Leonardo Taveras P Springfield Cardinals
Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 190 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 112
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
K%20.9%
BB%13.9%
K-BB%7.0%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
K: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -1.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.14 (29 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201718ROKDSL Cardinals1401998142020%1.39.7%25.5%-15.8%2.9%10.127.08
201718ROKDSL Cardinals1401998142020%1.314.3%20.4%-6.1%2.0%10.126.21
201819ROKDSL Cardinals Blue23037156442220%1.619.2%17.6%1.6%1.8%2.894.70
201819ROKDSL Cardinals Blue23037156442220%1.628.2%14.1%14.1%1.3%2.893.21
201920MIX2 levels1201585262000%1.230.6%23.5%7.1%0.0%6.003.50
201920MIX2 levels1201585262000%1.230.6%23.5%7.1%0.0%6.003.63
202122A+Peoria Chiefs41046227645450%1.121.7%27.4%-5.6%2.4%6.226.07
202122A+Peoria Chiefs41046227645450%1.128.2%23.8%4.4%2.2%6.225.24
202223MIX2 levels35050231773850%1.427.3%17.0%10.3%2.2%5.724.14
202223MIX2 levels35050231773850%1.433.3%16.5%16.9%2.2%5.723.60
202324A+Peoria Chiefs110208438830%1.834.8%11.0%23.9%3.8%3.103.61
202324A+Peoria Chiefs110208438830%1.845.2%9.5%35.7%3.6%3.102.46
202425AASpringfield Cardinals47065308714470%1.418.7%15.7%3.0%1.5%4.274.36
202425AASpringfield Cardinals47065308714470%1.423.1%14.3%8.8%2.3%4.274.34
202526MIX2 levels284462215036414%1.719.0%17.4%1.5%2.2%6.024.94
202526MIX2 levels284462215036414%1.722.6%16.3%6.3%1.8%6.024.39
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBSTL28029124261730%1.120.9%13.9%7.0%2.7%4.954.95-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBSTL27028120251630%1.121.0%13.6%7.4%2.8%4.944.97-0.1
202728MLBSTL100114610610%1.121.0%13.6%7.4%2.8%4.944.97-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10011459610%1.121.0%13.6%7.4%2.8%4.944.59-0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844168112190%1.121.0%13.6%7.4%2.8%4.944.59+1.9
Career21143001410306270292%1.421.7%19.2%2.6%2.1%5.294.82+2.0
/ 200 IP1413200941205180192%1.421.7%19.2%2.6%2.1%5.294.82+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Leonardo Taveras (OGILVIE) 4.95 20.9%13.9%2.7% 4.97 21.0%7.4%28 +0.02
Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 90
Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 27 SU 4.32 18.1%13.9%1.8%.338 4.21 19.7%5.0%113 -0.11 3.85 138 87
Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 27 SU 4.39 18.7%13.5%2.1%.256 2.81 32.9%19.8%68 -1.58 2.81 125 87
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 86
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 27 SU 4.51 20.5%12.6%2.8%.355 4.54 16.5%6.1%39 +0.03 3.57 187 85
Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 20.4%13.2%1.9%.360 3.16 20.2%6.3%44 -0.92 3.16 155 84
Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP 27 SU 5.38 21.1%13.8%4.2%.281 2.72 153 84
Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 83
David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SU 5.25 15.6%12.7%3.4%.324 5.21 9.6%0.5%107 -0.04 5.04 129 83
Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 83
Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP 25 SU 4.61 20.7%14.0%2.7%.300 2.36 132 83
Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP 25 SU 4.99 21.9%14.6%3.4%.275 3.54 117 83
Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 82
Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 27 SU 4.32 20.2%16.4%1.6%.266 4.20 15.3%9.9%41 -0.12 3.03 140 82
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 27 SU 4.30 24.9%14.5%2.7%.360 5.09 15.3%3.1%58 +0.79 3.42 173 82
Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 27 SU 4.56 21.0%15.2%2.4%.305 3.34 252 82
Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 82
Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP 28 SU 4.39 17.7%11.2%2.5%.263 4.65 15.7%9.0%48 +0.26 4.39 101 82
Matt Wivinis R 2025 · 3.87 FIP 26 SU 3.87 19.5%12.2%1.6%.262 5.90 14.5%6.2%17 +2.03 1.61 124 82
Erik Davis R 2027 · 3.96 FIP 28 SU 3.96 17.9%13.5%1.2%.363 3.59 21.1%11.3%181 -0.37 3.07 227 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22920.9%13.8%1.064.95
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84