Modesto Vargas P ACL D-backs
Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 171162vR 154
ERA7.24
FIP7.24
K%19.5%
BB%30.2%
K-BB%-10.7%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -2.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+0STAMTotal WAR: -0.32 (10 IP)-0.3WAR
-0.3-0.22627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202419ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black1401486142600%1.011.1%37.8%-26.7%0.0%10.936.95
202419ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black1401486142600%1.011.1%37.8%-26.7%0.0%10.936.95
202419ROK RAWDSL Arizona Black1401486142600%1.016.3%30.2%-14.0%0.0%10.936.67
202520ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red17419981929024%1.113.2%37.0%-23.8%0.0%3.866.67
202520ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red17419981929024%1.113.2%37.0%-23.8%0.0%3.866.67
202520ROK RAWDSL Arizona Red17419981929024%1.119.4%29.6%-10.2%0.0%3.865.72
▸ 2026 season
YTD21ROK MLEACL D-backs15120109192707%1.411.9%31.0%-19.1%0.0%5.756.02
YTD21ROK MLEACL D-backs15120109192707%1.411.9%31.0%-19.1%0.0%5.756.02
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
202621ROK RAWARI15120109192707%1.417.4%24.8%-7.3%0.0%5.754.77
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202722MLB MLEARI2002188192130%1.021.0%24.1%-3.2%2.8%6.576.32-0.4
202722MLB CTXARI100104291010%1.021.0%24.1%-3.2%2.8%6.576.32-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career RAW100104391010%1.021.0%24.1%-3.2%2.8%6.575.94-0.2
/ 200 IP RAW1900200844175195190%1.021.0%24.1%-3.2%2.8%6.575.94-3.2
Career MLE4655329335102011%1.212.1%35.0%-22.9%0.0%6.456.51-0.4
/ 200 IP MLE174192001106133387011%1.212.1%35.0%-22.9%0.0%6.456.51-4.1