Juan Espinal — OGILVIE

Juan EspinalOF FCL Braves

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION117 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.083 / .154 / .083

PA13

HR0

K%38

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	167	130	22	4	0	2	26	63	9	14	5	169	345	246	592	77	299	38	16	291	83	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	190	142	32	5	3	6	39	63	8	21	3	225	418	430	848	204	351	33	21	385	147	+11	+3	—	—	+4	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	167	140	14	2	0	1	16	88	9	14	5	100	236	136	372	36	239	53	10	192	16	-17	+1	—	—	+4	-1.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	190	156	23	3	2	5	25	90	8	21	3	147	296	288	585	141	286	47	13	265	65	-8	+3	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	167	140	14	2	0	1	16	88	9	14	5	100	236	136	372	36	245	53	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	167	130	22	4	0	2	26	63	9	14	5	169	345	246	592	77	299	38	16	291	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	190	156	23	3	2	5	25	90	8	21	3	147	296	288	585	141	290	47	13	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	190	142	32	5	3	6	39	63	8	21	3	225	418	430	848	204	351	33	21	385	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	167	140	14	2	0	1	16	88	9	14	5	100	236	136	372	36	239	53	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	190	155	23	3	2	5	25	90	8	21	3	148	296	290	587	142	286	47	13	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	167	140	14	2	0	1	16	88	9	14	5	100	236	136	372	36	239	53	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	190	155	23	3	2	5	25	90	8	21	3	148	296	290	587	142	286	47	13	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ATL	—	117	100	12	1	0	1	14	56	3	11	2	120	248	160	408	40	256	48	12	188	13	-12	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	ATL	—	117	91	17	1	0	1	22	39	3	11	2	187	359	231	590	44	314	33	19	295	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	ATL	0%	13	12	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	83	154	83	237		264	38	8	250	55	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	ATL	—	130	112	13	1	0	1	15	61	3	12	2	116	238	152	390	36	240	47	12	194	18	-13	+2	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	242	212	38	6	1	4	24	81	4	6	1	179	275	274	549	94	269	33	10	262	64	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2027	20	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	83	74	12	2	0	1	8	28	1	2	0	162	253	230	483	68	269	34	10	249	64	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	83	74	12	2	0	1	8	28	1	2	0	162	253	230	483	68	244	34	10	249	51	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	94	16	0	8	63	219	8	16	0	162	254	231	485	69	244	34	10	249	51	-28	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	612	520	76	11	3	10	66	264	21	42	9	146	269	237	505	90	264	43	11	244	51	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	81	12	3	11	70	280	22	45	10	147	268	239	507	92	264	43	11	244	51	-29	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	243	4	6	186	277	287	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	11	16	-4.0	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Espinal (OGILVIE)	19	25	45	60	60	171/271/258	87	264	2	6	35%	10%	55	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	42→40	53→45	45	194/262/300	106	257	10	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	201/266/295	94	268	8	10	26%	7%	60	-1.6	184/255/271	87	254	7	7	29%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	209/267/303	94	296	7	19	30%	6%	61	-1.5	204/264/295	91	289	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	41→32	43→45	53→50	41	205/260/318	113	293	11	15	33%	7%	62	-1.4	190/260/289	99	288	8	12	34%	8%	56	-1.9	187/254/298	112	272	13	12	34%	7%	56	-1.2
✕Miguel Bleis 2023 · A	19	39→31	43→45	55	36	196/243/309	114	285	10	17	34%	5%	54	-2.0	184/236/283	99	270	10	23	34%	5%	45	-2.7	166/221/262	96	232	11	28	33%	6%	33	-2.0
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	42	43→50	54→45	40	207/264/320	113	297	11	10	33%	7%	64	-1.3	172/234/263	91	308	8	13	44%	6%	40	-3.0	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Adalfi Almonte 2015 · A	19	39	40	48→50	46	190/275/287	97	268	7	12	30%	8%	63	-1.4	195/296/271	76	287	5	12	30%	10%	67	-1.1	169/295/221	52	258	3	14	31%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	38→20	45	46→45	47	184/303/304	121	280	12	11	35%	10%	78	-0.3	155/294/273	118	250	14	6	39%	14%	70	-0.9	138/279/280	142	192	20	5	38%	14%	65	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Edison Sanchez 2010 · A	19	41	40→45	52→45	45	189/296/282	94	300	7	8	35%	9%	70	-0.8	188/274/277	89	297	6	5	35%	9%	60	-1.6	185/260/287	101	297	8	3	37%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Angel Jimenez 2014 · A	19	40	41→40	49→50	48	198/275/295	97	255	9	11	25%	8%	63	-1.3	203/270/294	91	264	7	11	24%	7%	61	-1.5	192/259/278	87	246	7	13	24%	6%	51	-0.9
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	46	-2.6	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	53	-2.1	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Franklin Paz 2011 · A	20	42	40→50	53→50	44	204/270/305	101	280	7	12	28%	7%	63	-1.3	209/265/324	115	278	11	11	28%	6%	66	-1.1	193/244/323	130	242	15	12	27%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→38	39→45	54→55	42	186/270/274	88	290	7	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	186/268/290	104	258	9	15	30%	8%	60	-1.6	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	37→43	45	51→55	40	193/254/318	125	267	13	13	32%	6%	61	-1.5	189/251/316	127	262	13	17	32%	6%	59	-1.6	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	51	-2.3	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	63	-1.4	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps