Yairo Padilla — OGILVIE

Yairo PadillaSS Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION144 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .308 / .333

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP293

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$6M	+$3M
2033	Arb-2	$9M	+1.3	$6M	+$2M
2034	Arb-3	$13M	+1.3	$6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$17M		$32M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	162	136	39	5	4	1	17	29	7	22	5	287	394	404	798	118	355	18	10	359	129	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	148	120	34	4	3	0	18	21	5	24	4	283	399	367	765	83	340	14	12	342	118	+3	+3	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	162	143	30	4	2	1	10	42	7	22	5	210	294	287	580	77	279	26	6	253	57	-8	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	148	127	28	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	220	308	276	583	55	274	20	7	258	61	-7	+3	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	162	143	30	4	2	1	10	42	7	22	5	210	294	287	580	77	287	26	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	162	136	39	5	4	1	17	29	7	22	5	287	394	404	798	118	355	18	10	359	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	148	127	28	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	220	308	276	583	55	286	20	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	148	120	34	4	3	0	18	21	5	24	4	283	399	367	765	83	340	14	12	342	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	162	144	30	4	2	1	10	42	7	22	5	208	294	285	578	76	279	26	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	148	131	28	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	214	308	267	575	53	274	20	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	162	144	30	4	2	1	10	42	7	22	5	208	294	285	578	76	279	26	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	148	131	28	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	214	308	267	575	53	274	20	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	STL	—	144	132	30	8	2	3	11	41	0	10	6	227	287	386	673	159	307	28	8	293	84	-3	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	STL	—	128	114	32	9	2	3	13	24	0	10	6	281	354	474	828	193	333	19	10	362	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ RAW	STL	—	16	14	2	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	143	250	357	607	214	125	31	12	274	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	STL	0%	13	12	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	250	308	333	641	83	293	23	8	290	82	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	STL	—	157	144	33	9	2	3	12	44	0	10	6	229	288	382	670	153	309	28	8	293	84	-3	-0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	34%	244	221	52	10	2	6	18	60	3	6	2	235	302	380	682	145	294	25	7	302	91	-3	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.5
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	48%	366	331	80	16	3	10	28	89	4	8	3	242	309	399	707	157	295	24	8	310	96	-2	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.9
2029	22	MLB MLE	STL	54%	453	410	99	19	4	13	35	108	5	10	4	241	309	402	711	161	296	24	8	316	100	+0	+0	-2	+5	+10	1.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	STL	57%	510	459	112	22	4	15	40	120	6	11	4	244	313	407	720	163	297	24	8	321	103	+2	+1	-2	+5	+11	1.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	STL	57%	547	492	122	24	4	17	43	128	7	12	4	248	317	417	734	169	298	23	8	324	105	+3	+1	-2	+6	+12	2.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	STL	57%	568	511	128	25	5	18	45	133	7	12	4	250	320	425	744	174	298	23	8	326	107	+4	+1	-2	+6	+12	2.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	579	521	130	25	5	19	46	136	7	12	4	250	319	426	745	177	298	23	8	327	107	+5	+1	-2	+6	+13	2.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	581	522	130	25	5	19	47	136	7	12	4	249	319	425	745	176	298	23	8	327	107	+5	+1	-2	+6	+13	2.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	578	519	129	25	5	19	47	137	7	11	4	249	319	426	745	177	297	24	8	326	107	+5	+1	-3	+6	+13	2.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	569	510	125	24	4	18	47	136	7	11	4	245	317	414	731	169	297	24	8	324	106	+4	+1	-4	+6	+12	2.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	STL	53%	559	501	121	23	4	17	46	135	7	10	4	242	314	405	719	164	296	24	8	322	104	+3	+0	-4	+6	+12	1.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	STL	52%	545	489	119	23	4	17	45	133	6	10	4	243	315	411	726	168	294	24	8	318	101	+1	+0	-5	+6	+12	1.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	STL	52%	527	473	112	21	4	15	43	131	6	9	3	237	308	393	702	156	291	25	8	313	98	-1	+1	-6	+6	+11	1.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	STL	52%	497	448	104	19	4	14	40	126	6	8	3	232	304	386	690	154	287	25	8	306	93	-4	+0	-6	+5	+11	0.6
2041	34	MLB MLE	STL	47%	451	407	91	16	3	12	36	117	5	7	2	224	295	366	661	143	281	26	8	297	87	-7	+1	-7	+5	+10	0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	STL	34%	84	77	19	4	1	2	6	21	1	2	1	247	310	403	712	156	293	25	7	290	91	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	48%	177	159	38	8	1	4	14	43	2	4	1	239	309	377	686	138	294	24	8	298	96	-1	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.5
2029	22	MLB CTX	STL	54%	246	222	53	11	2	6	19	59	3	5	2	239	307	387	695	149	295	24	8	303	100	+0	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.7
2030	23	MLB CTX	STL	57%	289	261	62	12	2	8	23	68	3	6	2	238	307	391	697	153	296	24	8	307	103	+1	+0	-1	+3	+6	1.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	STL	57%	309	278	67	13	2	9	24	73	4	7	2	241	310	399	710	158	297	24	8	310	105	+2	+1	-1	+3	+7	1.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	STL	57%	321	289	72	14	3	10	25	75	4	7	2	249	318	422	740	173	297	23	8	312	107	+3	+1	-1	+3	+7	1.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	327	294	73	14	3	10	26	77	4	7	2	248	318	418	736	170	297	24	8	313	107	+3	+1	-1	+4	+7	1.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	322	289	72	14	3	10	26	76	4	7	2	249	320	422	742	173	297	24	8	313	107	+3	+1	-1	+3	+7	1.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	317	284	69	14	2	9	26	75	4	6	2	243	315	401	717	158	296	24	8	312	107	+3	+0	-2	+3	+7	1.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	304	272	66	13	2	9	25	72	4	6	2	243	316	404	720	162	296	24	8	311	106	+2	+0	-2	+3	+7	1.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	STL	53%	294	264	64	12	2	9	24	71	4	5	2	242	315	405	720	163	295	24	8	309	104	+1	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.9
2038	31	MLB CTX	STL	52%	284	256	61	12	2	8	23	69	3	5	2	238	309	395	703	156	293	24	8	305	101	+0	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.7
2039	32	MLB CTX	STL	52%	273	246	57	11	2	7	22	68	3	5	2	232	303	378	681	146	290	25	8	300	98	-1	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.5
2040	33	MLB CTX	STL	52%	257	231	54	10	2	7	21	65	3	4	1	234	306	385	691	152	286	25	8	293	93	-2	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.3
2041	34	MLB CTX	STL	47%	213	192	42	8	1	5	17	55	2	3	1	219	289	349	638	130	280	26	8	285	87	-3	+0	-3	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4017	3614	869	170	30	113	321	967	48	79	26	240	311	398	709	157	296	24	8	306	100	+10	+5	-27	+43	+87	12.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	141	28	5	18	52	156	8	13	4	241	312	398	710	157	297	24	8	306	100	+2	+1	-4	+7	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7897	7096	1715	325	64	230	628	1900	102	195	62	242	312	403	715	161	297	24	8	316	100	+15	+9	-52	+81	+164	22.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	141	27	5	19	52	156	8	16	5	241	312	402	714	161	296	24	8	316	100	+1	+1	-4	+7	+14	1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	7.7	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
/162	664	21	3	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,161	124	82	243	310	407	+43	-8	17.0	13.8
/162	664	20	13	+6.9	-1.3	2.7	pk7: 11
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yairo Padilla (OGILVIE)	19	34→53	36→53	53→52	49	226/289/353	127	293	3	5	25%	7%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	48	220/284/320	100	275	8	11	23%	8%	72	-0.7	239/315/371	132	277	15	17	19%	9%	96	+1.0	231/310/363	132	264	16	23	19%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	70	-0.9	237/282/343	106	292	10	4	22%	5%	76	-0.4	256/302/422	166	302	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→52	43→60	51→55	43	235/284/358	123	294	8	12	23%	6%	80	-0.1	237/280/336	99	277	6	12	16%	5%	74	-0.6	240/298/452	211	277	25	12	23%	6%	107	+1.0
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→56	42→55	55	47	231/289/340	110	295	8	12	24%	8%	78	-0.3	218/294/324	106	303	7	12	27%	10%	76	-0.4	244/355/443	199	275	25	11	21%	14%	124	+2.1
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	47→49	43→60	52→50	44	232/284/343	111	283	10	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	207/253/308	101	283	9	15	29%	5%	57	-1.8	259/321/470	211	301	29	14	24%	8%	118	+1.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	44→50	48→40	45	201/299/321	121	330	10	6	38%	10%	80	-0.2	237/326/378	141	300	15	5	24%	10%	102	+1.5	240/328/378	138	294	15	4	22%	9%	100	+1.0
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→52	42→60	54→60	45	242/287/364	122	283	8	14	18%	5%	82	+0.0	248/294/362	114	306	9	25	21%	5%	85	+0.2	254/324/453	199	297	22	30	22%	7%	115	+2.5
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
●Jeimer Candelario 2013 · A	19	50→57	40→60	44→45	52	240/311/338	98	300	7	5	22%	9%	86	+0.3	209/264/324	115	262	10	2	23%	7%	65	-1.2	251/327/436	184	301	19	3	22%	9%	112	+2.1
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	51→60	39→50	48→55	48	240/307/330	90	287	6	11	18%	6%	83	+0.1	233/289/339	106	300	7	23	24%	5%	78	-0.3	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	50→52	39→55	52→50	45	238/294/331	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	78	-0.3	246/298/362	116	303	10	8	21%	6%	86	+0.3	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→60	48→55	46	218/280/321	104	273	10	10	24%	7%	71	-0.8	234/280/388	154	309	17	19	29%	6%	86	+0.3	274/325/460	186	323	22	21	22%	7%	115	+2.3
✕Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	69	-0.9	238/288/366	128	310	12	12	26%	6%	84	+0.1	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	49→55	45→60	53→50	50	236/304/384	148	275	10	14	18%	8%	94	+0.9	237/300/364	127	280	11	11	19%	8%	88	+0.4	259/355/422	163	286	18	7	16%	11%	120	+2.5
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps