Juan Espinal — OGILVIE

Juan EspinalOF FCL Braves

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION100 act + 66 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.153 / .255 / .222

PA66

HR1

K%34

BB%10

BABIP231

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	167	139	16	2	0	2	17	86	9	14	5	115	255	173	427	58	264	51	10	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	167	130	22	4	0	2	26	63	9	14	5	169	345	246	592	77	299	38	16	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	190	154	25	4	2	5	27	89	8	21	3	162	317	312	629	149	328	47	14	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	190	142	32	5	3	6	39	63	8	21	3	225	418	430	848	204	351	33	21	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	ATL	—	100	86	10	0	0	0	11	50	3	10	2	116	240	116	356		278	50	11	178	-6	-12	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
YTD	19	ROK	ATL	—	100	78	14	0	0	0	18	35	3	10	2	179	350	179	529		326	35	18	274	68	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
ROS	19	ROK	ATL	0%	66	58	9	1	0	1	7	23	1	3	1	153	255	222	477	68	267	34	10	249	49	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		267	—	—	235	38	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	ATL	—	100	87	10	0	0	0	11	50	3	10	2	115	240	115	355		270	50	11	178	-6	-12	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
TOT	19	ROK	ATL	—	166	144	19	1	0	1	18	73	4	13	3	131	246	159	405	28	255	44	11	207	16	-16	+1	+0	-1	+5	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	ATL	34%	242	211	38	6	1	4	24	82	5	6	1	180	279	275	554	95	273	34	10	263	60	-11	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.5
2027	20	MLB	ATL	34%	83	73	12	2	0	1	8	28	2	2	0	164	265	233	498	68	273	34	10	250	49	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	83	74	12	2	0	1	8	28	2	2	0	162	265	230	495	68	244	34	10	250	49	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	94	16	0	8	63	219	16	16	0	162	266	231	497	69	244	34	10	250	49	-37	+3	+0	-4	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	665	562	88	13	3	12	75	280	23	44	10	156	282	254	536	98	277	42	11	251	50	-38	+5	+0	-4	+19	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	549	87	13	3	12	73	273	22	43	10	158	282	259	541	100	280	42	11	251	50	-37	+5	+0	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	167	130	22	4	0	2	26	63	9	14	5	169	345	246	592	77	299	38	16	291	81	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	190	142	32	5	3	6	39	63	8	21	3	225	418	430	848	204	351	33	21	385	153	+11	+3	—	—	+5	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	243	4	6	187	279	288	-1	+0	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	11	16	187	279	288	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Espinal (OGILVIE)	19	25	45	60	60	131/246/159	28	255	1	13	44%	11%	16	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	45→40	53→45	44	200/265/322	122	263	12	14	28%	7%	61	-1.0	204/268/306	102	270	9	10	27%	7%	58	-1.2	186/255/279	93	257	8	7	29%	7%	44	-0.7
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	43	43→50	54→45	40	209/265/321	112	301	11	10	33%	6%	60	-1.0	173/235/266	93	312	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	41→31	43→45	53→50	41	205/260/318	113	293	11	15	33%	7%	57	-1.2	189/259/288	99	290	9	12	35%	8%	50	-1.7	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→29	40→45	51→50	48	177/255/271	94	227	7	13	24%	8%	44	-2.1	175/249/266	91	263	6	10	33%	8%	40	-2.4	157/237/236	79	247	5	10	36%	9%	25	-2.0
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	37→20	44→45	46→45	47	180/300/295	115	278	11	11	36%	10%	72	-0.2	153/290/268	115	248	13	6	39%	13%	63	-0.9	133/279/265	132	188	18	5	37%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Adalfi Almonte 2015 · A	19	39	40	48→50	46	190/275/287	97	268	7	12	30%	8%	58	-1.2	195/296/271	76	287	5	12	30%	10%	63	-0.9	169/295/221	52	258	3	14	31%	11%	49	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Sergio Garcia 2010 · A	19	40	39→45	52→60	40	195/248/284	89	274	6	20	30%	6%	43	-2.2	193/245/291	98	271	10	23	31%	6%	44	-2.1	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Jhonny Piron 2023 · A	19	36	40	47→55	45	179/264/268	89	265	9	11	34%	9%	48	-1.9	184/254/256	72	292	5	9	36%	7%	40	-2.4	122/192/154	32	205	0	12	37%	6%	-15	-1.4
✕Edison Sanchez 2010 · A	19	41	40→45	52→45	45	189/296/282	94	300	7	8	35%	9%	66	-0.6	187/273/276	89	298	6	5	36%	9%	53	-1.5	184/257/288	104	298	9	3	39%	7%	47	-0.8
✕Angel Jimenez 2014 · A	19	40	41→40	49→50	48	198/275/295	97	255	9	11	25%	8%	59	-1.1	203/270/294	91	264	7	11	24%	7%	56	-1.3	192/259/278	87	246	7	13	24%	6%	44	-0.8
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	53	-1.5	204/274/319	115	276	10	18	28%	7%	65	-0.7	194/270/326	132	268	13	19	31%	8%	62	-0.7