Richard Matic — OGILVIE

Richard Matic3B FCL Yankees

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION243 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .280 / .297

PA162

HR2

SB5

K%27

BB%9

BABIP270

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+2.4	$11M	+$9M
2034	Arb-2	$8M	+2.4	$10M	+$7M
2035	Arb-3	$11M	+2.2	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$26M		$63M	+$52M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	162	22	5	0	0	14	62	9	6	2	136	243	167	410	31	218	33	8	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	153	30	8	0	0	23	43	9	6	2	196	335	248	584	52	270	23	12	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	191	161	32	8	2	3	22	63	5	11	6	199	314	329	643	130	296	33	12	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	191	143	48	12	3	5	40	43	5	11	6	336	495	566	1.061	231	439	23	21	459	209	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	NYY	—	243	217	42	9	2	3	22	76	4	14	4	194	280	295	575	101	283	31	9	255	53	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
YTD	19	ROK	NYY	—	243	203	58	14	3	4	36	53	4	14	4	286	403	443	847	158	370	22	15	381	150	+14	+1	+0	+1	+7	2.3
ROS	19	ROK	NYY	0%	162	145	29	6	1	2	14	44	2	5	1	200	280	297	576	97	274	27	9	273	67	-6	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	264	61	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	NYY	—	243	218	42	9	2	3	22	76	4	14	4	193	280	294	573	101	281	31	9	255	53	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
TOT	19	ROK	NYY	—	405	362	71	15	3	5	36	120	6	19	5	196	280	296	575	99	277	30	9	262	59	-19	+2	-1	+1	+11	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	NYY	34%	372	331	71	14	2	9	33	99	5	6	2	215	295	350	646	136	277	27	9	292	81	-8	+0	-3	+1	+11	0.2
2028	21	MLB	NYY	48%	463	412	92	18	3	13	41	120	7	6	2	223	304	376	681	153	280	26	9	305	92	-4	+0	-3	+2	+13	0.8
2029	22	MLB	NYY	54%	522	462	106	20	3	17	47	133	8	6	2	229	311	396	708	167	282	25	9	315	99	-1	+0	-4	+2	+15	1.3
2030	23	MLB	NYY	57%	558	495	116	22	4	19	50	141	8	5	2	234	315	410	725	176	284	25	9	321	104	+3	+0	-4	+2	+16	1.7
2031	24	MLB	NYY	57%	581	515	122	23	4	21	52	146	9	5	2	237	318	419	737	183	285	25	9	326	108	+5	+0	-4	+2	+16	2.0
2032	25	MLB	NYY	57%	592	524	125	23	4	23	54	148	9	5	1	239	320	429	750	191	285	25	9	329	110	+7	+1	-4	+2	+17	2.3
2033	26	MLB	NYY	56%	597	529	126	23	4	23	54	149	9	5	1	238	319	427	746	189	285	25	9	331	112	+8	+1	-4	+2	+17	2.4
2034	27	MLB	NYY	55%	595	526	125	23	4	23	55	149	9	5	1	238	320	428	748	190	285	25	9	331	112	+8	+1	-4	+2	+17	2.4
2035	28	MLB	NYY	55%	589	520	124	23	4	23	55	149	9	4	1	238	322	431	753	192	284	25	9	330	111	+7	+0	-5	+2	+17	2.2
2036	29	MLB	NYY	53%	578	510	120	22	3	22	54	147	9	4	1	235	319	420	739	184	283	25	9	328	109	+6	+0	-5	+2	+16	2.0
2037	30	MLB	NYY	57%	567	501	117	21	3	22	53	146	8	4	1	234	317	419	736	186	281	26	9	325	107	+5	+0	-6	+2	+16	1.7
2038	31	MLB	NYY	60%	552	487	112	20	3	21	52	143	8	4	1	230	314	413	727	183	279	26	9	321	104	+2	+0	-7	+2	+16	1.4
2039	32	MLB	NYY	61%	533	470	106	19	3	19	50	141	8	3	1	226	311	400	711	174	275	26	9	315	99	-0	+0	-7	+2	+15	1.0
2040	33	MLB	NYY	62%	504	445	99	17	3	18	47	135	7	3	1	222	307	396	702	173	270	27	9	308	94	-3	+0	-8	+2	+14	0.5
2041	34	MLB	NYY	58%	457	406	85	14	2	15	42	126	6	2	1	209	293	365	657	155	264	28	9	299	87	-7	+0	-8	+2	+13	-0.0
2042	35	MLB	NYY	53%	401	356	73	12	2	13	37	113	5	2	1	205	289	360	648	154	257	28	9	289	79	-9	+0	-8	+1	+11	-0.5
2043	36	MLB	NYY	44%	341	303	60	9	2	10	31	99	4	2	0	198	281	340	621	142	250	29	9	278	71	-11	+0	-9	+1	+10	-0.9
2027	20	MLB	NYY	34%	128	114	25	5	1	3	11	34	2	2	1	219	299	360	659	140	279	27	9	284	75	-4	+0	-1	+0	+4	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	NYY	48%	224	199	45	9	1	7	20	58	3	3	1	226	306	387	693	161	282	26	9	297	86	-4	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.2
2029	22	MLB	NYY	54%	283	252	58	11	2	9	25	72	4	3	1	230	310	397	706	167	284	25	9	307	93	-2	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.5
2030	23	MLB	NYY	57%	316	280	66	13	2	11	28	80	5	3	1	236	316	414	731	179	285	25	9	314	99	-1	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.8
2031	24	MLB	NYY	57%	328	290	70	13	2	13	30	82	5	3	1	241	323	434	758	193	287	25	9	319	102	+1	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.9
2032	25	MLB	NYY	57%	335	297	71	13	2	13	30	84	5	3	1	239	319	428	747	189	287	25	9	322	105	+2	+0	-2	+1	+9	1.1
2033	26	MLB	NYY	56%	337	298	72	13	2	14	31	84	5	3	1	242	323	440	763	198	287	25	9	324	106	+2	+0	-2	+1	+10	1.1
2034	27	MLB	NYY	55%	330	292	70	13	2	13	30	83	5	3	1	240	321	432	753	192	287	25	9	324	106	+2	+0	-2	+1	+9	1.1
2035	28	MLB	NYY	55%	323	285	69	13	2	13	30	81	5	2	1	242	325	439	764	196	286	25	9	323	106	+2	+0	-3	+1	+9	1.0
2036	29	MLB	NYY	53%	309	272	65	12	2	12	29	79	5	2	1	239	324	430	754	191	285	26	9	321	104	+1	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.9
2037	30	MLB	NYY	57%	324	286	67	12	2	13	30	83	5	2	1	234	318	427	744	192	283	26	9	318	102	+1	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.8
2038	31	MLB	NYY	60%	329	290	68	12	2	13	31	85	5	2	1	234	319	424	743	190	281	26	9	314	99	-1	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.6
2039	32	MLB	NYY	61%	327	289	66	12	2	12	30	86	5	2	1	228	312	408	720	180	277	26	9	308	94	-2	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.4
2040	33	MLB	NYY	62%	315	279	62	11	2	11	29	85	4	2	1	222	304	394	699	172	272	27	9	301	89	-4	+0	-5	+1	+9	0.1
2041	34	MLB	NYY	58%	265	235	49	8	1	9	24	73	4	1	0	209	293	366	659	157	266	28	9	292	82	-5	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.1
2042	35	MLB	NYY	53%	214	190	39	6	1	7	19	61	3	1	0	205	288	358	646	153	259	29	9	282	74	-6	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.4
2043	36	MLB	NYY	44%	152	135	27	4	1	5	14	44	2	1	0	200	285	356	640	156	252	29	9	271	66	-6	+0	-4	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4839	4284	989	180	29	178	441	1254	72	38	14	231	313	411	724	180	282	26	9	311	96	-23	+2	-50	+17	+137	8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	133	24	4	24	59	168	10	5	2	231	314	412	726	181	282	26	9	311	96	-3	+0	-7	+2	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	9341	8260	1862	342	56	316	857	2453	144	93	30	225	309	395	704	170	279	26	9	313	98	-23	+7	-92	+33	+265	19.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	130	24	4	22	60	171	10	6	2	226	311	397	707	170	280	26	9	313	98	-2	+0	-6	+2	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	153	30	8	0	0	23	43	9	6	2	196	335	248	584	52	270	23	12	284	76	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	191	143	48	12	3	5	40	43	5	11	6	336	495	566	1.061	231	439	23	21	459	209	+24	-0	—	—	+5	2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,085	176	42	229	307	402	+15	-40	15.7	12.9
	/162	664	23	5	229	307	402	+1.9	-5.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	8	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
	/162	664	33	3	235	309	447	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Brad Millerlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,531 PA	11	3,531	123	43	236	314	416	+7	-38	8.8	9.4
	/162	664	23	8	236	314	416	+1.4	-7.2	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Richard Matic (OGILVIE)	19	20→30	40→60	40→30	45	196/280/296	99	277	5	19	30%	9%	59	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christopher Tamarez 2013 · A	19	43	39→45	35→40	43	208/255/293	84	258	7	3	22%	5%	49	-1.8	200/242/261	61	277	4	4	28%	5%	34	-2.8	177/211/197	21	255	0	2	29%	3%	0	-1.3
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Nahum Hernandez 2009 · A	19	42	39→45	42→50	44	203/264/285	82	260	6	5	24%	6%	51	-1.7	226/294/324	98	303	8	8	26%	7%	74	-0.1	241/316/348	107	325	9	10	26%	7%	84	+0.2
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	61	-1.0	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	13	-0.9
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	69	-0.4	183/263/286	103	286	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→37	41→55	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	57	-1.2	186/266/288	102	300	9	2	38%	8%	54	-1.4	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	45→55	44→40	43	204/283/326	122	290	12	5	32%	8%	71	-0.3	195/273/328	133	307	15	4	39%	8%	67	-0.5	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	38→41	42→65	43→40	37	192/239/292	100	276	10	5	33%	5%	42	-2.3	224/288/360	136	282	15	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	230/302/400	170	273	21	2	24%	8%	96	+0.7
●Raudy Read 2013 · A	19	37→47	45→55	42→45	41	188/233/309	121	213	13	4	20%	4%	45	-2.1	199/241/294	95	237	9	5	20%	4%	43	-2.2	239/293/443	205	283	27	1	26%	6%	104	+0.9
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	44→54	42→45	37→40	44	216/277/321	104	275	9	3	25%	7%	66	-0.6	239/305/344	105	301	8	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→45	44→55	43→55	39	188/247/306	118	283	11	4	36%	7%	50	-1.8	225/286/368	143	285	16	12	26%	7%	82	+0.5	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Armando Sierra 2023 · A	19	46	41→45	43→40	47	225/288/323	98	278	9	4	22%	7%	71	-0.3	214/269/315	101	304	9	4	31%	6%	60	-1.0	191/241/289	98	292	10	0	37%	6%	39	-0.5
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Sandber Pimentel 2014 · A	19	44→40	39→50	36→30	46	207/283/293	86	287	6	4	28%	8%	61	-1.0	212/287/318	106	289	10	3	28%	8%	70	-0.3	204/281/322	117	285	14	1	31%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Eudy Ramos 2015 · A	19	41→30	40→55	41→40	43	193/269/286	93	306	6	6	36%	9%	54	-1.4	188/230/291	103	334	10	4	45%	4%	38	-2.6	170/202/272	102	286	12	2	44%	3%	18	-1.0
✕Sherten Apostel 2018 · A	19	38→32	44→45	43→40	47	188/273/305	117	271	11	5	33%	10%	61	-1.0	192/270/313	121	279	13	4	34%	9%	62	-0.9	185/258/310	124	270	15	2	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Roan Salas 2009 · A	19	46	37→65	44→40	45	219/267/295	75	262	5	8	18%	5%	54	-1.4	244/295/389	145	276	15	4	17%	6%	91	+1.1	258/310/428	170	281	19	2	16%	6%	106	+0.9
✕Kyle Higashioka 2011 · A	21	40→43	42→60	41→40	44	200/256/304	103	244	10	3	22%	6%	53	-1.5	197/242/316	119	241	13	4	24%	5%	50	-1.8	229/285/425	196	263	28	4	25%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Michaelangel Trinidad 2007 · A	18	42	41→60	41→40	48	203/286/299	96	288	8	5	30%	10%	65	-0.7	206/287/329	123	278	13	4	29%	8%	73	-0.1	198/278/357	160	241	21	1	27%	7%	80	+0.1