Leandy Mella — OGILVIE

Leandy MellaSS DSL Tigers 1

Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .251 / .265

PA58

HR0

K%35

BB%7

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	102	83	11	6	1	0	16	38	3	5	2	133	294	229	523	96	244	37	16	258	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	129	115	34	5	3	1	10	44	3	5	4	296	367	417	785	122	465	34	8	350	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	55	47	6	2	2	1	6	25	1	0	0	128	241	319	560	191	227	45	11	249	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	102	88	6	3	1	0	11	48	3	5	2	68	196	125	321	57	155	47	11	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	129	118	19	2	2	0	7	54	3	5	4	161	227	212	438	51	286	42	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	55	49	3	1	1	0	4	31	1	0	0	61	148	122	271	61	135	56	7	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	102	88	6	3	1	0	11	48	3	5	2	68	196	125	321	57	150	47	11	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	102	83	11	6	1	0	16	38	3	5	2	133	294	229	523	96	244	37	16	258	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	129	118	19	2	2	0	7	54	3	5	4	161	227	212	438	51	292	42	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	129	115	34	5	3	1	10	44	3	5	4	296	367	417	785	122	465	34	8	350	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	55	49	3	1	1	0	4	31	1	0	0	61	148	122	271	61	158	56	7	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	55	47	6	2	2	1	6	25	1	0	0	128	241	319	560	191	227	45	11	249	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	102	87	6	3	1	0	11	48	3	5	2	69	196	126	323	57	155	47	11	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	129	118	19	2	2	0	7	54	3	5	4	161	227	212	438	51	286	42	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	55	50	3	1	1	0	4	31	1	0	0	60	148	120	268	60	135	56	7	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	102	87	6	3	1	0	11	48	3	5	2	69	196	126	323	57	155	47	11	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	129	118	19	2	2	0	7	54	3	5	4	161	227	212	438	51	286	42	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	55	50	3	1	1	0	4	31	1	0	0	60	148	120	268	60	135	56	7	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	DET	0%	165	151	28	5	2	1	11	57	2	2	1	186	253	267	520	81	287	35	7	238	47	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	DET	34%	147	134	27	5	2	2	10	50	2	2	1	192	260	285	545	93	288	34	7	248	54	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	DET	34%	51	46	10	2	1	1	4	17	1	1	0	189	257	279	536	90	284	33	8	245	54	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	51	46	10	2	1	1	4	17	1	1	0	217	294	370	664	152	321	33	8	245	25	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	127	25	13	13	51	217	13	13	0	217	294	370	664	154	320	33	8	245	25	-35	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	491	442	65	13	7	2	36	203	10	13	7	147	227	222	449	75	263	41	7	204	25	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	86	17	9	3	48	269	13	17	9	147	228	222	450	75	262	41	7	204	25	-37	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leandy Mella (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	185/251/265	80	287	0	1	35%	7%	47	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Kellin Deglan 2012 · A	20	41→35	40→50	50→40	38	195/261/286	91	305	7	4	36%	7%	56	-1.9	189/251/317	128	280	14	4	36%	6%	59	-1.6	177/244/283	106	274	12	2	38%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jefrey De Los Santos 2023 · A	20	35	38→40	47→45	39	171/233/249	78	267	6	9	36%	7%	37	-3.3	169/241/259	90	274	6	7	37%	8%	42	-2.9	151/223/243	92	242	6	7	38%	7%	30	-1.9
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2023 · A	20	37→24	37→45	51→60	38	178/236/254	76	272	4	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	159/221/246	87	248	8	13	37%	6%	32	-3.7	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	35→31	36→50	47→30	41	172/239/241	69	258	3	6	33%	7%	38	-3.2	197/255/307	110	316	10	3	38%	7%	59	-1.7	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Freili Encarnacion 2024 · A	19	39→33	37→50	52→50	37	185/252/253	68	288	4	11	35%	6%	45	-2.7	195/246/296	101	295	10	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	184/237/297	113	271	13	10	36%	4%	47	-1.4
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	39→34	40→45	51→50	46	187/269/284	97	284	6	7	34%	9%	59	-1.7	196/267/306	110	300	10	12	35%	8%	63	-1.4	181/253/289	107	271	10	12	35%	8%	51	-1.3
✕Luis Mendez 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	48→50	38	185/243/284	99	267	9	10	33%	6%	49	-2.4	188/253/267	79	273	5	11	31%	7%	49	-2.4	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Jesus Chirinos 2021 · A	20	40→36	37→40	49→40	40	185/254/257	71	302	4	5	37%	8%	47	-2.6	198/277/294	96	340	10	3	40%	10%	64	-1.3	184/277/278	94	319	11	2	41%	11%	59	-0.9
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Jhon Diaz 2024 · A	21	37→26	40→45	49→50	39	181/241/278	97	288	6	11	38%	7%	46	-2.6	174/225/289	115	248	13	16	34%	6%	43	-2.8	154/204/269	115	207	15	17	34%	5%	28	-2.5
✕Justin Reed 2008 · A	20	39→40	38→40	50	37	186/246/269	83	298	5	11	37%	6%	46	-2.6	192/250/279	87	314	6	12	38%	7%	49	-2.4	183/243/267	84	298	6	13	38%	7%	41	-2.0
✕Deivis Nadal 2022 · A	20	38	35→40	46→55	39	180/246/230	50	260	3	11	30%	6%	38	-3.2	173/247/256	83	304	6	18	41%	8%	45	-2.7	146/228/239	93	271	7	23	45%	8%	31	-1.5
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Gleider Figuereo 2024 · A	20	39→38	42→50	48→45	40	191/256/290	99	290	10	7	36%	7%	55	-1.9	184/244/311	127	263	16	6	35%	7%	56	-1.9	173/235/308	135	231	19	6	34%	7%	49	-2.0