Angel Beltran

P ACL D-backs

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 230 lbs ROK peak 0.7 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	11	11	50	3.08	3.87	18.4%	18.4%	—	K 12.5% · BB 23.1% · FIP 4.96
2026	19	ROKARI	1	0	0	54.00	15.10	20.0%	40.0%	—	K 20.0% · BB 40.0% · FIP 6.48
2027PROJ	20	MLBARI	6	6	28	6.49	6.49	13.2%	20.0%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBARI	5	5	23	6.10	5.99	15.3%	17.6%	-0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBARI	7	7	36	5.74	5.58	17.2%	15.9%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff25Control20Command20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsDenis Diaz (age 20) · Camilo Sanchez (age 20) · Hunter Stratton (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 156148vR 140

ERA6.49

FIP6.49

K%13.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-6.8%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	9	37	174	31	26	2	82%	3.4	12.1%	18.7%	-6.6%	1.4%	4.10	5.20	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	9	37	174	31	26	2	82%	3.4	12.1%	18.7%	-6.6%	1.4%	4.10	5.20	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	11	9	37	174	31	26	2	82%	3.4	17.8%	14.9%	2.9%	1.1%	4.10	4.22	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	11	50	206	38	38	0	100%	4.5	12.5%	23.1%	-10.5%	0.0%	3.08	4.96	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	11	50	206	38	38	0	100%	4.5	12.5%	23.1%	-10.5%	0.0%	3.08	4.96	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	11	11	50	206	38	38	0	100%	4.5	18.4%	18.4%	0.0%	0.0%	3.08	3.87	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	1	0	0	5	1	2	0	0%	0.3	20.0%	40.0%	-20.0%	0.0%	54.00	6.48	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	1	0	0	5	1	2	0	0%	0.3	20.0%	40.0%	-20.0%	0.0%	54.00	6.48	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	1	0	0	5	1	2	0	0%	0.3	20.0%	40.0%	-20.0%	0.0%	54.00	15.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ARI	6	6	28	118	16	24	3	100%	4.7	13.2%	20.0%	-6.8%	2.9%	6.49	6.49	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	10	10	47	198	30	35	6	100%	4.7	15.3%	17.6%	-2.4%	2.9%	6.10	5.99	-0.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	ARI	10	10	49	208	36	33	6	100%	4.9	17.2%	15.9%	1.3%	2.8%	5.74	5.58	-0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	ARI	10	10	51	215	39	32	6	100%	5.1	18.3%	14.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.47	5.33	-0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	ARI	9	9	52	221	42	31	6	100%	5.8	19.0%	14.1%	4.9%	2.7%	5.28	5.17	-0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	ARI	9	9	53	224	43	31	6	100%	5.9	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	2.7%	5.17	5.09	-0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	ARI	9	9	53	224	44	31	6	100%	5.9	19.6%	13.8%	5.8%	2.7%	5.11	5.07	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	5	5	23	97	15	17	3	100%	4.6	15.3%	17.6%	-2.4%	2.9%	6.10	5.99	-0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	ARI	7	7	36	152	26	24	4	100%	5.1	17.2%	15.9%	1.3%	2.8%	5.74	5.58	-0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	ARI	8	8	43	182	33	27	5	100%	5.4	18.3%	14.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.47	5.33	-0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	ARI	8	8	47	198	38	28	5	100%	5.9	19.0%	14.1%	4.9%	2.7%	5.28	5.17	-0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	ARI	8	8	49	207	40	29	6	100%	6.1	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	2.7%	5.17	5.09	-0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	ARI	8	8	49	207	40	28	6	100%	6.1	19.6%	13.8%	5.8%	2.7%	5.11	5.07	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		45	45	247	1041	192	153	29	100%	5.5	18.5%	14.7%	3.8%	2.8%	5.40	4.92	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	156	124	24	100%	5.5	18.5%	14.7%	3.8%	2.8%	5.40	4.92	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		23	20	87	385	48	82	2	87%	3.8	12.4%	21.3%	-8.9%	0.6%	3.71	5.09	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	46	200	882	110	188	6	87%	3.8	12.4%	21.3%	-8.9%	0.6%	3.71	5.09	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Beltran (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.49	13.2%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.62	17.0%	0.9%	147	-0.87	—	—	—
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	88
Camilo Sanchez R 2023 · 6.65 FIP	20	SP-	6.65	10.0%	18.5%	3.8%	.317	5.84	14.8%	0.8%	62	-0.81	3.57	117	87
Hunter Stratton R 2017 · 5.73 FIP	20	SP	5.73	13.1%	20.3%	2.1%	.266	4.69	14.5%	0.1%	174	-1.04	3.02	529	87
Darlin Alcántara R 2022 · 6.23 FIP	20	SP-	6.23	12.3%	22.2%	2.5%	.320	4.64	12.3%	2.5%	31	-1.59	3.61	118	86
Felix Cepeda R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	19	SP-	5.78	11.5%	14.6%	3.3%	.297	5.81	17.0%	-6.4%	71	+0.03	3.58	204	86
Jorge Bautista R 2021 · 6.09 FIP	20	SP	6.09	13.1%	16.5%	3.6%	.297	4.86	16.8%	7.5%	231	-1.23	3.80	336	84
Moises Nova R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	20	SP	5.61	14.2%	16.8%	2.9%	.263	4.05	18.3%	4.2%	110	-1.56	3.42	219	84
Edinxon Arias R 2017 · 7.03 FIP	19	SP	7.03	7.6%	19.9%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	127	84
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	83
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	82
Wilmer Blanco R 2024 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	14.9%	16.3%	3.4%	.364	5.82	14.1%	2.3%	47	+0.06	3.81	163	82
Ramon Santos R 2015 · 6.07 FIP	20	SP	6.07	7.2%	14.3%	3.2%	.352	4.52	13.3%	3.4%	191	-1.55	3.74	355	82
Jhonly Taveras R 2024 · 6.59 FIP	19	SP	6.59	13.0%	27.1%	2.1%	.311	5.00	12.1%	-11.0%	34	-1.59	5.00	133	82
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	81
Marlon De La Cruz R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP	5.31	17.1%	20.9%	1.8%	.306	5.34	13.8%	-6.9%	101	+0.03	4.35	140	81
Jesus Lafalaise R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	19	SP-	5.54	13.0%	22.7%	1.2%	.368	4.19	17.0%	2.6%	147	-1.35	3.53	172	81
Samuel Colmenares R 2024 · 6.21 FIP	19	SP-	6.21	17.3%	21.0%	3.5%	.292	3.85	15.8%	8.0%	31	-2.36	3.85	123	81
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	81
Edrick Agosto R 2017 · 6.67 FIP	20	SP-	6.67	11.4%	17.1%	4.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.30	113	80
Luis Ghisays R 2024 · 5.74 FIP	18	SP	5.74	13.8%	15.0%	3.5%	.291	5.08	16.2%	5.4%	75	-0.66	4.58	110	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	48	17.8%	15.4%	1.08	5.55
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*