John McMillon
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION9 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 115
ERA5.09
FIP5.09
K%23.0%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+5.9 (61%)
FB-2.7 (39%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 8% | 1.3 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.41 | 6.59 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 8% | 1.3 | 39.0% | 15.9% | 23.2% | 4.9% | 7.41 | 4.69 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 26 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 45 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 30.7% | -7.9% | 1.4% | 6.10 | 5.83 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 26 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 45 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.8% | 26.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 6.10 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 41 | 0 | 55 | 214 | 99 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.9% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 0.7% | 2.11 | 2.27 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 41 | 0 | 55 | 214 | 99 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 46.3% | 11.7% | 34.6% | 0.9% | 2.11 | 1.35 | +2.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 43 | 198 | 50 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 18.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.98 | 6.86 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 43 | 198 | 50 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 4.98 | 5.34 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 41 | 195 | 52 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 15.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.31 | 5.91 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 41 | 195 | 52 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 6.31 | 5.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 10 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 7.71 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 20 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 30 | 132 | 28 | 22 | 3 | — | — | 21.2% | 16.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 5.91 | 3.50 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 5.09 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 5.09 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 23 | 0 | 25 | 100 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.1% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 3.5% | 2.95 | 3.72 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 0 | 200 | 785 | 236 | 79 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.1% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 3.5% | 2.95 | 3.72 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 168 | 1 | 197 | 880 | 222 | 164 | 30 | 1% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 18.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 1 | 200 | 892 | 225 | 166 | 31 | 1% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 18.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John McMillon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 3.6% | — | 5.15 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 20 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 82 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 80 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.13 | 23.4% | 16.2% | 191 | -1.32 | 2.37 | 363 | 80 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 79 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 78 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 78 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 78 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 77 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 76 |
| Kyle Barraclough R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.53 | 24.5% | 12.7% | 3.5% | .219 | 4.93 | 30.1% | 17.0% | 86 | +0.40 | 1.95 | 523 | 76 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 76 |
| Derek Law R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.30 | 23.5% | 13.0% | 2.8% | .306 | 3.27 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 110 | -1.03 | 2.50 | 520 | 76 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 76 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 20.6% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .236 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 179 | 75 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.16 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.68 | 16.8% | 11.4% | 39 | -0.48 | 3.68 | 323 | 75 |
| Joe Harvey R 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.13 | 24.9% | 14.3% | 4.2% | .258 | 5.83 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 17 | +0.70 | 2.55 | 197 | 75 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.68 | 27.1% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .389 | 4.81 | 29.1% | 19.7% | 116 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 220 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Kyle Bischoff R 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.45 | 22.1% | 11.8% | 5.0% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 143 | 75 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 75 |