Richard Matic

3B FCL Yankees
Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1262ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL NYY Yanke…186.196/.335/.2480617—.125/.243/.156
202518ROKDSL NYY Yanke…191.336/.495/.56651182—.192/.330/.301
202619ROKNYY264.283/.394/.43941556—.190/.273/.291
2027PROJMLE20MLBNYY374.206/.280/.3105668-0.2
2028PROJ25% MLB21MLBNYY48.214/.288/.3391176-0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB22MLBNYY115.221/.295/.36232830.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$4M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%86
Speed84
Whiff%72
ISO68
wRC+63
wOBA60
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 4.1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%
CompsAgustín Ramírez (age 20) · Esmerlyn Valdez (age 19) · Tyler Nevin (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 146 proj PA
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .278 / .308
PA146
HR2
K%27
BB%8
ISO104
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.50.40.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Arb-1$2M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$4M+0.4$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$4M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $5M +$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL NYY Yankees — 186153 30800 23439 62 196335248584 52270 2312 284 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL NYY Yankees — 191143 481235 40435 116 3364955661.061 231439 2321 459 82 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Yankees — 264223 631734 36615 154 283394439833 157373 2314 375 56 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 186160 20500 16529 62 125243156399 31182 289 193 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 191156 30722 27535 116 192330301631 109258 2814 289 82 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 264237 451123 22885 154 190273291564 101285 338 251 56 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 186160 20500 16529 62 125243156399 31183 289 193 17 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL NYY Yankees — 186153 30800 23439 62 196335248584 52270 2312 284 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 191156 30722 27535 116 192330301631 109269 2814 289 82 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL NYY Yankees — 191143 481235 40435 116 3364955661.061 231439 2321 459 82 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 264237 451123 22885 154 190273291564 101288 338 251 56 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Yankees — 264223 631734 36615 154 283394439833 157373 2314 375 56 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 186159 20500 16529 62 126243157400 31182 289 193 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 191157 30722 27535 116 191330299629 108258 2814 289 82 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 264235 451123 22885 154 191273294566 102285 338 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 186159 20500 16529 62 126243157400 31182 289 193 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 191157 30722 27535 116 191330299629 108258 2814 289 82 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 264235 451123 22885 154 191273294566 102285 338 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLENYY 0% 374336 691425 301015 62 206280310590 104274 278 269 68 -14 +0 -3 +1 +8 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLENYY 25% 193172 37714 16513 31 213288334622 121276 268 281 76 -5 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.2
202922 MLB MLENYY 38% 301270 591127 24784 41 219294355649 136278 268 292 83 -6 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.0
203023 MLB MLENYY 45% 383344 7614210 31995 51 224299371670 147280 268 300 89 -5 +1 -2 +1 +8 0.3
203124 MLB MLENYY 48% 438393 9017313 361126 52 228302383685 155282 268 306 93 -4 +0 -2 +2 +9 0.5
203225 MLB MLENYY 50% 467419 9718315 391186 52 230305391696 161283 258 310 96 -2 +0 -2 +2 +10 0.8
203326 MLB MLENYY 50% 482433 10018316 401226 52 231305395701 164283 258 311 97 -2 +0 -2 +2 +10 0.9
203427 MLB MLENYY 50% 487438 10119316 401246 52 230304392697 162282 258 310 96 -2 +0 -2 +2 +11 0.8
203528 MLB MLENYY 50% 485436 9918315 401256 42 228302387690 159281 268 307 94 -3 +0 -3 +2 +11 0.6
203629 MLB MLENYY 49% 475427 9618314 391236 42 225299381680 156279 268 303 91 -5 +0 -3 +2 +10 0.4
203730 MLB MLENYY 48% 463417 9217214 381225 32 222295373668 151277 268 298 88 -7 -0 -4 +2 +10 0.1
203831 MLB MLENYY 47% 447403 8816213 361195 27 218290362653 145273 278 292 84 -9 -2 -5 +2 +10 -0.4
202821 MLB CTXNYY 25% 4843 9201 4131 10 214288339628 125276 278 283 76 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXNYY 38% 115103 23413 9302 20 221295362657 141278 268 294 83 -2 +0 -1 +0 +2 0.0
203023 MLB CTXNYY 45% 174156 36715 14452 21 226300378678 153281 268 303 89 -2 +0 -1 +1 +4 0.1
203124 MLB CTXNYY 48% 211189 44817 17543 31 230304391695 161282 268 309 93 -2 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.3
203225 MLB CTXNYY 50% 232208 48918 19593 31 232306399706 167283 258 313 96 -1 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.4
203326 MLB CTXNYY 50% 243218 50918 20623 31 233307404711 171283 268 315 97 -1 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.5
203427 MLB CTXNYY 50% 244219 50918 20623 31 232306401707 169282 258 314 96 -1 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.4
203528 MLB CTXNYY 50% 241216 49918 20623 21 230304396700 166281 268 311 94 -2 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.3
203629 MLB CTXNYY 49% 230206 46817 19603 21 227301389690 162279 268 307 91 -2 +0 -2 +1 +5 0.2
203730 MLB CTXNYY 48% 221198 44817 18583 11 224297381678 157277 268 302 88 -3 -0 -2 +1 +5 0.0
203831 MLB CTXNYY 47% 211190 41716 17562 13 219292370662 151274 278 296 84 -4 -1 -2 +1 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21701946 440801068 17756128 2311 226300382682 156280 268 307 86 -22 +0 -13 +8 +47 2.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 13124320 531688 73 225298379677 154279 268 307 86 -7 +0 -4 +2 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 54084836 105720132144 456142579 7937 219296363659 144277 268 295 86 -56 -1 -29 +17 +103 3.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 12724417 551719 94 219296361657 143278 268 295 86 -8 -0 -4 +2 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Yankees · 264 PAwOBA .366 → .251 (−115)K% 23.1% → 33.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.11%÷1.000×1.440——33.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0088.52%
HBP% /PA1.89%—×0.720—×1.0081.37%
Singles /BIP24.07%÷1.000×0.820×0.970×1.00819.30%
Doubles /BIP10.49%÷1.000×0.720×0.970×1.0087.39%
Triples /BIP1.85%÷1.000×0.720×0.970×1.0081.30%
Home runs /BIP2.47%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0081.94%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .366 → .251; ISO .157 → .106; BABIP .373 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 191 PAwOBA .455 → .289 (−166)K% 22.5% → 27.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.51%÷0.988×1.220——27.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.94%÷1.066×0.700—×1.00813.86%
HBP% /PA2.62%—×0.700—×1.0081.85%
Singles /BIP28.00%÷1.113×0.680×1.002×1.00817.27%
Doubles /BIP12.00%÷1.069×0.600×1.002×1.0086.80%
Triples /BIP3.00%÷0.943×0.600×1.002×1.0081.93%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷1.093×0.470—×1.0082.17%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 123, 2B 114, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .455 → .289; ISO .231 → .129; BABIP .439 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 186 PAwOBA .279 → .193 (−87)K% 23.1% → 28.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.12%÷1.003×1.220——28.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.37%÷1.003×0.700—×1.0228.82%
HBP% /PA4.84%—×0.700—×1.0223.46%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.015×0.680×1.015×1.02213.90%
Doubles /BIP7.27%÷1.021×0.600×1.015×1.0224.44%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×1.015×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 100, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .279 → .193; ISO .052 → .032; BABIP .270 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).