Ilan Fernandez

SS Salem RidgeYaks

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKBOS	130	.234/.336/.315	1	13	25	—	.154/.227/.214
2026	19	ABOS	245	.235/.368/.380	4	7	65	—	.186/.293/.290
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBBOS	355	.206/.288/.307	5	7	71	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBOS	105	.218/.300/.332	2	2	76	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBBOS	197	.222/.304/.344	4	5	80	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%68

Chase%63

wOBA56

ISO56

wRC+53

K%50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 86%

CompsChris Suero (age 20) · Robert Gonzalez (age 20) · Christian Cerda (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 232 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .286 / .304

PA232

HR3

SB5

K%26

BB%9

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	147	41	4	3	1	18	23	10	10	1	279	394	367	762	88	315	13	10	345	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	130	111	26	4	1	1	15	27	2	13	2	234	336	315	651	81	294	21	12	299	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Salem RidgeYaks	—	245	200	47	17	0	4	35	59	7	7	4	235	368	380	748	145	307	24	14	340	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	152	28	2	2	1	13	28	10	10	1	184	291	243	535	59	200	16	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	130	117	18	2	1	1	9	40	2	13	2	154	227	214	440	60	219	31	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	245	210	39	13	0	3	25	80	7	7	4	186	293	290	584	105	269	33	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	152	28	2	2	1	13	28	10	10	1	184	291	243	535	59	213	16	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	147	41	4	3	1	18	23	10	10	1	279	394	367	762	88	315	13	10	345	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	130	117	18	2	1	1	9	40	2	13	2	154	227	214	440	60	218	31	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	130	111	26	4	1	1	15	27	2	13	2	234	336	315	651	81	294	21	12	299	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	245	210	39	13	0	3	25	80	7	7	4	186	293	290	584	105	277	33	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Salem RidgeYaks	—	245	200	47	17	0	4	35	59	7	7	4	235	368	380	748	145	307	24	14	340	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	154	28	2	2	1	13	28	10	10	1	182	291	240	532	58	200	16	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	130	118	18	2	1	1	9	40	2	13	2	153	227	212	438	59	219	31	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	245	211	39	13	0	3	25	80	7	7	4	185	293	289	582	104	269	33	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	154	28	2	2	1	13	28	10	10	1	182	291	240	532	58	200	16	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	130	118	18	2	1	1	9	40	2	13	2	153	227	212	438	59	219	31	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	245	211	39	13	0	3	25	80	7	7	4	185	293	289	582	104	269	33	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	355	316	66	14	2	5	31	93	5	7	2	206	288	307	595	101	272	26	9	272	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	306	271	58	12	2	5	27	78	5	7	2	211	294	323	617	112	274	25	9	281	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	406	361	78	16	2	8	36	102	6	9	3	215	298	334	633	119	275	25	9	287	80	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	470	418	91	19	2	9	42	117	7	11	3	218	301	342	644	124	277	25	9	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	512	453	101	20	3	11	46	126	8	12	4	221	304	348	652	127	279	25	9	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	BOS	60%	536	475	106	21	3	12	48	131	8	12	4	222	305	352	657	130	279	24	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	BOS	62%	548	485	108	22	3	12	50	134	8	13	4	222	305	352	657	130	279	24	9	296	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	BOS	63%	551	488	109	22	3	12	50	136	8	12	4	221	304	349	653	128	279	25	9	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	548	485	107	22	3	11	50	136	8	11	4	220	302	345	647	125	278	25	9	293	84	-10	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	540	479	104	21	2	11	49	136	7	10	4	217	299	339	638	122	277	25	9	289	82	-12	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	530	471	101	21	2	10	47	135	7	9	4	214	296	332	627	117	275	25	9	285	79	-13	+0	-2	+6	+11	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	517	459	97	20	2	9	46	133	7	8	5	210	291	322	613	112	272	26	9	279	75	-15	-0	-3	+6	+11	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	105	93	20	5	0	2	9	27	2	2	1	218	300	332	632	115	284	26	9	287	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	197	174	40	9	1	4	18	50	3	5	1	222	304	344	648	122	285	25	9	293	80	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	255	226	50	11	1	5	23	63	4	6	2	225	307	352	659	127	287	25	9	298	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	284	252	57	13	1	6	26	70	4	7	2	228	310	358	667	130	289	25	9	301	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	BOS	60%	320	283	64	14	1	7	29	78	5	7	2	229	311	362	673	133	289	24	9	303	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	BOS	62%	340	301	69	15	2	7	31	83	5	8	2	229	311	362	672	133	289	24	9	303	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	BOS	63%	348	308	71	16	2	7	32	86	5	8	2	228	310	359	669	131	289	25	9	301	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	356	316	72	16	2	7	32	88	5	7	2	226	308	355	662	128	288	25	9	299	84	-7	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	351	311	70	16	1	7	32	88	5	7	2	224	305	349	654	125	287	25	9	295	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	344	305	67	15	1	6	31	87	5	6	3	221	302	341	643	120	285	25	9	291	79	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	336	299	64	14	1	6	30	87	4	5	3	217	297	332	629	115	282	26	9	285	75	-10	-0	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3236	2868	644	144	13	64	293	807	47	68	22	225	307	351	658	126	288	25	9	297	79	-67	+5	-5	+35	+70	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	130	29	3	13	59	162	9	14	4	226	307	354	662	128	289	25	9	297	79	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6250	5530	1187	242	31	118	558	1573	102	149	49	215	298	334	632	119	276	25	9	285	79	-121	+7	-7	+61	+123	6.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	123	25	3	12	58	164	11	15	5	214	298	330	629	117	275	25	9	285	79	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.2	3,469	68	73	218	297	340	+37	+21	6.2	5.6
/162	664	13	14	+7.1	+4.0	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ilan Fernandez (OGILVIE)	20	30→35	35→40	53→58	58	204/286/304	100	272	3	5	26%	9%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40	39→45	50→40	53	189/279/278	88	244	6	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	198/297/302	104	263	10	4	26%	12%	74	-0.5	187/288/292	105	240	12	2	26%	12%	67	-0.7
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	39	38→40	48→40	56	186/292/260	74	232	6	6	21%	11%	63	-1.3	186/285/262	76	274	6	4	31%	11%	61	-1.5	167/269/232	65	254	5	2	33%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	39	41→45	51→55	51	194/284/291	97	239	9	16	22%	9%	67	-1.1	213/275/344	131	283	14	13	28%	7%	74	-0.5	206/255/390	183	266	22	15	31%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Anyelo Encarnación 2024 · A	20	41→36	38→40	54→50	49	188/284/272	84	293	5	14	34%	11%	62	-1.4	183/267/272	89	313	8	14	40%	9%	56	-1.9	171/261/262	92	293	9	17	41%	10%	49	-1.4
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1

Ilan Fernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps