Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 1 | 36 | 158 | 25 | 25 | 2 | 9% | 3.2 | 10.8% | 19.8% | -9.0% | 2.0% | 3.03 | 5.77 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 1 | 36 | 158 | 25 | 25 | 2 | 9% | 3.2 | 15.8% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 3.03 | 4.53 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 11 | 0 | 15 | 83 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 8.2% | 30.1% | -21.9% | 2.7% | 11.40 | 7.69 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 11 | 0 | 15 | 83 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.0% | 24.1% | -12.0% | 1.2% | 11.40 | 6.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 7 | 0 | 10 | 61 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 10.0% | 43.0% | -33.0% | 0.0% | 7.20 | 7.70 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.62 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 23 | 116 | 21 | 27 | 2 | — | — | 18.2% | 23.3% | -5.1% | 1.4% | 5.74 | 5.96 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 29 | 1 | 61 | 302 | 30 | 82 | 5 | 3% | 2.1 | 9.9% | 27.3% | -17.4% | 1.8% | 5.79 | 6.69 | -1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 3 | 200 | 996 | 99 | 272 | 18 | 3% | 2.1 | 9.9% | 27.3% | -17.4% | 1.8% | 5.79 | 6.69 | -3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yoandys Veraza (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.45 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Harold Cortijo R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.46 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .309 | 5.87 | 13.5% | 2.2% | 73 | +1.41 | 4.13 | 179 | 89 |
| Blake Workman R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 86 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 84 |
| Osiris German R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 84 |
| Chris Gau R 2028 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 84 |
| Joangel Gonzalez R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .312 | 4.91 | 19.4% | 3.4% | 93 | +0.49 | 3.96 | 127 | 84 |
| Danny Dopico R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 83 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2029 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 83 |
| Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.12 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .327 | 3.37 | 23.8% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.75 | 3.30 | 104 | 83 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 83 |
| Justin Meis R 2028 · 3.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.80 | 25.6% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .300 | 5.11 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 261 | +1.31 | 3.80 | 385 | 83 |
| Audry Lugo R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.05 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .247 | 5.27 | 15.6% | -0.4% | 77 | +1.22 | 4.05 | 113 | 82 |
| Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.62 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .286 | 5.15 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 157 | +1.53 | 3.62 | 181 | 82 |
| Jeremy Beasley R 2028 · 4.71 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.71 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .273 | 4.08 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 234 | -0.63 | 3.17 | 337 | 82 |
| Mason Fox R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 82 |
| Jose Diaz R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.97 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .326 | 5.61 | 19.2% | 1.1% | 64 | +1.64 | 3.95 | 189 | 82 |
| Luis Alvarado R 2028 · 5.24 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.24 | 20.2% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .276 | 5.27 | 18.7% | 4.4% | 140 | +0.03 | 5.04 | 162 | 82 |
| Felix Castro R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.48 | 24.0% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .295 | 5.02 | 14.9% | -1.8% | 97 | +1.54 | 3.48 | 144 | 81 |
| Yordin Chalas R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.72 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 3.2% | .294 | 3.99 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 116 | -0.73 | 3.69 | 140 | 81 |
| Troy Bacon R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.92 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 1.9% | .222 | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.8% | 102 | +0.27 | 3.43 | 203 | 81 |