Josmir Reyes

C FCL Mets

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#440ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	190	.300/.435/.480	4	5	71	—	.188/.301/.281
2026	19	ROKNYM	153	.228/.375/.301	1	4	39	—	.165/.270/.218
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBNYM	263	.227/.303/.327	3	4	80	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBNYM	45	.224/.301/.328	1	1	84	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBNYM	108	.226/.303/.337	2	2	87	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%96

Z-Con%95

K%93

BB%66

Chase%40

wRC+38

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 4.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsCanaan Smith-Njigba (age 20) · Bryan Anderson (age 20) · Cam Maron (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .301 / .324

PA79

HR1

K%23

BB%9

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	190	150	45	11	2	4	34	15	2	5	2	300	435	480	915	180	304	8	18	401	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	153	123	28	6	0	1	27	17	2	4	2	228	375	301	676	73	255	11	18	321	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	190	160	30	7	1	2	24	19	2	5	2	188	301	281	582	94	192	10	13	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	153	133	22	4	0	1	17	24	2	4	2	165	270	218	488	53	192	16	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	190	160	30	7	1	2	24	19	2	5	2	188	301	281	582	94	196	10	13	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	190	150	45	11	2	4	34	15	2	5	2	300	435	480	915	180	304	8	18	401	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	153	133	22	4	0	1	17	24	2	4	2	165	270	218	488	53	193	16	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	153	123	28	6	0	1	27	17	2	4	2	228	375	301	676	73	255	11	18	321	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	190	162	30	7	1	2	24	19	2	5	2	185	301	278	579	93	192	10	13	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	153	133	22	4	0	1	17	24	2	4	2	165	270	218	488	53	192	16	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	190	162	30	7	1	2	24	19	2	5	2	185	301	278	579	93	192	10	13	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	153	133	22	4	0	1	17	24	2	4	2	165	270	218	488	53	192	16	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	263	236	53	10	2	3	23	59	2	4	1	227	303	327	630	100	287	22	9	286	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	130	116	27	5	1	2	12	29	1	2	1	231	307	338	645	108	289	22	9	292	84	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	223	199	48	9	2	4	20	50	2	4	1	233	310	347	657	114	290	22	9	297	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	317	283	66	12	2	6	28	70	3	5	2	235	312	354	666	119	291	22	9	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	387	345	82	15	3	7	35	85	4	6	2	237	313	359	672	122	292	22	9	303	91	-4	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	427	382	91	17	3	8	38	94	4	7	2	238	314	363	676	125	292	22	9	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	445	398	95	18	3	9	40	98	4	7	2	237	314	362	676	125	291	22	9	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	445	398	94	17	3	9	40	99	4	7	2	236	313	360	672	123	291	22	9	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	445	398	93	17	3	8	40	100	4	6	2	234	310	355	665	120	290	22	9	300	89	-6	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	445	398	93	17	3	8	40	101	4	6	3	232	308	348	656	116	288	23	9	296	87	-7	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	437	391	89	16	3	7	39	101	4	5	3	229	304	341	645	112	287	23	9	291	83	-9	-0	-2	+8	+9	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	402	361	81	15	2	6	35	94	3	4	4	225	299	331	630	106	284	23	9	285	79	-10	-1	-3	+7	+9	0.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	NYM	59%	364	327	72	13	2	5	31	87	3	3	10	219	293	318	611	99	280	24	9	278	74	-11	-3	-4	+7	+8	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	45	41	9	2	0	1	4	10	0	1	0	224	301	328	629	104	279	22	9	285	84	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	108	96	22	4	1	2	10	24	1	2	1	226	303	337	640	111	280	22	9	290	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	172	153	35	6	1	3	15	38	2	3	1	228	305	344	649	115	281	22	9	293	89	-2	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	215	192	44	8	1	4	19	47	2	3	1	230	307	349	656	119	282	22	9	296	91	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	239	214	50	9	2	5	21	53	2	4	1	231	307	352	660	122	282	22	9	297	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	250	224	52	9	2	5	22	55	2	4	1	230	307	352	659	122	282	22	9	297	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	246	220	51	9	2	5	22	55	2	4	1	229	306	349	656	120	281	22	9	296	91	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	244	218	50	9	1	5	22	55	2	3	1	228	304	345	649	117	281	23	9	293	89	-3	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	238	213	48	9	1	4	21	54	2	3	1	225	301	339	640	113	279	23	9	290	87	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	230	206	45	8	1	4	20	53	2	3	2	222	298	331	629	109	278	23	9	285	83	-5	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	227	203	45	8	1	4	20	53	2	2	2	218	293	321	614	103	275	23	9	279	79	-6	-0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	NYM	59%	215	193	41	7	1	3	18	51	2	2	6	213	287	309	596	96	271	24	8	272	74	-7	-2	-2	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2429	2173	492	88	14	45	214	548	21	34	18	226	302	342	644	116	281	23	9	290	85	-38	-0	-6	+43	+53	5.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	132	24	4	12	57	147	6	9	5	227	303	344	647	117	282	23	9	290	85	-10	-0	-2	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4889	4360	1000	185	32	83	446	1069	45	72	38	229	307	344	651	114	283	22	9	293	85	-72	-1	-10	+81	+98	9.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	133	25	4	11	59	142	6	10	5	229	307	343	650	114	283	22	9	293	85	-10	-0	-2	+12	+14	1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Mets · 153 PAwOBA .316 → .226 (−90)K% 11.1% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.11%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	16.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.65%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.995	10.89%
HBP% /PA	1.31%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.94%
Singles /BIP	19.81%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.950	×0.995	15.36%
Doubles /BIP	5.66%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.950	×0.995	3.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.94%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.73%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .316 → .226; ISO .073 → .054; BABIP .255 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 190 PAwOBA .398 → .273 (−126)K% 7.9% → 9.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.89%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	9.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.37%	÷0.971	×0.700	—	×0.995	12.46%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.73%
Singles /BIP	20.74%	÷1.012	×0.680	×0.976	×0.995	13.53%
Doubles /BIP	8.15%	÷0.944	×0.600	×0.976	×0.995	5.03%
Triples /BIP	1.48%	÷1.057	×0.600	×0.976	×0.995	0.82%
Home runs /BIP	2.96%	÷0.873	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.59%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 111, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .398 → .273; ISO .180 → .111; BABIP .304 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#4Scott Servais'91-'01 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,778 PA	4.2	2,778	63	3	235*	296*	373*	+49	+0	6.5	6.9
/162	664	15	1	+11.7	+0.1	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,508	44	34	233	305	350	+45	+28	7.2	6.4
/162	664	12	9	+11.9	+7.4	1.9	pk7: 6
#6Jake Gibbs'63-'71 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	25	28	244*	299*	362*	+32	+0	5.4	5.4
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josmir Reyes (OGILVIE)	20	55	40	45	60	225/301/324	99	287	1	1	23%	9%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	46→51	41→45	46→55	51	218/304/317	98	298	9	7	28%	10%	79	-0.2	237/308/353	116	333	10	11	29%	9%	88	+0.5	242/319/359	118	343	9	15	29%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Bryan Anderson 2007 · A	20	52→59	40→45	41→30	45	250/301/351	102	313	7	5	22%	6%	85	+0.2	257/303/348	91	329	7	3	23%	6%	84	+0.2	262/307/350	88	335	7	2	23%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	226/291/320	94	287	8	6	23%	8%	74	-0.5	244/314/326	82	314	5	4	22%	8%	84	+0.2	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Meibrys Viloria 2017 · A	20	51→48	41→45	45→40	45	244/299/347	103	300	7	3	20%	6%	83	+0.1	234/281/332	98	313	8	3	26%	5%	73	-0.6	214/301/308	93	318	8	3	32%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	51→52	45	49→50	47	249/304/371	122	299	13	11	21%	7%	91	+0.6	242/328/367	125	291	10	13	19%	10%	99	+1.3	240/330/363	124	285	10	12	18%	10%	97	+1.0
✕Rio Ruiz 2015 · A	21	50→54	43→50	45→40	50	240/307/360	120	305	9	5	24%	9%	89	+0.5	237/302/351	114	309	10	3	24%	9%	86	+0.3	220/284/360	140	261	16	3	22%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	48	38→40	50	60	221/321/305	85	261	4	10	16%	12%	83	+0.1	203/276/272	69	258	3	7	20%	9%	58	-1.7	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕John Drennen 2007 · A	20	48→58	43→45	45	44	234/295/346	113	303	10	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0	221/276/324	103	282	9	5	24%	6%	70	-0.9	250/301/374	124	298	8	1	18%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Marcus Lemon 2008 · A	20	50→55	38→40	46→45	47	233/301/319	86	310	3	10	24%	8%	78	-0.3	248/302/338	90	307	5	8	20%	6%	82	-0.0	254/303/338	84	308	4	7	18%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→30	44→45	52	232/313/323	92	294	5	6	22%	10%	84	+0.1	246/336/323	77	297	4	8	17%	9%	93	+0.8	269/354/337	68	315	2	8	14%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Tucker Barnhart 2012 · A	21	50→53	38→45	47→40	46	233/289/316	83	302	4	5	23%	7%	72	-0.7	228/287/311	83	285	5	3	20%	7%	70	-0.8	241/315/366	125	285	12	2	19%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	52→60	41→45	50	44	252/296/351	100	305	8	12	20%	6%	83	+0.1	265/314/360	95	319	6	10	18%	6%	91	+0.7	281/332/373	92	325	5	8	14%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Yeiner Fernandez 2023 · A	20	52→53	41→40	43→45	46	251/312/352	101	307	9	4	21%	6%	90	+0.6	237/302/319	82	282	6	5	17%	7%	78	-0.3	233/299/299	66	274	4	5	16%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	54→57	41→45	46→50	52	258/327/358	100	312	9	15	20%	9%	96	+1.0	243/315/344	101	290	8	10	18%	9%	88	+0.5	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4
✕Felipe Burin 2012 · A	20	51	36→40	40→45	50	238/302/311	73	295	2	4	19%	8%	76	-0.4	214/277/280	66	287	2	5	24%	8%	60	-1.6	161/234/188	28	217	0	3	24%	8%	24	-1.2
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8

Josmir Reyes

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps