TOT	19	MLB	MIL	97	86	16	2	0	1	9	34	2	4	2	.186	.278	.244	.523	.058	.294	35	9	.230	34	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	MIL	206	179	42	7	1	5	22	44	3	6	2	.235	.328	.369	.697	.134	.282	21	11	.313	98	-0	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.8
2028	21	MLB 28%	MIL	337	291	69	12	2	8	37	70	6	10	3	.237	.335	.375	.710	.137	.283	21	11	.322	104	+2	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.6
2029	22	MLB 48%	MIL	431	373	90	15	2	12	48	88	7	12	4	.241	.339	.389	.728	.147	.284	20	11	.328	109	+5	+1	+0	+5	+12	2.3
2030	23	MLB 65%	MIL	493	426	104	18	3	14	56	98	8	14	4	.244	.343	.399	.742	.155	.284	20	11	.334	114	+8	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.9
2031	24	MLB 82%	MIL	534	458	113	19	3	16	62	105	9	14	4	.247	.348	.406	.754	.159	.285	20	12	.338	117	+10	+1	+0	+6	+15	3.3
2032	25	MLB	MIL	557	477	119	20	3	17	66	108	9	15	4	.249	.351	.411	.762	.161	.285	19	12	.341	119	+12	+1	+0	+6	+16	3.6
2033	26	MLB	MIL	570	486	122	21	3	18	69	111	10	15	4	.251	.356	.418	.773	.167	.286	19	12	.343	121	+13	+1	+0	+6	+16	3.8
2034	27	MLB	MIL	573	488	122	21	3	18	70	112	10	15	4	.250	.356	.416	.772	.166	.286	20	12	.343	121	+13	+1	+0	+6	+16	3.8
2035	28	MLB	MIL	570	485	120	20	3	17	70	113	10	14	4	.247	.354	.406	.760	.159	.285	20	12	.342	120	+13	+1	-1	+6	+16	3.6
2036	29	MLB	MIL	562	479	118	20	3	17	69	113	9	14	4	.246	.352	.407	.759	.161	.285	20	12	.340	118	+12	+1	-1	+6	+16	3.4
2037	30	MLB	MIL	552	470	114	19	3	16	68	112	9	13	3	.243	.349	.398	.747	.155	.283	20	12	.337	116	+10	+1	-2	+6	+16	3.1
2038	31	MLB	MIL	539	459	109	18	2	15	66	112	9	12	3	.237	.345	.383	.728	.146	.282	21	12	.333	113	+8	+1	-3	+6	+15	2.8
2039	32	MLB	MIL	520	443	104	17	2	14	64	111	8	11	2	.235	.342	.377	.719	.142	.280	21	12	.328	109	+5	+1	-4	+6	+15	2.4
2040	33	MLB	MIL	491	420	97	16	2	13	60	108	8	10	2	.231	.338	.371	.710	.140	.279	22	12	.323	105	+3	+1	-4	+5	+14	1.9
2041	34	MLB	MIL	444	380	86	14	2	11	54	101	7	9	1	.226	.333	.361	.694	.134	.277	23	12	.316	100	+0	+1	-5	+5	+13	1.4
2042	35	MLB	MIL	390	334	74	12	2	9	47	93	6	9	1	.222	.328	.350	.678	.129	.275	24	12	.308	94	-3	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.9
2043	36	MLB	MIL	330	283	59	9	1	7	39	82	5	7	0	.208	.315	.322	.637	.113	.272	25	12	.300	87	-5	+1	-6	+4	+9	0.3
2044	37	MLB	MIL	266	229	47	7	1	5	31	69	4	6	0	.205	.311	.310	.621	.105	.268	26	12	.290	80	-6	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.1
2045	38	MLB	MIL	197	169	34	5	1	3	23	52	3	4	0	.201	.308	.296	.604	.095	.263	26	12	.279	72	-6	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8875	7592	1802	296	44	241	1055	1873	153	236	59	.237	.342	.383	.725	.146	.283	21	12	.327	109	+87	+24	-46	+95	+251	41.9
/ 162G	—			650	556	132	22	3	18	77	137	11	17	4	.237	.341	.385	.726	.147	.282	21	12	.327	109	+6	+2	-3	+7	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	192	154	53	6	3	3	29	27	7	22	7	.344	.468	.481	.949	.136	.397	14	15	.423	182	+18	+2	—	—	+5	2.5
2025	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	92	64	16	2	0	3	21	15	6	3	3	.250	.473	.422	.894	.172	.277	16	23	.411	173	+8	-1	—	—	+3	1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Ortuno (OGILVIE)	19	44→49	37→42	57→62	63	.222/.302/.344	.123	.290	2	2	26%	9%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→54	45	52→40	48	.224/.296/.359	.134	.268	11	6	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.237/.302/.349	.112	.294	10	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→52	43→50	52→55	54	.219/.321/.336	.117	.295	9	17	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.230/.314/.374	.144	.298	13	20	25%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.316/.381	.152	.296	15	21	26%	10%	95	+0.9
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→56	42→45	49→50	46	.224/.285/.337	.113	.288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	.233/.299/.337	.104	.295	6	12	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
●Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	53→52	46→55	58→50	43	.255/.310/.394	.139	.339	12	15	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.238/.301/.397	.159	.313	16	13	28%	7%	95	+1.4	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→49	41→60	54→50	47	.220/.290/.316	.096	.269	8	15	21%	7%	70	-0.3	.218/.267/.324	.106	.281	10	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	.233/.310/.344	.110	.300	9	12	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.223/.286/.295	.072	.303	4	10	26%	6%	63	-0.9	.219/.279/.260	.041	.287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	48→58	43→60	52→60	46	.224/.316/.343	.119	.317	10	15	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.228/.285/.372	.144	.324	14	22	33%	5%	83	+0.6	.284/.330/.497	.213	.339	28	17	24%	5%	131	+2.8
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	47→45	51→55	43	.223/.287/.361	.138	.312	14	9	32%	8%	81	+0.4	.213/.318/.341	.128	.297	12	16	29%	11%	89	+1.0	.203/.315/.324	.121	.277	12	21	28%	12%	81	+0.4
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	42→50	51→50	44	.214/.271/.330	.115	.275	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	.235/.285/.365	.130	.305	13	12	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	48→52	43→60	51→55	43	.233/.283/.353	.119	.294	8	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.238/.282/.338	.100	.277	6	12	16%	5%	71	-0.3	.239/.297/.453	.213	.275	26	12	23%	6%	106	+1.2
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	51	39→45	54→50	50	.241/.308/.340	.098	.273	5	11	13%	6%	83	+0.6	.247/.317/.339	.092	.288	6	9	15%	7%	88	+0.9	.229/.296/.343	.114	.285	12	10	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	.227/.287/.331	.103	.273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.229/.306/.353	.124	.285	12	10	22%	9%	86	+0.8	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)