Juan Espinal

OF FCL Braves
Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKATL167.169/.345/.24621419—.102/.255/.139
202518ROKATL190.225/.418/.43062159—.138/.307/.243
202619ROKATL117.187/.359/.23111113—.120/.248/.160
2027PROJMLE20MLBATL227.178/.267/.2633553-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBATL40.185/.273/.2811159-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%73
Speed40
wRC+25
wOBA19
ISO13
K%9
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsHans Montero (age 20) · Ismael Alcantara (age 20) · George Feliz (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .265 / .261
PA61
HR1
K%33
BB%9
ISO85
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Braves — 167130 22402 26639 145 169345246592 77299 3816 291 19 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Braves — 190142 32536 39638 213 225418430848 204351 3321 385 59 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Braves — 11791 17101 22393 112 187359231590 44314 3319 295 13 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 167137 14201 19759 145 102255139393 36199 4511 196 19 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 190152 21323 29768 213 138307243550 105230 4015 256 59 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 117100 12101 14563 112 120248160408 40240 4812 187 13 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 167137 14201 19759 145 102255139393 36206 4511 196 19 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 167130 22402 26639 145 169345246592 77299 3816 291 19 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 190152 21323 29768 213 138307243550 105243 4015 256 59 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 190142 32536 39638 213 225418430848 204351 3321 385 59 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 117100 12101 14563 112 120248160408 40256 4812 187 13 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 11791 17101 22393 112 187359231590 44314 3319 295 13 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 167137 14201 19759 145 102255139393 36199 4511 196 19 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 190151 21323 29768 213 139307245552 106230 4015 256 59 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 11799 12101 14563 112 121248162409 40240 4812 187 13 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 167137 14201 19759 145 102255139393 36199 4511 196 19 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 190151 21323 29768 213 139307245552 106230 4015 256 59 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 11799 12101 14563 112 121248162409 40240 4812 187 13 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEATL 0% 227200 36613 21744 51 178267263531 85263 339 247 53 -13 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEATL 34% 115101 19312 11372 31 185273281554 96266 3210 256 59 -6 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.4
202821 MLB CTXATL 34% 4035 7101 4131 10 185273281554 96266 3210 256 59 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4035 7101 4131 10 200300314614 114286 3210 256 40 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650569 11316016 6521116 160 199298311610 112284 3210 256 40 -31 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.8
Career— MLE — 650544 761138 7926423 5011 140276215491 75246 4112 227 40 -9 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650544 761138 7926423 5011 140276215491 75246 4112 227 40 -33 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Braves · 117 PAwOBA .289 → .187 (−102)K% 33.3% → 48.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.000×1.440——48.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.80%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99511.60%
HBP% /PA2.56%—×0.720—×0.9951.84%
Singles /BIP28.85%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×0.99522.36%
Doubles /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9951.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9951.49%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .289 → .187; ISO .044 → .029; BABIP .314 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Braves · 190 PAwOBA .378 → .256 (−122)K% 33.2% → 40.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.16%÷1.009×1.220——40.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.53%÷0.947×0.700—×0.99515.10%
HBP% /PA4.21%—×0.700—×0.9952.93%
Singles /BIP22.78%÷0.978×0.680×1.018×0.99516.04%
Doubles /BIP6.33%÷0.932×0.600×1.018×0.9954.13%
Triples /BIP3.80%÷1.045×0.600×1.018×0.9952.21%
Home runs /BIP7.59%÷0.878×0.470—×0.9954.05%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 109, K 102, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .378 → .256; ISO .204 → .116; BABIP .351 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Braves · 167 PAwOBA .288 → .196 (−91)K% 37.7% → 44.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.72%÷1.029×1.220——44.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.57%÷0.986×0.700—×1.00811.14%
HBP% /PA5.39%—×0.700—×1.0083.80%
Singles /BIP23.88%÷0.996×0.680×1.014×1.00816.65%
Doubles /BIP5.97%÷1.042×0.600×1.014×1.0083.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×1.014×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP2.99%÷0.871×0.470—×1.0081.62%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .288 → .196; ISO .077 → .043; BABIP .299 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).