Edwin Núñez — OGILVIE

Edwin Núñez P Springfield Cardinals

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.11

FIP6.11

K%18.0%

BB%21.0%

K-BB%-3.0%

ROS IP33

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	32	2	54	288	59	56	7	6%	1.7	15.2%	22.9%	-7.8%	3.4%	10.90	6.60	—
2021	19	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	32	2	54	288	59	56	7	6%	1.7	20.5%	19.4%	1.0%	2.4%	10.90	5.73	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	33	157	30	26	2	0%	1.2	13.1%	15.8%	-2.6%	1.0%	5.67	4.56	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	33	157	30	26	2	0%	1.2	19.1%	16.6%	2.5%	1.3%	5.67	4.42	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	64	278	65	29	5	0%	1.6	17.6%	12.1%	5.5%	2.1%	3.39	4.31	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	64	278	65	29	5	0%	1.6	17.6%	12.1%	5.5%	2.1%	3.39	4.31	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	64	278	65	29	5	0%	1.6	23.4%	10.4%	12.9%	1.8%	3.39	3.45	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	29	17	80	397	81	67	9	59%	2.7	16.5%	18.6%	-2.0%	2.0%	7.68	5.13	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	29	17	80	397	81	67	9	59%	2.7	16.5%	18.6%	-2.0%	2.0%	7.68	5.13	—
2024	22	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	29	17	80	397	81	67	9	59%	2.7	20.4%	16.9%	3.5%	2.3%	7.68	5.06	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	46	233	48	52	5	0%	1.2	16.6%	27.9%	-11.2%	2.7%	9.66	6.71	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	46	233	48	52	5	0%	1.2	16.6%	27.9%	-11.2%	2.7%	9.66	6.71	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	46	233	48	52	5	0%	1.2	20.6%	22.3%	-1.7%	2.1%	9.66	5.84	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	24	0	23	131	26	25	3	0%	1.0	16.1%	21.0%	-4.9%	2.7%	10.17	5.91	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	24	0	23	131	26	25	3	0%	1.0	16.1%	21.0%	-4.9%	2.7%	10.17	5.91	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	STL	24	0	23	131	26	25	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	19.1%	0.8%	2.3%	10.17	5.10	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	69	0	73	307	59	54	8	0%	1.1	19.3%	17.6%	1.7%	2.7%	5.72	5.58	-0.8
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	69	0	73	307	62	52	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	17.0%	3.1%	2.8%	5.52	5.45	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	68	0	72	302	61	50	9	0%	1.1	20.2%	16.7%	3.6%	2.8%	5.44	5.43	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	STL	66	0	69	293	59	49	9	0%	1.1	20.2%	16.6%	3.6%	2.9%	5.45	5.48	-0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	STL	63	0	66	280	56	47	9	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.8%	3.1%	3.1%	5.55	5.62	-0.8
2032	30	MLB MLE	STL	59	0	62	263	52	45	9	0%	1.1	19.6%	17.1%	2.5%	3.3%	5.70	5.79	-0.8
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	30	0	32	135	26	24	4	0%	1.1	19.3%	17.6%	1.7%	2.7%	5.72	5.58	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	47	0	49	207	42	35	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	17.0%	3.1%	2.8%	5.52	5.45	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	53	0	56	236	48	39	7	0%	1.1	20.2%	16.7%	3.6%	2.8%	5.44	5.43	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	STL	55	0	58	245	49	41	7	0%	1.1	20.2%	16.6%	3.6%	2.9%	5.45	5.48	-0.6
2031	29	MLB CTX	STL	55	0	58	245	49	41	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.8%	3.1%	3.1%	5.55	5.62	-0.7
2032	30	MLB CTX	STL	53	0	56	236	46	41	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	17.1%	2.5%	3.3%	5.70	5.79	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		294	0	309	1303	260	220	38	0%	1.0	19.9%	16.9%	3.0%	3.0%	5.55	5.18	-2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	143	25	0%	1.1	19.9%	16.9%	3.0%	3.0%	5.55	5.18	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		191	19	299	1484	239	291	35	10%	1.6	16.1%	19.6%	-3.5%	2.4%	7.62	5.52	-4.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		128	13	200	993	160	194	23	10%	1.6	16.1%	19.6%	-3.5%	2.4%	7.62	5.52	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edwin Núñez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.11	18.0%	21.0%	2.7%	—	5.49	19.9%	2.8%	217	-0.62	—	—	—
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	88
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	86
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	86
Kelvin Vasquez R 2017 · 6.26 FIP	24	SU	6.26	15.0%	23.2%	2.7%	.247	5.06	14.5%	-0.2%	48	-1.20	5.01	180	86
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	86
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	84
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	84
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	83
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	83
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	83
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	83
Jake Gozzo R 2021 · 7.10 FIP	24	SU	7.10	14.3%	30.2%	2.5%	.200	5.35	15.8%	-0.7%	129	-1.75	4.32	162	82
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	82
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	82
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	81
Will McAffer R 2021 · 6.40 FIP	24	SU	6.40	21.5%	24.2%	3.7%	.343	5.37	14.5%	-5.7%	33	-1.03	4.68	133	81
Yoel Espinal R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	21.4%	23.1%	2.1%	.255	4.24	22.9%	10.0%	99	-1.13	3.86	231	81
Austin Glorius R 2017 · 6.09 FIP	24	SU	6.09	18.7%	21.0%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	141	81
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	64	19.8%	17.3%	1.13	5.60
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77