Yairo Padilla — OGILVIE

Yairo PadillaSS Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 115 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .298 / .346

PA115

HR2

K%25

BB%7

BABIP297

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$11M	+$9M
2033	Arb-2	$8M	+2.3	$11M	+$7M
2034	Arb-3	$12M	+2.3	$10M	+$5M
Totals		$27M		$61M	+$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	162	143	29	4	2	0	10	42	7	22	5	203	287	259	546	56	284	26	6	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	162	136	39	5	4	1	17	29	7	22	5	287	394	404	798	118	355	18	10	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	148	127	27	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	213	301	268	568	55	276	20	7	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	148	120	34	4	3	0	18	21	5	24	4	283	399	367	765	83	340	14	12	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	STL	—	25	23	6	3	0	0	2	6	0	4	1	261	320	391	711	130	353	24	8	321	104	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
YTD	19	A	STL	—	25	22	7	3	0	0	3	4	0	4	1	318	400	455	855	136	389	16	12	383	151	+1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.3
ROS	19	A	STL	0%	115	104	24	4	1	2	8	29	2	3	0	231	298	346	644	115	290	25	7	279	71	-4	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	268	63	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	STL	—	25	24	6	3	0	0	2	6	0	4	1	250	320	375	695	125	333	24	8	321	104	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
TOT	19	A	STL	—	140	127	30	7	1	2	10	35	2	7	1	236	302	354	656	118	308	25	7	286	77	-4	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	STL	34%	240	217	49	8	2	4	17	58	4	6	1	226	294	336	631	111	292	24	7	291	81	-5	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2028	21	MLB	STL	48%	363	327	77	13	3	8	27	87	6	8	1	235	306	367	673	131	293	24	7	300	88	-5	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.9
2029	22	MLB	STL	54%	451	407	97	16	4	11	34	107	7	10	2	238	308	378	686	140	294	24	8	306	92	-4	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.3
2030	23	MLB	STL	57%	508	457	110	18	4	13	38	120	8	11	2	241	310	383	693	142	295	24	7	311	96	-2	+1	-2	+5	+14	1.7
2031	24	MLB	STL	57%	546	491	120	20	5	15	41	128	9	11	2	244	314	397	711	153	296	23	8	314	98	-1	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.0
2032	25	MLB	STL	57%	567	510	125	21	5	16	43	133	9	12	2	245	315	400	715	155	297	23	8	316	100	+0	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.2
2033	26	MLB	STL	56%	578	520	128	21	5	17	44	135	9	12	2	246	316	404	720	158	297	23	8	318	101	+1	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.3
2034	27	MLB	STL	55%	581	522	128	21	5	17	45	136	9	12	2	245	316	402	718	157	296	23	8	318	101	+1	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.3
2035	28	MLB	STL	55%	577	518	126	21	5	16	45	136	9	11	2	243	315	396	710	153	296	24	8	317	101	+0	+1	-3	+6	+16	2.2
2036	29	MLB	STL	53%	569	510	124	20	5	16	45	135	9	11	2	243	316	396	712	153	296	24	8	315	99	-0	+1	-4	+6	+16	2.0
2037	30	MLB	STL	53%	559	501	120	20	4	15	44	134	9	10	2	240	312	385	698	146	295	24	8	313	97	-2	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.7
2038	31	MLB	STL	52%	545	489	116	19	4	15	43	133	8	10	2	237	309	384	694	147	293	24	8	309	94	-3	+1	-5	+6	+15	1.4
2039	32	MLB	STL	52%	527	473	111	18	4	14	41	131	8	9	1	235	307	378	685	144	290	25	8	303	90	-6	+1	-6	+6	+15	1.1
2040	33	MLB	STL	52%	497	448	102	16	4	12	39	126	7	8	1	228	300	362	661	134	286	25	8	297	85	-8	+1	-6	+5	+14	0.6
2041	34	MLB	STL	47%	450	406	89	13	3	10	35	117	6	7	1	219	291	340	631	121	281	26	8	289	79	-11	+1	-7	+5	+13	0.1
2027	20	MLB	STL	34%	82	75	18	3	1	2	6	20	1	2	0	240	305	387	692	147	292	24	7	280	72	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB	STL	48%	176	158	38	6	2	4	13	42	3	4	1	241	310	380	690	139	293	24	7	288	79	-4	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.2
2029	22	MLB	STL	54%	245	221	53	9	2	6	18	58	4	5	1	240	309	380	689	140	294	24	7	294	84	-5	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2030	23	MLB	STL	57%	288	260	61	10	2	7	22	68	4	6	1	235	304	369	673	135	295	24	8	299	87	-4	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.7
2031	24	MLB	STL	57%	309	278	67	11	3	8	23	72	5	6	1	241	310	388	699	147	296	23	7	302	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.8
2032	25	MLB	STL	57%	320	288	71	12	3	9	24	75	5	7	1	247	315	403	718	156	296	23	8	304	91	-3	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.9
2033	26	MLB	STL	56%	327	294	72	12	3	9	25	77	5	7	1	245	315	398	713	153	296	24	8	306	92	-3	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2034	27	MLB	STL	55%	322	289	71	12	3	9	25	76	5	7	1	246	317	401	718	156	296	24	8	306	92	-3	+1	-1	+3	+9	1.0
2035	28	MLB	STL	55%	317	284	69	11	3	9	25	75	5	6	1	243	315	398	713	155	296	24	8	305	92	-3	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.9
2036	29	MLB	STL	53%	304	272	66	11	2	9	24	72	5	6	1	243	316	397	713	154	295	24	8	303	90	-3	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.7
2037	30	MLB	STL	53%	294	264	63	10	2	8	23	71	5	5	1	239	312	383	694	144	295	24	8	301	89	-4	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.6
2038	31	MLB	STL	52%	284	256	61	10	2	8	22	69	4	5	1	238	309	387	695	148	293	24	8	297	86	-5	+1	-3	+3	+8	0.5
2039	32	MLB	STL	52%	273	246	57	9	2	7	21	68	4	5	1	232	303	370	673	138	290	25	8	292	82	-6	+1	-3	+3	+8	0.3
2040	33	MLB	STL	52%	257	231	52	8	2	6	20	65	4	4	1	225	298	355	653	130	286	25	8	286	77	-7	+0	-3	+3	+7	0.1
2041	34	MLB	STL	47%	212	191	42	6	2	5	16	55	3	3	1	220	290	351	641	131	281	26	8	278	71	-7	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4010	3608	861	140	34	106	307	963	62	78	14	239	309	384	694	146	295	24	8	298	86	-62	+10	-27	+43	+114	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	140	23	6	17	50	156	10	13	2	239	310	386	696	147	296	24	8	298	86	-10	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	7983	7170	1702	276	67	201	610	1917	131	197	34	237	309	379	687	141	295	24	8	306	93	-66	+26	-52	+86	+226	22.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	137	22	5	16	50	156	11	16	3	235	307	372	679	137	292	24	8	306	93	-5	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	162	136	39	5	4	1	17	29	7	22	5	287	394	404	798	118	355	18	10	359	133	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	148	120	34	4	3	0	18	21	5	24	4	283	399	367	765	83	340	14	12	342	120	+3	+3	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,150	108	82	239	307	384	+43	-8	14.1	11.6
	/162	664	17	13	239	307	384	+6.9	-1.3	2.3	pk7: 9
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yairo Padilla (OGILVIE)	19	34→53	36→53	53→52	49	236/302/354	118	308	2	7	25%	7%	77	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	217/279/316	98	271	8	11	23%	7%	65	-0.7	239/313/375	136	278	16	17	19%	9%	95	+1.4	230/306/371	141	263	18	23	20%	9%	88	+0.7
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	238/283/344	106	294	10	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1	256/302/428	172	302	17	1	21%	5%	103	+1.0
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Abraham Almonte 2008 · A	19	42→52	42→55	50→55	49	206/280/312	106	268	10	19	26%	9%	65	-0.7	213/262/309	96	284	7	19	26%	6%	55	-1.4	227/326/416	190	273	22	11	24%	13%	108	+1.4
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Ronny Simon 2019 · A	19	41→51	37→50	47→55	44	195/271/269	74	274	3	11	28%	7%	50	-1.7	212/273/338	126	273	10	14	25%	7%	68	-0.5	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Henry Ramos 2011 · A	19	47→56	41→50	48→50	41	225/276/322	97	299	8	14	27%	6%	65	-0.7	210/251/308	98	290	8	11	29%	5%	50	-1.7	253/314/397	144	315	16	7	24%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	63	-0.8	199/289/276	77	291	4	13	30%	10%	60	-1.0	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
●Luis Rengifo 2016 · A	19	47→55	37→55	51→55	48	220/280/299	79	267	3	14	18%	7%	61	-1.0	219/275/319	100	281	7	22	23%	6%	64	-0.8	273/324/436	163	306	19	16	17%	6%	113	+2.0
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→57	42→55	55	47	231/289/340	110	295	8	12	24%	8%	76	+0.0	218/293/325	107	304	7	12	28%	10%	73	-0.1	242/354/440	197	274	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7