Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 13 | 13 | 39 | 201 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 100% | 3.0 | 15.6% | 27.4% | -11.8% | 1.7% | 7.91 | 6.17 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 13 | 13 | 39 | 201 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 100% | 3.0 | 22.9% | 21.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 7.91 | 4.81 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 11 | 10 | 24 | 115 | 30 | 29 | 0 | 91% | 2.2 | 17.7% | 31.5% | -13.8% | 0.0% | 5.62 | 5.59 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 11 | 10 | 24 | 115 | 30 | 29 | 0 | 91% | 2.2 | 26.1% | 25.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 5.62 | 4.22 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 24 | 130 | 32 | 36 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.6% | 38.9% | -24.3% | 3.1% | 7.23 | 8.51 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 24 | 130 | 32 | 36 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.6% | 27.7% | -3.1% | 1.5% | 7.23 | 6.06 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 36 | 0 | 38 | 205 | 71 | 60 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.6% | 34.5% | -8.9% | 1.6% | 9.47 | 6.16 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 36 | 0 | 38 | 205 | 71 | 60 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.6% | 29.3% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 9.47 | 4.78 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 36 | 0 | 40 | 197 | 55 | 46 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 26.9% | -5.4% | 0.5% | 5.67 | 4.97 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 36 | 0 | 40 | 197 | 55 | 46 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 23.4% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 5.67 | 4.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 22 | 0 | 29 | 134 | 52 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 33.2% | 22.2% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 2.79 | 3.89 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 5.07 | 5.07 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 51 | 226 | 73 | 44 | 4 | — | — | 32.4% | 19.6% | 12.8% | 1.9% | 3.77 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.0% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 5.07 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.39 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 125 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 133 | 23 | 193 | 982 | 210 | 295 | 14 | 17% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 30.1% | -8.7% | 1.4% | 6.62 | 5.86 | -1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 138 | 24 | 200 | 1018 | 218 | 306 | 14 | 17% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 30.1% | -8.7% | 1.4% | 6.62 | 5.86 | -1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kenyi Perez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 23.0% | 16.6% | 2.6% | — | 4.77 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 22 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 87 |
| Zane Russell R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.19 | 22.7% | 18.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 5.10 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 71 | -0.09 | 4.28 | 108 | 86 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.18 | 22.1% | 15.2% | 1.9% | .314 | 4.59 | 18.2% | 2.0% | 53 | +0.41 | 4.18 | 103 | 86 |
| Tyler Schimpf R 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.97 | 24.3% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .300 | 5.60 | 24.1% | 7.1% | 58 | +1.63 | 3.35 | 126 | 85 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 85 |
| Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.5% | .284 | 4.44 | 16.7% | -5.0% | 31 | +0.12 | 4.32 | 127 | 85 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 84 |
| LJ McDonough R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 22.6% | 16.7% | 2.2% | .385 | 4.74 | 20.7% | 5.1% | 76 | +0.21 | 4.32 | 114 | 84 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 84 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 84 |
| Colin McKee R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.08 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.37 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.71 | 4.10 | 148 | 83 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.90 | 26.4% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .278 | 5.86 | 20.3% | 5.0% | 58 | +0.96 | 4.90 | 103 | 83 |
| Logan VanWey R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.32 | 26.4% | 12.7% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.63 | 172 | 83 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.57 | 21.4% | 15.3% | 4.2% | .247 | 4.99 | 21.9% | 9.9% | 115 | -0.58 | 4.95 | 183 | 83 |
| Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.95 | 24.3% | 15.3% | 1.8% | .328 | 3.42 | 26.4% | 17.1% | 108 | -0.53 | 3.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Antonio Knowles R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.9% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .250 | 3.13 | 21.9% | 13.9% | 61 | -1.38 | 2.73 | 218 | 83 |
| Walker Brockhouse R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.11 | 21.7% | 16.7% | 1.3% | .301 | 5.17 | 18.7% | 4.0% | 42 | +1.06 | 4.11 | 126 | 82 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 82 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.50 | 19.8% | 15.3% | 2.1% | .283 | 4.49 | 19.0% | 8.6% | 139 | -0.01 | 3.34 | 252 | 82 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 82 |